Morgan face-to-face: 57.5-42.5 to Labor

News Radio reports the latest Morgan face-to-face poll, conducted last weekend, has Labor’s two-party lead leaping to 57.5-42.5. This series is traditionally favourable to Labor, but the lead recorded here is their highest since February. The Greens primary vote was 15.5 per cent, up 4.5 per cent, the highest ever recorded by Morgan (no other details available yet on the primary vote). Contrary to expectation, Morgan does not seem to have conducted a mid-week phone poll as it has been doing throughout the campaign so far.

UPDATE: Labor actually down a point on the primary vote from last week to 43 per cent, but the Coalition are down four to 37 per cent, making room for that Greens surge.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,198 comments on “Morgan face-to-face: 57.5-42.5 to Labor”

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  1. [ don’t care about the outcome. It will annoy me to pay off debt once again. I have already helped do that with one Federal ALP government. I still won’t lose any sleep. Unless I keep blogging on this, bye]

    remember the door and it hitting you on the…..

    Bye

  2. [It will annoy me to pay off debt once again. I have already helped do that with one Federal ALP government.]

    what a drama f-in queen

  3. Socially, industrially, economically you make us addicts to employment

    think he was meant to say, “addicts of UNemployment…”.

  6. I meant me previous post to be directed at Mick Wilkinson and his in your face attitude about the results of bookmakers prices predicting the result of this election.

  10. political beliefs as an umbrella to hide under to avoid seeing the world as it is.

    unfortunately, politics, or for that matter, our environment and genetic disposition, more or less determine the manner in which the external world is perceived.

  15. Pebbles

    [I know, it’s horrible isn’t it. Making us depend on things like wages to live. What’s this country come to?]

    More debt, is what it is coming to. Pebbles you mock my statement yet you don’t have the slightest clue what I am talking about.

    The middle class expands their debt to fill their disposable income.. it is the Law of the Middle Class. We work because we need to. We need to because we have greed. We can’t lose our jobs for fear of losing stuff. The ALP runs on fear of job loss, yet the Unions, perversely, stay alive to simply see that reality come to fruition in many cases.

    You really think Australia has its best car-making years ahead of it?

    Once you liberate the fear of losing money, you work to learn not to earn. Anyone in the room tonight could do it. If you couldn’t then you’d better not rely on your super. How do you think these funds make money for you? Magic?

    I make my family vulnerable when they rely on my mind or muscle to eat. So do you.
    My children, hopefully will be able to survive without me working, very soon. I can tell you know, as well, that there was no silver spoon in my mouth at any time of my life.

    So mock away, but my comments are valid and the ALP machine does thrive on your thinking. They need you to keep believing that there is only one way to live.

  16. [ make my family vulnerable when they rely on my mind or muscle to eat. So do you.
    My children, hopefully will be able to survive without me working, very soon. I can tell you know, as well, that there was no silver spoon in my mouth at any time of my life.]

    Mick

    what does this mean?

  17. TSOP
    [Making us depend on things like wages to live. What’s this country come to?]

    Money, thee want MONEY for wages, when I supply thee with yonder dry(ish) barn to sleep next to, and all the pig’s trotters ye can eat! I even give thee’s number-some offspring exemplary employment in my warm and cosy woollen mill; where else would four-year olds get a job? Thou is an ungratefule wench, when thee could be scrubbing the flagstones of some heathenish tavern instead of my beauteous age’d oaken ballroom floor. Ye best be grateful serf, choices like these be the marvel of the modern age.

    Now where are those damn carrier pigeons…

  18. Mick Wilkinson@1013

    Pebbles

    I know, it’s horrible isn’t it. Making us depend on things like wages to live. What’s this country come to?

    More debt, is what it is coming to. Pebbles you mock my statement yet you don’t have the slightest clue what I am talking about.

    The middle class expands their debt to fill their disposable income.. it is the Law of the Middle Class. We work because we need to. We need to because we have greed. We can’t lose our jobs for fear of losing stuff. The ALP runs on fear of job loss, yet the Unions, perversely, stay alive to simply see that reality come to fruition in many cases.

    You really think Australia has its best car-making years ahead of it?

    Once you liberate the fear of losing money, you work to learn not to earn. Anyone in the room tonight could do it. If you couldn’t then you’d better not rely on your super. How do you think these funds make money for you? Magic?

    I make my family vulnerable when they rely on my mind or muscle to eat. So do you.
    My children, hopefully will be able to survive without me working, very soon. I can tell you know, as well, that there was no silver spoon in my mouth at any time of my life.

    So mock away, but my comments are valid and the ALP machine does thrive on your thinking. They need you to keep believing that there is only one way to live.

    To quote the Great Pete Townsend 🙂

     http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eswQl-hcvU0 

  23. [Puff
    why offer the barn? are you some kind of follower of wilberforce?]
    Sprayed coffee all over keyboard. ROFL till I cry.

  24. Puff

    Yes, milord. I don’t know what got over me! I’ll get back to work, don’t lash me!

    No, please don’t play the “real action” jingle again! I’ll behave! I promise!!!!

  26. [TSOP

    I go for the naughty boy option, meself.]

    Gus, as I posted that comment, I just knew it’d be you who’d make that reference 😉

  38. cupid,

    That’s all right till you’re invited to “Sacrifice Saturday” by some obscure cult. Only to find out you’re the sacrifice.

  45. We work because we need to. We need to because we have greed.

    necessity vs desire. work can be associated with one or the other, not both. so which is it?

    We can’t lose our jobs for fear of losing stuff.

    we fear losing our jobs because without it, we fear not being able to pay off those things that we didn’t need.

    The ALP runs on fear of job loss, yet the Unions, perversely, stay alive to simply see that reality come to fruition in many cases.

    i’m not sure what you’re inferring in this sentence regarding reality and the unions. are you inferring that due to the existence of unions that people are more likely to lose their jobs?

  50. MickW

    DeBono is not the first person I would go to for a lecture on analysis of psychological style, something I actually know a bit about. I can tell you for a fact that his views are not taken seriously by mainstream psych researchers, and he has not made any noteworthy original contributions to the field. He is, frankly, a self promoting flyweight.

    Assuming that somebody sees the world in binary terms, is itself a form of binary thinking.

    Just because you (allegedly) support 30% of the left’s policy ideas, doesn’t mean you are not a partisan warrior for the right. In this modern era there is a lot of overlap.

    Lastly, as to your claim that you see things in grey, I merely point out your remarkably nuance-free rant on Labor that I quoted previously.

    Methinks you doth protest too much.

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