Morgan’s latest face-to-face poll, conducted last weekend from a sample of 878, shows no change in the two-party support from poll conducted a week earlier in the two days before the Labor leadership spill: the Coalition leads 52-48 on respondent-allocated preferences and 50-50 with preferences distributed as per the result of the 2010 election. However, both major parties are up on the primary vote, Labor by 1.5 per cent to 39 per cent and the Coalition by 1 per cent to 43.5 per cent. The Greens are down one point to 10 per cent with “others” down 1.5 per cent to 7.5 per cent. One hesitates to read too much into Morgan face-to-face polls, but I’m tempted to read this as more evidence of opinion polling’s remarkable imperviousness to recent political turmoil (though judgement should be reserved until more post-spill polling evidence becomes available). Morgan also treats us to state-level breakdowns derived from the last month of regular weekend polling, thereby producing useable samples for the states individually. This convincingly shows Labor struggling in NSW and performing best in South Australia, but eyebrows may be raised at the result from Queensland: Labor trails only 51-49, quite a lot better for them than the 54.5-45.5 New South Wales result, and has a higher primary vote than in Victoria (39.5 per cent compared with 38 per cent).
[GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Preferred PM: Gillard 39 (+3) Abbott 37 (-1) #qanda #auspol
3m GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Primary Votes: ALP 31 (-4) L/NP 43 (-2) ]
prefs and 2pp are up the shitter imho
Barnaby and Alby might be in a tad of Please Explain about e-mails to the Gina kids.
How come I never see these tweets from the guest tweeter on lateline on my screen…
Shows,
Your Caps Lock is on.
greens must be 15% or 16% on primaries given the 74% combined figure for ALP/LNP
mod lib
forget the sock puppet bit
i need a piss boy
*its good to be the king*
HT to mel brooks
#Newspoll Preferred PM: Gillard 39 (+3) Abbott 37 (-1) #auspol – This #Newspoll is the beginning of the end of Tony Abbott, trust me
Julia up and Labor PV down doesn’t make a lot of sense.
The involvement of Barnaby Joyce and Alby Shultz in the Rhinehart ‘family’ events is way out there!
Tossers!
When did News poll?
Scringler 1501 the polls are 64-36 so BOF is obviously traveling pretty badly and must be inept. What would be a good validating poll for you maybe 80-20. Maybe Labor in it’s 16 years was pretty inept. Even Carr when appointed to FM could only talk about the Olympics which John Fahey won btw.
Name anything Labor did in s I x t e en y e a r s in NSW that made them EPT. Yeah a few national parks and a desal plant. Yep Labor sure was great in NSW all right!
Ouch that one eye must hurt every now on then.
Gillard up on PPM.
The Rudd era is in the rear-view mirror now.
Ducky
I concur. JG rating goes up and pv down. Weird
The Finnegans Agree. After one of the ALPs worst months MSM wise, for Abbott to go backward and the PMoA to improve, sounds the death knell for Mr Abbott.
The Finnegans Agree. After one of the ALPs worst months MSM wise, for Abbott to go backward and the PMoA to improve, sounds the death knell for Mr Abbott.
The Finnegans Agree. After one of the ALPs worst months MSM wise, for Abbott to go backward and the PMoA to improve, sounds the death knell for Mr Abbott.
The Finnegans Agree. After one of the ALPs worst months MSM wise, for Abbott to go backward and the PMoA to improve, sounds the death knell for Mr Abbott.
[If Turnbull were to regain the leadership of the coalition the carnage that would occur for him to get there would negate any poll advantage.]
ABBOTT IS HOLDING BACK THE COALITION VOTE. IF TURNBULL WAS LEADER THEY WOULD BE LEADING 60/40
If MT regained the Lib leadership, watch the Libs split with the Nats
Shows,
If you don’t turn off Caps I shall personally come round and rip your bloody arm off!
Rossmore, agreeing with me once is enough.
victoria,
They won’t. No coalition no government.
Is the Crikey server on steroids or what?
Turnbull is not Lib leader because he is unacceptable to the Drys. Any attempt at restoration will end in tears
lowest LNP primary vote since Feb 2011
[victoria
Posted Monday, March 12, 2012 at 10:46 pm | Permalink
If MT regained the Lib leadership, watch the Libs split with the Nats]
If MT regained the Lib leadership, they wouldn’t need the Nats IMO
shows
turn your drip down to low flow rate
cheers
[shellbell
Posted Monday, March 12, 2012 at 10:48 pm | Permalink
lowest LNP primary vote since Feb 2011]
Well March 18th, but I take your point
[Shows,
If you don’t turn off Caps I shall personally come round and rip your bloody arm off!]
I AM NOT WEARING A CAP OR A HAT OR A BERRET OR ANYTHING ELSE ON MY HEAD.
I AM WEARING A FAKE FUR STOLE THOUGH.
So what is the Greens primary??
[Julia up and Labor PV down doesn’t make a lot of sense.]
Ducky, at this stage of the political cycle, punters dont focus on policies. More on the qualities of the Leader.
Punters are warming up to PM: Getting things done is cutting thru’.
finns
rossmore sure liked your point
shellbell,
Tone’s bike has a reverse gear? Very unusual!
The Finnegans Not guilty as charged.
Ducky
MT regaining the leadership will create a split. The only thing holding them togethet now is Abbott wagging the nat tail
Shows,
There are not too many things Teh Management dislikes …
Now u know we are told about moe do t know what it means but isnt the figure 5 five
So well the it could wel be 36 if you use the 5 figure, depends who u call
Emma talks war. Back to Leveson.
[I AM WEARING A FAKE FUR STOLE THOUGH.]
who did u steal it from?
The great and refresing think about franks is NO NOO POLLS
I cant find a 74% combined ALP/LNP Newspoll primary in recent times looking at it quickly.
There was a 76% in 2010 when Rudd started to slip inexorably and that gave greens 16%.
I declare it a multilayered rogue
ALWAYS PREFERRED THE PORK PIE MYSELF.
Urinating on dead Afghans, burning of the Koran and now murdering innocent women & kids – with a friend like that who needs enemy?
Odd poll… Greens must have a good primary.
But at least the TPP headline suggests there is a trend back to the government IMO, and not because people expect Rudd to be PM. This is poll is nothing out of the ordinary for a government at this point in the cycle.
And Fatty Franklin at the Oz is of course spinning it as LABOR DROPS 4 PTS IN POST LEADERSHIP SPILL.
This is catching…
[But at least the TPP headline suggests there is a trend back to the government IMO, and not because people expect Rudd to be PM. This is poll is nothing out of the ordinary for a government at this point in the cycle.]
Sorry Tobe. Matty Franklin has spoken:
[Labor Loses leadership bounce
10:30PM Matthew Franklin LABOR has been unable to hold the bounce in voter support it achieved on the eve of last month’s leadership ballot. ]
Could GWV typed 31 instead of 37? That would be ALP + 2 LNP -2
[shellbell
Posted Monday, March 12, 2012 at 10:54 pm | Permalink
I cant find a 74% combined ALP/LNP Newspoll primary in recent times looking at it quickly.
There was a 76% in 2010 when Rudd started to slip inexorably and that gave greens 16%.
I declare it a multilayered rogue]
There was a 75% on Dec 2nd, but I can’t find a 74% combined as far back as Feb 2011 at least (thats as far back as the Oz website Newspoll trend goes…
ðe gods and little fishes! I’m outta here before I catch capital-ism.