Two new federal opinion poll results today:
• The long-awaited set of voting intention numbers from Resolve Strategic finds Labor down a point on last month to 39%, the Coalition down one to 30%, the Greens up three to 13% and One Nation steady on 5%. The Coalition gets a particularly bad set of numbers from Queensland, where they are down 11 points to 24% with Labor steady on 39%. No two-party preferred is provided, but I make it at close to 60-40 in favour of Labor. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% and up one on disapproval to 31%, while Peter Dutton is up three to 32% and down one to 44%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 55-23 to 51-22. The poll was conducted Sunday to Thursday from a sample of 1600.
• The fortnightly voting intention numbers from Essential Research, which include a 5% undecided component, have Labor up two to 34%, the Coalition down one to 31%, the Greens up two to 14% and One Nation down two to 5%. Labor’s lead on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure widens from 49-44 to 52-43, the balance being undecided. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1124.
As was the case with the Resolve Strategic poll with numbers published on Saturday, the Essential Research poll featured further results on AUKUS, finding 40% agreement with contention that the submarine agreement would “make Australia more secure” (down four from November) versus 21% for less secure (up five) and 40% saying it would have no impact (up one). Respondents were also less inclined to rate that China was a threat needing to be confronted than in November, down six to 20%, and correspondingly more favourable to the alternative view that it was a “complex relationship to be managed”, up six to 67%, with an unchanged 13% considering it “a positive opportunity to be realised”. Twenty-six per cent considered the purchase worth the expense, 27% felt the submarines were necessary but the expense too great, and 28% believed the submarines were unnecessary.
An occasional series of questions on leaders’ attributes, the first such since February last year, found Anthony Albanese’s biggest strength to be that he was in control of his team (59%), while 54% felt he changed his opinions too much and 49% rated him out of touch with ordinary people. Peter Dutton scored weak results across the board, his strongest being that 47% felt him in control of his team, and his weakest being 61% for out of touch and 34% or 35% for visionary, understanding of women’s issues and more honest than other politicians.
In other poll news, JWS Research finds 42% favouring a yes vote in an Indigenous voice referendum, down one since August, with 28% for no, down five; and the latest Roy Morgan voting intention results, conducted from March 6 to 12, have Labor leading 56.5-43.5 from primary votes of Labor 37%, Coalition 34% and Greens 12.5%.
Labor? Taking the lead on suppressing neo nazis, the crazy right and supporting the Voice
The Coalition? As usual, scrambling, dragging their arses and doing unicorns and stunts.
The Greens? Spent 8 months tearing down the Voice and are now doing a secret Greens trial of Greens feminists who expressed concerns about aspects of Greens trans policies.
The Bludger trolls? Baiting with Thorpe and Henderson.
Senator Thorpe is owed an apology, at the very least, by all who physically and verbally assaulted her.
This will upset the cooker wing of the Greens/Cooker Nimby Alliance against wind generators.
https://www.woolcock.org.au/news/wind-farm-noise-not-harmful?fbclid=IwAR2JB2jSa–e9YNdVQdQP04jPzdrG6t6vVjOKgCVGHvZxistGknkcOr28VE
Rex Douglas
It’s all very unfortunate for both of them.
Is it? What exactly has Senator Watt done that’s so unfortunate? Hansard and I totally missed it.
Imagine the uproar from the luvvies of the far left if Senator Watt had actually done something that was heinous. Such as (oh I don’t know) lie down in front of the youth support services float at the Mardi Gras. The outrage would be unending.
“Question marks will hang over Murray Watts character if the alleged comments aren’t stated”
Hey Smartarse Liberal Toady, I know Murray personally and he is a top bloke. Pull yer head in.
Shogun
Watt called out people siding with Nazis and anti trans activists.
You can see why that would upset some.
George Bush’s grandfather, the late US senator Prescott Bush, was a director and shareholder of companies that profited from their involvement with the financial backers of Nazi Germany.
The Guardian has obtained confirmation from newly discovered files in the US National Archives that a firm of which Prescott Bush was a director was involved with the financial architects of Nazism.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/sep/25/usa.secondworldwar
Wealthy bankers and businessmen plotted to overthrow FDR. A retired general foiled it.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/b007tbs0
Edit
There is a strong link between Trumps rhetoric & that of MacGuire.
As an aside Trumps tweets on Alvin Bragg should result in Trump not getting bail when he is charged next week.
I’m so thankful I’m not in NSW and destined to be ruled over by either of the duds Minns or Perrottet. A very depressing day for constituents there.
nath
It was at the same time that Birmingham was talking about Nazis. It’s possible she misheard what was being said and thought the word ‘nazi’ came from Watt, following his comment about ‘right wing members’.
Yes all of this is possible. It’s also possible that Martians built the pyramids, and that the Moon is made if cheese.
But I prefer to go with the evidence, rather than idle and tendentious speculation – in this case voiced by people who are mad keen to impugn a Labor senator.
….as I’ve said before, if you assume a negative comment has been directed at you, that suggests something about you.
You could throw around all the Nazi accusations you liked and I wouldn’t assume that you were addressing me. You’d have to absolutely spell it out before I did that.
“Someone mentioned Nazis, therefore they were talking about me..” isn’t a great defence.
Rex Douglas
I’m so thankful I’m not in NSW and destined to be ruled over by either of the duds Minns or Perrottet. A very depressing day for constituents there.
Thanks for your concern, but this particular constituent feels just fine. Depending on the results, I might feel even finer.
Either way, there is a bottle of saki awaiting my attention later.
There’s no doubt in my mind that Senator Thorpe is a victim of the same underlying racist sentiment that Adam Goodes suffered from.
Based on that performance Senator Henderson would be well advised to enrol at NIDA for the introductory course.
I’m so thankful Rex Douglas isn’t in NSW too.
Rex Douglas
There’s no doubt in my mind that Senator Thorpe is a victim of the same underlying racist sentiment that Adam Goodes suffered from.
Oh fuck off.
Handing out HTVs at Aston pre-poll.
Looks like he wants to get back into the fray….
Lol Sprocket
zoomster says:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:07 pm
Hansard:
https://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Hansard/Hansard_Display?bid=chamber/hansards/26449/&sid=0000
Senator BIRMINGHAM: The unity with which all mainstream political parties in Australia have stood against Nazi ideology, Nazi sympathisers and Nazi propaganda—
Senator Watt: You sent the text messages.
Senator BIRMINGHAM: has provided a strong and enduring protection against a known evil being able to inflict harm on our society.
Senator Henderson: You are a disgrace.
The PRESIDENT: Senator Birmingham, could you resume your seat.
Senator Watt: You’re a disgrace.
———————————————————————————
The public record provides no substance to any reasoning for Henderson’s tears. In this event, they’re manufactured. The content of the texts however might provide further context.
Having failed in everything else, Rex throws the racist card.
Poor Rex.
I wish I had the eloquence of Shogun, who more succinctly expressed my initial sentiments, but.
I suspect that Sarah Henderson has copped a fair amount of criticism/”abuse” from members of the public since the text messages have come out. Also other Liberals privatively would told her off for sticking her nose into state parliamentary party politics.
The pressure of that might have had her on edge and she might have just cracked at that moment. I don’t think her emotion was faked as some are suggesting but I am not sure Murray Watt’s comments were the primary cause. Who actually knows what was going through her head at the time.
If there had been something truly bad said by Watt, the Liberals would be briefing every News Ltd/Sky journalist that they could get onto. So far they have not done that.
B.S. Fairman 1:52pm
“ If there had been something truly bad said by Watt, the Liberals would be briefing every News Ltd/Sky journalist that they could get onto. So far they have not done that.”
—————————————————
My point exactly since very early this morning. This would’ve been an opportunity too good to miss had Watt truly said something out of order. The Coalition and the Murdochracy would’ve gone berserk. Instead, we essentially have silence and no attempts have been made to contradict the public record. In the absence of further information, what else then are we expected to make of the situation other than it appears contrived?
Cronus says:
Instead, we essentially have silence and no attempts have been made to contradict the public record. In the absence of further information, what else then are we expected to make of the situation other than it appears contrived?
____________
It’s like I’m sitting at the feet of Hercule Poirot.
The trolls are well fed today.
Sadly.
the stooges are plump and tasty today.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/25/peter-dutton-is-stuck-in-no-mans-land-on-the-voice-and-he-risks-cementing-his-reputation-as-a-wrecker
Conviction politician?
I think the smart move from Dutton is say the Liberal party will be neutral and the MPs and senators campaign for or against the vote. Especially if he plays it as a “the Australian voters don’t need parties to tell them how to vote” type approach. He knows if he was to opposes or supports the vote, he will lose a large section of the party – there is no way he can control how the MPs and Senators will behave so why pretend.
Senator Henderson’s problem seems to be she as caught out being in the group that is trying stop Moira Deeming being expelled from the Liberal party room.
It must be very difficult times in the Liberal party. Trying to ride both sides of the fence is taking it’s toll.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/21/bid-to-expel-moira-deeming-mp-victoria-liberal-party
Rex Douglassays:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 1:05 pm
There’s no doubt in my mind that Senator Thorpe is a victim of the same underlying racist sentiment that Adam Goodes suffered from.
————————–
The people booing Adam Goodes would have given their first born for Adam Goodes to be in their team.
maybi given murray watt is clearly one of the best performing labor senaters hopefuly he will run for a lower house seat in brisbaine to triy and winn it for labor if watt was not sceen as a strong performer both in his portfoleo andin senate question time especialy on industrial relaetions matters against Cash would liberals attack him the party never goes after weaker performers like Don farell a bit rich for michaelia cash to have a go at anyone thoughgiven her performents in parliament she said the new ir law would distroy the economy
it seems watt who is a lawer will one day be a senyor minister and is sceen as one of the best performing ministers in the senate it would be good if some of qlds weaker federal mps shain newman and graham perit retired to make way for watt would be a good attack dog
From the Age
Controversial anti-trans campaigner Kellie-Jay Keen-Minshull has been escorted away by police from a rally in New Zealand before she could speak after she was met by an angry crowd.
Crowds, mainly consisting of trans-rights supporters, had gathered in Auckland’s Albert Park ahead of Keen-Minshull’s appearance, which came on the back of her highly controversial visit to Australia.
A small fight broke out as Keen-Minshull made her way through the barricade to speak to the crowds. She was escorted out again shortly before 11.30am, as crowds booed at her. She appeared to have been pelted by tomato soup.
A Stuff reporter at Albert Park said from the moment Keen-Minshull entered the barricade, tension between the groups, separated by a ring of barricades, started to boil over.
It took just 3-4 minutes before every side of the barricade had collapsed and counter-protesters had made their way through to surround Keen-Minshull.
Related Article
One of Keen-Minshull’s supporters, wearing a red “Let Women Speak” vest appears to grab and pull at Thorpe before the senator fell heavily to the ground.
Protests
Rally organiser denies mystery lady in red brought down Thorpe
No police could be seen inside where the barricades had stood, and less than 10 security guards worked to keep the crowd from overrunning the band rotunda.
It took only a few more minutes before crowds managed to climb over and Keen-Minshull was surrounded on all sides.
A group of four security guards formed a human shield around her for 10 minutes as the crowd slowly pressed forward.
Fights continued to break out in the crowd, as they ripped down the last fence that was protecting Keen-Minshull from behind.
Henderson was seposed to be a moderit but is supporting people who want to attack trans rights it was disgraceful of dutton to use this ishue as a stunt to bring a rushed bill from his aterney general to imbaress labor to triy and wedge them on this ishue then for bermingham to pull the same stunt in the senate two days later shows thedutton did not condem the victorian protesters yet Henderson is the victem because she was court out undermining the parties victorian leader to install bradd batton
i can think of more disgraceful coments what about michaelia cashs outburst in senate attacking shortins staff or morrisons apoligie to victems of abuse where he deliberately undermind higgins case or renyolds attacking higgins and protending she is the victem after the dpp droped the case because they did not want to procede but poor henderson backing attacks on trans people is okay along with interfearing in your state parliament to undermine your leader
B.S. Fairmansays:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 2:40 pm
Yep, but then Dutton won’t be able to hide behind the Party process and continue to avoid declaring his personal view.
nath
the stooges are plump and tasty today.
Shogun is flattered – but will decline your offer to put myself in your mouth.
Senator Henderson lost the popular vote in Geelong (house of representatives) so she was gifted a senate seat, she is well in with one of the Liberal factions.
John Pesutto is smart enough to know the party is going down a dead end.
Perhaps Henderson has backed the wrong horse. I don’t know. But it does seem strange she burst into tears, the fact that she sent text messages in support of Moira Deeming is public knowledge.
Henderson is one of those nasty bullies who can dish it out, but if things get a bit hot, gets all self-righteous, bursts into tears and plays the victim card….Nicole Flint (my local member) was great at it too.
I have no sympathy for her. There are consequences to her actions….
I’ve been hibernating for awhile and in the mean time I seem to have lost the ability to block assorted ning nongs.Is this Bludger policy or my settings?
Barney in Cherating says:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 3:28 pm
B.S. Fairmansays:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 2:40 pm
I think the smart move from Dutton is say the Liberal party will be neutral and the MPs and senators campaign for or against the vote. Especially if he plays it as a “the Australian voters don’t need parties to tell them how to vote” type approach. He knows if he was to opposes or supports the vote, he will lose a large section of the party – there is no way he can control how the MPs and Senators will behave so why pretend.
Yep, but then Dutton won’t be able to hide behind the Party process and continue to avoid declaring his personal view.
——————————————————————————————-
There will only be two options to vote for on the referendum, yes or no. If Dutton is unable to commit to declaring Yes publicly, it’s not unreasonable to assume he is voting No. If he thinks he’s safe sitting on the fence by not making a declaration then he’s misreading the public because if not Yes then it must be No. He might be better having the conviction to say exactly what he’s doing rather than playing games, nobody is fooled by his games, he has unambiguous history on Indigenous issues.
Torchbearer says:
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 3:40 pm
Henderson is one of those nasty bullies who can dish it out, but if things get a bit hot, gets all self-righteous, bursts into tears and plays the victim card….Nicole Flint (my local member) was great at it too.
That is the other strange thing about the whole thing, Henderson is no shrinking violet. The whole nazi solute thing looks like a cover for the Liberals getting mixed up with the anti trans nonsense ( where are the votes in that) and perhaps she was already under pressure because of the mess made.
Who said he left the country on a midnight flights..
Former prime minister Scott Morrison has made a rare appearance today, supporting NSW Attorney General Mark Speakman and Liberal MP Eleni Petinos on the campaign trail.
Morrison posted a selfie on Instagram with both MPs, cheering his Shire colleagues on:
Sceptic @ #1242 Saturday, March 25th, 2023 – 3:53 pm
Wonder if Miranda can deliver a 27% swing today.
Cronulla is a lost cause.
Q: The whole nazi solute thing looks like a cover for the Liberals getting mixed up with the anti trans nonsense ( where are the votes in that) and perhaps she was already under pressure because of the mess made.
Exactly- they were tears of self pity for her very public stupid actions…..I presume people like that think tears will make the problem go away.
Looks like the convicts are going to replace the rum core.
test
Seems the men in the school board thought David was packing too much heat and was making them look bad!
Principal fired after Florida students shown Michelangelo statue
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65071989
test 2
Grime, I’m attempting to post a link to a plugin that might help you, but my posts are being ignored. Do you know about the PB Comments Plugin? You might be able to find it in your favourite online play store. The plugin should give you what you’re looking for.
There is a shortage of teachers in Australia. It looks like the southern US states might be a good place to do some recruiting.