Bernard Keane at Crikey reports Essential Research has the Coalition’s lead unchanged on last week at 55-45, from primary votes of 34% for Labor (unchanged), 47% for the Coalition (down one to a six-month low) and 9% for the Greens (down one). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up four on approval to 35% and down three on disapproval to 54%, while Tony Abbott records his worst net rating yet with approval down four to 32% and disapproval up four to 55%. Gillard now leads 40-37 as preferred prime minister after trailing 38-36 last time. There are also the following findings on the present government’s reforms:
The introduction of a carbon price is the only major Labor reform with net voter opposition, Essential found. Only 28% of voters thought the introduction of a carbon price was good for Australia, with 51% rating it bad — indeed, 35% of voters rated it “very bad”. Otherwise, support for Labor reforms seems to split into three: highly contested reforms that have majority support, such as the mining tax (supported 49-25%); the NBN (43-28%) and the abolition of WorkChoices (42-27%); mid-tier reforms with widespread approval — paid parental leave (52-20%); stimulus spending during the GFC (54-22% – the BER program is supported 53-20%); accepting the recommendations of the Houston panel on asylum seekers (45-15%) and paid parental leave 52-20%.
Then there are the reforms with very high support: lifting the age pension (70-11%); increasing super to 12% (68-9%); lifting the tax-free threshold to $18,200 (75-4%); the NDIS (58-5%); marine reserves (controversial in some areas but with 67-8% support); dental care (77-5%) and the Gonski education reforms (54-8%).
Also canvassed are Australia’s involvement in Afghanistan and the role of unions in the wake of the HSU scandals and the CFMEU/Grocon dispute in Melbourne – matters which were also covered in a Morgan phone poll of 410 voters conducted Wednesday, results of which can be seen here and here.
Possum sums up what is happening in the LNP
[Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 3m
How do spell unhinged]
@victoria/4150
I think you know the answer to that question 🙂
[Jessica van Vonderen @jessvanvonderen 23m
LNP statement re Clive Palmer: the party can’t continue to allow such a public conflict involving one of its members to continue @abcnews]
So much for the broad church.
Lynchpin now that would be a classic. It would be a treasure to watch – Swan and Palmer talking election and policy tactics.
Wow. I know many others have already posted on it, but this Sheridan diatribe is one of the more amazing episodes. Complete weirdo. Just entirely lost it. Just bizarre.
[@latikambourke: Whoa. Greg Sheridan goes nuts about the Abbott punch on NewsRadio this morning: http://t.co/6Ai7vybf (you really must listen to this)]
Media has been concentrating on this so they could ignore SHY comments about Abbot being shifty,
@sarahinthesen8: It’s a fact that AlQaeda was responsible for 9/11, as I said earlier I’m not interested in entertaining conspiracy theories saying otherwise
I just heard the Sheridan interview on ABC Radio from this morning.
What a wing nut!
One’s first instinct when hearing such over the top repetitive hyperbole is to think ” I think he doth protest waaaaay too much”, followed by “Hmmmm, where there is smoke there is usually fire’.
I think Greg, supposedly in defence of his best mate Tony, just poured a couple of litres of napalm of on the Abbott-is-a-thug-bonfire.
Yeah, I know, tons of metaphors but what the hell! 🙂
[How do spell unhinged]
AbbottCo.
Canetoad Newman getting set to declare ‘But wait.There’s more’
[Fears of a second wave of job losses
The job cuts will come from the “commercialised business units” within state government departments, Together union secretary Alex Scott said.
The first example was confirmed last night, with government business unit CITEC set to lose 80 jobs.]
Read more: http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/fears-of-a-second-wave-of-job-losses-20120913-25usm.html#ixzz26PPPxgyD.
this best explains unhinged
[Chris O’Regan @monkeytypist 4m
Ok, so today @theqldpremier told the 14,000 people he’s sacking that they’re not being sacked, and called the police on Catherine Deveny]
@abcnews: Queensland’s Liberal National Party has asked mining magnate Clive Palmer to consider quitting the party http://t.co/c0YAso4B
Is no newspaper website running a poll?
[Do you think Abbott punched the wall at University
Yes…
No…]
😀
To be honest the LNP either had to back their leader or Palmer given what Palmer said on Lateline two nights ago. It was a situation that couldn’t be allowed to continue. I just didn’t think they would go about it in such a dramatic fashion.
The LNP will pay for not giving Palmer his rail line. Mind you they would have been slammed if they had given in to him on that in any case.
The Tony Abbott punched-a-wall has now become as well-known as Mark Latham bashed-a-cabbie.
anyone hazard a guess what Palmer will say?
[The LNP says it will not make any further comment on the matter.
Mr Palmer says he will probably comment later today.]
A Good Lurk
and we were right – under normal circumstances, a fluff like Abbott wouldn’t have lasted five minutes.
His success is entirely due to a complicit media, whom for various reasons decided to overlook flaws which would have sunk any previous political leader without trace.
Which is, as I”ve already said, one of the problems the media now faces – how to distance themselves from Abbott and not lose face.
[victoria
Posted Friday, September 14, 2012 at 12:42 pm | Permalink
BB@4103
It might please you to know that on his blog today, Peter Brent (mumbles),reckons Labor cant win with JG]
I would like nothing more than for Julia to win in 2013 – she deserves it – but if in the end it has to be someone else, so be it. No one individual is more important than the party and I’m sure she would be the first to acknowledge that. Unlike most of the others she is not driven by ego.
Let’s just wait and see what happens. With the troubled waters Abbott is now sailing into she may yet win the “unwinnable” election.
@smh: News: ‘Kill’ tweet: Police called http://t.co/ePGNgqZ1
[Apparently Fran Kelly grew up in a DLP household, and used to hand out HTVs for them]
so did I, and many ex-catholic lefties I know. this doesn’t mean we have any sympathy for the DLP or abbott as a result (i also was made to attend right to life rallies).
Interestingly, my 89 y.o. dad and former DLP member (he left them when they fell apart in the 1970s and people realised how nutty and dictatorial santamaria and abbott-types were becoming) has ended up being left of labor on many issues now, by simply not changing the catholic-right labor values drilled into him through the depression. He is a shocker on social policies – multiculturalism, race, gays, refugees, etc,, but has good asian friends, donates large amounts to organisations that help refugees, and has a strong sense of social justice. His defense is he is over 35 years older than Abbott and has kept the good catholic/DLP social justice stuff, whereas abbott has jettisoned that stuff and kept the conservatism. Abbott has combined the worst elements of santamaria and howard (& I recall Howard rushed to the death bed of Santamaria hoping to win the DLP/catholic vote, only to be told to f**ck off – Santamaria detested him).
I’m not making my kids hand out Greens HTVs, but they have been dragged to the odd protest rally. (& I was sort of proud when my then four year old commented ‘Oh-ho, Dad’s not going to like today’s paper’ when the paper arrived with a big picture of then PM Howard on the cover). is that wrong?
gutaur @ 4161
Possibly the best line in that ABC article:
[Mr Palmer says he will probably comment later today.]
😀 Pass the popcorn
Victoria 4165 – snap
Who knows: but is gotta be worth looking forward to!
Newman thinks he is Putin or Syria’s Assad
sortius @sortius
Newman budget cuts thousands from emergency charity http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-09-14/newman-budget-cuts-thousands-from-emergency-charity/4261592 … Now Newman is just fucking mean. What an arsehole #auspol #qldpol
The Clive & Campbell Show is good value.
Surely people here don’t support they type of threats being made on that blog even if they were supposed to be in jest. The trouble is some crazy person will think they are serious and try to become a hero. We don’t need to go down that path here in Australia.
That woman is as crazy as a cut snake posting that type of tripe on a blog.
@davidwh/4175
I don’t, but newman is in a nice seat – getting paid via taxes, while he’s cutting everyone’s jobs.
davidwh
As opposed to Alan Jones?
Politics is becoming surreal.
victoria you have never heard me support anything Jones says. But two wrongs don’t make a right just because the target is someone you don’t like.
Personally I think Newman did the right thing referring that type of threat to police.
davidwh
Did the PM send the police To Alan Jones for stating on air that the PM should be put in a chaff bag and dumped in the sea?
davudwh
Unlike the Jones statement Deveney’s was a question.
@CliveFPalmer: In response to today’s statement from @LNPQLD, I will be considering my membership of the party over the weekend
@mpbowers: #Insiders ABC 1 & NEWS 24 9am Sunday-Barrie Cassidy interviews Health Minister Tanya Plibersek #auspol
Nicola Roxon is on Capital Hill tonight.
davidwh
[Personally I think Newman did the right thing referring that type of threat to police.]
Did you go to her blog and read the tweets ?
North Coast TAFE @nctafe
“#TAFE services do the majority of the heavy lifting on higher education opportunities in our region” says @oakeymp
Retweeted by Robert Oakeshott MP
Yes poroti but I think I will back out of this exchange.
Talk later.
I can’t keep up with all the ‘good news’ emanating from our Liberal state governments. It seems non-stop!
BTW, as much as I enjoy the writings of Peter “Mumble” Brent, if I recall right he predicated a McCain Presidency.
[Prof Clive Palmer @CliveFPalmer
In response to today’s statement from @LNPQLD, I will be considering my membership of the party over the weekend
]
Yikes!
@Simon_Cullen: Here’s a 2004 account of Mr Abbott’s student days: http://t.co/5ip66GwX
The Deveny tweet was a question, not a threat.
This is the “real” reason the CLP won in the NT. Labor copped a flogging over this when they introduced the limits.
[the CLP Government’s clear intention to drop the 130km/h speed limit on long stretches of highways]
http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2012/09/13/313549_lifestyle.html
davidwh
[Yes poroti but I think I will back out of this exchange.]
Don’t worry I’m not looking for an argument 🙂 Just wondered
Mumble’s take on Obama’s presidency chances way back when:
http://www.mumble.com.au/index_oldish41.html#obamatolose
His predications are imperfect just like everyone else’s, though he’s more often right than wrong.
Do read the article I linked to in 4189. It mentions the sexual assault charge.
zoidlord
Looks as if Newman is doing pass the parcel accounting – anything he doesn’t like he passes on for the Feds to pick up. Side effect – he hopes they won’t be able to balance their budget and will be blamed.
davidwh
[The LNP will pay for not giving Palmer his rail line]
If I understand correctly QR were OK with building the line but Clive spat it when he found out what they planned was a ‘loop’ line servicing other potential mining sites as well as his.
Scott Rhodie @ScottRhodie
My article from earlier on the year on ‘keyboard warriors’ who I don’t believe are trolls http://mumbrella.com.au/the-keyboard-warrior-of-twitter-74235 …
[chris murphy @chrismurphys 7m
Again?MsRamjan is not in politics.She told me the story.I published it on twtr.I’m not in politics. Media got it from here. #auspol]
Chris Murphy is trying to get hold of the transcripts from Abbott’s court cases.
I hope he does. It’s harder for Abbott to argue against evidence given under oath in court …
[Surely people here don’t support they type of threats being made on that blog even if they were supposed to be in jest. The trouble is some crazy person will think they are serious and try to become a hero. We don’t need to go down that path here in Australia.
That woman is as crazy as a cut snake posting that type of tripe on a blog.]
I don’t recall you making any such comment when the PM was (and still is) subject to suggestions of her receiving a noose as a present or calls for burn the witch or for her to the chucked in a bag and dumped in the sea. Despite your mild mannered posting style/language which you think might cast you as a thoughtful contributor you are actually a one-eyed barracker with zero balance.