Newspoll: 58-42

The Australian reports no change in Labor’s Newspoll lead from last fortnight: 58-42. Kevin Rudd is steady on 67 per cent as preferred prime minister, while Malcolm Turnbull’s is up one to 19 per cent. More to follow. Otherwise:

• Essential Research has Labor’s lead down from 61-39 to 60-40. Bonus questions on financial stimulus payments and how they will be spent; who will benefit from the national broadband network (everybody, it seems); and some no-brainers on the banks.

• Antony Green offers a thorough overview of results from the Western Australian election courtesy of the WA Parliamentary Library, which has assembled a page compiling all manner of helpful electoral paraphernalia. Antony calculates the two-party result as 51.9-48.1 to the Liberals.

• Ben Raue at the Tally Room has posted the nominees for Greens Senate preselection in New South Wales, where state MP Lee Rhiannon is presumably the front-runner, and Victoria, where previous candidates Richard di Natale and David Risstrom stand out in a crowded field. A productive comments thread ensues.

• Also from Ben Raue, Christian Democratic Party MLC Gordon Moyes says he “may accept an invitation from Family First” after falling out with Fred Nile.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,556 comments on “Newspoll: 58-42”

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  1. [Rudd, Gillard and Swan are the three stooges of Australian politics.]

    Pity a record number of Australians disagree with you… *looks at Newspoll*

    Cry GP, cry. I know it hurts. Your tears sustain me.

  4. [She always fails, she is the most over-rated front bencher on either side of federal parliament.]

    You’re really wanting a spray from GP, aren’t you 😛

  15. [Rudd, Gillard and Swan are the three stooges of Australian politics.]

    Abbott and Costello are the Abbott and Costello of Australian politics, only they’re not funny.

  18. By the way, Mesmer walked straight into Marr’s trap. Too bad for her. She should bury herself after that embarrassment. Ugh.

  24. No 1323

    Julie: “David, why don’t you laugh at yourself more often?”

    David: “because I don’t have any time left after I finish laughing at you”

  25. http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/04/23/2551275.htm

    [The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says cash bonus payments are not necessarily a very useful way to stimulate the economy.

    The Federal Government has spent just under $21 billion on cash handouts as part of its two economic stimulus packages.

    But the IMF’s chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, has told ABC1’s 7:30 Report that speeding up infrastructure projects is a better way to stimulate economies during a recession.]

    Liberals already disregard advice of the IMF so they won’t be able to stand on this, otherwise they’ll appear even more contradictory than they already do (if that’s possible), but Australia isn’t doing just cash handouts. There’s that, tax cuts in 2008/09/10, and infrastructure spending in the mid to long term. So all in all, all bases have been covered with short, medium, and long term economic stimuli. How can anyone complain?

    Seems you can’t please everyone.

    I’ll be stimulating the economy with a holiday interstate! So stuff that up your clacker Turnbull!

  30. No 1326

    I know you guys all love your Keating references to Costello, but they’re meaningless.

    Cossie is the only credible person left to lead. Turnbull’s days are numbered in my view.

  31. No 1325

    bob, put your immaturity back in the closet lest you make us all fall into slumber.

    The IMF’s Olivier Blanchard said exactly what I’ve been saying.

  33. [Cossie is the only credible person left to lead]

    So sad, your only faith is in a guy who won’t challenge for the leadership, and wants to wait until the party is totally stuffed and comes to him on its knees.

    [I know you guys all love your Keating references to Costello, but they’re meaningless.]

    Thus far they’ve been precient.

  37. Costello has no credibility in the electorate. The sooner he’s elevated to leadership, the better, so we can all have a good laugh at those who said he’d be their saviour.

  39. GP, I agree with you that “Cossie is the only credible person left to lead”. But your problem is that your man aint got the ball to do it.

  40. What credibility? Lying on a banana lounge as rivers of revenue flowed in from the resources boom. Taxing gig, that one, if you’ll pardon the pun.

  41. I like remembering the time when Malcolm was “Game On”
    [In Turnbull, Rudd has met more than his match and he will need to kick his jet fuel addiction and keep his eye on matters at home. When traveller Rudd lands in New York tomorrow to give a 25 minute address to the UN General Assembly, he can be sure that back home the new Opposition Leader will be focusing voters minds of the global financial crisis. Ladies and gentlemen, we have a fight on our hands. Finally. ]

    http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/janetalbrechtsen/index.php/theaustralian/comments/game_on/

  44. [So sad, your only faith is in a guy who won’t challenge for the leadership, and wants to wait until the party is totally stuffed and comes to him on its knees. ]

    The sad thing is that the party needs to be on its knees. It needs to clear out dead wood and it needs a fresh approach. Costello may well wait longer and so be it. Or someone else more credible will put their hand up.

    A Costello/Hockey duo wouldn’t be too bad. Though, we probably need another election to get some new people in. Much of Labor’s current talent is class of ’98. They used the opportunity to renew, we must do the same.

  45. [The sad thing is that the party needs to be on its knees. It needs to clear out dead wood and it needs a fresh approach.]

    But yet hypocritical you is unwilling to drop the Howard-era policies. What, preytell, is this fresh approach you advocate?

  46. [ It needs to clear out dead wood and it needs a fresh approach.]

    Hang on – how is going with a leader who has been 2nd in charge for 11 years a “fresh approach”??

  47. Costello maybe the only person they would all follow the same script for. At least the party would lose the appearance of flailing around, simply based on the myth of Costello, as such as it survives.

    But I do not think he would be interested when there is so little likelihood of wining. And even if there were some chance of wining he still might not be interested, going on his form.

  48. Missed a lot of stuff, but this was directed at me so I’ll respond:

    [Oz you seem to be saying that Labor and Rudd don’t really care about CC and only made up an ETS to fool the voters and get elected. Then when the Greens vote it down they will convince the people it’s all Rudd’s fault that they haven’t got a ETS and that’ll be the end of him? One term Rudd! Yeah dream on]

    First part – I don’t think Labor and Rudd don’t care about climate change, though it would be relatively easy to argue that point given their targets. I was refuting the suggestion that seems to crop up sometimes that Labor put climate change on the national agenda and are leading the debate on it, contrary to what people want them to do. I also pointed out that I don’t think The Greens put it on the agenda either – it was one of those things that is up there because all sorts of people worked hard to make politicians realise it was a serious issue.

    Second part – I don’t think Rudd will be a one termer, nor do I dream of that, given the alternative is the Libs. I do think that if the government has some idea that it can get of scot free if it doesn’t introduce an ETS or introduces a rubbish one and that somehow everyone will stop caring they need to wake up.

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