A busy week of federal polling continued yesterday with a new result from YouGov, which had Labor’s two-party lead out from 51-49 to 52-48, from primary votes of Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 36% (down two), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 8% (up one). Leadership ratings were not included on this occasion, but there was an Anzac Day-inspired question inviting respondents to choose between assertions that Australia “should be prepared to fight for our country’s values”, favoured by 46%, and that “we should be sceptical of politicians who want to commit troops to wars not necessary to the direct defence of Australia”, favoured by 42%. There was a marked tendency for younger respondents to favour the latter (44% to 34% among the 18-to-24 cohort) and older respondents the former (60% to 34% for those aged 65 and over). The poll was conducted Friday to Tuesday from a sample of 1514.
Results from a YouGov state poll for Queensland will be published at 2pm today in the Courier-Mail. UPDATE: For now it only offers the finding that 53% would prefer Steven Miles to Annastacia Palaszczuk as Premier and 47% vice-versa. Voting intention evidently to follow tomorrow morning.
MB – I suspect it is mostly a case where right hands didn’t know what the left were doing, things were probably a bit clumsy handled at time, misunderstandings that were mistaken for uncaring. It is not a circumstance that most people deal with on a regular occurrence.
Taken for example, the handing of Employment Assistance Program leaflet or card to Higgins – it is probably the right thing to do as that would the way to get counselling but may have seemed a bit cold hearted.
Stretcher bearer Ernest Albert Corey, won the Military Medal 4 times, wounded in the right groin and thigh, must have been a hero to his comrades in the 55th Bn.
https://adb.anu.edu.au/biography/corey-ernest-albert-5781
meher babasays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 1:21 pm
Any cover up based on trying to bully the victim to remain silent and not go to the police, would be a far worse story:
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She did report officially to the AFP in April but dropped it a week or so latter. So the Liberals got their best case scenario over this incident in the 2019 election lead up. It being reported to police and then the allegations dropped. Justice Lee didn’t examine any witnesses over what happened during that time period though.
“Higgins went to the police after the alleged rape, but dropped the complaint in April 2019, fearful the report would result in termination of her employment”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Australian_Parliament_House_sexual_misconduct_allegations#cite_note-13
mb said:
“And, as far as I can make him out, Justice Lee said pretty conclusively that the allegation of a cover-up had no basis in fact.”
No he didn’t. He only examined Fiona Brown and found her testimony highly credible. Therefore any exoneration would be for what Fiona Brown was involved in. It couldn’t cover any incidence Fiona Brown was not privy too. As they were never examined.
Entropy goes Kennedy assasination conspiracy theorist over Higgins cover-up.
There are things that have ‘disappointed’ me about the coverage of today. On this day of all days the former member for Mayo speaking in support of the ‘Ruaunda Solution’ on this day, and the lack of acknowledgement of the ‘Fuzzy-Wuzzy Angles’. It say a lot about where we are as a community. We are still labouring under the shameful history we have, which was only amplified more by Howard.
Lars Von Triersays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 1:59 pm
Entropy goes Kennedy assasination conspiracy theorist over Higgins cover-up.
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Lars makes highly dubious analogy. As he is incapable of supplying a coherent rebuttal to someones argument. When everyone else debates, Lars goes low and snipes from the cheap seats.
So when do we get the stagflation update?.
Entropy I think instead of the Cuban connection you need to find someone South African ‘connected’ to the Liberals to spice up the second conspiracy theory.
Traders predict zero chance the cash rate will be cut this year, after a surprisingly hot inflation report quashed hopes of relief for households and price growth in services proved decidedly stubborn despite the Reserve Bank of Australia’s past 13 rate rises. The bond market has completely removed any chance of an easing by December. Instead, it is wagering that the next move could be a rate rise.
Money market futures imply a 14 per cent probability the RBA will lift the cash rate by September. On Wednesday, after the inflation data, they still had a chance of a rate cut this year, albeit small. Economists scrambled to revise their rate outlook, but, unlike markets, are still convinced the next move is down. AMP pushed back the timing of the likely first rate cut by six months to late 2024. UBS is now pencilling in an easing early next year.
The shift in interest rate expectations tracked the United States after surprisingly strong domestic price growth in March spurred worries that inflation is becoming entrenched.
Australia is the only major economy where traders are primed for the chance of a rate increase. Even in the United States, they are betting the Federal Reserve’s next move is down.
Fed fund futures are fully priced for the first easing in September and that will be the only rate cut in 2024. Earlier this year, they had expected six quarter-point reductions.
For New Zealand, Europe, UK and Canada, the market ascribes between one basis point and 16 basis points of rate cuts at their next policy meetings.
https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/traders-see-zero-chance-of-rba-rate-relief-20240425-p5fmfs
HH terrible news for Australia.
Hard to believe but 6.5% home loan rates will bust some people financially especially with unemployment on the up.
Lars Von Triersays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 2:11 pm
Entropy I think instead of the Cuban connection you need to find someone South African ‘connected’ to the Liberals to spice up the second conspiracy theory.
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Doubling down from the cheap seats now.
Why don’t you go off and discuss Irish politics with OC. It appears the only topic you can discuss either coherently or politely.
Fairman 12.16pm – yes there is a tiny bullet hole in the tunic near the collar. The blood stains have faded in 100 years , its just looks faintly light brown on the front of the bright blue tunic.
One ironic detail – because Franz Ferdinand was forced to agree to a morganatic marriage his children had the surname Hohenlohe , so when the Austrian republic was proclaimed and passed a law confiscating the assets of the Hapsburgs, his children’s assets were deemed not to be Hapsburg and were left unconfiscated.
Talking of Franz Ferdinand, there’s a certain irony that his assassination lead to WW1 when he was the person most likely to prevent war with Serbia.
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archduke_Franz_Ferdinand_of_Austria
Lordbain says Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 12:52 pm
A prospective victim of cancel culture by those publicly decrying cancel culture.
What’s your theory as to why they might have wanted to cover it up??????
er!, there was an election due shortly, and the fact Morrison “was” never aware a rape had occurred
in shouting distance of his office, unbelievable !.
An Arizona grand jury handed up felony charges against Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows and other prominent Trump allies for allegedly attempting to prevent the lawful transfer of power from then-President Trump to Joe Biden. Seven Trump aides were charged alongside 11 pro-Trump Arizona Republicans who signed documents purporting to be the state’s valid electors in 2020. The former president himself is not charged but is listed as an unindicted co-conspirator.
Prosecutors accuse the 18 defendants of devising a scheme to raise false claims of election fraud to pressure Arizona election officials to overturn Biden’s narrow victory in the state.
The indictment, which was dated Tuesday but became public on Wednesday, describes lawsuits filed, alleged messages to county and state officials and the signing of the “fake elector” documents in December 2020. Each of the 11 pro-Trump electors faces nine charges, including conspiracy, fraud and forgery counts.
A good ANZAC Day piece by Peter Fitsimons
https://www.theage.com.au/national/the-missing-emotion-that-needs-to-be-articulated-on-anzac-day-20240424-p5fmac.html?btis
bcsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 2:48 pm
Lordbain says Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 12:52 pm
Careful Oakeshott, you dont want to be run out of the country do you?
A prospective victim of cancel culture by those publicly decrying cancel culture.
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Yassmin Abdel-Magied says hi.
Biden Administration Orders Military Equipment Transfer to Eastern Europe for Swift Aid Delivery to Ukraine ???
Denmark Commits Entire F-16 Fleet to Ukraine in Strategic Move ???
When will Putin realize he is taking on “THE WORLD” Germany and Japan tried it and lost !.
1934Pcsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 3:28 pm
Biden Administration Orders Military Equipment Transfer to Eastern Europe for Swift Aid Delivery to Ukraine ???
Denmark Commits Entire F-16 Fleet to Ukraine in Strategic Move ???
When will Putin realize he is taking on “THE WORLD” Germany and Japan tried it and lost !.
===============================================
While he still has Trump and his republican loonies. He might still dream that he can take Ukraine and other sections of Europe with Trumps backing.
1934Pc @ #168 Thursday, April 25th, 2024 – 3:28 pm
When you’re a vain megalomaniac, everything looks like a nail you’ve got to hammer. What you don’t realise is that the nails can gang up on you and put your thumb in harms way. 😉
Entropy @ #169 Thursday, April 25th, 2024 – 3:33 pm
I admit, if Trump farts in their general direction it could take out whole countries. 🙂
B S Fairman
Following up your comment from this morning re Trump associate indictments. They are still investigating fake electors in other swing states as well.
https://www.fedcourt.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/114488/Affidavit-of-Fiona-Brown-sworn-15-December-2023.pdf
This is a link to the testimony of Fiona Brown. It is very detailed. After reading this can you let me know where was any alleged cover up.
Reading this it seems they tried hard to help Higgins and encouraged reporting to the AFP.
A good piece of writing.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/the-missing-emotion-that-needs-to-be-articulated-on-anzac-day-20240424-p5fmac.html
To be honest I do reflect on ANZAC day; all the lives lost and ruined brings me to tears, and I am not one to cry.
Frednk ANZAC Day is about reflecting and remembering. I’ve never thought of the day about glorifying war and I suspect most of us feel the same.
Davidwhsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 3:52 pm
https://www.fedcourt.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/114488/Affidavit-of-Fiona-Brown-sworn-15-December-2023.pdf
This is a link to the testimony of Fiona Brown. It is very detailed. After reading this can you let me know where was any alleged cover up.
Reading this it seems they tried hard to help Higgins and encouraged reporting to the AFP.
====================================================
Fiona Brown was not involved in any alleged cover up. It does not mean others weren’t though. As Fiona Brown has no idea what PMO’s office was up to for instance. Nor did she testify on that issue. It was defamation trial by Lehrmann, it was not an examination of cover ups by the LNP though. Lehrmann’s lawyer only examined the claims they chose to from the projects interview. For instance they never examined the claim by Higgins in the project interview that Reynolds knowing Higgins had been allegedly raped there. Still was asked by her to attend a meeting in her office on 1st of April. Even with the knowledge it would be far less insensitive to Higgins feelings to have held it somewhere else.
The trial never examined this claim by Higgins too. That she felt if she continued with her complaint she was liable to lose her job. As again this was a defamation trial by Lehrmann not a defamation trial by the LNP.
“Higgins went to the police after the alleged rape, but dropped the complaint in April 2019, fearful the report would result in termination of her employment.(13)”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Australian_Parliament_House_sexual_misconduct_allegations#cite_note-13
Read the transcript. It clearly shows that Brown was the main contact for Higgins, what information was passed onto Reynolds and what Reynolds ordered Brown. The timeframe is pretty clear.
At the time of the 1 April meeting Higgins hadn’t made any allegation of sexual assault.
I know it’s required to distrust and dislike all Liberals here but the testimony of Brown doesn’t support a Reynolds cover up.
davidwhsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Read the transcript. It clearly shows that Brown was the main contact for Higgins, what information was passed onto Reynolds and what Reynolds ordered Brown. The timeframe is pretty clear.
At the time of the 1 April meeting Higgins hadn’t made any allegation of sexual assault.
I know it’s required to distrust and dislike all Liberals here but the testimony of Brown doesn’t support a Reynolds cover up.
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Again i don’t believe Fiona Brown was involved in any cover up. I also believe that doesn’t exonerate anyone but Fiona Brown though. I think there is ample suggestions that PMO’s office may have been for instance. All those Gaetjens reports that were never made public on this issue. Has a whiff of cover up to me.
The greatest try ever at the football stadium?
Davidwh says:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 4:03 pm
Frednk ANZAC Day is about reflecting and remembering. I’ve never thought of the day about glorifying war and I suspect most of us feel the same.
I think that is why I found the ANZAC advertisement so offensive. It was bunch of white dudes dressed up in uniform.
AN advertisement should be fields of white crosses,sons, brothers, fathers lost for what? Bombed out towns, mass graves, refugees. People who have to live the rest of their lives with war injuries, people who have to live with what they did and saw.
There is no glory in war, just death. ANZAC should be a day when we remember this.
Lest we forget.
davidwhsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 4:13 pm
“At the time of the 1 April meeting Higgins hadn’t made any allegation of sexual assault.”
=============================================
Not an official one but had told Fiona Brown of it by then. Both Fiona Brown and Reynolds had discussed it on the 29th of March, even with suggestions that drugs could have been involved. So if you believe Fiona Brown’s testimony, which seems pretty reliable. Reynold’s knew full well that Higgins was allegedly sexually assaulted in her office when she asked her to attend a meeting there on the 1st of April.
Though Reynold’s under oath in the ACT court denied she knew anymore than it was a security breach they were to discuss in her office on the 1st of April. This statement does not pass the pub test in my opinion. It suggests Reynolds is trying to cover up the full extent of what she knew at the time of the 1st of April meeting. In this i tend to believe Fiona Brown and that Higgins sexual assault was discussed by them on the 29th of March. Meaning Reynolds must have known that a sexual assault allegation existed at the time of the 1st of April meeting.
Something sinister among the ruling elites is brewing across the West, and particularly in Australia. I believe we may be witnessing a general crackdown on political dissent across the West as the ruling elites attempt to tighten their grip on power. We are witnessing democratic backsliding in real time. The political elites, the mainstream media and elements of the security services appear to be laying the groundwork for a crackdown across the board, with each of these institutions egging each other on and collaborating with one another. For example, in recent months, and without any evidence based reasoning given we have seen:
1) Calls for a crackdown on social media, while being deliberately vague as to what this means.
2) Introduction of “misinformation” legislation allowing the government to censor and control whatever it deems the public should not see or hear. Note that legacy mainstream media will be exempt and will free to push misinformation.
3) Reactionary introduction of so-called “doxxing” laws.
4) Calls for encryption to be prohibited, so that the government can read your private messages.
5) Calls for taxpayers to fund corporate legacy mainstream media through some sort of levy.
6) Demonisation of anyone who deviates from the official government/legacy mainstream media narratives.
7) Attacks on independent media by legacy corporate media.
8) Attacks on free speech that doesn’t align with the official government/legacy mainstream media narratives.
9) Demonisa
Etc etc.
It’s all extremely disturbing and any freedom loving people who support genuine democracy should be alarmed. I fear for what comes next. I believe that establishment politicians in the West look to China and Russia and are using those countries as a template for potential future crackdowns.
‘Rikali says:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 12:29 pm
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 8:28 am
We need to think seriously about changing some of our medals.
The Victoria Cross is one such, and the most important.
It is tied to a colonial and imperial heritage which is increasingly irrelevant to the majority of the population.
The cross is also a christian symbol.
Around half of the population is secular.
Much of the religious population do not follow the cross.
We need the ADF to be representative in the broadest sense – across genders and reflective of our multicultural nation.
It can’t do that if the highest individual battle honour is compromised.
—————
You’re a bit like Pol Pot ….. you want your year zero.
Or the Chinese Red Guard with their war against “The Four Olds: ‘old ideas’, ‘old culture’, ‘old customs’, and ‘old habits.”
There is something pathological about the need to obliterate the past for a self-righteous present. Particularly when it’s other peoples’ past’
—————-
Well, there’s a new one. I am a bit like Pol Pot. LOLZ.
My general point is that we need an ADF that generally reflects our society.
My particular point is that christian symbols are no longer representative of our society and in fact they are offensive to quite a few Australians.
So we need to do grown up things like move on from the Victoria Cross as our highest award for courage.
S. Simpsonsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 4:40 pm
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The biggest threat to western democracy is a Putin/Trump alliance. Elon Musk is a ideologically useful idiot who might even back such an alliance.
Entropy, others may think that the United States and Russia getting along with one another is a good thing, especially for world peace.
Yes S.Simpson. Putin and Trump getting along would be sort of like Hitler and Petain getting along. Great for world peace.
S. Simpsonsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 5:07 pm
Entropy, others may think that the United States and Russia getting along with one another is a good thing, especially for world peace.
=================================================
What world peace?. The plan would be the destruction of the European Union and NATO.
“Kremlin propagandist Vladimir Solovyov has warned that Russia is poised to “destroy” Poland as tensions between Moscow and its European neighbors continue to rise amid the ongoing war in Ukraine.”
https://www.newsweek.com/putin-ally-threatens-destroy-poland-1872956
“At a recent campaign rally in South Carolina, Donald Trump appeared to invite Vladimir Putin’s Russia to invade any NATO member failing to meet the 2 per cent of GDP target for defence spending. ”
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/02/trump-threatens-nato-it-time-europe-get-its-act-together
S. Simpson @ #182 Thursday, April 25th, 2024 – 4:40 pm
You like having the ‘right’ to watch videos of mass murders by psychotically deranged misogynists and stabbings of bishops?
Tonifasays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 5:18 pm
Yes S.Simpson. Putin and Trump getting along would be sort of like Hitler and Petain getting along. Great for world peace.
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Possibly the results for the world would be more like Stalin and Hitler getting together though. It would hardly be good for Poland. I guess there was those that even believed that the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact would bring peace. Spoiler alert, it didn’t.
S. Simpson @ #185 Thursday, April 25th, 2024 – 5:07 pm
Hmm. ‘World Peace’ under the yoke of global dictatorship. Yeah nah. 😐
Jeez, who are you? A beauty pageant contestant? ‘World Peace’. Lol.
While individual polls jump around a bit, mostly within the margin of error (2-3%), it appears that the Labor 2PP might be stabilising in the low 50s after steadily declining over the past year from the ‘honeymoon’ period highs of 56-57% at the end of 2022. Good news, sort of, but rather too close for comfort. It’s a year to the election, in which most of the mainstream media will be campaigning for the other side.
Comparing Putin to Hitler is outright hysterical, completely ridiculous offensive in the extreme, and just plain wrong.
Cat, if someone has been killed or seriously injured it would be a different story. I wouldn’t support a video like that staying on social media.
West is doing well America is dominating tech wealth,EU economy in best shape in years and Russia is degrading its military,Chinas economy is going nowhere as the west have stopped giving it a free kick at long last.
Civil wars in despotville like Syria etc
Democracy rules!
Biggest threat is a cocoa eating plant bug that may disrupt chocolate supply.
Pied piper, black is white , up is down, the sky is green.
I don’t know about you S.Simpson. But I’m not going to make excuses for Putin because he’s ‘not as bad’ as Hitler.
S. Simpsonsays:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 4:40 pm
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Do you believe the movie and computer game violence classification systems. Which restricts the sales and viewing of violent content. Is also a threat to free speech?. What about the TV rules that doesn’t allow the showing of certain content till after a particular time?.
Pied Piper, Kurt Campbell begs to differ with your assessment..
Russia’s military is ‘almost completely reconstituted’ as it goes into overdrive to shore up losses in Ukraine: US official
Russia has “almost completely” reformed its military capabilities after taking heavy losses in Ukraine, a top US official says.
“I think we have assessed throughout the last couple of months that Russia has almost completely reconstituted militarily,” Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell said on Wednesday at a talk hosted by the Center for a New American Security. Campbell cofounded CNAS, a Washington-based think tank.
He said Moscow suffered initial setbacks during the Ukraine war but had “retooled and now poses a threat to Ukraine.”
“But not just to Ukraine,” Campbell said. “Its newfound capabilities pose a longer-term challenge to stability in Europe and threatens NATO allies.”
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-military-almost-completely-reconstituted-after-ukraine-losses-us-official-2024-4
Pied Piper.says:
Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 5:27 pm
West is doing well America is dominating tech wealth,EU economy in best shape in years and Russia is degrading its military,Chinas economy is going nowhere as the west have stopped giving it a free kick at long last.
Civil wars in despotville like Syria etc
Democracy rules!
Biggest threat is a cocoa eating plant bug that may disrupt chocolate supply.
======================================================
Rex want be to worried then. He believes anyone who eats chocolate is out of touch with current public opinion.
Hitler would have eventually brought us world peace. It was a work in progress, interrupted by the likes of Churchill and Roosevelt.