This week’s Essential Research survey has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 36%, but is otherwise unchanged on last week: the Coalition on 47%, the Greens on 9% and the Coalition leading 53-47 on two-party preferred. With very good timing, it also offers us Essential’s monthly personal ratings, which unlike the voting intention figures are derived entirely from the most recent period of surveying from Wednesday to Sunday. These figures are also of particular interest in the current environment in that they involve a four (strong approval, approval, disapproval, strong disapproval) rather than two point scale. This finds Julia Gillard gaining two points on strong approval since last month to 9%, her best result since February 2011, while also gaining four points on the milder approval measure to 32%. Her combined approval rating of 41% is her highest since May 2011. Her combined disapproval rating is down three points to 51%, also her best since last May, with strong disapproval steady at 27% and the milder disapproval rating down three to 24%. Opinion of Tony Abbott would appear to have polarised even further: he is up three on strong approval to 9% – his best result since December 2010 – but also up two on strong disapproval to a new high of 31%. His overall approval is up five to 37%, and disapproval down one to 54%. Gillard has opened up a seven-point lead as preferred prime minister of 43-36, its highest since February.
The survey also gauges attitudes to the presidential election, finding Barack Obama favoured by 63% to just 9% for Mitt Romney, with Obama leading 53-18 even among Coalition voters. Respondents were found to have an overwhelmingly more favourable view of their own country than the United States with respect to access to health care and jobs, standard of living for ordinary people, and other such. The US obviously rated higher on “international influence”, but even here 17% felt able to conclude Australia’s was “better”. Respondents were also asked about climate change, with much the same result as when the question was last asked a year ago: 48% believe climate change is occurring as a result of human activity, with 39% plumping for “we are witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate”.
Laocoon@4244
Selling it for something is much better than closing, in most cases. I still think it will remain in the hands of a murdoch somehow.
Old habits etc….
BTW Interesting pattern on the XAO atm – charting wise ?
Tom Hawkins@4150
Thank goodness we have a fourth estate in this country, if it wasn’t for talented people like Karen and Michelle we would all be ignorant of world and national events. 😉
,I>lyne lady
Posted Friday, October 19, 2012 at 5:40 pm | Permalink
Guido Tresoldi@GuidoTresoldi
Gillard calls analysis of journalist ‘infantile’ Maybe JG could be a bit more diplomatic with the Press Gallery?
is this person serious???
I’m sure that even this press gallery would understand the context of that answer.
[I am torn between the ‘Canberra Chronicle’ and ‘The Australian’. ]
I have no exposure to the CC. Sounds as if I should be thankful.
But I no longer buy the AFR, no withdrawal symptoms and the world goes on as do I.
Print media and the media in general are not items I buy anymore and am not likely to change in that regard – am not Robinson Crusoe either.
Does anyone have any idea how much other countries spent on their bid for a UN seat? It would be useful information.
See “Arbitrage” a film for our time
_____________
With a stunning performance from Richard Gere…surely his best…this film is set inside the greatest of all criminal organisatiions..Wall Street
Gere is a Hedge fund manager…faced with a huge loss over a stupid purchase of a copper mine…a dud…$400millions’s worth
So he need…who better than a banker !
a splendid drama with a timely sory…and a great cast with Susan Sarandon as his troub led wife and a series of clever sub-plots
Do see it now..a timely tale
zoomster
News24 said Luxemberg spent $120 million this morning.
dave – XAO is on a bit of a tear.
What piques your interest in its chart in particular?
[Does anyone have any idea how much other countries spent on their bid for a UN seat? It would be useful information]
It was reported on the ABC this morning that the Finns ahd obviously spent more than Oz on their gift bags.
davidwh
[Joe is an economic lightweight]
Right on – what Joe has some knowledge of is financial institution regulation.
His views on this would be at home in the US in the 90’s.
I heard around $100 million for Luxemberg and $6 million for Finland. Apparently goat droppings must be cheap in Finland.
[News24 said Luxemberg spent $120 million this morning]
They should have spent some of that on dentistry for the buck toothed girl from Luxembourg.
Hey, I studied with a Guido Tresoldi once. I wonder if it is the same Guido Tresoldi?
guytaur@4257
It would not have made an iota of difference what our Labor Government spent of the UNSC bid – it was always going to be wrong.
If john howard and lord downer of Baghdad had secured such and outcome, the OO & sheridan would have run out of ink, paper and words describing the golden new era such an outstanding achievement was ushering in for our nation.
[They should have spent some of that on dentistry for the buck toothed girl from Luxembourg.]
That sort of frightening verse has no place here.
In relation to the Security Council seat, I note that the AFR suffered from a premature oraculation.
@richardaedy: Warning: road narrows – that’s how it can feel with the news agenda: fewer narratives. But why? @MrDenmore explains on @RNmediareport
Deblonay,
When’s the mea culpa for your howler at 3113.
Re UN Seat
_________
If Australia fails to win a SC seat tonight it will be because we lost Aarb-Islamic support with our vote against a seat for Palestine on the UNESCO Board(it was carried anyway with a huge majority)
This was duly noted by the world Islamic conference(56 nation states ) which criticiced the US and Israel and the small group(us amongst them) who voted against..(.Rudd is said to have wanted an abstention…wise man)
\Anyway we stuck with the Isreal …much fasvoured by ask the PM… but Luxenbourg and Finland…how did they vote.???..well suprise ..they voted for, Palestine
As well the Islamic community here…very large in Western Sydney have not lessened in their fierce criticism of the Govt’s stance
Might be very costly in the next election in Sydney’s West…Goodbye Lindsey and other seats !!
So if we get done in the UN I think that will be the reason …but don’t expect Abbott or Gillard to mention it
Israel rules OK …don’t mention Palestine
Apparently, the whole Muslim world was going to vote against Australia. In the end we got both Iran and Israel.
Another egg on face performance to go with all your dreadfully spiteful anti Gillard rants.
dave
[I have no exposure to the CC.]
Tell me your address and I’ll tell them I’ve moved.
👿
Have been trying to catch up on today’s postings and have noticed the paraphrasing of Shakespeare to shaft the Mad Monk.
However, of those that I have seen I think this one takes the cake
Just Me
Now is the summer of our Tone’s disconnect
Made glorious sport by this daughter of Wales;
Laocoon@4258
Well after the consolidation from 8th to 15th of October – ie going sideways, we get a rejection of a new high on 16th then a major up day on 17th, followed by a gap up and spinning doji candlestick pattern yesterday followed by another strong day today while that gap up from yesterday remains.
A blow off topping pattern ?
Don’t know yet. Thought you might have an eye on it.
Remind me how much the Howard Government spent on advertising itself again?
Then could a journalist with nads remind Tony Abbott, Julie Bishop & Joe Hockey of that fact too next time they try to criticise the government for it’s spending on the UNSC bid.
[OMG Got an invite to have morning tea with Sloppy Joe next month. What to do, what to do?]
1. Take a recording device with you.
2. Turn it on.
3. Engage Sloppy in conversation. Once he is relaxed and comfortable in your presence, tell him this “misogyny” crap is just Labor BS to deflect attention away from the incompetence of the lying ginger slut.
4. Did I say make sure your recording device is switched on?
5. If Hockey refuses to play along, bring up Teh Evil Gays wanting to marry, Teh Evil Muslims who think they have a right to come to this great country or whatever until he does bite.
6. Wait until a month before the election is called (or whenever he is installed as leader, whatever comes first) and then leak it to the media.
7. Stand back with a huge tub of popcorn 😀
[ Tell me your address and I’ll tell them I’ve moved. ]
CTar1 – sounds like a good one to pass 🙂
[Then could a journalist with nads remind ]
It could be done by a journalist without nads.
But wait for it,…the really BIG news is that an elephant squashed a keeper.
bbs
Why the suggestion of hair removal? I did not think it had anything to do with mental processes.
Guytaur – in my experience ‘nads’ refers to ‘gonads’.
Hair removal – you might be thinking of Nair …
dave – interesting
I am more of a “fundamentalist” than a chartist, but market does look to be in a bit of need of a breather.
Post US election could be interesting. The fiscal cliff has gone a bit quiet…
At least Karen Middleton said on Insiders:
[It’s not that Tony Abbott has a problem with women, it’s that women that have a problem with Tony Abbott]
And, obviously, telling about her remote corner Zambian friend says that women all over the world are with JG.
Why the angst?
bbs
Nads – here -http://www.nads.com.au/
Ahh Mr Big Shot Businesman – you and your mates have been running down the economy down for almost 4 years and sinking the boots in at ever opportunity – ye reap what ye sow.
If you have only just woken up to that you need to be sacked.
[ Wesfarmers chief executive officer Richard Goyder says consumer confidence in ‘‘hypochondriac’’ Australia is improving.
Australia was a ‘‘great place to live and do business’’, Mr Goyder told a Melbourne business lunch on Friday, and Australians sometimes lose sight of how fortunate they were.]
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/business/hypochondriac-australia-improving-wesfarmers-chief-20121019-27wie.html#ixzz29j5RqUZ8
rummel
A passing curiosity but I’m guessing damage to the wiring harness that had been much modified with splicing to accommodate comms, GPS positioning and extra batteries lead to the write-off of your steed after being ‘dunked’?
(A fair swap I’d say to rescue one or more people stuck in quickly moving water).
bbs
http://www.nads.com.au
[Ben Pobjie @benpobjie
BREAKING: Wayne Swan catches pocket on door handle. 16-page lift out tomorrow]
Leone, Guytaur
I now know what to buy when I feel the need for a nose wax ….
bbs
The ‘nads’ DIY removal bit seems a little confronting …
CTar
Possibly you should refer back to 4272.
BREAKING: Walkleys introduces Most Derided (Laughed At for for being The Most-Easily-Proved Untruthful to the ordinary folk) News Journalist Category. Nominations are: The Rupert Murdoch Stable.
And the Winner is: The Rupert Murdoch Stable.
Casey Erica Banks @CaseyEricaBanks
Re-tween closing of 300plus aged care beds (Eventide plus others) lowest act yet by Newman. Old people with nowhere to go; some no relatives
Retweeted by sortius
Obama apparently picking up about 60% of early voting in IOWA & WISCONSIN according CBS Polling tonight via Planet America @ABCNews24
bbs – I think I’ve got the ‘vibe’.
Danny Lewis@4273
8. And watch nothing happen
Of course, the first law of attending events with politicians is to monopolise their time so they don’t get to talk to other people.
In Joe’s case, however, you might want to encourage him to work the room…
There is something seriously wrong in Qld and with Campbell Newman.
Here’s Wayne Swan and Nicola Roxon announcing 50 new rehab beds for 2012 in this facility.
Hhttp://www.couriermail.com.au/questnews/north/community-reels-from-heartless-decision-to-close-80-aged-care-beds-at-eventide/story-fn8m0rl4-1226499075978
And here’s the LNP announcing its closure.
How has it come to this?
It seems as if Newman has been directed to take on the Fed Govt single-handed and that there’ll be no consequences.
WAKE UP QLD.
Here’s the link: http://www.couriermail.com.au/questnews/north/community-reels-from-heartless-decision-to-close-80-aged-care-beds-at-eventide/story-fn8m0rl4-1226499075978
[A passing curiosity but I’m guessing damage to the wiring harness that had been much modified with splicing to accommodate comms, GPS positioning and extra batteries lead to the write-off of your steed after being ‘dunked’?]
yes and no…. the main problem was i panicked when the engin stalled with water at windscreen level, i thought i would test the compressibility of water in the engine cylinders 🙂 . It did not work and the engine became one non moving part.
Coupla days ago, I contacted the SMH re Grattan’s hopeless column. To their credit, they got back pretty quickly
Thank you for your email we value reader feedback. smh.com.au is a news site that brings readers current and reliable news from Australia and throughout the world around the clock. We endeavour to provide our readers stories that will inform as well as interest them.
We believe we must agree to disagree abut the story: ‘Gillard takes a tumble as heels dig in believe’ The misstep was given wide coverage yesterday, including the electronic and print media. We believe the story is primarily positive and shows the Prime Minister , with good grace and personal charm recovering from the accident. You will note the story continues to say that the Prime Minister laughed off shoe fall and that the Prime Minister joked with reporters about the hazards of high heels at her news conference in New Delhi
My response (not sure if it is a read mailbox but it hasn’t bounced as yet)
Have it your way then guys. But if this sort of drivel continues to be served up, then I won’t be a customer. It is very clear that a number of your journalists have a major problem with Gillard. Fine. It’s a free country. But I see very little in the way of balance. Hartcher and Coorey have been very sensitive to her successes recently and their frequent “she’ll be gone by…” ultimatums are becoming risible. Grattan, I’m sorry to say, comes across as a very bitter woman with an intense dislike of Gillard. Again, her prerogative but a professional wouldn’t allow her personal feelings to become as obvious as she does. Sheehan, is a different case again. He is clearly consumed with hatred. Don’t you think he’d be happier at the Daily Telegraph? Speaking of which, I don’t see why the SMH is going down the track of competing with them in a race to the bottom. There is only room for one hate sheet in Sydney. Do yourselves a favour and let it be the other mob
Roy Orbison
A VG response to what was a pretty reasonable response from them. Clearly they read and understood your first message and took the time to reply. That in itself surprised me.
[There is something seriously wrong in Qld and with Campbell Newman]
Yes. We all know that. But cue DavidWH, our resident “thinking” Queensland Tory, who will say, in order:
1) Oh dear. How sad. Never mind. He is horrible. He must be stopped.
2) Sigh. Vote 1. Campbell Newman.
Set your watch by it!