Still famous 15 years later as the former electorate of Pauline Hanson, the modern seat of Oxley was created around the satellite city of Ipswich west of Brisbane in 1949 (a seat bearing the name earlier existed in southern Brisbane, before being renamed Griffith in 1934). Redistributions in 2004, 2007 and 2010 sent the electorate’s remaining share of Ipswich to Blair, pushing Oxley towards Brisbane with the addition of Middle Park and Jindalee in the north and Algester to the east. The changes before the 2010 election garnished the margin from 14.1% to 11.3%, and the punishing statewide swing against Labor that followed pared it back to 5.6%.
Oxley was was held for the Liberals on fairly comfortable margins for a decade after its creation by Donald Cameron, who served as Health Minister in the Menzies government. However, a 9.4% swing in the near-miss election of 1961 portended a long-term shift, delivering the seat to Labor’s Bill Hayden. Hayden did extraordinarily well to lift his margin to 19.1% by 1969, but Queensland’s reaction against the Whitlam government was enough to cut it back to 3.8% in 1975. By the time Hayden resigned to become Governor-General in 1988, the seat was safe enough for Labor that Les Scott was able to survive a sharp swing at the resulting by-election with a 4.0% margin.
After retaining a margin of 12.6% at the 1993 election, few suspected that Scott would be in serious danger despite the hostile environment Labor faced in 1996. However, trouble came in the form of Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, whose campaign remarks about Aboriginal welfare saw her disendorsed by a party sensitive about its leader’s complicated history on racial issues. The voters by contrast rewarded her with an astonishing 48.6% of the primary vote, resulting in a 4.7% win after preferences. Unfortunately for Hanson, Oxley was substantially redrawn with the 1998 redistribution, losing its rural areas beyond Ipswich to newly created Blair along with parts of Ipswich itself, while absorbing the very safe Labor urban area of Inala. Rightly or wrongly, Hanson decided the new seat offered her the better prospects and Labor’s Bernie Ripoll had no trouble regaining Oxley at the 1998 election.
A member of the Australian Workers Union/Labor Forum faction, Ripoll served as a parliamentary secretary in opposition after the 2004 election, but was passed over when Labor came to office in 2007. His preselected Liberal National Party opponent for the coming election is Andrew Nyugen, a 28-year-old policy adviser to Brisbane lord mayor Graham Quirk.
[Emo posted timetables regarding the last time opposition members asked questions related to their portfolios.
Some were staggering.
What the hell are we paying these people for?]
Peter Dutton for eg. He’s been shadow health minister for years, yet I can’t recall the last time he asked a question about health.
canasta76@788
Well I’m sure Labor are making their minds up on whether to attack her on Witternoon etc.
But there is a whole range of tactics Labor can employ and we will all just have to wait to see how they go about it.
But whatever labor do or don’t do, OM will deem it wrong, in some form or fashion. Thats just how it goes it seems.
Its almost 100% OM against Labor. No matter what they do or don’t do.
@GenGusface hey Gussie, thanks, good news. They’ve tried eveything. What’s next? ahhhh, born in Kenya, see the resemblance –
[Joe6pack
Posted Sunday, November 25, 2012 at 5:45 pm | Permalink
Thats all that happens.
They are supposed to dig a hole and bury it but 9 times out of 10 it just goes to the tip face ,dumped, then push a bit of rubbish over it. Bags are usually blue plastic that are heavy duty but being plastic they can rip.
Trust me this is how it’s done.]
It’s another case of people not facing reality.
Most asbestos was stabilised using cement; if you don’t use power tools to release the fibres it is reasonable safe. The damage was done making the dam stuff in the first place.
The products where the fibre was not mixed with cement is where the real risk is, there are still a lot of very dangerous steam pipes around.
Because it is all treated the same, the slack processes creep in for the reasonable safe stuff and the dangerous stuff gets treated in the same way.
Newspoll?? Doesn’t Troy B usually tweet when it is coming out. Nothing as yet
canasta76@797
Thank goodness I am not alone on this.
I would have thought that before you go around accusing anyone of being involved in a crime, because that is what fraud is, you first establish that the crime has been committed.
It doesn’t seem to get past that first hurdle to me.
C@tmomma
[My mother always used to say, “You end up getting the face you deserve.” Well, when I saw Julie Bishop’s sour mien on Sky TV this morning that phrase immediately came to mind.]
I agree. In earlier photos she used to look quite pleasant/attractive.
Her face, as well as her hair, is growing harder and more vindictive.
[What will be the question is, if all the allegations are cleared and what not, will it be sufficiently reported or will they just leave it at “questions to answer” and not say anymore, leaving the long-term impression of a corrupt government?]
I would hope that the PM would not let it rest but call a press conference and demand an apology on a scale matching their smear campaign.
I do hope this is Silly Sunday. If not, I apologize in advance.
Dashed off this email the other night to ABC complaints.
[ Hello,
I have no wish to denigrate Norman Hermant’s (sp?) reporting of the crisis in the Middle East. Keep safe, Norman.
However, this according to wikipedia: “A missal is a liturgical book …”
A missile – pronounced miss -isle – is: “In a modern military, a missile is a self-propelled guided weapon system.”
Source: Wekipedia.
I happen to think that the accurate use of words is vitally important for understanding and clarity. After all, words are bullets.
Stuff that up and you miss the target.
This is not a formal complaint. Rather it’s a suggestion that someone have a quiet chat to Norman …
Regards, ]
I await a reply with bated breath. “Norman … When in Rome …”
The usage here is miss-isle.
+++
Have turned on the cooling thingo and doglets have stopped the heavy panting. So, it’s goodnight from me.
[Dee
Posted Sunday, November 25, 2012 at 7:00 pm | PERMALINK
What will be the question is, if all the allegations are cleared and what not, will it be sufficiently reported or will they just leave it at “questions to answer” and not say anymore, leaving the long-term impression of a corrupt government?
I would hope that the PM would not let it rest but call a press conference and demand an apology on a scale matching their smear campaign.]
Glad you are back here posting,How are you lovely grandsons? going well?
confessions@800
Maybe that point could be brought out in ‘Dorothy Dixers’ by Govt backbenchers.
“On behalf of the shadow Minister for Health, Peter Dutton,since he is so disinterested in his portfolio that he has not asked a question on it for x months…”
And so on… 👿
[So what?]
Yep I agree.
http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-vote-slumps-further-in-queensland
[LNP vote slumps further in Queensland
Submitted by ReachTEL on Sun, 25/11/2012 – 18:15 ]
Yes Dave at 801,it is true that 100 percent of media have been complicit but due to blogs and social media like twitter,facebook and you tube their deceits are being found out as total bullshit so making 100 percent of nothing still nothing.
I presume we will get a QLD State thread now, with both the Galaxy & Reachtel polls.
Leroy:
Thanks for the Reachtel results. I’d love to overlay federal polling on top of the Qld state polling – reckon you’d get a pretty close alignment.
[ruawake
Posted Sunday, November 25, 2012 at 6:52 pm | Permalink
I think Newspoll will be dire for Abbott, his approval will not improve and his disapproval will fall lower.
People are turned off by the slimey crap being dished up by the Liberal Party, it will hurt them.]
I think sampling noise will be more important (might go up a %, might go down). Right wing nutters will be more enraged with Gillard, so what, they are not going to change sides, the left wing will be more enraged with the press, and the middle voter will not care a zack, they worked out long ago that News is not about news.
Having reluctantly seen JulieB at least three times today, I think she is trying to say that when JG set up the account for the AWU, she knew that it was going to be used fraudulently. (And she keeps repeating the “questions to answer” even when this has been denied by Wilson).
As proof, JulieB is using the 1973 piece of paper to prove that JG was involved with all the paperwork so her denial in 1975 was a lie.
Lots of hinting about unethical behaviour, lying, concealing yet no precise accusation – because that would bring a lawsuit. 😀
Night scringler
Geez LNP in Qld with a Primary vote of 42% maybe Essential was correct ALP in front in Qld?
48% reckon the Newman govt is not open and accountable.
[Mr Denmore @MrDenmore
Watching @abcnews; otherwise known as ‘here’s what’s in the News Ltd newspapers today’. Could save a lot of $ by cutting out the middle man. ]
[Having reluctantly seen JulieB at least three times today, I think she is trying to say that when JG set up the account for the AWU, she knew that it was going to be used fraudulently.]
It’s the “Bonny And Clyde” syndrome. Two star-crossed, but criminal lovers got together to fleece the poor workers of their hard-earned money and go on a spending spree involving real estate, property renovations and debauched nights out at the Casino.
It’s all soooooooo believable, eh?
Mike Smith, the guy who lost his job over this (you’d think he’d have learnt a thing or two, wouldn’tyou?) reckons Gillard”personal liberty” is at stake, i.e. jail time.
These people are off the planet.
It wouldn’t surprice me if the punters rally ’round PMJG and send a big message to the Opposition: “Get real on policy or get outa here.”
Mari
[Glad you are back here posting,How are you lovely grandsons? going well?]
Thanks!
They are OK!
It’s been ‘grandchildren’ central here and nanna is dog tired. 🙂
[Dee
Posted Sunday, November 25, 2012 at 7:21 pm | PERMALINK
Mari
Glad you are back here posting,How are you lovely grandsons? going well?
Thanks!
They are OK!
It’s been ‘grandchildren’ central here and nanna is dog tired.]
Know what you mean, love to see them but feel age is catching me up with them and what they want to do. But keep thinking won’t be long and they will not want to come. The eldest could be starting to be like that at 16, as he now has a girlfriend
[Peter Brent @mumbletwits
“Do you think Newman govt is open & accountable.” “No!” Will you vote for them anyway? “Yes!” ]
😆
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/breaking/15467654/union-slush-fund-story-now-over-burke/
Some great comments from Burke, Roxon and Bob Carr in this piece. Carr is particularly complimentary about the PM.
Roxon did mention that many of us make mistakes in matters of the heart.
BishopJ must have mde a bad choice as her first marriage fell over. Who was at fault there? If Tony Abbott has his way the no fault divorce laws will be changed.
Storm passed here with little rain. Darn it.
Bushfire Bill@823
Gillard and abbott probably know as I type this what this weeks Newspoll says.
Hopefully we get to know later tonight.
If companies donate to the Wentworth Forum is it fraud if Turnbull spends the money?
Bushfire
I am struggling to connect the various “proofs” into a coherent narrative, which suggests to me that there is none. The bludgers and Twitter have already proved them nonsensical. Let’s hope JulieB is made to look a fool tomorrow.
Evening all
OH is having a lumpectomy early next month. She’s pretty regular with checks so we got it early thank goodness. Good news is the scans for stroke came back negative so we’re pretty happy about that.
Been lurking when I can and note BB and C@atmomma have kicked arse for most of it.
Looking forward to claiming this Newspoll is also rigged 👿
Bemused
[“On behalf of the shadow Minister for Health, Peter Dutton,since he is so disinterested in his portfolio that he has not asked a question on it for x months…”
And so on…]
I was thinking along similar lines.
[Craig Emerson MP @CraigEmersonMP
Now 785days as TradeMin & Shadow JBishop hasn’t asked me a ques.With her mudbucket full bookies offering 33/1on me getting ques in last week]
[Craig Emerson MP @CraigEmersonMP
.@GeorgeBludger It’s 1019 days since I had a policy question in Parliament from the Coalition – back when I was Small Business Minister.]
[Peter Brent @mumbletwits
“Do you think Newman govt is open & accountable.” “No!” Will you vote for them anyway? “Yes!” ]
The twit Mumble thinks 42 is larger than 48, no wonder he was employed at The Australian.
[But keep thinking won’t be long and they will not want to come. The eldest could be starting to be like that at 16, as he now has a girlfriend]
I never outgrew visiting my grandparents. By the time we were too old for the activities and games, I was into history and used to pick their brains about ‘the old days’. When nan started showing signs of dementia talking about the old days became her preferred topic of conversation anyway, so I was happy.
Gecko
Good news. 🙂
[Know what you mean, love to see them but feel age is catching me up with them and what they want to do. But keep thinking won’t be long and they will not want to come. The eldest could be starting to be like that at 16, as he now has a girlfriend]
My father inlaw said to enjoy it while it lasts.
Once they get into their mid teens they don’t want to be around old people. 😀
Queensland Seat Projection after ReachTEL poll
http://poliquant.com/queensland-seat-projection-25-november-2012-reachtel-poll/
Best for Labor in Qld this year
Off to play RAGE – blowing up mutants makes me feel better. 😆
Gecko:
Best wishes for OH.
[The twit Mumble thinks 42 is larger than 48]
We-ell, 42% is a fairly large proportion of 48% so I guess he has a point.
[2PP based on @reachtel poll LNP 53.8% ALP 46.2%. Represents 9.5% swing back to @QLDLabor since election]
a couple of thoughts on the Reachtel poll
http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-vote-slumps-further-in-queensland
LNP -8 since election, ALP +8
maybe returning to normality, but the QLD wipeout scenario for the federal numbers is waning.
Is there any message ther from the anti-smear loving burghers of cane toad country?
Can Doh disapprove going from 29 to 48 in 4 months is a fair effort, he may yet challenge Tony Abbott as most unpopular.
Katter -2, Greens +2 probably noise. If Katter drops the hubris and renames as Country Party, he’ll get more of the agrarian socialist vote
Dee@836
I don’t believe that.
The relationship certainly changes, but it goes on. I recall my kids as teenagers always being keen to visit their grandparents.
I’ve got to say, this whole hoopla about PMJG is sort of surreal, in the sense that it’s as though no one in the MSM has noticed what just happened in the U.S.A., apropos of elections.
I doubt they’ve got the collective wit to think about where there may not be parallels.
In between the cricket today, on the Abbott Broadcasting Company, I think “the news” was pretty much wall to wall something the Oppo. was saying. Usually about kweshuns to be answered, and so forth.
Geez, they’re boring and predictable.
Betcha, Albo et al. have been having a fairly entertaining weekend on strategy for the coming week in the big house.
As has been mentioned here repeatedly, ABC and others persist in stating that the PM (or Julia to them, they are on such friendly terms – don’t you know!) helped set up the fund which was used fraudulently. I believe that the correct term is set up the “Association” which was then used by others to set up a fund….. is it really too much of a stretch for them to get it right? Also, late last week they started saying it was the “house she lived in” whereas I remembered that that point had previously been de-bunked – did they check the most basic of facts – No!! Lazy, lazy, lazy…
[but the QLD wipeout scenario for the federal numbers is waning.]
IMO the Qld wipeout scenarios for the federal numbers were only ever used to promote Ruddstoration and leadershit.
Given federal elections have compulsory preferential voting (unlike Qld state elections), I don’t think it was ever feasible that the Qld state poll results would be replicated federally.
PMJG should bring a copy of her birth certificate to parliament, and table it for the benefit of the coalition.
[PMJG should bring a copy of her birth certificate to parliament, and table it for the benefit of the coalition.]
😆
Ms Bishop in particular!
Thanks all, I will certainly pass on. There’s been a bit of this on PB over the years hasn’t there? So girls, you know what you have to do. No excuses, just do it, and do it regularly. You are way too valuable not to. :kiss:
Poliquant projecting a 25 seat loss for LNP in Qld PArliament on todays Reachtel poll.
That should sharpen the focus of the backbench!