Three new polls, none of them terribly encouraging for a government no more than four months away from an election:
• Nine Newspapers bring us the first Resolve Strategic poll of the year, which more or less repeats its grim result for Labor from December – with the apparent addition of a two-party preferred measure, based on respondent-allocated preferences, which the pollster has traditionally eschewed such a thing. This has the Coalition leading 52-48, where a determination based on 2022 election preference flows would more likely be at 51-49. The primary votes are Labor 27% (steady), Coalition 38% (steady), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 7% (steady). Peter Dutton is credited with a 39-34 lead as preferred prime minister, which I believe he is the first time he has led by more than one point on this measure from any pollster, compared with 35-35 last time. Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings have improved, up two on approval to 33% and down two on disapproval to 55%, but Peter Dutton’s have improved more, up four to 44% and down four to 38%. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Tuesday from a sample of 1616.
• The first Essential Research poll for the year has the Coalition up two on the primary vote to 37%, Labor steady on 30%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation up one to 7%, with a steady 5% undecided. The 2PP+ measure, which uses respondent-allocated preferences and does not distribute the undecided, is unchanged at 48% for the Coalition and 47% for Labor. The monthly leadership ratings find Anthony Albanese perking up with a six-point gain on approval to 45% and a five-point drop on disapproval, also to 45%, while Peter Dutton is down two on approval to 42% and up two on disapproval to 43%. The “national mood” is better than it’s been since May 2023, with a seven-point increase since last month in the feeling that the country is headed in the right direction, with “wrong track” down five to 46%. The poll also finds 42% feel the standard of living of Indigenous people has improved over the past decade, with 34% saying it has remained the same and 15% that it has got worse. Forty per cent oppose a separate day for Indigenous recognition, with 30% favouring one separate from Australia Day and 19% favouring one in place of Australia Day. Forty-two per cent expressed support for TikTok to be banned unless sold to a non-Chinese company, down three on last March, with 27% opposed, up two. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1132.
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the Coalition leading 52-48 on both the respondent-allocated and previous-election preference flow measures, the former out from 51.5-48.5 last week, the latter from 50.5-49.5. The primary votes are Labor 28.5% (down one-and-a-half), Coalition 42% (up one-and-a-half), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 4% (down half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1564.
sprocket_,
Jacinta Price needs to be questioned thoroughly. Will she slash Indigenous Housing programs in the NT? That’s the first question she should be asked and she shouldn’t be allowed to worm her way out of answering by saying she would have to wait until after the election before she could say. 😡
I’m sure she’ll leave Private School funding alone though. Her boss will refuse to let that be touched. 😐
sprocket_says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 9:08 am
Albo on SkyNews this morning all but confirmed the 25 March Budget is going ahead.
Predictions by some of an April 12 election in the dustbin of wishcasting…
______________________________
Of course – Albo’s hanging onto the death hoping something, anything turns up…
Added bonus by hanging on he exceeds Whitlam’s term of office.
Mundo,
We get it already. 😐
Must you constantly bore us with it though?
Exquisitely put C@t.
Lars Von Trier @ #1401 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 9:57 am
Oh, is that your latest line now that all your smash mouthing about an early election is what has been turfed into the dumpster? You’re nothing if not a reliable propagandist. Maybe you should change your nom to Eveready. Just like the little rabbit that keeps banging the drum. 😐
Is Dutton Capturing Australia’s Mood? asks the SMH.
Parts of Tasmania where Mundo lives is positivity Brazilian.
Hear, hear.
All else being equal, the Australian National Flag should be on the far left (which must irk Dutton.)
https://www.pmc.gov.au/resources/australian-flags-booklet/part-2-protocols-appropriate-use-and-flying-flag/flying-australian-national-flag-state-and-other-flags
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 10:01 am
Lars Von Trier @ #1401 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 9:57 am
sprocket_says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 9:08 am
Albo on SkyNews this morning all but confirmed the 25 March Budget is going ahead.
Predictions by some of an April 12 election in the dustbin of wishcasting…
______________________________
Of course – Albo’s hanging onto the death hoping something, anything turns up…
Added bonus by hanging on he exceeds Whitlam’s term of office.
Oh, is that your latest line now that all your smash mouthing about an early election is what has been turfed into the dumpster? You’re nothing if not a reliable propagandist. Maybe you should change your nom to Eveready. Just like the little rabbit that keeps banging the drum.
_________________________________________
Dont know that an April 12 election would qualify as “early” c@t.
First day of year nine a nice Canadian girl, an exchange student, was introduced at assembly. Someone yelled out ‘show us your map of tassie’. Fortunately she had no idea.
Mundo, you were claiming Morrison was going to win last time.
dave @ #1410 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 10:17 am
He was claiming Trump was going to win in 2020. 😐
He’s just a Concern Troll.
Jaeger
Thanks re the Aussie flag.
Obviously I touched a raw nerve last night with some US haters here about suggesting I prefer a strong, compassionate, caring and liberal US – as opposed to some other option.
Some 70 million plus American voters also think along these lines.
Let’s put in this way.
Back in the day, when the US fleet came via Perth on their way back to San Diego, their carrier planes would often buzz the city.
I would much prefer planes with the US star on their fuselage rather than the red ones which are usually on those planes which represent the enemies of democracy.
Perhaps the US haters should read up a bit on World War 2, the Pacific War and the War in Europe?
As the Australia Day Ceremony continues in the ACT. The Albenese Government continues with the Aborigine theme. Love it.
‘Hit him back twice as hard’: Canadian leader puts Trump on notice over threats
‘While Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was the face of Canadian opposition to President Donald Trump in his first term, that role now appears to belong to Ontario Premier Doug Ford.
“I’m a street fighter in politics,” said Ford, who is the brother of the late former Toronto mayor Rob Ford. “If someone throws a punch at me, I’m going to hit him back twice as hard.”
After Trump threatened to impose a 25% on goods imported from Canada, Ford said he was ready to strike back with strict trade measures. This includes banning American liquor from Ontario’s shelves, cutting power transmission from Canada to American homes and businesses just across the border (Windsor, Ontario is adjacent to Detroit, Michigan) and even what Burns called “dollar-for-dollar retaliation” against red states.
Here’s a silly question for someone with constitutional expertise.
That fraudster/rapist Trump is the commander in chief of the US military. Does that make him, including his bone spurs, subject to military law?
A google search suggests there are plenty of ways for their military to deal with incompetent leaders. If he did try to initiate an invasion of Greenland for example, might they decide he is nuts and lock him away, or better still, shove him in front of a firing squad?
I don’t think Mundo is a concern troll C@t. I think he strongly wants labor to win but pessimistically believes that they won’t and gets some strange type of consolation by coming on here and pouring out his fears.
Nadia88
Have a great day everyone. Also, I’m pretty sure there is no Newspoll tonight. Should be next week before Parliament kicks off.
_____________________
Good.
Maybe we can have a week free of all the poll denying that’s been going on lately.
Am over it.
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:18 am
Which former Prime Minister described Vietnamese Boat People as “Asian Balts”?
”
Which former Prime Minister said that Asian migration should be stopped in public?
C@t
Is there any reason she was targeted? And I don’t understand “ Honour your oath, seperate church and state”
What does that refer to? (I note they actually misspelt “separate” so their graffiti needs a spell checker)
Mundo @ #1399 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 9:54 am
That you have a rather myopic view of Australia Day suggests to me you should spend less time here, sulking and more time outside in your community.
And if voters elect a coalition government, well it’s a democracy. Just like in the US, people will get the government they wanted.
Granny
There are two legitimate ways to get him out
1. Impeachment which would require at least 20 republican senators to vote against him
2. Declaration that he is unfit for office which requires a majority of the cabinet to make a declaration and confirmation by 2/3rds of both houses
Extra-constitutionally, the armed forces could stage a coup but its not in their tradition .
Fess
Agree. It’s not like the people don’t know what they will get. They had four years of Trump and wanted more.
And with Dutton I’d be very surprised if it isnt a dumbed down version of Howard.
We aren’t being tricked; it’s a conscious choice.
So, the LOTO was not in Canberra for the Australia Day Ceremony. Albanese says that as the LOTO he always attended these Ceremonies held in Canberra.
”
What America and the world saw today was not a serious examination of a serious man. Instead, Republicans on the committee showed that they would rather elevate an unqualified and unfit nominee to a position of immense responsibility than cross Donald Trump, Elon Musk, or the most ardent Republican voters in their home states. America’s allies should be deeply concerned; America’s enemies, meanwhile, are almost certainly laughing in amazement at their unexpected good fortune.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2025/01/the-hegseth-hearing-was-a-national-embarrassment/681315/?gift=otEsSHbRYKNfFYMngVFweDHFUrb8yD96rHh0mi1Ha6g&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
”
Putin, Xi, Kim are laughing all the way to the bank. Trump delivered them big time.
What are the chances of women getting sexually assaulted in Defence secretary office suite?
”
The finding out phase begins, after the voters completely dropped the ball, giving him a second term.
https://www.publicnotice.co/p/trump-inauguration-2025-fafo
”
There is nothing to find out. They already know who is or put plugs in their ears and sang na na na na….
and voted for him.
Till now other countries and their people faced consequences for US people and its leaders actions.
Isn’t it time for US people to face consequences for their actions?
Indeed. Even if that conscious choice ends up being to the detriment of your own interest.
”
gollsays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 7:39 am
Lars Von Triersays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 7:31 am
[Does Grace Tame have questions to answer re the T-shirt affair?]
[Will she ever get invited to another Australia Day do at the Lodge?]
Does Lars have questions to answer for mentioning the T-shirt and will he ever get an invite to any day at the Lodge or for that matter an invite to go anywhere?
”
Does Lars get a invite to PB after dressing down yesterday by WB regarding this topic?
@nadia88
Per your comment about your 2025 Senate analysis, I agree and have been thinking the same for some time.
While things aren’t looking great in the lower house, it looks like their vote is strong in all the right places in the upper. It means 3 additional ALP senators bringing their total to 28. With the Greens 11 senators this totals an outright majority of 39 — no negotiation with any other crossbenchers needed.
This strengthens the Greens hand for being part of any minority government agreement in the lower house in the event of a hung parliament.
Can anyone tell me how James Paterson has become part of the Liberal leadership group as is being reported?
Is it because Michaelea Cash has been promoted to Senate opposition leader and he has taken her place as deputy?
BK,
And a chapeau to you BK! After all your years of providing the Dawn Patrol news service, we are so reliant on it that we need to replicate it 😉
Needless to say Labor should have started campaigning for the 2025 election in 2022
It’s too late to start now
Alpha Zerosays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:14 am
Would you be celebrating if 11 overfull ships carrying illegal, unauthorised boat-people arrived seeking a new life in Australia today?
====================================================
We probably can’t take everyone from the USA that wants to leave there now. Obviously they can’t go to Canada which soon maybe enslaved. While Mexico will have a big wall stopping those trying to escape the Trump tyranny. I feel sorry for the people of the USA but we are going to have to turn them back.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJ3aK-ClJn4
Note: We can’t take to many from the USA. As we soon might need to accept lots of people from Canada and there much more like us.
News from cartoonist Jon Kudelka
https://bsky.app/profile/kudelka.bsky.social/post/3lglxfqlwnc2a
UK Cartoons and other miscellany
Drew
#Caturday
Christian Adams
Matt
Chris Riddell
Andy Bunday
Harry Burton
Martyn Turner
The New Yorker Hartley Lin
Royston
Tom Gauld
https://bsky.app/profile/mrrexpatrick.bsky.social/post/3lglrops7hc2l
This lot should not be electorally rewarded again so soon.
Dave
There is method in Mundo’s madness.
You’ll see.
Albo says as opposition leader he always attended Aus day ceremonies in Canberra.
A practice I’m confident Jim Chalmers will continue.
Mundo I think you are like a three year old who has figured out one way to get attention and is sticking to it. Get some new material, say something interesting occasionally.
Mundosays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 11:55 am
Dave
There is method in Mundo’s madness.
You’ll see.
===============================================
Because mad people, always come up with such great plans?
Chastised by one of the best posters here.
Mundo is blushing
.
aggmagpie says:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 11:09 am
Can anyone tell me how James Paterson has become part of the Liberal leadership group as is being reported?
Is it because Michaelea Cash has been promoted to Senate opposition leader and he has taken her place as deputy?
James Patterson may have Senator for Victoria in his title, but the fine print says Senator for The IPA.
Paterson completed the degrees of Bachelor of Arts and Bachelor of Commerce at the University of Melbourne.[1][4] He worked briefly as a special adviser to Senator Mitch Fifield and for several months as an intern for U.S. congressman Lincoln Díaz-Balart.[5] He then worked as a writer for the Victorian Employers’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VECCI) before joining the Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) as editor of the IPA Review publication. In the IPA, Paterson was promoted to director of communications and development, before being promoted to deputy executive director in September 2014.[6]
As we know, The IPA has as its patron Rupert Murdoch, and its major donor Gina Reinhardt. The bulk of its money comes from Big Tobacco, Big Dirty and Big Mining – and the IPA shills of which Paterson was (and remains) are consistent lobbyists for their donors.
As for his stint as a staffer with Florida based, Cuban-heritage Congressman Diaz-Balart – Paterson’s well known Pro-US, anti Communist leanings may well stem from that experience. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mario_D%C3%ADaz-Balart
So the leg-up into Dutton’s inner circle is obvious.
Diogenes @ #1420 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 10:44 am
A LOT of the graffiti needs a spellchecker, Dio. 😀
I honestly found it confounding.
nath, to be fair Mundo sometimes whinges about how bad trade is in his Tasmanian AirBNB.
dave @ #1439 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 12:00 pm
Yes, entirely boring and predictable comes to mind. I bet his university lectures are a hoot. 😉
Oakeshott at 10.46am, we can rule out the second legitimate ways to get him out, the US Cabinet is as bad as Trump.
I suppose we should rule out the first legitimate way as well because the congress is a mad as the Cabinet, at least until the mid-terms.
sprocket_ @ #1444 Sunday, January 26th, 2025 – 12:29 pm
Isn’t he also a UTas lecturer?
C@t
Does UTas have courses in nihilism?
Nihilism is the belief that all values are baseless and that nothing can be known or communicated. It is often associated with extreme pessimism and a radical skepticism that condemns existence. A true nihilist would believe in nothing, have no loyalties, and no purpose other than, perhaps, an impulse to destroy.
Mundosays:
Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 12:21 pm
Chastised by one of the best posters here.
Mundo is blushing
==================================================
Dave chastises me all the time. I don’t think you should read to much into it.
Though i do note that feeding Dave’s ego is the best way to get him off your case. So well played.
Quote: “If there’s anything more important than my ego around here, I want it caught and shot now.”