Two new pollsters have just provided their first federal voting intention numbers since the election, one being Essential Research, which has Labor on 35%, the Coalition on 27% and the Greens on 11%, and goes further than any other pollster yet in having One Nation at 13% – together with an undecided component of 6%, so the numbers for each should be considered slightly higher in practice. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor leading the Coalition 51% to 44%, with the balance undecided. Leadership ratings have Anthony Albanese falling back to where he was pre-election, down five on approval over the past month to 44% and up three on disapproval to 46%, while Sussan Ley is down three on approval to 32% and up four on disapproval to 41%.
The poll also finds a four-point drop since last month in the view that the country is headed in the right direction to 34%, with wrong direction up three to 50%; 53% rating the immigration rate too high, 40% about right and 7% too low; 17% believing Australia should be more like the United States and 58% less; 39% rating the government’s 2035 emissions target too ambitious, 13% not ambitious enough and 48% about right; 34% supportive of Australia’s recognition of Palestine with 30% opposed (both unchanged on a month ago); and negative attitudes across the board to Donald Trump. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1001.
Amir Daftari of YouGov relates via X that the voting intention result from the pollster’s weekly omnibus survey had Labor on 34%, the Coalition on 27%, the Greens on 12% and One Nation on 12%, with Labor leading 56-44 on two-party preferred and Anthony Albanese leading Sussan Ley by 50% to 28% on preferred prime minister. Breakdowns by vote at the May election support the contention that the One Nation surge is coming largely at the expense of the Coalition. The poll was conducted Thursday to Tuesday from a sample of 1329.
Peaking in grade 10 is not something to aspire to.
pied piper says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:55 am
The Reactionary awakens on Sunday morning. Embittered, Piper considers his options. He recollects the night before, the dance, where globalists performed the samba, the salsa and the bachata. Pleasure lit the faces of the dancers, supple promise moved their bodies. They were alive and beautiful and they were here and making music. They played and played. Applause and laughter illuminated the hall.
In the Piper’s imagination the globalists usually take the form of piñatas. They hang from every branch, sprung on every limb, the fruits of the woke-tree. He gestures at them with polemics. His lips are pursed and his words are bare but he makes no dents. He breaks no skin. The dancers move so lightly. They are no dummies, no mute figures on strings for the punching.
Piper does not dance. It is forbidden to him. He is an ideological Methodist, a Reactionary puritan, hoping the sinners will stumble and fall, so he might kick them in the face. Bitter reflux for breakfast….Piper’s only comfort.
Piper’s brain is fly-blown. His skull is host to maggots. They squirm. They stink. They are chewing neurologically. The flies whirr around his head and crawl in through his ears and nostrils and the sockets of his eyes.
– Fried shark and maggots: Indonesia’s free meal program poisons thousands of children
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-05/indonesia-free-meal-program-poisons-thousands-of-kids/105836302
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Yeah that’s not ideal.
Hearty congratulations Andrew E. A fantastic achievement
Meanwhile whilst trump is tweeting up a storm. Although not seen in flesh since shutdown……
Dare we dream…….
Hastie playing the ‘divide and conquer’ approach to eventually seize the leadership.
It’s been the favoured approach by most Lib and Labor leadership aspirants across state and federal politics for the last 20yrs.
@Rex Douglas
Rex it’s also been favoured by you. You were calling for Jim Chalmers to replace Anthony Albanese before the last federal election. It’s kind of funny you are deriding the ‘divide and conquer’ strategy, but then have been previously posting leadershit on the other.
”
Socratessays:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 10:40 am
MI
“ I’d rather employ someone talented, dedicated, and hard working from overseas than settle for substandard people locally.”
There are parallel problems in engineering. A lot of locally born students have not done the units of physics and advanced maths at high school level to enter an engineering degree. A much higher proportion of the Asian born kids (especially from Korea and India) have. So we can train the latter group to be engineers. The others we can’t.
”
Socrates
This is what I don’t understand. Atleast in USYD & UNSW, Physics and Advance Maths are Prerequisites to enter Engineering course irrespective of Marks.
In India, you cannot try for engineering degree without Physics and Advance Maths. In India , year 11 an 12 students have to chose those subjects as their compulsory subjects if they want to do Engineering in future.
Excellent feat AE. Herculean (pillars) or thereabouts.
Marvellous, A-E. Congratulations….inspiring.
Hawaii 1893.. Gaza tomorrow
Overview
“Hawaii invasion” can refer to several distinct historical events: the 1893 overthrow of the Hawaiian Kingdom by American businessmen with U.S. military support, which led to annexation in 1898; the subsequent efforts by the Hawaiian sovereignty movement to “invade” the island of Kahoʻolawe to reclaim it from U.S. military use; and the fictional Japanese invasion of Hawaii in the alternate history novel Days of Infamy.
Any semblance between a peace loving democracy & the US is purely coincidental
PS there is 3500 km of water between the US & Hawaii
Can also add Greenland to the “ pending “ list
Political Nightwatchman says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 12:15 pm
Rexology….reactionary tactics 101….school of spite, gaslighting and disinformation
Hack says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 12:34 pm
Rexology….reactionary tactics 101….school of spite, gaslighting and disinformation
_________
To be fair, I don’t think Rex is spiteful. He is playing a role. A player even 😉
Victoria says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 12:15 pm
Meanwhile whilst trump is tweeting up a storm. Although not seen in flesh since shutdown……
Dare we dream…….
I have a theory…
During Covid when The Don contracted Covid he was given all the experimental treatments that were going around to get him up and at ’em again. It worked.
This time, after, probably, having had a stroke I reckon he and those whose job it is to keep him alive have lit upon this treatment for him:
https://scitechdaily.com/stroke-damage-reversed-as-stem-cells-regrow-the-brain/
Surely the government should start an automobile manufacturing industry to cater for those whose peak educational achievement was doing their nails or lighting their farts in the back of the class, either that or introduce tariffs.
Oakeshott Country:
Surely the government should start an automobile manufacturing industry to cater for those whose peak educational achievement was doing their nails or lighting their farts in the back of the class
I thought the above, plus being white, was the official policy of Advance.
The ‘divide and conquer’ approach to gaining the leadership in recent times was probably most successful for Abbott and Shorten, who both used the renewable energy debate to great personal effect.
The approach has largely failed otherwise in sustaining political and electoral success.
Hastie might well seize the party leadership, but unlikely to consolidate any long-term standing with voters.
Advance and One Nation both
It just gets more bizarre: Mark Latham’s ex-girlfriend (the one who enjoys scat) has been arrested at the airport on “revenge porn” charges.
Alex Antic will be a high ranking member of the ministry once a newly reconstructed Conservative Party of Liberal-NP-PHON is formed, modelled on Reform in the UK or RA in France. There is no fundamental reason why eventually such a party would not get 35-40% of the primary vote like they do in Britain. At the end of the day, most people in the electorate want SIMPLE solutions to the problems facing Australia. The Albanese government seem unwilling or unable to offer any solutions.
Oakeshott Countrysays:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 1:22 pm
It just gets more bizarre: Mark Latham’s ex-girlfriend (the one who enjoys scat) has been arrested at the airport on “revenge porn” charges.
________________________________
who knew how it would all unfold when he introduced his reading to children policy.
MI, care should be taken in blaming the teenagers.
I am currently training up a couple and, yeah, its hard work…. but fulfilling. I pay well over what retail peeps would pay them but it is still barely a factor in the profit margin so I dont mind. Yet there are so many companies out there that dont put in the effort – looking for every cent of profit they can find.
On top of that is the poor state of the schooling system (at least in my experience locally). So much reliance on screens for teaching. So much use of AI now. So little testing. Now, sure, most teenagers of any era dont have the best concentration/interest span – but omfg, ‘Slow down, take notes, review at home’ seems a neglected part of schooling yet so important in learning on the job.
And, I would also note that there are Uni degrees being closed down or under threat (bc they dont make enough money) while at the same time those jobs are listed for priority working visas! wtf?
And that is before you get into the whole – ‘what’s the point? I will get retrenched when AI takes over or my job will go OS or as soon as there is a downturn I will be on the dole faster than I can blink’. I know a kid who wanted to work as a cook in commercial kitchen then found out how shite the pay and conditions are (I know a few senior staff in these kitchens) for experienced staff, how overworked and poorly treated and under the pump every second of the day that mostly only immigrants or the desperate put up with it. Why put in the hard yards to establish yourself when the end result is crap?
Griff says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 12:40 pm
Hack says:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 12:34 pm
Rexology….reactionary tactics 101….school of spite, gaslighting and disinformation
_________
To be fair, I don’t think Rex is spiteful. He is playing a role. A player even
Oh, I think Rexology is a technique impelled by malice – by phobia – in the very first place.
Hacksays:
To be fair, I don’t think Rex is spiteful. He is playing a role. A player even
Oh, I think Rexology is a technique impelled by malice – by phobia – in the very first place.
______________________________________
Yeah but you used to go on about Nathematics too? Rex is not spiteful or malicious.
Now there’s a video I will be quite happy to never, ever watch.
Rex Douglas said kind things to me in support when Bushfire Bill was bullying me, again, recently. He’s okay with me. He didn’t have to do it, he could have smirked along with the rest of them, but he didn’t, he spoke out and defended me. And after all the things I’ve said about him in the past as well. That takes real character.
RFK jnr strikes again.
US cases of measles at a 25 year high.
TK, more reference to those in their 40s and 50s who peaked early and now vote PHON out of a sense of grievance.
The term Globalist is typically employed as an anti-semetic slur which plays off of racist nonsense about Jewish cabals that rule the world.
However, I am quite willing to also believe that Pied Piper is unaware of these connotions and is just mindlessly repeating buzzwords he reads in his far-right echo chambers.
…Annnnd how long before Mumps, Rubella, Whooping Cough and Polio make their return?
Do unto others as you would have them do unto you – said some mythical bloke. It’s good advice but.
Probably not Polio as the global effort to eradicate it is still going and wild polio is only found in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Surprisingly the Taliban are very supportive of the vaccination efforts atm. Vaccine derived Polio is still circulating in a lot of Africa, the Middle East and Asia however. The Sabin Oral vaccine is extremely effective after 3 doses.
Asha:
However, I am quite willing to also believe that Pied Piper is unaware of these connotions and is just mindlessly repeating buzzwords he reads in his far-right echo chambers.
This is also my interpretation: that pp is just parroting phrases and memes that she/he/they have heard or read elsewhere, like Sky After Dark or 8kun.
I very much doubt she/he/they actually knows what is meant by “globalist”. It sounds vaguely racist and nationalist, but I do not care enough to delve any further.
I actually think Tehan could make a solid opposition leader.
Yeah, he’s a pretty boring and uncharismatic dude who doesn’t always come across as being especially bright, but those traits arn’t always a hindrance to political success. He has a certain authentic “salt of the earth Aussie bloke” quality about him which, combined with his rural background and the fact that he isn’t strongly associated with either the moderate or hard right factions of the party (in terms of his public image, I mean) could prove an asset in the right circumstances.
Or he could be a total dud. Always hard to tell with these things.
My nickname for Tehan is the Butterknife because he looks like he could be dangerous but is not sharp.
_______________________
They must just give these Quals away.
He holds the degrees of Bachelor of Arts (Hons.) from the University of Melbourne, Master of Foreign Affairs and Trade from Monash University, and Master of International Relations from the University of Kent in England.
He has a certain authentic “salt of the earth Aussie bloke” quality about him which, combined with his rural background and the fact that he isn’t strongly associated with either the moderate or hard right factions of the party (in terms of his public image, I mean) could prove an asset in the right circumstances.
His mother was Marie Tehan. A prominent figure in the Catholic Right in the Liberal Party. Has the apple fallen far from that tree?
As I’ve said before, I don’t know who will be the person to lead the Coalition back into government or when that will happen but I can guarantee it will be someone that many posters here will say is unelectable and doesn’t have a chance.
Asha – Yes, he “looks” the part, but the brains are not there for him to be an effective leader.
Fun fact about Dan Tehan – he was at Xavier college at the same time as Bill Shorten.
Sad fact – His mother (former Kennett era Vic Health minister) and aunt both died of CJV and the fact that it can be genetic must weigh on him sometimes.
Nath
Wasn’t the child literacy policy a wonder to behold – every 5 year old gets 2 free Mem Fox books but then it was revealed that she was married to a convicted paedo.
I was a candidate during that campaign; having adult children I had never heard of Mem Fox but its safe to say that the voters saw it as another of his thought bubbles. On the other hand Medicare Gold was a well thought out policy that would have eventually revolutionised Australian healthcare but he chose to announce it 5 days before the election. A really odd month in my life.
”
B. S. Fairmansays:
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 2:19 pm
Probably not Polio as the global effort to eradicate it is still going and wild polio is only found in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Surprisingly the Taliban are very supportive of the vaccination efforts atm. Vaccine derived Polio is still circulating in a lot of Africa, the Middle East and Asia however. The Sabin Oral vaccine is extremely effective after 3 doses.
”
BSF
On another matter regarding Taliban. A Taliban regime Minister will visit India this week on official visit.
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/india-set-receive-first-afghan-taliban-minister-2025-10-03/
I don’t get the coalition’s insistence on being anti-renewables to this day. I get that it was worth doing for their donors when they could prevent/delay the transition, but by the time they’re back in power at the federal level the transition will be so advanced, what are they gonna do, destroy operational wind/solar to create demand for coal/nuclear?
Meanwhile looking at global politics, everything just looks really bad doesn’t it.
Grats AE, I missed your post last night!
Like the birth rate debate, migration is an issue being argued fairly disingenuously by both sides.
Great that so many have positive experiences with skilled migrants – unfortunately that is not the norm with my biggest bugbear, international students.
Jobs and Skills Australia released a really good report on the topic – it found:
– A significant proportion of international students stay (approaching 60%) – so it is not an “export” for many, just a pay-to-play residency pathway.
– Almost all VET courses taken, Australia doesn’t need (my opinion, see below) … and at least a third of top Permanent Residency visa occupations Australia does not need more of (Accountants and Cooks especially)
https://www.jobsandskills.gov.au/research/studies/international-students-pathways-and-outcomes-study
I say it is a disingenuous debate, because it is by no means “all” international students or migrants. But cutting out the useless degrees and under performers would substantially lift productivity and reduce pressure on housing.
Even the JSA published really sensible recommendations:
1) Develop a shared set of objectives for Australia’s international education sector, which should include its contribution to Australia’s total economic activity and its contribution to building Australia’s skilled workforce over the medium to long term.
2) Develop and publish sector- and provider-level performance data on for international education, for use by policy makers, regulators, potential students and employers, including measures of Australian graduate labour market outcomes.
3) • Monitor the impact of international student pathways and integrity measures implemented from 2024 onwards, with a focus on post-study economic outcomes.
Larissa Waters isn’t helping the Greens unfortunately.
Utterly tone deaf among other things to take the murder of Jews (not Israelis) in the UK and try to make it about Albo, and also to sound like she’s saying it is justified because Israel.
I must point out again that the Greens can’t police microaggressions against their favoured groups and then be like this about Jews again and again. You’re not being attacked for supporting Palestinians, Greens, but because you keep –
A) coming across as AOK with anti Jewish attacks; and
B) doing absolutely nothing to reach out to Jewish groups or look like they give the slightest shit about Jews being attacked or frightened;
the anti Semitic Greens labelling sticks and they have no grounds to complain about it. Waters just ensured it sticks even harder, just to use a tragedy in the UK to somehow blame Albo which would be tacky and stupid enough as it is.
Waters desperately needs some advice from outside the Greens echo chamber of how this stuff comes across.
I wonder if PP got his Cert. IV in cookery or if he only made it to Cert. III level.
Interesting to see PP has obviously failed to make an impact here for the reactionaries, so they’ve sent Landlubber with his slightly above room temperature intelligence.. only for LL’s statements to be the same inane nonsense as PP, but with better spelling & grammar.
“The Albanese government seem unwilling or unable to offer any solutions.”
Yep, doing nothing at all about anything, simple or complex, is why Labor just won the election in a landslide.
Bonza, because the people who bought the LNP dont sell renwables, they sell carbon.
Ley is being reminded from all directions she is seat warming.This morning on a major FM station a news on the hour popped up and ex nats fed leader Michael McCormack was on there saying Hastie will most likely be prime minister one day.
Err Susan just remember in about 18 months to get the seat upholstered for your successor.
Re Tehan….
Well, you dont need to be brilliant to obtain a humanities degree (it helps). Even a Masters. Time and diligence and a little tutoring will get you a credit average with a middling amount of intelligence.
Oh well if Big Mac said it on a major FM news station then you can take it to the bank, assuming he wasn’t ripped on kava and speaking in tongues at the time.
Diogenes @ #735 Saturday, October 4th, 2025 – 6:43 pm
Not sure if anyone responded to this Diogenes. I haven’t read the book but I did watch the first 2 episodes of The People vs Robodebt during the week.
You might get an idea of the sheer bastardry that senior public servants and politicians are capable of if you watch on On Demand.
My blood was boiling by the end of the first episode and I was looking around for a brick to throw at the screen the next time Rachelle “I’m all out of empathy” Miller appeared on the screen in what I presume was meant to be an effort to rehabilitate her reputation.
I really hope that the politician named in the sealed section gets named then let the legal cards fall where they may.