Three new federal voting intention polls have dropped in short order, including the monthly Resolve Strategic poll for Nine Newspapers, which seems to have lost most of the Labor lean that distinguished it from other pollsters before the start of the year. Both major parties are down two points on the primary vote from the February result, putting Labor at 32% and the Coalition at 35%, with the Greens up two to 13% and One Nation down one to 5%. Anthony Albanese’s combined very good and good rating is down three to 38%, with his combined poor and very poor up two to 49%, while Peter Dutton is respectively steady at 36% and down one to 44%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister shifting out from 39-32 to 40-30. In the absence of a two-party preferred measure from Resolve Strategic, my own favoured method of calculating one from flows at the 2022 election (which lumps together independents and all parties other than the majors, the Greens, One Nation and the United Australia Party into a single category) gets a result of about 52.8-47.2 in Labor’s favour, compared with a bit over 52-48 last time. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1610.
The Guardian reports the fortnightly Essential Research has what is by some distance Labor’s worst result on voting intention this term, with the Coalition opening a lead of 50% to 44% on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure, the balance being undecided. This compares with a Labor lead of 48% to 47% last time and a reversed result the time before, the latter being the only previous occasion when the Coalition led this term. We will have to wait upon the release of the full report later today for the primary votes. Despite this, The Guardian report relates little change on a monthly leadership on which respondents rate the leaders on a scale of one to ten, with 32% (down one) giving Anthony Albanese a rating of seven to ten and 35% (steady) a rating of zero to three. Peter Dutton had 31% at the top of the range, down one, and 34% at the bottom, up one.
UPDATE: The primary votes are Labor 29% (down three), Coalition 36% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one), with undecided up one to 6%.
Further questions relate to campaign finance reform and the state of Australian democracy, recording a drop from 46% to 32% in satisfaction with the latter since immediately after the 2022 election and dissatisfaction up from 18% to 31%. There was strong support for truth-in-advertising laws (73%), real-time reporting of donations (64%) and donations caps (61%), though the related proposal of greater public funding found only 29% support with 35% opposed.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll is also less than stellar for Labor, recording a tie on two-party preferred after they led 51.5-48.5 result last time. However, this is more to do with a weaker flow of respondent-allocated preferences than changes on the primary vote, on which Labor is steady at 31.5%, the Coalition up one to 38%, the Greens up one-and-a-half to 14% and One Nation down one to 4.5%. My own measure of a result based on 2022 election preferences has Labor leading 51.5-48.5, which is little different from last time.
We also have from The Australian further results from the latest Newspoll showing 51% support for fixed four-year parliamentary terms with 37% opposed.
gympie 1.13pm
“In other words, there was absolutely no reason to boot the Howard Government
on performance, it was just that from about 2000 on to 2007 things were so good that more people thought that Labor couldn’t manage to fuck it up, so why not give them a go?
Same happened at the December 2, 1972 Election.
How wrong we were.”
Fear and Loathing in Las Bludger !
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 3:53 pm
‘Asha says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 2:23 pm
Boerwar:
I would have thought that all the Millennials have to do is to wait for the mums and dads to die which is happening at an increasingly satisfactory rate.
But I suppose the Millenials will think it unfair that some Millennials will do better out of inheritances than others so will object to those Millennials being twice-screwed.
Or not, as the case may be.
Mate, what world are you living in?
Has it occured to you that not every millenial (or zoomer, etc) has parents who are well-off?…’
——————————
It specifically points out just that in my post. The biggest inter generational wealth transfer in Australia’s history is under way. There are going to be a host of millenials who are going to be big winners out of this. They will inherit a house and shares and stuff.
These Millenials winners will, de facto, be joining in screwing other Millenials who made the really bad mistake of not choosing the right mum and dad.
____________
Yep. Millennials are gonna be the richest generation in history.*
*conditions apply. This statement refers to a mean with a highly positively skewed distribution i.e. a nice way of saying this statement doesn’t apply to you.
Gympie:
“In other words, there was absolutely no reason to boot the Howard Government”
Two words (or was it one word?): WorkChoices.
Grattan on the politics of the deportation Bill.
I assume she wrote it before Dutton folded.
IMO the question is now whether Albanese recalls parliament to push the Bill through. He will not be wanting it to muddy the all important Budget session.
https://citynews.com.au/2024/albanese-navigates-through-choppy-politcal-seas/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=canberra-daily-today-s-news-today_7801
Holdenhillbilly @ #835 Thursday, March 28th, 2024 – 3:36 pm
Is anyone surprised? It’s like the Republicans demanding Border tightening legislation, then when the Democrats gave it to them, they said, yeah nah so they could campaign on it. Same modus operandi with the Coalition here. They want to scaremonger against the government, and then fold their tents. Maybe even hope the High Court brings down a judgement that makes the legislation moot, leading to another release of detainees.
This may still happen even though they have folded today. I was just thinking, actually, that they must have had an overnight focus group that told them that siding with The Greens was not the best look and people wanted the legislation!
‘Griff says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 3:53 pm
‘Asha says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 2:23 pm
Boerwar:
I would have thought that all the Millennials have to do is to wait for the mums and dads to die which is happening at an increasingly satisfactory rate.
But I suppose the Millenials will think it unfair that some Millennials will do better out of inheritances than others so will object to those Millennials being twice-screwed.
Or not, as the case may be.
Mate, what world are you living in?
Has it occured to you that not every millenial (or zoomer, etc) has parents who are well-off?…’
——————————
It specifically points out just that in my post. The biggest inter generational wealth transfer in Australia’s history is under way. There are going to be a host of millenials who are going to be big winners out of this. They will inherit a house and shares and stuff.
These Millenials winners will, de facto, be joining in screwing other Millenials who made the really bad mistake of not choosing the right mum and dad.
____________
Yep. Millennials are gonna be the richest generation in history.*
*conditions apply. This statement refers to a mean with a highly positively skewed distribution i.e. a nice way of saying this statement doesn’t apply to you.’
=========================
Actually a large majority of Millenials will benefit. My reasoning is that around two thirds of Boomers are home owners. I assume that even the non-home owning Boomers will have some heritable assets, but that is by-the-by.
Most Millenials are going to do nicely out of the intergenerational wealth transfer.
It is nearly worth dying early so that we don’t all have to listen to their pathetic self-pity all the time.
Pueo,
Great minds think alike. 😉
Dutton’s Hard Man on asylum seekers image was flushed down the toilet yesterday when he got his people to side with The Greens. 😀
Taylormade @ #846 Thursday, March 28th, 2024 – 4:07 pm
Yes, yes, we know, you’d rather the Chinese monopolised the Solar Panel market. 😐
‘Tonifa says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:18 pm
Gympie:
“In other words, there was absolutely no reason to boot the Howard Government”
Two words (or was it one word?): WorkChoices.’
———————–
Climate. Iraq War. Afghanistan War. Biodiversity. Tax arrangements that spawned today’s housing mess. Normalizing racism.
Dandy Murray @ #834 Thursday, March 28th, 2024 – 3:36 pm
Well, okay Mr Friend to the Renewables Stars. 😀
Boerwar @ #859 Thursday, March 28th, 2024 – 4:28 pm
Pissing Mining Boom 1.0 up against the wall like drunken sailors, to keep Howard in power…
What a shambles from Dutton and Paterson. However their sneaky trick did allow the media moguls, ABC and Guardian to throw a heap of nasty brown stuff at Albo. Naturally one would not expect any sort of apology from Dutton or the media hacks.
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:22 pm
‘Griff says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 3:53 pm
‘Asha says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 2:23 pm
Boerwar:
I would have thought that all the Millennials have to do is to wait for the mums and dads to die which is happening at an increasingly satisfactory rate.
But I suppose the Millenials will think it unfair that some Millennials will do better out of inheritances than others so will object to those Millennials being twice-screwed.
Or not, as the case may be.
Mate, what world are you living in?
Has it occured to you that not every millenial (or zoomer, etc) has parents who are well-off?…’
——————————
It specifically points out just that in my post. The biggest inter generational wealth transfer in Australia’s history is under way. There are going to be a host of millenials who are going to be big winners out of this. They will inherit a house and shares and stuff.
These Millenials winners will, de facto, be joining in screwing other Millenials who made the really bad mistake of not choosing the right mum and dad.
____________
Yep. Millennials are gonna be the richest generation in history.*
*conditions apply. This statement refers to a mean with a highly positively skewed distribution i.e. a nice way of saying this statement doesn’t apply to you.’
=========================
Actually a large majority of Millenials will benefit. My reasoning is that around two thirds of Boomers are home owners. I assume that even the non-home owning Boomers will have some heritable assets, but that is by-the-by.
Most Millenials are going to do nicely out of the intergenerational wealth transfer.
It is nearly worth dying early so that we don’t all have to listen to their pathetic self-pity all the time.
_________
Haha! They would want that as well! That way you cannot fritter away (soon to be their) money via health and residential care costs.
But seriously, the population graph is an onion. There are fewer boomers than millennials in Australia. And even if I don’t question the ownership rate, that is total ownership, mortgage inclusive. It will be a lot of millennials, but unlikely to be the majority. And then there are those nursing home charges 😉
citizen says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:36 pm
“Holdenhillbilly says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 3:36 pm
WTF are the Coalition up to??
The federal opposition is indicating it will support extraordinary immigration laws the government rushed into parliament, less than a day after delaying a vote on the proposal.
An unlikely alliance emerged in the Senate on Wednesday with the Coalition, Greens and crossbench banding together to refer the bill to a Senate committee, which will not report back to parliament until May 7.
The legislation was first introduced to parliament on Tuesday morning, and the government hoped to have it dealt with before politicians left the capital for a six-week break.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-28/federal-opposition-support-immigration-laws-after-delaying-vote/103645580”
What a shambles from Dutton and Paterson. However their sneaky trick did allow the media moguls, ABC and Guardian to throw a heap of nasty brown stuff at Albo. Naturally one would not expect any sort of apology from Dutton or the media hacks.
___________
This. Got the headline and perpetuates the vibe of poor government. All courtesy of our Fourth Estate. Good political play by the Coalition to be fair. As is the nuclear argument that nuclear for power is the same as nuclear subs unfortunately. Works on low information voters.
Dandy Murray says Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 2:53 pm
To my mind there are four types of costs to a business: Capital (the money needed to start up the business), labour, energy and materials.
Capital: Costs should be similar everywhere. However, governments can and do put their thumbs on the scale here.
Materials: You would think that Australia should have an advantage with this, after all we do dig up a lot of the raw materials.
Labour: Australia has at a disadvantage compared to countries like China and India. However, this is less of an issue for capital intensive industries, or those that can be automated. Labour costs are less relevant in a factory of robots. What jobs there are will tend to be for maintenance workers who are generally payed more highly.
Energy: Australia’s energy prices are high now, but with renewables we could become one of the cheapest suppliers of energy in the world.
So, Australia may well have an advantage in those industries that are energy but not labour intensive. That will however, rely on us rolling out large supplies of low cost electricity. That means lots of solar, wind and storage as soon as possible. Note, nuclear is too slow and too expensive.
Griff says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:41 pm
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:22 pm
‘Griff says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Boerwar says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 3:53 pm
‘Asha says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 2:23 pm
Boerwar:
I would have thought that all the Millennials have to do is to wait for the mums and dads to die which is happening at an increasingly satisfactory rate.
But I suppose the Millenials will think it unfair that some Millennials will do better out of inheritances than others so will object to those Millennials being twice-screwed.
Or not, as the case may be.
Mate, what world are you living in?
Has it occured to you that not every millenial (or zoomer, etc) has parents who are well-off?…’
——————————
It specifically points out just that in my post. The biggest inter generational wealth transfer in Australia’s history is under way. There are going to be a host of millenials who are going to be big winners out of this. They will inherit a house and shares and stuff.
These Millenials winners will, de facto, be joining in screwing other Millenials who made the really bad mistake of not choosing the right mum and dad.
____________
Yep. Millennials are gonna be the richest generation in history.*
*conditions apply. This statement refers to a mean with a highly positively skewed distribution i.e. a nice way of saying this statement doesn’t apply to you.’
=========================
Actually a large majority of Millenials will benefit. My reasoning is that around two thirds of Boomers are home owners. I assume that even the non-home owning Boomers will have some heritable assets, but that is by-the-by.
Most Millenials are going to do nicely out of the intergenerational wealth transfer.
It is nearly worth dying early so that we don’t all have to listen to their pathetic self-pity all the time.
_________
Haha! They would want that as well! That way you cannot fritter away (soon to be their) money via health and residential care costs.
But seriously, the population graph is an onion. There are fewer boomers than millennials in Australia. And even if I don’t question the ownership rate, that is total ownership, mortgage inclusive. It will be a lot of millennials, but unlikely to be the majority. And then there are those nursing home charges
==========================
Getting the right mum and dad is critical!
“The federal opposition is indicating it will support extraordinary immigration laws the government rushed into parliament, … after delaying a vote on the proposal.”
—— —— ——–
The ABC link to Senator Paterson’s interview doesn’t support that at all.
What Paterson did say was that they’ll wait for the Senate to report back on May 7, in the meantime they’d be prepared to return to Canberra to pass the Legislation if the Government could demonstrate that there was an emergency.
He pointed out that the Coalition supported Emergency Legislation on the freed detainees before Christmas, yet the Government still hasn’t used those Powers, so they won’t be giving Albanese a Blank Cheque again without good reaspon and assurances that it will be used.
In other words, it’s ABC clickbait.
Anyone remember the “no questions asked” billions distributed to business during Covid ?
Members, Senators and supporters from the LNP have disqualified themselves for a generation for the haphazard, uncontrolled, unaccountable and biased payments forced upon the business community, during covid, unbelieving in their good fortune.
The “pink batts” retrieved from the disingenuous vaults are just one aspect of the Dutton opposition and overseas owned MSM, faltering in the polls, devoid of genuine policy and ideas and desperate to sully the political waters in an attempt to retrieve some gravitas in an attempt to avoid three terms in the “cheap” seats.
Nuclear armament, ICEs, interest rates, anything goes for the mob whose most recent leader has had some difficulty gaining employment overseas.
Don’t all the failed leaders, unable to gain post failed government traction, “too up themselves” to take a sinecure with the now acknowledged corrupt old LNP politicians home in the disgraced AAT, head overseas in an attempt to “make their pile”.
Morrison will be eaten alive by the “wolves” in the USA.
And Dutton will languish in “mud” he’s spent his entire political life contributing to.
Despite the new operatives, desperately beating the drums for the LNP, the LNP, Dutton and the LNP lack of policy, the LNP are banishing themselves for an eternity.
I’m in favour of a stabilising global population, which will be bumpy and uncomfortable.
This language from The Economist is pretty outrageous:
“China’s population declined for the second year in a row in 2023. The one-child policy is not the sole reason for this crisis, but its legacy will make it exceptionally hard for the country to escape demographic doom.”
Crisis?
Doom?
Give it a rest.
I think if a 2012 style wipeout is happening in QLD, your most likely scenario would be this (Images)
https://ibb.co/82cDKdr
https://ibb.co/KwPKtFD
Basically for those that can’t view, I only have Labor down to 13 seats. (Gladstone, Morayfield, Murrumba, Sandgate, Nudgee, Bulimba, Bundamba, Jordan, Inala, Algester, Toohey, Waterford, Woodridge) Some of these are coin-tosses, But this is the bloody Mary style scenario for Labor. Labor only hold Gladstone outside of SEQLD.
LNP on 71, I have the Greens on 5 seats but they lose Maiwar considering an LNP landslide probably is enough to take it. The Greens would win Cooper, McConnel, Miller and Greenslopes + South Brisbane.
Sandy Bolton would lose Noosa under the landslide as well. but all other crossbenchers retain their seats. But One Nation will get a close race vs LNP in Mirani.
This is the scenario if Labor is facing 2012. Do I expect seats like Ipswich, Sandgate, Stretton, Logan. etc. to fall? Probably not, but could if it is as bad as this scenario.
LNP 71 (+37 from 2020)
ALP 13 (-39 from 2020)
GRN 5 (+3 from 2020)
Others same, but IND is 0. (-1)
‘Rewi says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 5:01 pm
I’m in favour of a stabilising global population, which will be bumpy and uncomfortable.
This language from The Economist is pretty outrageous:
“China’s population declined for the second year in a row in 2023. The one-child policy is not the sole reason for this crisis, but its legacy will make it exceptionally hard for the country to escape demographic doom.”
Crisis?
Doom?
Give it a rest.’
—————-
Demographers have been saying mid century or thereabouts will be peak people. Risky business demographing.
China accepts hardly any migrants. Its current birth rate ensures that the population is trending down at an increasing clip. Pushed to the limits that trend is of, course, doom. In general attempts around the globe to foster an increase in birth rates fail with monotonous regularity. The Party is doing its best to interfere with the wombs and it is having some impact. But not enough to reverse the trend.
The general rule is that educated women with some economic power and access to birth control are unwilling to replicate the population.
So, not really a crisis in the population sense. Doom by disappearance? Yes.
In other terms, China has huge youth unemployment. Irene will tell us all about it any day now. China is also automating at a rapid clip. It also has a reserve workforce of around 150 million who can be deployed from peasant farming into the economy.
So, IMO, not a crisis.
Labor, at least where I am in NSW, is the party of Big Gambling. Whether it be poker machines, greyhound racing, casino gambling, Keno, sports betting, you name it. There isn’t a form of gambling that NSW Labor don’t bend over backwards to support.
‘S. Simpson says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 5:17 pm
Labor, at least where I am in NSW, is the party of Big Gambling. Whether it be poker machines, greyhound racing, casino gambling, Keno, sports betting, you name it. There isn’t a form of gambling that NSW Labor don’t bend over backwards to support.’
——————-
It is shocking. As soon as the Coalition died in the bum in NSW gambling became a state-wide curse. It is everywhere. It sprang up like field mushrooms after a shower in Autumn.
I confidently look forward to the return of the Coalition and the cessation of gambling in all its forms.
Boerwar:
“Normalizing racism.”
Of course how could I forget that?! Howard’s crowning achievement.
A modern Henty wants to dememorlialize the so-called ‘settler’ Hentys:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/mar/28/descendant-of-victorian-colonial-family-calls-for-removal-of-monuments-to-her-ancestors
Anthropomorphism gone mad. Darwin meant this bird to fall out of the nest and then to die.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/27/molly-the-magpie-queensland-premier-backs-return-of-instagram-hit-bird-to-couple-after-being-seized
Boerwar @ #873 Thursday, March 28th, 2024 – 5:23 pm
100%
The NSW State Labor government is only pretending to do something about gambling. 😐
Law-abiding citizens have zero to fear – except from non law-abiding citizens.
Moral panic mongering abounds.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/mar/28/labor-deportation-bill-controvery-comment-visas
Quite the circus with the NSW Flatfoots… 4th media head to be dumped in 2 years.
BREAKING
The NSW Police Force has dumped a former Network Seven producer as its senior media advisor following ongoing controversy.
Veteran journalist Steve Jackson was announced as the head of the police media unit earlier in March.
………..
The change of heart appears to stems from the intense publicity surrounding Mr Jackson’s role in a bizarre saga involving another former Network Seven producer, Taylor Auerbach, and Bruce Lehrmann.
Previous reports claimed Mr Auerbach used a Seven West credit card to book two $1000 Thai massages – one for him and one for Mr Lehrmann – in the early hours of November 26, 2022.
It was also reported that Mr Lehrmann stayed at Mr Auerbach’s home in Elizabeth Bay for some hours after the massage, and expenses amounting to a total of $2940 were charged to the corporate card.
The late-night meeting was said to have taken place during negotiations for Mr Lehrmann’s exclusive interviews on the network’s flagship current affairs program, Spotlight, which aired in June and August last year.
It is understood Mr Auerbach used the corporate card without the knowledge of key Spotlight staff. Text messages later emerged showing Mr Jackson, a senior producer, allegedly guiding Mr Auerbach on how to reverse the massage transaction.
There is no suggestion Mr Jackson has done anything wrong, and he did not have anything to do with arranging the massages, or the use of the company credit card.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13247541/steve-jackson-karen-webb.html
Unedifying:
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2024/mar/28/how-child-labour-in-india-makes-the-paving-stones-beneath-our-feet
Millennials will inherit a lot in the next few decades and most will at least get a significant amount, but NB:
– it will be affected by how many children their parents have
– whether they are disowned or disinherited
In any case, for most millenials it will be too late to use the money to give their children a reasonable upbringing.
I was lucky that I was an only child. I also chose not to have children.
Senator Tammy Tyrrell just quit JLN 10 minutes ago.
The drama with the PC media head is just so unnecessary and an own goal. Do these people know how to use Google?
https://youtu.be/9zKTWLYGzlo
Senator Tammy Tyrrell has quit the Jacqui Lambie Network.
This is bad for the federal government as it means that they now need to deal with Lambie and Tyrrell separately. Just makes the Senate a little harder.
It is also bad news for Tasmanian Liberals. If the Lambie Network can’t keep two people together in a house of review, how can they keep three people together to support a government that some of them really don’t support.
Rebeccasays:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 6:15 pm
Senator Tammy Tyrrell just quit JLN 10 minutes ago.
______________________________________
This never gets boring to watch – also very appropriate…
https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/queensland/senator-tammy-tyrrell-tumbles-on-cataract-gorges-hamster-wheel/video/04675ad01ce575bc2dc0b4eabd20aba7
Whoa, that’s news out of nowhere. I’m curious about the story of what caused that to happen between Lambie and Tyrrell.
I have a feeling that it could be the result of the Tasmanian election, maybe Tyrrell not approving of supporting the Liberals, or Lambie getting the feeling that she can do with a better running mate. If it’s the latter, Lambie will be most frustrated since her term will last until 2028.
I think any party with an individual’s name in the title would be one to be avoided
China drops tariffs on Australian wine, effective tomorrow.
https://www.theage.com.au/world/asia/china-drops-tariffs-on-australian-wine-20240328-p5fg2c.html
gambling !!
The introduction of the TAB will fix it ?
Legal casinos will fix it ?
Relaxing poker machine rules will fix it ?
Poker machines in pubs will fix it ?
Cashless debit cards will fix it ?
Keno on line will fix it ?
Privatization of lotteries will fix it ?
Gambling monopolises will fix it ?
Banning high rollers will fix it ?
Banning insider trading will fix it ?
Banning political wealth imbalance will fix it ?
Losing money regularly certainly doesn’t fix it !!!!
Blaming any government of any persuasion for being unable or unwilling to ban gambling in the giant quarry where the big gambling takes place is “pissing into the wind”.
A massive worry – getting pissed and gambling !
“a land of sweeping plains” on which to gamble in everyway !
Kirsdarke
“ China drops tariffs on Australian wine, effective tomorrow.”
https://www.theage.com.au/world/asia/china-drops-tariffs-on-australian-wine-20240328-p5fg2c.html
A great win for the SA rural economy in particular. Wine is our largest export by value and employs a lot of people. Well done Penny Wong and Farrall (again).
‘B. S. Fairman says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 6:22 pm
https://youtu.be/9zKTWLYGzlo
Senator Tammy Tyrrell has quit the Jacqui Lambie Network.
This is bad for the federal government as it means that they now need to deal with Lambie and Tyrrell separately. Just makes the Senate a little harder.
It is also bad news for Tasmanian Liberals. If the Lambie Network can’t keep two people together in a house of review, how can they keep three people together to support a government that some of them really don’t support.’
———————-
Government by Gaggle
The Wonders of the Crossbench.
One of the JLN three in Tasmania supports the stadium apparently. The other two oppose it. Ms Lambie wants to stick the stadium up somone’s bottom, with venom.
‘Socrates says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 6:46 pm
Kirsdarke
“ China drops tariffs on Australian wine, effective tomorrow.”
https://www.theage.com.au/world/asia/china-drops-tariffs-on-australian-wine-20240328-p5fg2c.html
A great win for the SA rural economy in particular. Wine is our largest export by value and employs a lot of people. Well done Penny Wong and Farrall (again).’
—————————-
Ahem. The Morrison Government deserves a smidgin of praise here. It took China to the WTO on Barley and Wine. China folded in the face of what were almost certain to be highly embarrassing losses in the WTO.
That said there is no doubt at all that Wong and Farrell are streets ahead in terms of competence compared to their predecessors.
Unfortunately the wine trade will not just turn itself back on. Others have moved into to fill the vacuum.
China itself has set itself on a course to produce top quality wines.
Sprocket – I think we might see the “Tammy Team”!
Why are all the parties named after someone are of the right?
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation
Nick Xenophon’s Team
Jacqui Lambie Network
Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party
Palmer United Party
Plus the left behind senators’ Glenn Lazarus Team, Rex Patrick team, Tim Storer’s Independent SA party, Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party, Pauline’s United Australia Party…
B.S. Fairman at 6.22 pm
“It is also bad news for Tasmanian Liberals. If the Lambie Network can’t keep two people together in a house of review, how can they keep three people together to support a government that some of them really don’t support.”
The personalities, to be determined by final Tassie results, might be different. Tyrrell was Lambie’s long-term office assistant, and chosen by Lambie because the latter could trust her. However, Labor may find it easier to convince Tyrrell than Lambie. Here are two paras from Tyrrell’s first speech:
“I’ve been unemployed. In between, I worked for 15 years in employment services, helping the long-term unemployed back into work. This is what I saw. When you first lose your job, people will ask you, ‘What do you do for a living?’ and you say your old job like you still do it. It’s just out of habit. At least when it starts, it’s habit. Then you’re out of the job a little longer, and it’s out of convenience. It’s a white lie, but it’s simpler, because it’s what you’ll be doing again in no time at all. Then a bit of time passes, and you realise that maybe you won’t be. You start to say you’re between jobs, which is like saying you’re adrift, but land is in sight. You say it to reassure the person you’re saying it to. But then a little while passes, and you’re still saying you’re between jobs. You end up saying it a few too many times to the same few people. You keep telling them land is in sight, but you never make it there. And it gets embarrassing, so they stop asking, and you know why they’re not asking you anymore. You ask a kid what her dad does, and she’ll tell you what his job is.
Tasmania has places where people grow up watching their parents be unemployed, and it breaks my heart. I’ve seen bright, funny, confident people get broken by a long stint out of work. They get humiliated by it. It’s like coming last in a beauty contest every single day. It’s a kind of trauma, and it’s bloody hard to come back from. Decent people deserve decent work for decent pay. That’s what I care about. When you’re out of work you deserve help to get back on your feet. You deserve a lift up and respect for the strength it takes to lift yourself up off the floor. If you can’t work, we should be working for you to make your life better.”
https://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/search/display/display.w3p;query=Id%3A%22chamber%2Fhansards%2F25574%2F0128%22
B.S.F. the answer to your last query is basic: the Libs and the 3 “JLN” MPs, if three are elected, will share a common interest in avoiding another election. So they will all have a strong incentive to agree.
Boerwar at 6.47 pm
“Ms Lambie wants to stick the stadium up someone’s bottom, with venom.”
Past tense please, since that is what she said weeks ago, isn’t it?
It is clear that most Tasmanians voted against the stadium. If the erstwhile JLNers support that waste of money, that could damage Lambie’s re-election chances. She is up for re-election next time.
I am not sure self-preservation is going to be a strong enough driver with some of the possible JLN MPs.
Plus we don’t know who is going to win yet. So for example in Bass, it is between Pentland and Armstrong. In the other two seats, it is anyone’s chance really.
“Anthropomorphism gone mad. Darwin meant this bird to fall out of the nest and then to die.”
Really? Why are you resisting the wombat world domination?
‘Dr Doolittle says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 6:58 pm
Boerwar at 6.47 pm
“Ms Lambie wants to stick the stadium up someone’s bottom, with venom.”
Past tense please, since that is what she said weeks ago, isn’t it?
It is clear that most Tasmanians voted against the stadium. If the erstwhile JLNers support that waste of money, that could damage Lambie’s re-election chances. She is up for re-election next time.’
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It is an interesting one.
The stadium was, and is, a big and real issue.
The Party with the most votes and the most MPs supports the stadium. It needs a minor party to govern. The leader of that minor party has been consistently and vociferously against the stadium. But already the minor party MPs are taking quite opposite sides from one another.
An unpredictable rabble comes readily to mind.
Please negotiate!
If the JLN backs the Liberal government and it doesn’t go down well with Lambie’s base, she could be in trouble herself. She only got 0.6241 of quota – if was to drop a bit One Nation becomes a threat.
‘Pueo says:
Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 7:07 pm
“Anthropomorphism gone mad. Darwin meant this bird to fall out of the nest and then to die.”
Really? Why are you resisting the wombat world domination?’
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haha.
At the moment we are too frightened to step out through our backdoor because of the myrmidons of paper wasps that are hovering with intent just above the lintel. I assume they are increasingly desperate as food supplies diminish, the weather cools and their months in the sun end in the inevitable. First they live and then they die.
On the other matter we have massively altered the Australian environment in favour of magpies.
By way of returning the favour they behave like street hoodlums.
I used to have the legal power to confiscate boats and planes and trains should they be used illegally for wildlife bad things.
But one thing is for sure. Whoever targeted this particular maggie just does not get it. That maggie has already been denatured. Even with some thorough training, a return to the wild would almost certainly result in the territory owners killing it in short order.