With the first postal votes being sent out this week, crunch time is arriving for parties to determine their how-to-vote cards, a much overrated yet not entirely insignificant feature of Australian election campaigning. First out of the block are the Liberal Party, whose how-to-votes are featured on the candidate pages of its website. These are in most cases tokenistic, since the preferences of Liberal candidates are usually not distributed, but it’s interesting to note that teal independents have been put last in Warringah, Goldstein and Kooyong, and behind Labor in North Sydney and Curtin (though not Wentworth). More consequentially, though not unpredictably, the party’s how-to-vote cards have Labor ahead of competitive Greens candidates.
The Liberal Senate tickets have the United Australia Party among the six parties recommended for numbering in every state except (wait for it) Western Australia: Palmer’s party is placed second in Victoria and Tasmania, third behind the Liberal Democrats in New South Wales and third behind One Nation in Queensland (the taboo against preferencing that party being very much a thing of the past). Pressed about the matter by The West Australian last month, Scott Morrison said: “I don’t believe there will be a deal and that is certainly not my expectation and it is certainly not my request.” However, he conceded it was a “matter for the party organisation”, and certainly didn’t stake his authority on the matter.
The party’s Queensland ticket offers a useful boost to Pauline Hanson, placing her ahead of Clive Palmer at number three and Campbell Newman at number four. Nonetheless, One Nation is directing preferences to Labor ahead of the Liberal National Party in Longman, which helped swing the result Labor’s way when the party last won the seat in 2016. Conversely, preferences are being directed to Warren Entsch in Leichhardt, contrary to suggestions he would be among a number of Liberal moderates targeted in relation for a sixth placement on the Liberals’ Tasmanian ticket. Those have turned out to be Bridget Archer in Bass, James Stewart in Sturt, Tim Wilson in Goldstein and Trent Zimmerman in North Sydney, with only the former seeming like a seat where the party is likely to attract much support. It is not clear from media reports if the teal independents are ahead of the Liberals in Goldstein and North Sydney.
C@T
“ Norty Dr Monique Ryan, getting in the way of Josh’s plans to lead the Liberal Party after the election!”
Yes, how dare she! Doesn’t she know that Josh owns this seat and it has nothing to do with democracy and the freedom to vote for whomever an individual chooses. Apparently more democracy is bad for … democracy.
Cronus says:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 8:53 am
When I distill my many concerns about Morrison, it is this single act of continual pathological lying that most disturbs and disgusts me about him.
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Agree and he still gets supported and protected by the corrupt media hacks
New South Wales :
Seven more people in NSW have died with COVID in the latest reporting period.
The state has recorded 11,903 new cases.
There are 1,645 people hospitalised with the virus, down from 1,710 yesterday, and 68 requiring treatment in intensive care (also down slightly compared to Thursday’s figures).
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Victoria :
Victoria has also recorded seven COVID deaths today, as well as 11,083 new cases.
There are 428 people hospitalised across the state, 35 in intensive care and five requiring ventilators.
Known active cases are up on yesterday’s figures — rising from 52,031 to 54,150.
Sandman
“Fair call Cat but 59% of the over 65s vote for the Conservatives. You and I are among the 29% who don’t and would never switch. Therefore, there has to be plenty of voters who vote progressive in their 30s but switch to conservative over time, otherwise the currently pro conservative over 60s vote would be going the other way towards progressive favouritism. I hate it when people lump us ‘oldies’ all into the same conservative basket, which I suspect is probably what troubles you most, but the Labor Party will have to find ways to improve their proportion of over 65s primary vote in the future IMHO.”
It makes me feel like a rare species to think that I changed from being a conservative to Labor voter in my early forties, despite the typical (though not for all I might add) increase of wealth at this particular stage of life. I’ll certainly never be changing back either.
will work on improving speling on liberals mnade plenty of apointments to government departments and thestackt the AAt with liberal mates including prue goward and Cash friend mischinn julian hill on now today can not take him seriously he is he trying to be labors pine
“ Norty Dr Monique Ryan, getting in the way of Josh’s plans to lead the Liberal Party after the election!”
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Not just the Liberal Party. Frydenberg is one of those politicians who thought they were destined to be PM at a very early age.
‘In the [Australia Institute] poll, 53% of respondents agreed Morrison is “all announcement no delivery”, with just 31% disagreeing (net +22%).’
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/apr/29/labors-message-that-morrison-is-all-announcement-no-delivery-resonating-with-voters-poll-shows?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Barely a whimper from the Oz attack dogs today with only Simon Buggerthem whining about Labor’s budget plans. Maybe they have run out of BS meme’s from Liberal Party HQ. You know that quiete lull you get between both ends of a cyclone- that’s how it feels now from the RWNJs. They are desperately trying to find something that will stick to Albanese and trash his campaign. Better get a move on Textor, things are not looking good right now.
Freedom Boy turned up for the Goldstein candidates forum last night. Zoe Daniel supposedly received a rockstar welcome. By showing up, he’s better than Frydenberg at least.
He’s in some real bother. A thread from a local who attended (with some video):
https://twitter.com/damesjesmond/status/1519609466358235137
Pissheadbloke aka Evan @ #94 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:05 am
Agree on Crowe. One of Crowe’s worst efforts. Smacked of having to think of something to say, other than the bleeding obvious, that on every, and I mean every, including the campaign, where was I, on every count the Coalition. should be turfed out. Question Mr Crowe: name one reason why the Coalition should be returned. Just one would do. Thank you. Very much.
”
C@tmommasays:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 8:47 am
Victoria @ #74 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 8:46 am
I get Morrison and co attempting to distract and benefit from culture wars in the form of Deves.
But seriously, especially those under 50. They have bigger fish to fry.
If they are in secure work, they will be able to ride out some of the inflationary pressures.
But those who have recently entered into big mortgages, will be taking a hit as interest rates continue to rise.
Culture wars should now simply be defined as between good and bad. Moral and immoral.
Those who support deves are not on the side pf good. Fancy willing to shit on very vulnerable people for political power and gain.
Immoral doesnt even begin to describe it.
Its disgraceful.
Deves is a Rich White Female. She doesn’t care about the proles.
”
Even Harnessed Proles because Pru Goward seems to prefer them?
Sprocket , totally agree. She’s a good fit.
Jo Dyer, teal candidate in Boothby (also a former ALP member), also has dual citizenship issues according to the OZ.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/election-2022-questions-raised-over-jo-dyers-uk-citizenship/news-story/8ce2ca232109808d8e5ce8bbc4d338e6
”
C@tmommasays:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 9:07 am
Victoria @ #85 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 8:51 am
C@t
Of course she doesnt care. As i said. This isnt about believing in a cause per say. She is on the side of bad and immoral.
She is a piece of crapola.
And ben fordham calling her brave tells you everything you need to know about him.
He’s a Liberal stooge with no empathy or ethics, I think sums him up.
”
Anyway connected to LNP like Simon Benson?
Cassidy and Dempster are I suspect a bit yesterday’s men for the current team.
Checky outy:
(Stevens far left; Lyons far right)
Stevens was executive producer of 7.30.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/mar/31/executive-producer-of-730-justin-stevens-to-be-appointed-abc-news-director
BK @ #21 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 7:27 am
This might perhaps be an opportune time to remind people that Labor’s climate change policy not only perpetuates and expands fossil fuels like coal and gas, but – just like the COALition – Labor also proposes throwing money at Carbon Capture and Storage projects undertaken by the Fossil Fuel Cartel.
I agree with this. The so-called “safeguard mechanism” is not a “sneaky carbon tax”, it is a licence to continue to emit. Labor is proposing to exempt coal from the mechanism in any case.
If you want genuine action on climate change, don’t waste your first preferences on either of the major parties – give them to any pro-action minor parties or independents running in your electorate.
ALP continuing to shorten in betting markets; now into $1.44 on Sportsbet.
Implied probability of winning: 65.4%.
Just caught Albo on ABC, seems in pretty good form. Almost Stockholm Syndrome for Michael Rowland, pressing Albo as to whether he’ll be up for debates at times & places calculated & specified by Morrison to the exclusion of the ABC.
The HC ruling on s44 is a disaster.
Someone as true blue and dinky di as me is not eligible because my mum spent her first 12 years living as a kiwi (although it did take her 45 years to take up citizenship here).
Time for a referendum.
Cronus
I’ve been out for much of yesterday and on coming home I saw that you sought my comment on how for-profit aged care facilities would manage under the circumstances I described that we were enduring.
The answer is simple, really. We know we are providing very good care as was evidenced by the recent quality assessment result but are operating with a structural deficit. Any operational surplus that we (and other not-for-profit outfits) that we manage must be accumulated for the purpose of funding the continuous improvements to the facility and its equipment. The for-profit organisations have to budget for a dividend to the shareholders, so where will that come from? The choices are limited to staffing hours and level, ancillary costs, food, lifestyle, etc. Namely the quality and quantity of care for the residents.
”
nathsays:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 9:22 am
“ Norty Dr Monique Ryan, getting in the way of Josh’s plans to lead the Liberal Party after the election!”
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Not just the Liberal Party. Frydenberg is one of those politicians who thought they were destined to be PM at a very early age.
”
Like Shorten? 🙂
Sarah Freguson is not a bad choice for 730 Report host.
Much better than making it the Stan Grant Half Hour.
Aaron newton @ #105 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:22 am
He’s gay, Aaron. Cut him some slack. Just call him, ‘overly theatrical’ 😀
C@T
Jim Chalmers as Treasurer would be great though I’m not confident it would move the voting dial up here. I haven’t heard anybody mention it.
shellbell @ #119 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:36 am
As others have pointed out, some of our earliest PMs would have fallen foul of S44.
Lehrmann’s trial is listed to start on June, 6. With the requisite judicial direction to the jury where pre-trial publicity has the potential to deny an accused a fair trial, coupled with the fact that as far as I can ascertain, media outlets have take cognisance of McCallum, CJ’s warning of criminal contempt, it’s doubtful that the trial won’t proceed as scheduled.
____________________________________
Great to see that Ferguson will fill Sales’ chair. It’ll be like having O’Brien back.
shellbell @ #119 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:36 am
And there I was thinking you were PM material.
Cronus @ #124 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:38 am
Bummer. I was hoping for some good old-fashioned Queensland parochialism to rub off. 😀
”
somethinglikethatsays:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 9:27 am
Freedom Boy turned up for the Goldstein candidates forum last night. Zoe Daniel supposedly received a rockstar welcome. By showing up, he’s better than Frydenberg at least.
He’s in some real bother. A thread from a local who attended (with some video):
https://twitter.com/damesjesmond/status/1519609466358235137
”
From above Twitter thread:
Dames Jesmond After Dark
@damesjesmond
Tim up now, slams governments for promising too much and not delivering. Seems somewhat weird given he’s promised nothing and also not delivered anything.
Jeers from the crowd of “where’s Matt Canavan” among others
Ven @ #114 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:31 am
Probably. His father was Alan Jones’ manager.
Real Mark Latham
@RealMarkLatham
·
Apr 28
When the Teal independents announced their candidacy they received an avalanche of publicity from the ABC and Sky News daytime – Instant profile even though there was no evidence of popularity.
Why not the same treatment for Dai Le and Steve Christou in Western Sydney?
ItzaDream @ #127 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:41 am
Maybe that’s why he wants S44 changed? 😉
I found this for Mundo:
TOAST I TELLS YA!
Socrates at 5.32am re Karen Andrews refusing briefing to Labor…
She and her govt aren’t ‘conservative.’ They’ll trash any Westminster convention they like to get some sort of advantage. They are Right wing.
Commercial radio news this morning – a very whiney Morrison almost pleading for people not to vote for PHON, UAP etc because they don’t have an economic plan like him.
Internal polling must be similar to published polling showing the RW vote is fracturing.
I live in Reid and am delighted my vote may make a difference at this election.
I see 3% rises in interest rates over the next 12+ months and a general energy price crisis via Russia. Dark times ahead… its probably not the worst one to narrowly lose tbh. Though i join in total ScoMo fatigue in the end, but kinda wish Albo would stay in isolation.
I hope Chalmers and Calare prove good, would be delighted if Dutton and Frydenburg lost… though there seems no prospect for a moderatish leadership comeback on that side.
All in all, there’s a touch of “ah who cares they all suck” about this election i feel, which if true may just bring it down to a gutful of ScoMo in the end for many?
Lol Alpha Zero
citizen @ #135 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:50 am
Maybe he doesn’t have a preference deal with Clive Palmer after all? 🙂
That’s novel, dropping a journalist into the 7.30 chair.
Belated thanks BK. (I do not wake up early!)
From Dawn Patrol…
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/appalling-record-tax-office-failed-to-collect-billions-in-unpaid-superannuation-20220428-p5agw1.html
Notice how the ‘oversights’ of this govt (like failing to ensure super is collected for workers, JobKeeper undeserved payments…yet hammering poor people via Robodebt) are always in the direction of helping corporates?
Disgusting and illegal.
‘Frydenberg lied about the LMITO’
Jim Chalmers doing a first class impression of an opposition leader on fire.
Alpha Zero @ #133 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:48 am
Holy shit!!
The stigmata!!!!
LVT – Dai Le needed a better colour. I suggest “Violet” or “Periwinkle”.
By the way, does anyone have a recommendation for where to purchase RAT kit of the mainstream options? How much for a pack of 5(?) these days? Would appreciate direction…
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Friday, April 29, 2022 at 9:44 am
Real Mark Latham
@RealMarkLatham
·
Apr 28
When the Teal independents announced their candidacy they received an avalanche of publicity from the ABC and Sky News daytime – Instant profile even though there was no evidence of popularity.
Why not the same treatment for Dai Le and Steve Christou in Western Sydney?
”
He is a much bigger Labor rat than Bill Hughes. He advanced his political career with the help of ALP inspite of numerous character flaws and now shits on them daily at every opportunity. He was Labor Mayor of Liverpool council in Sydney, became ALP MP in Whitlam seat with blessings of Whitlam and even became ALP opposition leader and ensured LNP get majority in both HOR and Senate.
There has never been bigger betrayer of Trust of ALP than Mark Latham. Now he shits on KK.
Wow. Loving the shrill media pack trying to tell Chalmers that Albo has gone missing and wont debate Scomo at Scomo’s convenience.. sounding more desperate to smear Albo as each day goes by. How pathetic.
The journalists at the Chalmers presser are an angry, ignorant mob of third raters!
Move to the cave Expat. Here the government sends you RAT’S for free.
BK @ #120 Friday, April 29th, 2022 – 9:36 am
BK you chose to post Margaret Rice’s article on the inadequacies of Aged Care units handling deaths and end of life care. Thanks. I’ve just been googling her; it’s something she feels deeply about, writes about, pursues. Do you have any comments? Are there protocols, special staffing, procedures. Should there be.?
My experience with my mother was an early morning phone call from the NUM to say -something had happened, and could I come quickly. I didn’t press it, beyond what and how quickly, which she couldn’t answer. I knew her and respected her, and the institution, very much. I had to find someone to take over what I was doing (giving an anaesthetic), run (literally) to the Nursing Home, not too far away, to find there was (again, literally) no one around. No one. Not even reception. I took the lift to the first floor. No one. I went to my mother’s room. The curtains were drawn. It was then I knew. There she was – peaceful, warm to kiss, a candle alight on each side, a crucifix on her chest.
I think and reflect on this from time to time. I don’t have a problem with it, it was their best way, and my journey, and what I do know is that she was loved and cared for, all else but niceties. But others would feel differently I think. And times have changed.
Well Ven, do you remember Brian Courtice? See what he said warning about one K.Rudd before 2007 and consider Latham’s warnings about Albo Labor. History repeating itself?