Two new pollsters have just provided their first federal voting intention numbers since the election, one being Essential Research, which has Labor on 35%, the Coalition on 27% and the Greens on 11%, and goes further than any other pollster yet in having One Nation at 13% – together with an undecided component of 6%, so the numbers for each should be considered slightly higher in practice. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor leading the Coalition 51% to 44%, with the balance undecided. Leadership ratings have Anthony Albanese falling back to where he was pre-election, down five on approval over the past month to 44% and up three on disapproval to 46%, while Sussan Ley is down three on approval to 32% and up four on disapproval to 41%.
The poll also finds a four-point drop since last month in the view that the country is headed in the right direction to 34%, with wrong direction up three to 50%; 53% rating the immigration rate too high, 40% about right and 7% too low; 17% believing Australia should be more like the United States and 58% less; 39% rating the government’s 2035 emissions target too ambitious, 13% not ambitious enough and 48% about right; 34% supportive of Australia’s recognition of Palestine with 30% opposed (both unchanged on a month ago); and negative attitudes across the board to Donald Trump. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1001.
Amir Daftari of YouGov relates via X that the voting intention result from the pollster’s weekly omnibus survey had Labor on 34%, the Coalition on 27%, the Greens on 12% and One Nation on 12%, with Labor leading 56-44 on two-party preferred and Anthony Albanese leading Sussan Ley by 50% to 28% on preferred prime minister. Breakdowns by vote at the May election support the contention that the One Nation surge is coming largely at the expense of the Coalition. The poll was conducted Thursday to Tuesday from a sample of 1329.
Don’t think that you have agency in this PP. You will appear here tomorrow for my entertainment. That is just a fact. Then I will reblock you.
They should award the Nobel Peace Prize to Greta Thunberg, just to see MAGA spontaneously combust.
Haywood County, Tenn. is one of only two black majority counties in Tennessee. The other one is Shelby County which contains Memphis. It was also the site of the last lynching in Tennessee.
The factory in question was a critical part of the “Blue Oval City” project which was a Ford lead project worth $5.6 billion, making it the largest industrial project in Tennessee history. The whole thing is in trouble.
In the long run, inevitably support will increase for a populist-right, conservative-national party, possibly formed from One Nation, Nationals and the right wing of the existing Liberal Party. Centre-right conventional liberal parties are on the decline throughout Europe on the back of resentment toward low-quality immigration (for lack of a better word). Note that even though the government is reining in net permanent intake, the swarms of temporary migrant workers and temporary graduates do not get counted toward that quota. Short of repatriating all of them, the demographics of our capital cities will not return to what they were forty years ago.
Andrew Hastie may well be the first prime minister of such a reconstituted, right-wing party. Who knows, we could see a realignment in the centre-left as well. Perhaps Labor could abandon its links to the unions and wokism altogether and fuse with the Teals and Liberal moderates, to form a true Liberal party to contest against the new conservative party in a two-major-party system.
Under-19 World Cup champion Harjas Singh has achieved the unthinkable, smacking a triple-century in a one-day match for Western Suburbs’ first-grade side on Saturday. Facing Sydney Cricket Club at Ashfield’s Pratten Park, Western Suburbs posted 5-483 courtesy of Singh’s 314 from 141 balls that featured 35 sixes — none of his teammates managed more than 37. Incredibly, the 20-year-old reached triple figures in the 35th over, needing 74 balls to pass the milestone. From his next 67 deliveries, he struck 214 runs.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-04/japan-ldp-leadership-election-results/105852408
Sanae Takaichi set to become first female Japanese PM. She is 64yo and has been an MP since the 1993.
A Queensland man has been charged after allegedly threatening to kill the prime minister. Norman Dean Lake was arrested at a property in Moreton Bay, north of Brisbane, after allegedly making a threat on Anthony Albanese’s life on social media.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-04/queensland-man-alleged-death-threat-anthony-albanese/105852220
Best of luck, A-E. Watch out for those Gib Orcas!
Landlubbersays:
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 4:25 pm
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Looks like you put your crystal ball settings on extreme right again. It can overheat if used to often on this setting.
Entropy:
One thing that will be interesting though is with Australia having compulsory preferential voting, it is especially hard to predict what would happen in this kind of scenario. I reckon even Nostradamus would have difficulty.
“Perhaps Labor could abandon its links to the unions”
Wishcasting away the thing that makes Labor strong.
https://jacobin.com/2025/08/australia-labor-albanese-industrial-union-organizing
“Australian Unions Are in Decline, and Labor Isn’t Helping
The Australian union movement campaigned and donated millions of dollars to reelect Labor Party prime minister Anthony Albanese. The results have been less than inspiring.
:::
For many Australian trade unionists — including both elected leaders and some rank-and-file members — it was a smart investment for the union movement to make a significant contribution to the reelection of the Albanese Labor government. This contribution included millions of dollars in monetary donations to the ALP as well as donations in kind. In addition to this, the union movement organized its own third-party campaigning, while many unions also directed staff to volunteer for Labor’s campaign.
These efforts helped to deliver not only a historic victory for Labor, but the first majority Labor government in which Labor’s left faction also enjoys a majority. In short, if the union movement’s investment in Labor is going to pay dividends, now is the time.
:::
Without a political-economic philosophy that gazes beyond the horizon of capitalism, unions —their leaders especially — have come to accept the basic legitimacy of a legal, economic, and political status quo that is profoundly hostile to organized labor. As long as this remains the case, the movement cannot return to viability.
:::
There is, however, meaningful cause for hope. A new generation of unionists is emerging. They have taken stock of a social and political system stacked against them and are not passively waiting for their existing leaders to just fix things for them. Instead, they are organizing together to reform the movement.”
Another Mark Latham embarrassment. Removed from Royal Randwick by Police.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/mark-latham-removed-from-royal-randwick-restaurant-by-police-20251004-p5n01q.html
Landlubbersays:
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 4:25 pm
Perhaps Labor could abandon its links to the unions and wokism altogether and fuse with the Teals and Liberal moderates, to form a true Liberal party to contest against the new conservative party in a two-major-party system.
___________________
Labor’s 2022 “Secure Jobs, Better Pay Act”…
https://www.fairwork.gov.au/about-us/workplace-laws/legislation-changes/secure-jobs-better-pay
…which most of the Teals opposed…
https://www.themonthly.com.au/politics-233
… coincided with the largest annual decline in income inequality in the 20 years of HILDA collected stats.
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/measuring-what-matters/measuring-what-matters-themes-and-indicators/prosperous/income-and-wealth-inequality
The Teals are the dictionary example of independents as “I’ll fuck everyone else over, so long as it doesn’t affect my electorate”.
Landlubber:
Short of repatriating all of them, the demographics of our capital cities will not return to what they were forty years ago.
Is this an observation? Or a complaint?
It’s an observation, and an objective statement. Please don’t accuse me of bigotry because I’m not racist.
Landlubber says:
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 5:14 pm
It’s an observation, and an objective statement. Please don’t accuse me of bigotry because I’m not racist.
……. ………. ……….
Absolutely no need to accuse you of bigotry. But we will all make observations about your observations.
2.1 million non residents with work rights are in Australia and a massive number are international students and labor will not boot them when their appeals fail.
And I wonder who let them in in order to drive down wages when they were in power for 10 years?
It starts with ‘The’ and ends with ‘Coalition’.
Also the number of people who have mixed ethnic heritage is growing every day in Australia. And something the bigots don’t realise is that is not a bad thing for “patriotism”. I once went to a “first rice feeding”* of a Nepalese-Italian child. That kid is going to grow up in Australia and probably going to feel a greater connection to where they grew up than either Italy or Nepal.
And ultimately “multiculturalism” will cease to be a thing as everything will have a lot of backgrounds.
* It was basically the equivalent of a “Christening” or “Naming day”.
Landlubber
Makes no sense for moderate Liberals and Teals to merge with Labor when it’s Andrew Hastie with more in common with Labor.
Oh dear, another contributor high on the Trump supply.
Perhaps Labor could abandon its links to the unions and wokism altogether and fuse with the Teals and Liberal moderates, to form a true Liberal party to contest against the new conservative party in a two-major-party system.
@Landlubber
It’s interesting these armchair experts are lecturing on what the Labor party should do after they won a landslide with 94 seats.
If Labor abandoned its links with the unions. They would go the way of the Democrats in America that are too closely aligned with big business interests. It’s why Trumpism has found an opening in America, with the working class feeling abandoned. This has been pointed out by Bernie Sanders.
Troy Bramston and similar ilk can take their anti-union, new Labor crap and shove it.
You look at the photos of Latham and it’s appears to be a case of the lights are on but there’s nobody home.
https://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/politics/mark-latham-allegedly-escorted-from-royal-randwick-racecourse-by-police/news-story/f28754617c26f9c9e476e1941f6566ce
What, Landlubber was serious. I thought he was trying to out-funny Omar.
(No Bludger can out-funny Omar)
Also the number of people who have mixed ethnic heritage is growing every day in Australia. And something the bigots don’t realise is that is not a bad thing for “patriotism”.
Exactly. And the way you can tell it is if you look at the ads on TV, if they’re not for Retirement Villages, where all the actors are still White, then if there’s a couple they’re mixed, White and Asian, or White and Indian, or simply Asian or Indian couples, with very few White only couples. And now, with our growing Middle Eastern and African cohorts that’s going to change even more. The Uptighty Whiteys are just going to have to get used to it.
Marky Latham was probably ranting about the ‘War On Single Use Plastics’ poster on the other side of the racetrack. 😉
Re Hillbilly @4:19 PM, quoting Daily Mail article
”Controversial former Labor leader Mark Latham has been escorted by police from a members-only restaurant at Royal Randwick Racecourse…”
Funny that they would reference a position he last held nearly 20 years ago.
Why not his current position, “Independent member of the NSW Legislative Council”? Or perhaps the most recent leadership position that he held, “Former Leader of One Nation NSW”.
Just wondering, how would they have referred to him had he, say, gone in and saved someone from a burning building?
I’m sure that there is method in their madness.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/former-queensland-mp-michael-trout-sentenced-over-misguided-vigilante-attack/ar-AA1NHIIW
QLD premier David Chrisafulli, yesterday described this as just a “misdemeanour” .
The last is probably the most relevant to his current ideological bent.
So yeah, why not lead with that.
Steve777says:
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 6:05 pm
Funny that they would reference a position he last held nearly 20 years ago.
________________________________
Because that was his most important position by far. As much as it grates the stooges. Bad luck.
If John Howard made the news, they would describe him as ‘Former Prime Minister’ not ‘retired Wollstonecraft fuddy duddy’.
laughtong,
Get well soon 🙂
Andrew_E,
We are watching your progress. Impressive!
BW
I looked very carefully at A_E’s path, to make sure he would not be in danger.
However, on the great website VesselFinder (I have bookmarked it), I did see an “Orca 1” suspiciously close. But presumably it is a pleasure vessel, but the Orcas are surprisingly smart 😀
@Kirsdarke, for what? Advocating for Antisemitic behaviour against Israel?
We just had an attack in Manchester, enough is enough, the violence against those who worship Judaism is ridiculous and out of control.
If you want to give someone a Nobel peace prize, give it to the person who manages to get Netanyahu and Abbas into signing an agreement like Clinton got Rabin and Arafrat in the 1990s which led to the Oslo accords.
Only Abbas refuses to meet Netanyahu not the other way around.
Has anyone read Mean Streak by Rick Morton on Robodebt?
I’m having a few issues fighting a government department and I’m wondering if it’s worth reading.
While Russia continues its terror campaign of missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian civilians, Ukraine is remaining very focused on its own air strategy against Russian oil refineries:
“Ukrainian drones hit one of Russia’s biggest, most modern oil refineries near St. Petersburg”
https://kyivindependent.com/drones-hit-major-oil-refinery-in-russias-leningrad-region/
@Pegasus –
“https://jacobin.com/2025/08/australia-labor-albanese-industrial-union-organizing
“Australian Unions Are in Decline, and Labor Isn’t Helping” ”
Can’t help but note that while posting an overall anti Labor article you couldn’t help but deliberately edit out the parts where the writer was positive about Labor, such as –
” on the positive side, it’s possible to point to reforms that have led to gains for the union movement. For example, the Labor government’s first-term IR reforms are now locked in. These include measures regulating insecure work, facilitating multi-employer bargaining and strengthening union delegates’ rights.”
Thus turning a reasonably fair argument from the left of Labor into looking like a hatchet job.
Try arguing fairly one time, Peg, instead of trying to be a propaganda merchant.
Hmm Matt Moran ex lib candidate who is now in charge of the master builders in WA and has got stuck right into premier Cooks lies about housing worker numbers.
West Aus main story now.
Btw Amazing every adult does not get a flu shot every year!
The southern Gaza city of Khan Younis has witnessed one of the fiercest internal confrontations since the war began, between a Hamas security force and gunmen from the al-Mujaida clan – one of the largest families in the south.
According to Hamas, its forces raided the neighbourhood to detain individuals accused of collaborating with Israel.
Local accounts, however, described an armed assault by about 50 men riding in five pickup trucks, armed with assault rifles and a rocket-propelled grenade (RPG) launcher, who stormed the al-Mujaida quarter and killed five members of the family.
Armed relatives quickly fought back, sparking hours-long clashes with heavy gunfire.
Reports circulating on social media – difficult to independently verify – claim that more than 11 Hamas members were killed, with some of their bodies dragged through the streets.
(BBC)
Latham is one of only 3 federal leaders of the opposition who has never held a ministerial position.
Quick trivia (without googling) who are the other two?
Russia launched its biggest attack of the war overnight into Friday against natural gas facilities in Ukraine run by the state-owned Naftogaz Group, officials have said.
Russia fired a total of 381 drones and 35 missiles in the attack, according to Ukraine’s air force, in what officials said was Moscow’s attempt to wreck the power grid ahead of winter and wear down the Ukrainian population in its all-out war, now well into its fourth year.
“This is deliberate terror against civilian facilities that provide gas extraction and processing for the normal life of people,” Serhii Koretskyi, chief executive of Naftogaz, said in a statement.
“It has no military purpose. This is yet another act of Russian malice aimed solely at … depriving Ukrainians of warmth in winter.”
Russia aimed 35 missiles, many of them ballistic, and 60 drones at Naftogaz’s gas extraction and processing facilities in the northeastern Kharkiv and central Poltava regions, some of which sustained critical damage, Koretskyi said.
Russia’s Ministry of Defence said “all designated targets were hit” after its forces launched a mass strike using drones and guided weapons against Ukraine.
As winter has approached each year since the 2022 full-scale invasion of its neighbour, Russian forces have blasted Ukraine’s power grid and other critical energy infrastructure.
Kyiv says it is an attempt to weaponise winter by denying civilians heat, light and running water.
Russia has recently escalated its strikes on the power grid, as well as on Ukraine’s rail network, which is essential for military transport.
“Russia is terrorising civilians and trying to disrupt the heating season,” Ukraine’s Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko said in a statement.
In Poltava, the attacks injured an eight-year-old child and two women, according to regional authorities.
One blast also shattered about half of the windows in the city’s historic St Nicholas Church, which is listed as an architectural monument of local significance.
Ukraine has used its domestically produced long-range drones to attack energy targets in Russia, with drone strikes on the Orsk oil refinery, located about 1,400 kilometres from the Ukrainian border, Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Centre for Countering Disinformation at the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine, said Friday.
A Ukrainian drone attack also briefly halted operations at the Azot chemical plant, one of Russia’s largest, in Berezniki, more than 1,500 kilometres east of Moscow, officials said.
(Africa News)
Hawke and Whitlam.
Wrong – prime minister is, after all, a minister
Russia’s recklessness needs to be curbed. Maybe Putin is not someone who the world can afford to be left in charge of a nuclear armed state.
“‘A risky situation’ — The critical state of Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, explained”
https://kyivindependent.com/its-a-risky-situation-experts-explain-the-critical-situation-at-the-zaporizhzhia-power-plant/
The recap:
1. Russia illegally and unjustifiably invades Ukraine, capturing Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia NPP.
2. Russia disconnects Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia NPP from the electricity grid, recklessly compromising control over the plant’s safety systems.
3. Russia concocts a false tale about Ukraine attacking its own NPP, despite evidence that there were no such attacks in that area over that time.
4. Russia threatens to attack further Ukrainian NPP’s, while not handing back the Ukrainian NPP it stole.
OK OC, so they were never PM.
Not only were they never pm, they were never a minister
Oakeshott Country, Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 6:56 pm:
———————-
John Hewson is one for sure.
Arthur Calwell?
Arthur Caldwell? Is he related to Robert Mendies?
I’m thinking Doc Evett but he could have been in Chifley’s cabinet.
“Arthur Caldwell”
He held multiple ministries during WW2.
“Doc Evett”
Foreign Affairs.