Three new polls, none of them terribly encouraging for a government no more than four months away from an election:
• Nine Newspapers bring us the first Resolve Strategic poll of the year, which more or less repeats its grim result for Labor from December – with the apparent addition of a two-party preferred measure, based on respondent-allocated preferences, which the pollster has traditionally eschewed such a thing. This has the Coalition leading 52-48, where a determination based on 2022 election preference flows would more likely be at 51-49. The primary votes are Labor 27% (steady), Coalition 38% (steady), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 7% (steady). Peter Dutton is credited with a 39-34 lead as preferred prime minister, which I believe he is the first time he has led by more than one point on this measure from any pollster, compared with 35-35 last time. Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings have improved, up two on approval to 33% and down two on disapproval to 55%, but Peter Dutton’s have improved more, up four to 44% and down four to 38%. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Tuesday from a sample of 1616.
• The first Essential Research poll for the year has the Coalition up two on the primary vote to 37%, Labor steady on 30%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation up one to 7%, with a steady 5% undecided. The 2PP+ measure, which uses respondent-allocated preferences and does not distribute the undecided, is unchanged at 48% for the Coalition and 47% for Labor. The monthly leadership ratings find Anthony Albanese perking up with a six-point gain on approval to 45% and a five-point drop on disapproval, also to 45%, while Peter Dutton is down two on approval to 42% and up two on disapproval to 43%. The “national mood” is better than it’s been since May 2023, with a seven-point increase since last month in the feeling that the country is headed in the right direction, with “wrong track” down five to 46%. The poll also finds 42% feel the standard of living of Indigenous people has improved over the past decade, with 34% saying it has remained the same and 15% that it has got worse. Forty per cent oppose a separate day for Indigenous recognition, with 30% favouring one separate from Australia Day and 19% favouring one in place of Australia Day. Forty-two per cent expressed support for TikTok to be banned unless sold to a non-Chinese company, down three on last March, with 27% opposed, up two. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1132.
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the Coalition leading 52-48 on both the respondent-allocated and previous-election preference flow measures, the former out from 51.5-48.5 last week, the latter from 50.5-49.5. The primary votes are Labor 28.5% (down one-and-a-half), Coalition 42% (up one-and-a-half), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 4% (down half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1564.
Incorporate Australia Day into New Years Day and make 26/1 First Nations Day. Both continue as public holidays. It’s not hard.
You have to admit entropy ur the sort of personality who attracts chastisement from multiple quarters.
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:43 pm
You have to admit entropy ur the sort of personality who attracts chastisement from multiple quarters.
==================================================
Yes Madame Lars, i’ve been a really bad boy.
Have you ever been glassed Entropy ?
Mundo is retired from teaching now.
But the accommodation business is going well.
Lars Von Trier @ #1451 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 12:43 pm
You are the least entitled to judge. Or maybe the most qualified? I guess it depends how you look at it. 😐
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:52 pm
Have you ever been glassed Entropy ?
===============================================
Sounds a bit to kinky for me. Though what two consenting adults get up to. Is really none of my business.
So i have no problems, if you wish to tell us about your fetishes. It want shock me, is what i’m trying to say.
To be more clear. I haven’t, as i’m not into Sadomasochism. Though as i said, i’m not going to condemn two consenting adults doing it.
nadia88 @ #1339 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 7:02 am
In the southern hemisphere, climate change pushes climatic zones south by about 5km a year.
This means that the crocs are also going to be moving south at about 5km per year.
But the really awful news is that this means Bob Katter is also likely to move south at about 5km per year.
Be afraid. Be very afraid.
[‘As Roth wrote in a 2004 essay for the New York Times, “To alter the historical reality by making Lindbergh America’s 33rd president while keeping everything else as close to factual truth as I could—that was the job as I saw it.”
The main conceit of The Plot Against America is a fictional Lindbergh presidency. Set between June 1940 and October 1942, the novel opens with the aviator’s unexpected bid as the Republican Party’s nominee and proceeds to envision how the war would have unfolded if the United States had not only stayed out of the fight, but colluded with the Axis powers and instituted Nazi-inspired restrictions on Jewish Americans’ freedom.’]
With the advent of Trump, Philip Roth was prescient. Although Lindberg never ran for president, had he done so & won, his anti-Semitic views would’ve held sway. He accused the Jews of being “war agitators” and cautioned against “the infiltration of inferior blood” and “dilution by inferior foreign races.” And he was, like Trump, an isolationist and would not have committed US troops to defeating Hitler. Lindberg was also a prominent member of the “America First” movement, attending rallies and making many speeches & at a New York rally in May ’41, he was photographed making the NAZI salute, just like Musk did recently. I think Trump has borrowed Lindberg’s ideas, and the problem is that the former has almost plenary powers.
On another point, with the rise of antisemitic acts in this country, Dutton’s been resolute in condemning them. In political terms, what’s in it for him? There are certainly not many votes in it & historically, Jews haven’t exactly been met with open arms by the Tory & Country Parties. Could it be that Dutton’s motivation is to turn the electorate against Muslims? And could the perpetrators of the arson and vandalism of Jewish-owned property be similarly motivated? The answers won’t be known until those involved are brought to book.
Player Onesays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:09 pm
nadia88 @ #1339 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 7:02 am
Good Morning Dawn Patrollers,
Sunday Edition
Reports of a Croc seen on a beach south of Bundaberg (about 250 kms south of normal croc territory). Going by the video, quite a specimen. I’d say about 3-4 metres.
Of note with this – Brisbane is about 350 k’s south of Bundy, Noosa about 250, & Hervey Bay 80
Link: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14323175/crocodile-sighting-locals-shocked.html
In the southern hemisphere, climate change pushes climatic zones south by about 5km a year.
This means that the crocs are also going to be moving south at about 5km per year.
But the really awful news is that this means Bob Katter is also likely to move south at about 5km per year.
Be afraid. Be very afraid.
====================================================
While climate change is a massive threat. Crocs get down at least to Fraser Island all the time. In 1905 a nearly 4m croc was killed in the Logan River.
https://www.goldcoastbulletin.com.au/news/gold-coast/amazing-picture-of-383m-beast-from-1905-shows-crocs-on-coast-are-nothing-new/news-story/714f5d2b8c0d19830990c45cb75bc75e
Excellent piece from Paul Daley…
Mavis do you subscribe to the false flag theory re anti semitic attacks ?
P1
Don’t even joke about bob katter moving south please!!!!
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:18 pm
Mavis do you subscribe to the false flag theory re anti semitic attacks ?
========================================================
My reading of Mavis post is more the putting forward a possible scenario. Where the extreme right (nazi adjacent). Is carrying out the attacks because they are antisemitic plus because it helps their side of politics. So they carry out the attacks but the muslims get the blame. So it serves both the objectives of the extreme right.
Anthony Albanese has refused to concede he had broken his promise to reduce power bills by $275, saying it was a “direct result” of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Im still waiting for Abbotts $550 carbon tax refund. LNP had 22 failed energy policies because of infighting. Hypocrites be thy name Liberal.
Sussssan Ley jumps the shark…
Deputy Liberal leader Sussan Ley has compared the arrival of the First Fleet with Elon Musk’s efforts to build a colony on Mars in an Australia Day speech delivered at a local church service.
Addressing the St Matthew’s Australia Day mass in Albury, Ms Ley insisted that British settlers did not land at Sydney Cove “to destroy or to pillage”, but in an experiment to establish a new society.
“In what could be compared to Elon Musk’s Space X’s efforts to build a new colony on Mars, men in boats arrived on the edge of the known world to embark on that new experiment,” Ms Ley told the church service.
“And just like astronauts arriving on Mars those first settlers would be confronted with a different and strange world, full of danger, adventure and potential.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01-26/liberal-sussan-ley-first-fleet-elon-musk-australia-day/104860982
Is Susssan issuing a call, not too blatantly, for Musk to bestow some of his billions on the Liberal Party?
He has been known to respond to awe and flattery at his genius visions, like colonising Mars
sprocket_says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:30 pm
Sussssan Ley jumps the shark…
Deputy Liberal leader Sussan Ley has compared the arrival of the First Fleet with Elon Musk’s efforts to build a colony on Mars in an Australia Day speech delivered at a local church service.
==========================================================
I thought she was suppose to be moderate? How is talking up the potential achievements of a modern day Dr Strangelove, in anyway a moderate position.
Albo on election timing…
Following on from Albanese’s interview on Sky News, he was asked about timing around the budget and the election.
Andrew Clennell said the finance minister had said “the next Budget update is March 25”:
She’s not saying the Budget is March 25. Are you planning for a potential April election as opposed to May?
Albanese:
No, the Budget’s scheduled for March 25.
Lars Von Trier:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:18 pm
[‘Mavis do you subscribe to the false flag theory re anti semitic attacks ?’]
Lars, Entropy gets it about right.
I don’t think that there can be much doubt that the Dutton Liberals will try to emulate that fraudster/rapist Trump’s regime in the US.
Dutton went there a couple of years ago without widely explaining what he did, no doubt quietly studying the GOP’s strategies and bullshit. Now we have Ley sucking up to Musk. What’s next, a threat to buy New Zealand??
UK Voting Intention Via @OpiniumResearch, 22-24 Jan. Changes w/ 8-10 Jan:
LAB: 28% (-1)
RFM: 27% (+3)
CON: 21% (-2)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
UK going from Left to Extreme Right. Country is fucked.
Ley compares the arrival of the first fleet to Musks proposed Mars mission.
What does that mean? The first fleet like the Mars mission hasn’t happened yet?
The timeline has fractured 😉
steve davissays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:54
UK going from Left to Extreme Right. Country is fucked.
**************************************************
As in the US :
DEI fallout: Air Force scraps course that used videos of Tuskegee Airmen and female WWII pilots
The Air Force has removed training courses featuring videos of the Tuskegee Airmen and Women Airforce Service Pilots (WASPs) to comply with the Trump administration’s directives on diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives.
Air Force confirmed the courses with those videos had been removed and said it “will fully execute and implement all directives outlined in the Executive Orders issued by the President
https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/dei-air-force-tuskegee-airmen-female-wwii-pilots
ISAAKsays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 1:58 pm
Ley compares the arrival of the first fleet to Musks proposed Mars mission.
What does that mean? The first fleet like the Mars mission hasn’t happened yet?
The timeline has fractured
=================================================
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PoxPm3KXIw
Wish Ley would go to Mars and not come back.
”
Vensays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 10:41 am
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:18 am
Which former Prime Minister described Vietnamese Boat People as “Asian Balts”?
”
Which former Prime Minister said that Asian migration should be stopped in public?
”
Apparently Lars doesn’t know the answer. It is John Howard.
As executive orders continue to be signed in the office of the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump’s Diversity Equity Inclusion Executive Order has sparked outrage from many people and legislative leaders across the country.
Following his inauguration, President Trump signed an executive order titled “Ending Radical and Wasteful Government DEI Programs and Preferencing”, which ordered the rescinding of all policies and jobs in relation to affirmative action and diversity programs.
https://abc3340.com/news/alabama-news/an-outrageous-betrayal-sewell-on-removal-of-tuskegee-airmen-from-air-force-curriculum
I don’t find Bob Katter particularly scary. He’s been described as a throwback to the Country Party of the 1950s, or even pre-Split Labor (his father had been a member of the Labor party prior to the Split). He’s a bit of a throwback to an earlier era, a bit eccentric at times but seems to be well-intentioned, even if I disagree with most of his positions.
In any case, at 5 km per annum, it’ll take him over a century to reach NSW.
Trump administration directs all federal diversity, equity and inclusion staff be put on leave
President Donald Trump’s administration is moving to end affirmative action in federal contracting and is directing that all federal diversity, equity and inclusion staff be put on paid leave and eventually be laid off.
phoenixREDsays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 2:12 pm
As executive orders continue to be signed in the office of the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump’s Diversity Equity Inclusion Executive Order has sparked outrage from many people and legislative leaders across the country.
Following his inauguration, President Trump signed an executive order titled “Ending Radical and Wasteful Government DEI Programs and Preferencing”, which ordered the rescinding of all policies and jobs in relation to affirmative action and diversity programs.
https://abc3340.com/news/alabama-news/an-outrageous-betrayal-sewell-on-removal-of-tuskegee-airmen-from-air-force-curriculum
===================================================
Some how suspect so called diversity hires work the hardest though. As their tenure is less secure and probably feel the need to prove their worth. While it is probably entitled pale stale males that are worst workers. With their security of tenure and the over estimation their own abilities, which they believe they inherited at birth. Makes them in general, arrogant poor workers.
If you wanted any department to be more efficient, you target the deadwood, not the green shoots, as Trump is doing.
Quote: “The truth is something that burns. It burns off dead wood. And people don’t like having the dead wood burnt off, often because they’re 95 percent dead wood”
”
sprocket_says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:26 pm
aggmagpie says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 11:09 am
Can anyone tell me how James Paterson has become part of the Liberal leadership group as is being reported?
Is it because Michaelea Cash has been promoted to Senate opposition leader and he has taken her place as deputy?
James Patterson may have Senator for Victoria in his title, but the fine print says Senator for The IPA.
Paterson completed the degrees of Bachelor of Arts and Bachelor of Commerce at the University of Melbourne.[1][4] He worked briefly as a special adviser to Senator Mitch Fifield and for several months as an intern for U.S. congressman Lincoln Díaz-Balart.[5] He then worked as a writer for the Victorian Employers’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VECCI) before joining the Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) as editor of the IPA Review publication. In the IPA, Paterson was promoted to director of communications and development, before being promoted to deputy executive director in September 2014.[6]
As we know, The IPA has as its patron Rupert Murdoch, and its major donor Gina Reinhardt. The bulk of its money comes from Big Tobacco, Big Dirty and Big Mining – and the IPA shills of which Paterson was (and remains) are consistent lobbyists for their donors.
As for his stint as a staffer with Florida based, Cuban-heritage Congressman Diaz-Balart – Paterson’s well known Pro-US, anti Communist leanings may well stem from that experience. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mario_D%C3%ADaz-Balart
So the leg-up into Dutton’s inner circle is obvious.
”
James Paterson reminds me of the actors in Hollywood war movies, who played Gestapo. For example, the Gestapo leader in “Where Eagles dare”.
Spelling out the obvious for Sssssusssssan:
1. It was a ‘known known’ that ‘Botany Bay’ (and the rest of the East coast of Australia) was already inhabited by humans when the First Fleet mission was planned, approved and undertaken. Mars does not have higher life forms and perhaps no extant life as we known it at all.
2. Botany Bay was clearly capable of supporting higher forms of life, including human habitation. Human life on Mars will have to exist in virtual bubbles, if at all.
Why is Ssssussssan, the leading member of the ‘moderates’ drawing parallels with a modern day Nazi? Tone deaf or dog whistling?
Democrats warn of Trump’s ‘plans to screw over America’
President Donald Trump promised a shock-and-awe campaign to deliver major policy victories immediately after he took office. Much of it was outlined in the Project 2025 document that Democrats predicted he would adopt.
But in the hours since Trump’s inauguration, Democrats are struggling to confront the sheer volume of executive orders, pardons, personnel changes and controversial relationships taking shape in the new administration.
https://apnews.com/article/democrats-messaging-trump-tech-billionaires-strategy-policies-4c4a340700cbab5f36aeb8aa23f2691c
Why is so much effort and controversy about Australia Day compared to the flag? It’s a single day and the flag with the British ensign is there permanently. And I think the chance of changing the flag is better.
phoenixRED – seriously, do we need to hear every little detail of Trump’s America on this blog? What do you think it achieves? Some of us are trying to reduce the amount of Trump injected into our brains, but you are propagating Trump here as well.
Can I ask you guys a serious question what is the percentage of people that don’t seem to care for Australia Day like they just view it as another public holiday because honestly that’s how I view it since I was a kid like you might get some that are patriotic about it but most time it just seems some when I was a child to stay home watch cartoons and even now as a grown adult I still don’t care for it funny story right I had to go and get some burgers because I wanted hamburgers well I go to coles and then I get to the parking lot and realize oh it’s Australia Day so that’s how much I care for it and I didn’t get burgers that day but it did got me a tasty kebab so that’s Australian
Jackolsays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 2:28 pm
phoenixRED – seriously, do we need to hear every little detail of Trump’s America on this blog? What do you think it achieves? Some of us are trying to reduce the amount of Trump injected into our brains, but you are propagating Trump here as well.
=====================================================
Is there no learnings for Australia, in the rise of the Trumps extreme right in the USA?
Quote: “For now we see through a glass, darkly”
Where Eagles Dare is for me the worst of that spate of war movies wherein a small collection of impossible American characters with a token Brit or two destroy a couple of German Panzer divisions & then break for morning tea. I could never like Kelly’s Heroes either.
From a distance, and coming as an observation form someone who doesnt fully ‘get’ the apparent rapid decline in UK Labour’s polling post election only 6 months ago (although it appears that means testing an energy rebate has something to do with it), this polling is interesting:
UK Voting Intention Via @OpiniumResearch, 22-24 Jan. Changes w/ 8-10 Jan:
LAB: 28% (-1)
RFM: 27% (+3)
CON: 21% (-2)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)
____
From what I can tell, Reform is a populist socially reactionary movement that draws most of its support from traditional tory and blue collar labour supporters at about the rate of 3 ex Tories to 1 ex labour supporters.
If the UK’s ‘first past the post’ voting system was replaced with preferential voting it may be that the national 2PP support would break at about 50% labour and 50% to either the Tories still possible, despite only getting 21% support in this poll) or Reform. At a guess, I’d say that both SNP and Greens supporters would put the Tories below labour on a ranked ballot (so at an even higher rate than in Australia), and LDM voters would probably rank labour higher than the Tories at a rate of better than 2 to 1.
Reform is an interesting kettle. A lot of traditional labour voters who now support reform are most seemingly pissed at Starmer AND got a first taste of voting tory for BoJo back in 2019. At a guess I’d say that reform voters would probably rank the Tories above labour at a rate of about 3 to 1. If however reform makes the last 2 on a 2PP count I have no idea how the tory rump would rank labour or reform.
Reform is the Trump party of the UK. Nigel Farage is their leader. He was at Trumps inauguration.
“ Where Eagles Dare is for me the worst of that spate of war movies wherein a small collection of impossible American characters with a token Brit or two destroy a couple of German Panzer divisions & then break for morning tea. I could never like Kelly’s Heroes either.”
_____
I actually think that Where Eagles Dare is the perfect fictional ww2 movie; a true masterpiece with a story written specifically for cinema by Alastair McLean, and not an adoption of an original work. … and you have it arse about: Clint Eastwood was the token american in what was a UK SOE based story & the reason WHY he was selected to accompany Richard Burton’s team one the mission makes perfect sense in the end.
We are ruled by an out of touch political class who have turned their backs on our country.
Reform is the alternative.
Only Reform will stand up for British culture, identity and values. We will freeze immigration and stop the boats. Restore law and order. Repair our broken public services. Cut taxes to make work pay. End government waste. Slash energy bills. Unlock real economic growth.
Only Reform will take back control over our borders, our money and our laws. Only Reform will secure Britain’s future as a free, proud and rich nation.
Join the revolt.
Sound familiar?
steve davissays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 2:48 pm
Sound familiar?
===================================================
Yep, much copied from the 25 point program of the NSDAP. Though obviously given an UK slant to it. As Trump’s program has an USA slant to it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Socialist_Program
Entropy –
If there is a specific connection with politics in Australia, then go ahead and make that post – people have been doing that steadily here, and I don’t have a problem with that.
What I do have a problem with is posting every little detail of simply OUTRAGEOUS things that the Trump administration is doing in cut-and-pastes from whatever sources on the internet. I can’t sustain that outrage, I learn nothing (it’s not like you don’t hear the big picture from literally everywhere else), and it just makes me feel bad about something that I can do nothing about.
I’ll make the point again – it is Trump’s strategy to ‘flood the zone’ – and it works because with an endless deluge of TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP no one can really contemplate anything else. Why would anyone who opposed Trump want to assist him in his flooding?
Vensays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 3:03 pm
Sprocket @2:23 pm
“In the IPA, Paterson was promoted to director of communications and development, before being promoted to deputy executive director in September 2014.”
IMO, Paterson has cold and hard dead eyes. That is the reason he creeps me out.
=======================================================
Yet Jess Wilson in Victoria. Is pretty much his number one ally. Yet some people in Victoria., seem to want to call her a moderate.
Jackolsays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 2:58 pm
Entropy –
Is there no learnings for Australia, in the rise of the Trumps extreme right in the USA?
If there is a specific connection with politics in Australia, then go ahead and make that post – people have been doing that steadily here, and I don’t have a problem with that.
What I do have a problem with is posting every little detail of simply OUTRAGEOUS things that the Trump administration is doing in cut-and-pastes from whatever sources on the internet. I can’t sustain that outrage, I learn nothing (it’s not like you don’t hear the big picture from literally everywhere else), and it just makes me feel bad about something that I can do nothing about.
I’ll make the point again – it is Trump’s strategy to ‘flood the zone’ – and it works because with an endless deluge of TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP no one can really contemplate anything else. Why would anyone who opposed Trump want to assist him in his flooding?
====================================================
Some fair points presented. Which should be considered?
I know Dan Andrews was big believer in not talking about the opponent and it certainly worked for him.
Jackol at 2.58pm
I don’t think it is aiding the fraudster/rapist Trump with “flooding the zone” with the evil and ludercrous things he is doing and that some right wingers want to import his behaviours here.
President Donald Trump indicated Saturday that he had spoken with the king of Jordan about a potential plan to construct housing and move more than 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to other countries, a remarkable and unusual proposal from a sitting US president.
Questioned about his earlier Saturday call with Jordan’s Abdullah II, Trump said he had asked the king to take additional Palestinians into his country. “I said to him that I’d love you to take on more, because I’m looking at the whole Gaza Strip right now and it’s a mess, it’s a real mess,” he told reporters aboard Air Force One.
Trump said he would like both Jordan and Egypt to house people and that he would speak to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi about the matter on Sunday.
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/01/25/politics/trump-gaza-strip-jordan-egypt/index.html