A little under five months after the federal election, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate has made its return, presently aggregating 14 poll results on voting intention and eight for leadership ratings. Going back as far as mid-June, it records a stable picture on two-party preferred, with Labor holding a consistent lead of around 57.5-42.5, but is distinctive on the primary vote in picking up a surge to One Nation, who are at level pegging with the Greens, at the expense of the Coalition. The series now makes use of the data from Roy Morgan, which was excluded in the previous term for reasons including its excessive frequency relative to other pollsters. This hasn’t been an issue post-election, having moved to roughly monthly reporting (a fresh result should be along later today), and it’s also relevant that it performed rather well at the election by leaning more strongly to Labor than its rivals.
BludgerTrack does not currently have enough data to work with to produce state breakdowns, but it gets one step closer today with The Australian publishing the first Newspoll geographic and demographic breakdown since the election, combining 3811 responses from three polls going back to mid-July. The full results on voting intention can be found under the “Poll Data” tab in the BludgerTrack display. At state level, it records two-party results of 60-40 to Labor in New South Wales (a swing to Labor of around 4.5% since the election), 58-42 in Victoria (around 1.5%), 51-49 in Queensland (ditto), 54-46 in Western Australia (a swing of around 2% to the Coalition) and 55-45 in South Australia (around 4% to the Coalition, bearing in mind that by this point the sample size is down to 283). There is no gender gap on two-party preferred, with Labor leading 57-43 among men and women, but Anthony Albanese has a narrower advantage over Sussan Ley on preferred prime minister among women (49-31) than men (54-31).
One further point to be noted is that New South Wales has a new Senator in Sean Bell, who fills the One Nation vacancy arising from the retirement of Warwick Stacey, who was elected in May, on grounds of ill health. A former adviser to Pauline Hanson, Bell was announced by the party as Stacey’s designated successor one day before a joint standing of state parliament convened to rubber-stamp its choice last week. Bell in fact lives in Queensland, but a party spokesperson told Max Maddison of the Sydney Morning Herald he was “in the process” of moving to the state he now represents.
“2.1 million non residents in Australia with work rights they are not Australian!”
Who said they were? A few hundred people per suburb is terrifying Hastie’s white boomer mates?
Hastie is a ‘conservative darling’.
golly
gosh
So, how many hundred thousand hectares of class 1 agricultural land will it take to grow biofuel for P1’s beloved wealthy tourism air travelers?
Congratulations to Boele, Kapterian and the AEC for the way they’ve conducted themselves during the Bradfield process.
South Australian Research and Development Institute (SARDI) executive director Professor Mike Steer said the bloom remained about 65 kilometres south of Port Lowly, where cuttlefish eggs were beginning to hatch.
The federal and state governments had invested almost $700,000 to install a 200 by 100-metre bubble curtain on Cuttlefish Coast in a bid to protect up to 80,000 cuttlefish eggs and hatchlings, but Professor Steer said there was still no need to turn it on at this stage.
He said the cuttlefish eggs hatching was a “good sign” and were proceeding “as normal as nature would have expected with this particular time of the year”.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09-25/algal-bloom-persists-on-adelaide-metropolitan-beaches/105815614
From The Guardian:
‘University of Wollongong found to have underpaid staff $6.6m
Caitlin Cassidy
Caitlin Cassidy
The University of Wollongong has become the eighth university to sign an enforceable undertaking with the Fair Work Ombudsman (FWO) after underpaying thousands of staff more than $6m.
…’
===================
Uni admins need a clean out.
Another reminder of Morrison’s chronic fuck ups. This one could get ugly:
https://citynews.com.au/2025/west-versus-rest-as-fresh-stoush-brews-over-gst-spoils/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_source_platform=mailpoet&utm_campaign=canberra-daily-today-s-news-today_7801
– Energy
Analysis
Electricity generation costs would be up to 50% higher if Australia stuck with coal and gas only
Patrick Commins
Economics editor
Griffith University experts reveal the 30% increase in consumer power bills since 2021 would have been worse under fossil fuel-only scenario
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/sep/25/electricity-generation-costs-would-be-up-to-50-higher-in-australia-without-renewables-analysis-shows
_______________
The fossil fuel cartel is taking the p155
Lordy. Trump is growing incredibly impatient.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/25/ukraine-war-briefing-trump-growing-incredibly-impatient-with-russia-over-war-warns-vance
C@tmomma: “the Old White Men who vote for parties like PHON and the UAP are seen to have gotten themselves Asian wives or wives that have been immigrants and are producing children”
—–
Too true, the biggest MAGAwit I’ve ever met has separated from his second Thai wife.
GoW
What ethnicities count as non-Australian for the purposes of making fellow Australians feel “like strangers” in their own home? Greeks? Italians? Irish? Chinese? Croat? Serb? Indian? Kiwi? Scottish?
You left out the English (I can’t stand their whinging)
In 2025, Ukraine has budgeted to spend 2.2 trillion hryvnias – about 30 billion USD – on its military. That is about 26.3% of its GDP.
https://www.rnbo.gov.ua/en/Diialnist/7065.html#:~:text=President%20of%20Ukraine%20Volodymyr%20Zelenskyy%20signed%20the%20Law%20of%20Ukraine,the%20security%20and%20defense%20forces.
In 2025, Russia has budgeted to spend 15.5 trillion roubles – about 185 billion USD – on its military. That is about 7.2% of its GDP.
https://www.sipri.org/publications/2025/sipri-insights-peace-and-security/preparing-fourth-year-war-military-spending-russias-budget-2025
If the rest of the world is to seriously strive to help Ukraine bridge that 155 billion USD gap this year, they need to either deliver that much military aid to Ukraine, or directly degrade enough Russian military power to match however much less than 155 billion USD they do deliver to Ukraine. For context, the EU gave Ukraine about 14 billion USD in military aid in the first half of 2025.
https://www.kielinstitut.de/publications/news/ukraine-support-tracker-europe-now-leading-spender-on-weapons-production-for-ukraine/
Remember, the United States has completely stopped all military aid to Ukraine since December 2024. This mean Ukraine has much, much less military purchasing power at its disposal – about 140 billion USD for the rest of 2025, less whatever the EU gives it – to defend itself against Russia’s unwarranted invasion, than Russia has at its disposal to perpetrate that criminal invasion.
In many ways, it is a miracle Ukraine has been able to hang on to so much of its territory (about 81%) for as long as it has. But Ukraine needs the world to understand just how much of a disadvantage it continues to suffer under in its heroic efforts to repel Russia’s genocidal invasion and occupation.
Griffith University experts reveal the 30% increase in consumer power bills since 2021 would have been worse under fossil fuel-only scenario.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/sep/25/electricity-generation-costs-would-be-up-to-50-higher-in-australia-without-renewables-analysis-shows
_______________________________________________________
Better late than never, I guess. This story has been sitting there for months, waiting for a quarter-assed journo to pick it up. I posted this almost 2 months ago:
https://www.energycouncil.com.au/analysis/the-energy-transition-and-power-bills-why-aren-t-they-cheaper/
Bibi is to address the UN – the reaction will be interesting – will there be a walkout?
This was last year’s effort
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qn84UKkkNVw
Ted O’Brien defends Andrew Hastie claiming his attack on Liberal colleagues, labelling them “cowards” & “muppets” is simply “robust debate.” Insists it’s “how you get to good policy”
“If you haven’t verbally abused your work colleagues, you’re not doing a good job” says Ted.
I present the deputy leader of the Liberal party, definitely a mental giant of our parliament.
Ted O’Brien, say hello to the HR Manager.
“In the Southern Highlands, the bush tells a story of both loss and possibility. Morton National Park, once home to thriving koala populations, now stands silent of their calls. Hunting, habitat destruction, disease, and climate extremes have left the park locally bereft of koalas. But the Southern Highlands Wildlife Sanctuary (SHWS) believes this story doesn’t have to end here.
For SHWS, Save the Koala Day isn’t just about awareness. It’s about action, science, and building the foundations for one of the region’s most ambitious conservation goals: bringing koalas back to Morton National Park.”
https://southernhighlandswildlifesanctuary.org.au/vision_to_reintroduce_koalas_to_morton_national_park/
Does anyone on here know why Kos Samaras disabled replies to his tweets on X/Twitter?
Because he wants to silence people on the right clearly, He cannot take criticism of pushbacks so only wants to allow the people he follows to respond to him. Shameful.
People are allowed to disagree and comment, It’s democracy.
Windhover says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 4:02 pm
…
I have two daughters-in-law, one is part Māori, one is part Japanese. Unsurprisingly, they bring some of their cultural heritage wherever they go. For me, their “difference” is something to be celebrated…
..
And that about sums it up. In my case on one side, relies that settled Tasmania. Been here long enough to lose a fortune in the 1890 depression. On the other, stateless from Europe. This generation a daughter in law from Europe. The little chaps are going to be bilingual ( that is one metric subject covered) duel citizens (they can work in Europe). Absolutely good stuff.
The Liberals can take their hate and stick it up their ass.
“ Uni admins need a clean out.”
Yes they do. I have never seen reported a single case of the CEO being underpayed.
Daniel T
Apparently comments critical of Elon Musk are blocked on X. This must really piss you off! Democracy and all that.
Kirsdarke (this may interest you)
Democratic Senate candidates across the country reject Chuck Schumer (that’s a good thing)
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/9/24/2345260/-Democratic-Senate-candidates-across-the-country-reject-Chuck-Schumer-that-s-a-good-thing?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web
Socratessays:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 5:38 pm
“ Uni admins need a clean out.”
Yes they do. I have never seen reported a single case of the CEO being underpayed.
_______________________
No one ever gets overpaid do they? All these mistakes amongst employers and they are always underpayment mistakes.
Daniel T says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 5:31 pm
Does anyone on here know why Kos Samaras disabled replies to his tweets on X/Twitter?
Because he wants to silence people on the right clearly, He cannot take criticism of pushbacks so only wants to allow the people he follows to respond to him. Shameful.
People are allowed to disagree and comment, It’s democracy.
Have you been to America lately? That’s supposed to be a democracy too.
“Does anyone on here know why Kos Samaras disabled replies to his tweets on X/Twitter?”
Probably doesn’t want people replying to his tweets who he doesn’t follow or directly mention in his tweets. Might be sick of seeing bot/cooker replies.
“People are allowed to disagree and comment, It’s democracy.”
You can still quote tweet his tweets, you just can’t directly reply to him.
If you shove a letter in my mailbox and I chuck it in the bin, have you been silenced?
No one ever gets overpaid do they? All these mistakes amongst employers and they are always underpayment mistakes.
Sometimes people do get overpaid, but the employee usually knows about it by first thing Monday morning. It certainly never ends up before a tribunal.
I knew you could do it.
Coalition MPs say Australia’s emissions are a fraction of the world’s total. What kind of argument is that?
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/sep/24/coalition-mps-say-australias-emissions-are-a-fraction-of-the-worlds-total-what-kind-of-argument-is-that
“The conclusion they want Australians to reach is clear – if our country’s emissions are so small, why bother?
:::
Hastie has pointed to China’s outsized emissions, alongside the United States and India, contrasting it with Australia’s “1.1%” of global emissions.
“It’s been called the drop in the bucket argument,” says Prof Brendan Mackey, the director of the Griffith Climate Action Beacon at Griffith University.
“But the argument is deeply flawed for a number of reasons.”
:::
But what if you extend this “drop in the bucket” argument to all the countries whose global contribution to greenhouse gas emissions are smaller than Australia’s?
:::
“Every increment of global warming brings more loss and damage from climate impacts, so all emissions do count.
“It is scientifically wrong to say that half a billion tonnes (roughly Australia’s annual emissions) of CO2 don’t matter. They materially do.”
Plus, while Australia’s gross emissions are relatively small, the country’s per capita emissions are among the highest on the planet and almost double China’s.
:::
“Regardless of the views about Australia’s individual contribution
we are party to the international Paris agreement with a commitment to meet the 1.5C target, which the ICJ has now affirmed as a legal standard.””
‘Pegasus says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 5:56 pm
Coalition MPs say Australia’s emissions are a fraction of the world’s total….’
===================
True.
Greg Jericho: Australia, along with other OECD countries, is mired in mediocrity – and the RBA seems intent on keeping us there
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2025/sep/25/australia-along-with-other-oecd-countries-is-mired-in-mediocrity-and-the-rba-seems-intent-on-keeping-us-there
“If the RBA is to do nothing next week, it will not be a case of prudence or a need for more data, rather it will be just another example of one of our institutions aiming low – settling for the middle, rather than seeking better things.”
Pegasus says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 6:02 pm
Greg Jericho: Australia, along with other OECD countries, is mired in mediocrity…’
======================
I do hope Jericho excepted the Greens from this droll appreciation.
How the elite rigged the society – by David Brooks (Conservative Jewish columnist at NYT and commentator on PBS). I still remember he was ardent supporter of Iraq war 2.
https://youtu.be/QSa52TR9tCA?si=eMOT21fDghwgJVtf
Interesting speech by him
Australia’s per capita carbon emissions are significantly higher than China’s, with Australia having one of the highest per capita emission rates in the world, around 24.79 tonnes in 2020, compared to China’s 8.40 tonnes in the same year.
Australia is among the world’s top three exporters of LNG and second-largest exporter of coal. When burned overseas, these exports result in 1.1 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions a year – almost three times Australia’s domestic emissions.
Emissions embedded in Australia’s exports do not count towards our national emissions targets. But they contribute to climate change – and they’re the reason for Australia’s international reputation as a fossil-fuel economy.
Mostly Interested says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 3:23 pm
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/24/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-corey-robin.html
Very interesting & thanks for posting up the link.
We’ve all got Andrew “I’m a team player.” Hastie wrong. He shot off his mouth, blew both feet off with the projectile spittle and suddenly he’s seen the light. Good for you ‘drew.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/sep/25/andrew-hastie-says-he-supports-sussan-ley-amid-leadership-tilt-speculation
Under payment is a complex beast.
The complexity of the awards often trips systems up. I just found someone who was under paid $30+k. When I looked into the agreement I had go back to 2009 and a hand written hand shake between my organisation and a state government department. The state government had to send their award updates to my organisation, which of course they stopped at some point several years ago. Then there was a market loading that we paid them via invoices so they could pay him. Which their accounts department forgot to ask for.
No wonder it fell apart.
Hastie can’t even be original, and there is little doubt that he’s unaware of what Powell advocated:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15131791/andrew-hastie-stranger-spender-migration.html
* https://anth1001.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/enoch-powell_speech.pdf
Jacinta N Price has had Littleproud as her leader, then supported Taylor as her leader, then supported Ley as her leader, until she didn’t, and now supports Hastie as her leader. All in the last 4 months.
Price could get a stint as leadership tester. Fastest turnover record?
Bloody hell, I thought Ley’s rivals would have the discipline to wait a little bit longer before completely undermining their leader in public.
Asha @ #1339 Thursday, September 25th, 2025 – 6:42 pm
Nah. Sky After Dark is commanding the Liberal base to bow down to God-Emperor Presidentrump and since Ley isn’t doing so as thoroughly as they demand, she has to go, right now.
Trump’s new “walk of fame” with each president given a b&w photo except Joe Biden gets a picture of an autopen. Trump v.2 is on the left of the photo.
C@T / MABWM:
When I was doing prepolls in the 2020 QLD, the One Nation candidate (actually a surprisingly pleasant fellow in person) would often have his Phillipino wife there helping him hand out.
I think my old man may’ve been slightly racist, as he called his long-beak Corella, Enoch. And I recall in my teens that he referred to Oswald Mosley in reasonably good terms.
MI
“ I just found someone who was under paid $30+k.”
Me?
I may have in the past given Hastie too much credit. I thought he had more brain cells then he is currently showing.
Yes, Stirring up trouble for Ley via migration might be a short term strategy but in the long term the Liberal can’t remain solely a Nativist party and attacking migrants is likely to damage his own image too.
At some stage, he is going to want people of Chinese and Indian heritage to be voting for the party when he is leading it. That is not going to happen if he goes around saying that he can’t recognise his own neighbourhood.
I didn’t think that he wanted the leadership before the next election as there is no chance of winning that election, but he seems to be making a move already.
Robert Reich, Secretary of Labour in the Clinton Administration, thinks that America might be turning a corner (in a good way):
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14ShuKhgjs1/
I think I would put it this way…Andrew Hastie is handsome, in a Chesty Bond sort of way, but he has all the charisma of a box of Corn Flakes.
”Trump’s new “walk of fame” with each president given a b&w photo except Joe Biden gets a picture of an autopen. Trump v.2 is on the left of the photo.”
What a little man Donald Trump is.
Steve777 says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 7:06 pm
Robert Reich, Secretary of Labour in the Clinton Administration, thinks that America might be turning a corner (in a good way):
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14ShuKhgjs1/
Someone in America commented today that Jimmy Kimmel never wanted to be a martyr but he has become one for free speech to be supported.
Asha says:
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 6:48 pm
C@T / MABWM:
When I was doing prepolls in the 2020 QLD, the One Nation candidate (actually a surprisingly pleasant fellow in person) would often have his Phillipino wife there helping him hand out.
Bingo. And I bet he never got the reality distortion field he surrounded himself with in order to be a PHON candidate.