Essential Research’s fortnightly report continues to not feature voting intention, and its monthly leadership ratings are continuing to not feature Peter Dutton. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% in this month’s result, while his disapproval is up four to 28%. Some steam has also gone out of a post-election surge on a monthly national direction question, on which 43% find Australia headed in the right direction, down four, with wrong direction up three to 31%.
In a series of “performance of the Albanese government” questions, there was a 56-44 majority in favour of it having its priorities right, 54-46 majorities for getting things done and being in touch and 52-48 for addressing long-term problems, although a 51-49 majority felt it too idealistic. A series on “support for federal government measures is less good: 60% want the fuel excise cut extended, with only 12% supporting the government’s intention to not do so, 44% support higher JobSeeker payments, with 27% opposed, and 42% want a delay in “stage three income tax cuts, which predominantly benefits higher income earners”, with 25% opposed.
“Awareness of proposed Voice to Parliament” would appear to be fairly low, with 33% saying they had heard nothing of it in the past month and 32% saying hardly anything, compared with 5% for a lot and 29% for a fair amount. With the notion explained, 65% said they were in favour and 35% opposed. Seventy-five per cent supported a parliamentary pledge to “Australia and the Australian people”, with only 15% opting for the Queen. The survey was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1075.
Also out this week is a post-election survey report from JWS Research, conducted from a sample of 1000 in the two days after the May 21 election. Asked what was most important in deciding their vote, more chose for “the party as a whole” than for “specific policies or issues”, and fewer still for the leaders and candidates, but Coalition voters were most inclined to rate the first of these and Greens voters uniquely favoured the second.
On issue salience, there was a 53-10 majority for economic over environmental issues among Coalition voters, but a 36-29 majority the other way among Labor voters, both sets of numbers being hardly changed from a similar survey after the 2019 election. An exercise in which respondents were asked whether or not the election campaign possessed various qualities also produced results very similar to 2019: 56-16 for important over not important, 39-30 for not interesting over interesting, 38-27 for negative over positive, 42-24 for deceitful over honest, 51-22 for same old stuff over new and different. For whatever reason, impressions were more negative across the board in 2016.
Thirty-six per cent rated the Labor campaign positive and 35% negative, compared with 28% and 44% for the Coalition. From 44% who said they favoured a Labor government, 25% favoured a majority and 19% a minority government; from 33% who favoured a Coalition government, 24% favoured a majority and 9% a majority.
Barrie has spoken ..!
davosays:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 1:49 pm
This nath creature seems like the ultimate concern troll, you’re all being played.
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Not all!!
re Lake Garda:
Daughter and son-in-law have a holiday home in the hills above the northern part of Lake Garda. So far these summer (school) holidays the family has not gone down to it, partly because of the water situation in the area and partly because in the prevailing European heat it is cooler (but not cool) to stay in the alpine area of Bavaria in a 17th century stone house.
Itza, as an aside on European heat, you might be interested to know daughter and son-in-law went to the opening performance of Lohengrin in Bayreuth the week before last. The temperature was 37C, making conditions in the theatre for both audience and performers “interesting”.
Edit: punctuation and spelling
Why have himself sworn in as ‘co-Resources Minister’? Health and Finance I can kind of see the point of during a pandemic. But resources? Why?
Also: why not have the Deputy PM sworn in as a co-minister? If we are talking about establishing redundant systems and contingency planning, don’t we need more than just one level?
I played Cricket with a bloke called “Wayne Kerr”. I kid you not. He did bowl a good Chinaman though
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When I was growing up, some local lads were Peter and Andrew Ness. They were a bit rough and very good boxers. Nobody said anything about their names.
Ladies and gentlemen, well may we say ‘Dog Save the Queen’, because nothing will save the Governor-General.
Andrew_Earlwood says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:22 pm
Why have himself sworn in as ‘co-Resources Minister’? Health and Finance I can kind of see the point of during a pandemic. But resources? Why?
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Robertson and the Teal challenge. But it’s really odd. Albo is right in saying it’s unprecedented and extraordinary but so was having Peta Credlin chair Cabinet meetings.
Littleproud reckons that Morrison’s betrayal of the Coalition Agreement (secret, of course) was ordinary.
The substantive point here is that a key part of the Coalition Agreement is the distribution of ministries. There is not a whole lot of point agreeing to the distribution of ministries if the PM then turns around and secretly redistributes them… to himself!
Pitt, responding to a question about having, wtte, been nobbled by Morrison, stated that ‘I am not going to throw Morrison under a bus.’
I have yet to hear Joyce’s comment or McCormack’s comment. Who was the Deputy Prime Minister when Morrison was doing a mini-me Xi?
When did McCormack learn that Morrison was stiffing the Nationals?
When did Joyce learn that Morrison was stiffing the Nationals?
When did Taylor (then Minister for increasing CO2 emissions) learn that a gas project was actually being canned by Morrison?
Absolutely NOT fair. There is, afterall, supposed to be honour among thieves.
BL
Not to worry. We all knew it was ‘Garda’. There was a doco on the Alpine Lakes somewhere in TV land about six months ago. The speaker was allowed on that island in the lake – interesting gardens and, of course, a sign that very old money in Italy still has tremendous power.
Misleading Parliament and Contempt of Parliament are serious enough issues for Morrison to perhaps face….notwithstanding any political ramifications or any further disclosures…. are serious enough to be not dismissed as the ramblings of “labor stooges”….a contemptable generalisation by the way. ….and any legal ramifications emanating from “ministerial decisions” taken during this period are far beyond the humble legal training I have…..Administrative Law being decades in my past.
We will just have to watch as this unfolds.
Bb
Misleading Parliament would involve Morrison stating in Parliament that he had not secretly acquired additional ministerial responsibilities.
Contempt of Parliament involves, I believe, Morrison ignoring directions from the House.
I disagree with Barrie Cassidy. It’s a big claim to question the integrity of the GG.
Hurley’s office says “the decision whether to publicise appointments to administer additional portfolios is a matter for the government of the day.” (Of course this assertion needs to be verified)
Did people expect the GG to defy the PM and announce the changes himself out of principle?
The GG has a very important but limited role and in my eyes Hurley has performed his role satisfactorily, including since the change of government. The extent of the GG’s job should be to perform your legal role to the exact letter of the law, but otherwise stay out of the way of the elected government.
It’s not up to Hurley, the Governor General of Australia, to take matters into his own hands because the PM is a power hungry flog.
Was Albo and 3 other ministers being sworn in before a majority was reached unprecedented and extraordinary?
What does this say about our Democracy?
If he had of publicly announce the health and finance moves in 2020 at the time as a continuity of government measure nobody would have worried. It is the secret nature of the snatching of portfolios which is alarming.
Kieran Gilbert asked former Prime Minister Scott Morrison whether he wished to respond to today’s revelations & PM Albanese.
Mr Morrison said, “No, haven’t seen what he has said. Since leaving the job I haven’t engaged in any day to day politics”.
Gutless prick!
No.
Nothing.
https://www.gg.gov.au/sites/default/files/2022-05/20220523%20Documents%20relating%20to%20the%20swearing-in%20of%20new%20government.pdf
Didn’t Gough and Lance Barnard have multiple ministries for a short period of time? Admittedly everyone knew about though.
BW
I managed to correct the original, so deleted the later message. I’m having trouble with a new, very sensitive keyboard, well, that’s my excuse.
No “old money” in this family’s association with the Lake, but when S-i-l was a child his family used to holiday there, so when the current mob returned to Germany from a stint in Beijing, they bought the house there. Haven’t been able to use it much for holidays these past couple of years.
GoldenSmaug says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:26 pm
Is it fair to brand Mr Morrison as a liar and a thief?
Absolutely NOT fair. There is, afterall, supposed to be honour among thieves.
With this and the gang violence murder of a couple of women it very much looks as if honor among thieves is also out the window.
William Bowe says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:35 pm
Was Albo and 3 other ministers being sworn in before a majority was reached unprecedented and extraordinary?
No.
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Thanks.
”
davosays:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 1:49 pm
This nath creature seems like the ultimate concern troll, you’re all being played.
”
nath plays Devil’s advocate although he is not a lawyer.
“Was Albo and 3 other ministers being sworn in before a majority was reached unprecedented and extraordinary?”
Morrison and his government were reduced at the time to something well under 59 seats and the prospect of them being able to command a majority or form government was precisely Nil. The sooner Australia had a functioning government, whether that was a minority or Majority Albanese Government , the better in these troubling times….something that the GG agreed to as well.
nath says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:32 pm
Was Albo and 3 other ministers being sworn in before a majority was reached unprecedented and extraordinary?
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It was not secret that Albanese ask the independents would they give Labor confidence to form Government
Nath – That was not without precedent as it happens at every single election. The majority is not legally confirmed until the declaration of the writs which normally takes about 3 or 4 weeks.
But a government can be sworn in without a majority, it just has be able to maintain the confidence of the HoR or be the most likely “government” out of alternative “governments”. The majority thing is just media bullshit.
Here are the facts.
Ven says:
nath plays Devil’s advocate although he is not a lawyer.
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Admittedly it would have been easier to mumble something about crimes against democracy. I promise to next time.
BK @ Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:35 pm
“Kieran Gilbert asked former Prime Minister Scott Morrison whether he wished to respond to today’s revelations & PM Albanese.
Mr Morrison said, “No, haven’t seen what he has said. Since leaving the job I haven’t engaged in any day to day politics”.
Gutless prick!”
That is an interesting statement to be made by a current MP 🙂
B.S. Fairman says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:40 pm
Nath – That was not without precedent as it happens at every single election. The majority is not legally confirmed until the declaration of the writs which normally takes about 3 or 4 weeks.
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I think people have missed my point. Things that look unusual are not illegal or something to be greatly concerned about.
I won’t discuss it further, Lest I get further in trouble.
Why not? If the PM “advised” the GG to be secretive that should have raised alarm bells and Hurley should have taken a principled stand. If the PM didn’t “advise” the GG to keep the ministerial appointments secret then surely there was no issue with the GG being careful to keep the public informed of the workings of his office and of the government. Given that who the Minister for any given portfolio is not a secret in anyone’s mind but Morrison’s.
BL
No worries. It was not a personal comment about the wealth… it coincided with my finding out that a single family owned quite a few acres of garden in the heart of Rome.
Boarwar….can you be held to have mislead parliament by omission?
That is an interesting statement to be made by a current MP
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Obviously earning every bit of his parliamentary salary!
‘Griff says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:41 pm
BK @ Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:35 pm
“Kieran Gilbert asked former Prime Minister Scott Morrison whether he wished to respond to today’s revelations & PM Albanese.
Mr Morrison said, “No, haven’t seen what he has said. Since leaving the job I haven’t engaged in any day to day politics”.
Gutless prick!”
That is an interesting statement to be made by a current MP ‘
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Standard Morrison ‘on-water’ matter technique when he does not want to answer questions.
‘BeaglieBoy says:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:44 pm
Boarwar….can you be held to have mislead parliament by omission?’
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Interesting. Not updating your statement of pecuniary interests…?
Nath:
I haven’t seen the documents, but Albo was almost certainly sworn in on the advice of then PM Scott Morrison himself (the only decent thing he did IMO was to quickly transfer power), the GG presumably then accepted such advice, fairly standard practice during a change of Government/PM.
hazza4257:
Obviously the GG had to actually do what ScoMo advised in terms of appointing him to ministries. It’s less clear cut that he should have accepted any advice to keep those appointments secret; and if no advice to keep them secret was given he absolutely should have announced in publicly or put it in the gazette. Even if he was advised to keep things secret, as the sovereign’s representatives he also had three other rights “the right to be consulted, the right to encourage, the right to warn” and by golly it says a lot about his fitness for office if he did not warn ScoMo that secretly having himself sworn into ministries was a recipe for disaster.
You’re not in trouble, Nath. Your instinct that the Labor partisan hive mind here should be pushed back against is sound, up to a point.
As I said earlier, I doubt we will ever see Morrison sitting on the backbench again as I think he will pressured into resigning by his own side over this. I think the Nats are spitting chips and Dutton (+most of rest of ex-cabinet) was in the dark too. He is not going to have many friends left in the house on the hill.
David Hurley’s role in all of this is something that is still to be established and whether he should continue in the role is also doubtful.
There are also questions about the move to military men as opposed to jurists in role of GG that need to be looked at. The last 3 GG appointed under Coalition governments have all been military officers (not to say that they have all been bad at the role).
And then of course Hollingworth was a complete mess too. Didn’t understand the role one bit.
hazza4257 @ #2058 Monday, August 15th, 2022 – 2:31 pm
Considering that the GG’s statement of “It is not uncommon for Ministers to be appointed to administer departments other than their portfolio responsibility” appears to duck the question of whether it’s common for two or more Ministers to concurrently administer the same department, the integrity question is fair enough. If that too is common, why obfuscate? And if it’s not common, what motive could there be to obfuscate that doesn’t suggest a lack of integrity?
I had an idea that the labor stooges and hive mind were discussing it rationally, without too much hyperbole….but clearly I was wrong
BW:
All good.
I didn’t read it as a comment on family wealth, but as an interesting observation. My mob are first generation Johnny-come-latelies to property ownership in Italy.
The lovely Italian gentleman who lives next door to the Italian house and does more than just keep an eye on it for them, is prepared to forgive my S-i-l’s being German because he loves my Australian daughter and half Australian grand daughter.
More money around Como I think Bw.
Bellagio, and the film stars, and Villa d’Este still the place, despite the Russians. It was once in the (now discredited) Brierly chain.
Kevin Bonham @kevinbonham
“Secret ministers” another example of how when there appears to be some kind of actual conspiracy-shaped object out there the conspiracy theorists missed it as they were off chasing all their imaginary ones.
Dear PBrs,
I ask that you consider restraint from using the term Chicommies. It reminds me of growing up hearing words like ‘Chinaman’, and worse, or even more depressingly reading them in the press. Could you consider the Chinese government or the Chinese communist party or somesuch instead? I am not demanding just requesting a consideration.
It’s interesting that people capitalise Nath, even when nath doesn’t.
Which is exactly what you’d say if someone said a Labor PM was a “gutless prick” whose actions “smack of what Hitler did”.
nathsays:
Monday, August 15, 2022 at 2:32 pm
It says we have a system that is adaptable to different circumstances and facilities a smooth transition of power.
Former deputy prime minister Barnaby Joyce claims Mr Morrison was sworn in as a second resources minister in December last year.
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Questions should be put to joyce why did he not tell his colleagues , if Joyce knew ,did Dutton ?
Apart from making decisions while applying regulations under an Act, ministers also approve project funding running into billions. Did Morrison approve any project funding in his secret ministerial responsibilities?
BB, BW
“Can you be held to have mislead parliament by omission?”
On the one hand, no-one should be held responsible for another’s assumptions, erroneous or not. On the other hand, if silence is knowingly extended over a damaging belief, then “what you walk past”, etc. So the question arises, to what extent and in what domain was the belief (eg that there was only one minister of health) damaging? Albanese has already opened that can of thoughts by idly speculating on the delay of the original vaccine purchase. Where else might the silence matter?