Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

A tumble in Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings fails to carry through to two-party preferred, as the Greens record their best result in almost a year.

The Australian brings us what is apparently the first ever Newspoll conducted over the Easter break, presumably portending weekly polling throughout the campaign. In what can only be a morale-booster for Labor after the troubled first week of its campaign, it records no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining a lead of 53-47. Both major parties are down a point on the primary vote, Labor to 36% and the Coalition to 35%. The Greens are up two points to 12%, their best result since May last year, with One Nation and the United Australia Party both on 4%, respectively up one and steady.

The strains of the first week have shown on Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings, his approval rating down five to 37% and disapproval up six to 51%. Scott Morrison is respectively up one to 43% and down two to 52%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is out from 44-39 to 44-37. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1510.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,144 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 17 of 23
1 16 17 18 23
  1. What I found astonishing about the Indue question and several others was the viciousness and spitefulness of them. As well as the lack of courtesy shown via interruptions, demands for answers within gotcha envelopes, panicky voices, shouting and so on. They clearly have an agenda.

  2. The only way people can make sure the Indue Welfare debitcard is out of circulation vote the lib/nats out of government.

    I reluctantly agree. I know Morrison has the well-being of pensioners at heart. And I’m sure he prays for them every night before he goes to bed.

    But it doesn’t hurt to make sure.

    Vote the prick out.

  3. Rebecca @ #782 Tuesday, April 19th, 2022 – 6:04 pm

    Greensborough Growler: “Income management” is the Cashless Welfare Card and the BasicsCard.

    Ruston’s comment of “we’re seeking to put all income management onto the universal platform, which is the cashless debit card” is plainly and not really disputably referring to merging the BasicsCard into the Cashless Welfare Card.

    It’s either a plain misquote, or it’s talking about the tiny number of pensioners in NT/north Qld who are on BasicsCard and would be moved across. If Labor are completely fine with those pensioners being on BasicsCard (which is basically exactly the same, except that Labor voted for it under Howard in 2007 and kept it through the Rudd/Gillard years), then it’s even more disingenuous.

    “Income Management is for people who are on income support payments”
    https://www.dss.gov.au/our-responsibilities/families-and-children/programmes-services/family-finance/income-management

  4. labor needs a last week Mediscare hit. Just drag a few comments from Liberals backing Abbott’s co pay scheme and text them out 2 days before the big day.

  5. ‘Pi says:
    Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 6:19 pm

    ltep : People citing Van Badham as a credible source.

    People citing newscorp as a credible source.’
    ———————-
    People citing Liberal and Nationals politicians as a credible source.

  6. Their “universal platform” for income management is the Cashless Welfare Card.

    Income management has always, including when Labor ran it in the form of the BasicsCard during the Rudd/Gillard government, referred to the government “managing” what welfare recipients could spend. their money on.

    The attempt to spin it as now referring to receiving welfare in general makes no sense whatsoever, and Ruston has said so many bloody awful things in her career that it’s a bit ridiculous to resort to just plain making stuff up.


  7. C@tmommasays:
    Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 4:39 pm


    You’d think the journalists themselves would have piped up.

    C@tmomma
    They know Albanese is telling the truth about cashless card. They pretend otherwise. As I said earlier otherwise they have to change their narrative.

  8. Just go to first principles. The Liberals and the Nationals shovel money into the maws of the rich and go out of their way to fuck over the poor, the sick, the old, the young, people of colour,

  9. Deves was picked because she had a big record on trans women in sport. This is one of those issues that some people would, rightly or wrongly, genuinely be concerned about.

    Morrison was hoping that her selection would raise the hackles of the ‘usual suspects’ who go to the ramparts every time there is an attack on members of the LGBTQIA+ and scream blue murder, thereby launching a culture war.

    However, due to a lack of proper due diligence, they did not realise that she is not just a champion for keeping trans women out of women’s sport but a gold-plated lunatic transphobe and trans hater. Many people with an uneasiness about trans women in women’s sport do not share these views.

    Like everything else Morrison does, it was a plan (cunning or otherwise) that had been poorly implemented. Now he is stuck with her. He can try and make it all about free speech, but the more her hideous (now-deleted) posts are trotted out the more she will be abhorred by people whose discomfort with trans people goes no further than sports fields and bathrooms.

  10. Ven: No one disputes that the government really badly wants to inflict that nightmare on welfare recipients, and neither of those articles said anything whatsoever about pensioners.

    I’m good with this particular smear campaign because the Liberals have it coming for trying to do this on everyone else receiving a government benefit, but it is nonsense. It’s one thing to run with it anyway because it’s a clever ploy, but let’s leave deciding to believe “alternative facts” when what we want to campaign on didn’t actually happen to the lunar right.

  11. Rebecca @ #814 Tuesday, April 19th, 2022 – 6:26 pm

    Their “universal platform” for income management is the Cashless Welfare Card.

    Income management has always, including when Labor ran it in the form of the BasicsCard during the Rudd/Gillard government, referred to the government “managing” what welfare recipients could spend. their money on.

    The attempt to spin it as now referring to receiving welfare in general makes no sense whatsoever, and Ruston has said so many bloody awful things in her career that it’s a bit ridiculous to resort to just plain making stuff up.

    So are you just going to ignore the quote from the source site?
    “Income Management is for people who are on income support payments”
    Income management = Income support payments
    https://www.dss.gov.au/our-responsibilities/families-and-children/programmes-services/family-finance/income-management


  12. ltepsays:
    Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 4:58 pm
    Couldn’t it just be the case that the media are incompetent, rather than some grand scheme to hoodwink the public?

    Hoodwink the public because they became drinking buddies of LNP.

  13. I reckon the Cashless Debit Card is a perfect platform for a scare campaign. Consider this:

    – many pensioners are dubious of this plastic card thingo with a pin they have to handover
    – the pensioners like to spend their surplus funds on gifts for kids, the odd indulgence
    – in their hearts they know the Liberals are bastards who want to cut Medicare, services, their pension

    So a mandatory card where it can only* be used for food, rent, utilities – and not for anything else – is the type of straight jacket which our seniors who have paid taxes, contributed to society and want to enjoy their golden years without the heavy hand of Anne Ruston checking each of their transactions…

    Writes itself Isaac Levido..

    *maybe only 80% sequestered

  14. Grime: That page refers to the (previously Labor-supported) BasicsCard only. Using “income management” in two different contexts is pretty stupid, but Ruston’s never been a clever politician.

  15. BB, yes the money is the LNPs to do with what they will, not some pensioner or dole bludger. Heaven forbid a poor person would be allowed the dignity of managing their own finances,thats only for the overlords. Maybe the LNP could even ensure that the card is only used at the premises of LNP donors and close the circle. This sort of superiority and lack of caring is at the heart of every tory, moderate or hard right .

  16. Re Katherine Deves and her patron Scott Morrison, the problem for the Liberals is this:

    ‘First they came for the trans people….’

  17. Has everyone forgotten the truly bullshit scare campaign last election

    Labor were introducing death taxes.

    Social media was flooded with it.

    That’s when I knew Labor were going to lose

  18. Lars Von Trier

    Bridget Archer’s liberal party colleges scared her enough to abstain from voting for the Indue welfare debitcard

    No good to blame Labor when Liberal party members told her it was the aim of the federal lib/nats to put pensioners on the indue welfare card

  19. On Deves – I believe she was picked by the ‘committee’ of Morrison, Perrottet and McDiven.

    Has Perrottet been quizzed by anyone as to how he views Deves’ candidacy? It would be interesting what his response is given he presumably was ‘in the room’ when decisions/discussions were had (although I’m guessing that in reality Morrison/Hawke provided the list of candidates already selected for the other two to rubber stamp).

  20. I reckon scare campaign is absolutely fair game for Labor – let’s see how well they execute.

    5 weeks out – seems like poor timing – could backfire on Albo?

  21. Victoria @ #834 Tuesday, April 19th, 2022 – 6:40 pm

    The fibs want their friends to manage welfare payments.

    Imagine how much money there is to be made doing so.

    But never enough for a rise in the payment. So they can force the jobless to accept rotten pay and conditions when they force them to accept a job or lose the welfare payment.

  22. Rebecca, think about it this way:

    Whether we like it or not, an election is like a knife fight. Labor keeps turning up with regulation knives and the commentariat (for various reasons, including that they and their employers are invested in the Coalition winning) spend endless efforts analysing whether Labor’s knives are within regulation, whether they are sharp enough, whether they are too sharp, whether Albanese or other shadows are holding them the right way and so on.

    Meanwhile, the Coalition turns up to the knife fight with machine guns and this fact is either ignored or the commentariat even congratulates the Coalition for being clever enough to ignore the rules of the knife fight.

    This time around Labor realise that they cannot win the knife fight with knives when their opponents have machine guns. So they’ve brought their own machine guns. Further the Coalition machine guns have been jamming lately and they have been too thick to notice.

    The squealing commentariat can attack Labor for bringing machine guns but the spectators notice that both sides are using guns, so they are just fine with that, even if the commentariat are horrified that Labor is no longer keen to lose by following the rules the other side doesn’t (and gets away with it).

    Labor will win this because its guns are more effective this time round. They will lose if they are harassed into returning to the old knife paradigm. I think they are hungry to win.

  23. Did you see todays SMH article re Dai Le sprocket?

    Voices are speaking out for democracy in Fowler?

    The refugee will be concerned , as will the rear-admiral!

  24. The handling of whether the indue welfare debitcard is another dodgy favour for lib/nats donors by the lib/nats , maybe something for the federal Integrity commission/Icac to look into

  25. That clip with Humphries is brilliant.

    And it shows how useless the journos on there are and what is wrong with journalism as a whole. Look how terrified they all were when confronted with suggestions this government may be corrupt. HELP! WE JUST WANT TO POKE FUN AT POLITICIANS, GOTCHAS ETC AND SHAKE OUR HEADS AT THEM, THATS A NICE AND EASY WAY TO MAKE 6 FIGURES – NOT GET TAKEN TO COURT!

    How many journos in our MSM would ask the serious questions about potential corruption and the creation of systems and culture where corruption can survive, thrive and escape proper scrutiny? How many will ask these questions in a presser during an election? Or in a debate? How many can wade through the Morrison bulldust and narrow back in on the state of our politics without an ICAC.

    What a pathetic bunch.

  26. @LvT – the best angle, would be to pivot to trust – they say they won’t … but what about x, y, z.

    It’s a gift to just play Morrison’s lies over and over.

  27. “I’d expect a Murdoch dirt campaign now against Teal candidates, labelling them “Labor stooges”, along with attacks on Zali Steggell, Helen Haines and Andrew Wilkie.”

    Egads, who is that really going to work on? Afaict, it’s the thinking Liberals that are electing Teals. The low-info voters maybe don’t even have a strong Teal in their electorate.
    So they are trying to scare away Tristan and Sasha towards the knob-heads of the LNP? (‘come on more critical thinking Liberal voters and the kids of dyed-in-the-wool elder Liberals, don’t go for those scary Labor indies scaryooooooooo, come vote for us where you get sit in mold and get pissed on every day and we fk up your future investments and life because we’re arseholes and proud of it. So THEREFORE we are your natural home! and you better not forget it!’)
    Seems so dumb….

  28. sprocket_ says:
    Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 6:34 pm
    I reckon the Cashless Debit Card is a perfect platform for a scare campaign. Consider this:

    – many pensioners are dubious of this plastic card thingo with a pin they have to handover
    – the pensioners like to spend their surplus funds on gifts for kids, the odd indulgence
    – in their hearts they know the Liberals are bastards who want to cut Medicare, services, their pension
    —————————
    My aged Parents save a little of their pension for the Pokies and a cheap feed at the RSL. They also buy some tickets in the meat tray raffle junior cricket runs.

    The old man was pretty chuffed when he won the big meat tray before Christmas!

    Those cards that Morrison and Co. want to give them will stop all that. Mum and Dad will have Scott Morrison in their pockets every time they need to buy anything.

    “Always eyes watching you and the voice enveloping you. Asleep or awake, indoors or out of doors, in the bath or bed—no escape. Nothing was your own except the few cubic centimeters in your skull.” 1984

    Scott Morrisons’ vision for our pensioners.


  29. Lars Von Triersays:
    Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 5:32 pm
    What a difference 24 hours makes on PB!

    I am afraid what Essential poll will do to PB mood. 🙂

Comments Page 17 of 23
1 16 17 18 23

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *