The voting intention numbers from the latest fortnightly Essential Research survey, which include a 5% undecided component (up one), have Labor down one to 33%, the Coalition steady on 31%, the Greens steady on 14% and One Nation down one to 5%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor up a point to 53%, the Coalition down two to 41% and undecided up one to 5% (the missing point being down to rounding).
The Essential Research report also features the pollster’s monthly “leaders favourability ratings”, which invite respondents to rate Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton on scales from one to ten, as distinct from its separate and more conventional measure of approval and disapproval. After a seven point drop for Albanese in the previous survey for “positive” ratings (seven to ten), this survey has him up a point to 41%, while negative ratings (zero to three) are down four to 24% after a six point increase last time, and neutral (four to six) are up two to 30%. Peter Dutton is down three on positive to 23% and up two on negative to 35%, with neutral up a point to 34%.
A monthly question on national direction finds “right direction” sneaking back into the lead over “wrong track” after falling behind last time, being respectively up three to 41% and down four to 39%. Other findings from the poll include 48% support for raising the rate of JobSeeker with 29% opposed, and 52% support for allowing New Zealanders who meet character tests to become Australian citizens after four years of residency with 22% opposed.
Ahead of the budget, the poll finds 41% approving of Jim Chalmers’ performance as Treasurer with disapproval at 27%, although a forced response question on whether respondents were able to name him as Treasurer came down 67-33 against. Respondents were asked if they felt current spending in seven policy areas was too high or too low, which found health and Medicare leading the field by some distance on 56% for too low. Despite recent awareness-raising exercises on various fronts, only 18% felt national security and defence spending was too low while 26% felt it was too high, the latter being the biggest out of the seven.
Respondents were also asked if various categories of tax rate were too low or too high: only “taxes for international corporations” scored a plurality for too low, with super, property and income taxes all scoring a shade below 50% for too high. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1130.
Further recent polling:
• The most recent Resolve Strategic poll had 43% support for raising JobSeeker with 31% opposed; 34% support for cancelling or scaling back stage three tax cuts with 23 opposed; 60% support for increasing the corporate tax rate, with 13% opposed; 58% support for increasing the tax on resource company profits, with 12% opposed; and pluralities in favour of reducing concessions on negative gearing, capital gains, superannuation and franking credits. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday before last from a sample of 1609.
• This week’s Roy Morgan voting intention results have Labor’s two-party lead narrowing to 53.5-46.5, which is apparently in from 56.5-43.5 (though it was 56-44 when I checked a week ago), from primary votes of Labor 36%, Coalition 35.5% and Greens 13% (my record of last week’s results shows Labor at 37%, Coalition 33% and Greens 12%). The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday – as usual, nothing is offered on sample size, survey method of preference method (Kevin Bonham calculates that Labor is a point higher on two-party based on 2022 election flows).
• The Age/Herald reported on Monday that a YouGov poll for the pro-Voice Uluru Dialogue group, which encompassed a vast national sample of 15,060, had 51% in favour of an Indigenous Voice and 34% opposed, with yes leading 52-32 in New South Wales, 53-31 in Victoria, 47-40 in Queensland, 48-37 in Western Australia, 51-34 in South Australia, 50-35 in Tasmania, 64-24 in the Australian Capital Territory and 52-32 in the Northern Territory. Respondents were specifically asked how they would vote if the referendum to be held “on a proposal to establish a Voice to Parliament for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders in the Constitution” were held today. This turns out to be the poll cited by Rebecca Huntley of The Guardian last week which found support among Indigenous people at 83%, from a substantial sub-sample of 732. However, the poll was conducted well over a month ago, from March 1 to 21.
In no way is this pathetic and … no wait it very very much is …
Finally people are admitting they are watching. This is healthy folks. Let it go. Let it go.
Nah, watching Jane Fonda.
the Crown Jewels are out. Literally.
I’d love to steal that Orb.
Is that Albo wiping away a tear on the footage?
If Albo takes a knee, the Republican movement is over.
Shouldn’t Kate and the great Willy look like fuckwits too?
Shit yeah
watching the coronation is much better stoned I think.
Is Sir Elton John gonna play Dianna’s part in this deeply weird cosplay?
“watching the coronation is much better stoned I think.”
I watched the hunger games and I’m going to bed, this is just a great laugh between two important things …
I can see the Green Lizard King in red polka dot boxer shorts already … freaking awesome!
I’m watching …, albeit the bulldogs (a UK national treasure) currently leading GWS on Channel 7.
Charles looks like he’s ready for nap time
Wait Chuck has got a train a paramatta bride would die for
nath @ #1350 Saturday, May 6th, 2023 – 7:55 pm
Nah. These guys might be more appropriate.
https://youtu.be/nnBO9Phxz6A
I’m not quite sure is Christ Risen from the dead or is Chuck III the living dead?
Will Bryn Terfel sing “Danny Boy” too?
Cue the chorus of nathsayers…
By their postings shall thee block them.
I am watching with my partner .
Is King Charles thinking “Finally”
Or
“Finally I made it”
Or
“Mama you couldn’t stop me”
There will be a test at the end of the coronation
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23797953-in-the-strictest-of-confidence-and-strictly-under-embargo-until-0001hrs-saturday-6th-may-coronation-order-of-service
naff: “Most people are watching.”
A 1998 episode of Beck (Sweden) on Prime.
No mullets atop the page boys
”
WeWantPaulsays:
Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:07 pm
I’m not quite sure is Christ Risen from the dead or is Chuck III the living dead?
”
I thought the archbishop said that because King Charles is”Defender of faith “. He is implying Christ reincarnated as King Charles.
Impossible Engineering
Enough Already,
they are bombing Bakhmut with phosphorus because they are running short on everything. It’ won’t be long till the counter punch goes hard against the Russians.
The silver ends of the tootie trumpets look too shallow to be effective.
The Bible is the greatest thing the world has to offer. Apparently.
Ooh, lots of whispering.
WeWantPaul says:
“I’m not quite sure is Christ Risen from the dead or is Chuck III the living dead?”
He’s not the Messiah.
He’s a very nobby boy.
shellbell says:
Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:12 pm
No mullets atop the page boys
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
De rigueur at the elite Anglican Brighton Grammar school near me.
Thank God the pen worked this time.
When I visited Westminster Abbey in December, 2022, with my family, we entered from the right of TV screen. The entrance by which King entered was closed at that time.
A well behaved lot even in the cheap seats there, haven’t caught anyone checking their phone yet.
Is Rishi Anglican?
Rishi Sunak is reciting from the Holy book.
I thought that Charles had banned fountain pend from the Realm…
I want it noted that I am not watching the abomination.
”
mjsays:
Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:27 pm
Is Rishi Anglican?
”
No he is practicing Hindu. He took oath of office as PM on Hindu holy book BhagavadGeeta
It was a lot smaller than I expected.
I would love to see a PM take the oath on the Kama Sutra.
Q: Rishi Sunak is reciting from the Holy book.
No he is practicing Hindu. He took oath of office as PM on Hindu holy book BhagavadGeeta
Just another example of the ridiculous hypocrisy and nonsense of all this.
My enthusiasm is fading fast. Your humble correspondent is bowing out. The religious shit done me in.
Yeah agree boring – let’s do a subs lecture from andy/Socrates or better still a finance lecture from H.w.g.a
”
Pueosays:
Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:33 pm
When I visited Westminster Abbey in December, 2022, with my family, we entered from the right of TV screen. The entrance by which King entered was closed at that time.
It was a lot smaller than I expected.
”
It is big. All other space is mostly occupied by the tombs of previous monarchs and remembrances of various famous English people through centuries.It is behind this hall.
I found it a bit weird that I was walking on tombs if my memory is not failing me.
nath
No one does pomp and ceremony better than the British.
The Poms do love their panto.
Curiously, the only professional actress in the family (the King’s own daughter-in-law) is not even part of the show.
Plaques. I assumed there would be rope barriers to keep tourists off actual tombs.
WeWantPaul
Is there a Roy & HG feed of this pathetic farce?
Sadly not. Otherwise the Shogun household might have considered tuning in to this tedious frippery.
Nath, did you happen to see anyone who looked like they needed to visit the loo urgently?
King Charles is not facing the the audience. 🙂
He is facing the portrait of Christ.