As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.
We better get used to desperate ScoMo – we’re going to be seeing a lot of him over the next 7-8 weeks.
@Evan
Usually when Labor gains power federally, they usually do decent, with Labor going from winning 20%-29% of QLD federal seats to 35%-50% of the seats in QLD when they are in power federally (with the exception of 2010 when they lost their majority). When they win federal office, they win around 44%-52% of seats. So honestly, Labor has good chances of gaining Longman, Leichhardt, Dickson, Brisbane and Ryan. Some extra seats to look out for are the seats of Bonner, Herbert, Petrie, Forde, Flynn, and Bowman.
Snappy Tom @ #349 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 5:23 pm
Also in part because many voters moved to Queensland. 😆
Morrison is looking desperate,pathetic and exhausted in his Sky promotion program.
He is not even answering the questions from the Liberal stooges in the audience but just giving a random list of government actions.
It looks like Morrison knows he is going to lose the election.
@Bystander
A lot of the Libs still think women should make the sandwiches and shut up. Otherwise why have so few female MPs and freeze out those who aren’t submissive in approach?
A big defeat is the only thing that can change that
Out 8/102
Mrmoney @ #369 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 6:19 pm
Do you enforce the follow on, or chuck ’em out in the field for bit more toil?
400 in front enforce the follow on
It’s definitely the party faithful only at the Morrison/Murray completely misnamed “pub test”. (I looked at the last few minutes just now.)
Morrison is taking the Liberal party down with him.
Now they will finally pay the price for not renewing themselves when Howard lost his seat – FFS Kevin Andrews von Workchoices is still there, Eric Abetz and so on.
At least one of the mob have to follow Eddie Obeid to prison. After forensic examination by an ICAC, and due legal process of course
Malcolm ,
Im impressed you’re willing to watch.
ScoMo repeating this line, “Australia is becoming a harder place to live..”
Who writes this dross for him? Debby Downer?
Starc haters can suck it. Always tours, never puts the IPL before playing for his country, played through his dad dying last summer and got bagged mercilessly before backing up this year and winning the AB Medal.
Protect the bowlwers.
Aussies should bat again if they roll them tonight.
https://www.marca.com/en/lifestyle/world-news/2022/03/12/622cffcc22601d1d498b45a7.html
[‘Australia has launched legal action against Russia over the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 over Ukraine eight years ago in a sharp escalation that confronts the Russian state, rather than individual perpetrators, with the deaths of 298 victims.
The move joins Australia and the Netherlands in formal proceedings against the Russian Federation in the International Civil Aviation Organisation in a bid to force a negotiation over compensation payments to the families of the victims.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison agreed on the legal action in a call with Dutch counterpart Mark Rutte on Monday in the belief there was “overwhelming evidence” to prove the Russian Federation was responsible under international law for the downing of the aircraft.
With Russian President Vladimir Putin and his government facing global sanctions over the invasion of Ukraine, the Australian and Dutch governments decided to take legal action directly against the Russian Federation to maximise pressure on the country, including on its struggling civil aviation sector.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-launches-legal-action-against-russia-over-mh17-20220314-p5a4l2.html
Sad but Cash is a dilettante in the scheme of things. As if Putin’s going to take notice given the current imbroglio. And it’s goodnight from him.
From twitter:
“ So… I can report that Covid is not a mild infection in this middle aged, triple vax’d reasonably fit bloke with no comorbidities. Completely stuffed!! This pandemic is a long way from being over. Stay safe people. ”
I’m not sure if everyone is picking up SfM’s thinking on ‘resilience’. What he’s talking about is Rugged individualism. Or as MLK put it “This country has socialism for the rich, rugged individualism for the poor.” which is starting to be the case for those in Australia.
Bootstrappiness and all the fun of it, is inbound for our shores people!
Greensborough Growler @ #377 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 6:31 pm
33 overs remaining today.
If there’s no rain in sight, I’d definitely make them field again.
The margins in Queensland are pretty formidable, but a swing anywhere close to what current polling to what current polling is indicating (yes, yes, I know) is likely to see at least 3-4 seats fall to Labor’s way.
BludgerTrack is currently showing a 10.9% swing to Labor. Longman is held on 3.3% margin, Dickson on 4.6%, Brisbane on 4.9%, Ryan on 6.0%.
There’s another 6 seats (Bonner, Herbert, Petrie, Forde, Flynn, and Bowman) which all have margins lower than 10.9%. I’d be surprised if many in that lot actually went Labor this election (if the swing is indeed on, I suspect it’ll be more prominent in SEQ), but one or two wouldn’t surprise me. Bonner and Petrie are probably the most likely candidates, IMO.
sprocket_ @ #473 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 9:31 pm
Focus groups.
However, as Barnaby Joyce truthfully said, Morrison takes a fact and puts it through his pretzel logic machine to make it useful for himself, or wtte. So I imagine focus groups are saying, ‘Australia is becoming harder to live in’ and Morrison then takes that, does a bit of ‘I feel your pain’, repeats their lived experience back at them as if it some magnificent Prime Ministerial insight, and then provides no solutions!
“Australia is becoming a harder place to live..”
… says Morrison, reflecting on the life-sucking years of Arseholes-R-Us in government.
Taran Kahlon says:
Monday, March 14, 2022 at 9:13 pm
Yes…if Labor were to receive a 2PP vote of 50% in QLD, which historically has coincided with Labor federal wins, they would likely win 10 seats, including the ones you mention. This would reflect an 8.5% swing….certainly possible, but a tall order perhaps. The result last time (41.56% 2PP) was comparable to Labor’s worst postwar results in QLD: 1996, (39.78%); 1975 (39.8%); 1977 (42.0%) 1958 (41.4%). Labor has only rarely approached or exceeded 50%.
If QLD decide they like and trust Albo, they could certainly vote for him in droves. Perhaps there are pent up pro-Labor votes to be released from captivity!
GG normally would agree but if the pitch is doing something and the conditions are good ,send back in.
You never know what tomorrow brings ,.
Quasar @ #478 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 9:36 pm
There have been murmurings that Ba-2 isn’t quite as harmless as original Omicron, but it hasn’t reached a hair on fire crescendo yet. I’d say that’s because of the upcoming election.
Sprocket:
I’m not sure that’s really the message you want to be putting out there when you are leading a government that’s been in power for nearly nine years.
9 for
Think follow on, think VVS Laxman, bat again.
I really wanted to ask Noideamus how one is supposed to work hard to get ahead when a massive flood has just destroyed your business?
Barney,
Maybe an hour tomorrow.
I doubt there will be any rain. So five sessions should be plenty of time.
Swings are never uniform. Even within seats.
Asha @ #487 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 9:41 pm
And you’ve done less than zero about making it an easier place to live.
When you’ve been in office 8.5 years … having THAT as a talking point in an election you’re already down in?
I can see a weird attempt at a “I feel your pain – and our Budget will help you” but like most things under the Morrison PMship, it feels forced, awkward and likely to backfire.
Shellbell @ #391 Monday, March 14th, 2022 – 6:41 pm
Yep, Very Very Special. Loved watching him bat.
Resilience is code for “I’m alright Jack, look after yourself”. A new iteration of a familiar LNP governance concept. NSW had both minister and commissioner of resilience(duties, who knows?) as Lismore drowned
Resilience is a fair issue and a legitimate one – when used properly.
People need resilience to deal with difficult times, but too often the term is abused by shitty bosses when they’re confronted with the consequences of unreasonable demands.
Infrastructure needs to be resilient to any number of things – increased use, vulnerabilities due to climate etc.
Resilience is a good thing and something that should absolutely be a consideration, especially in the context of disasters and disaster-prone areas… but again, must be used appropriately.
News just in from Betoota……………………
C@t Omicron is not harmless, it has killed plenty,
And NSW death nos seem inconsistent with other states, too low. 47 in ICU and 1 death yesterday in NSW
ICU and hospital nos in NSW going up again too. I think relaxed mask rules maybe more important than BA2 for that.
After winter though I wonder if we’ll be getting close to the end of this pandemic
jt1983 ,
I wish the government showed resilience by engaging with CC and relocating Lismore a few years ago so the tax payer won’t be eating the bill for that avoidable disaster in the budget for years to come.
People could have then had the opportunity to be resilient to the fact that insurers and the government were acting in their best interest by forcing the sale of their land and moving their houses and business out of the floodplains.
Definitely bat again. There’s another test next week. They bat decently tomorrow you’ve bowled 150 overs on the bounce.
Resilience is largely to do with withstanding adversity and recovery. It’s requires preparedness primarily. Gosh, who knew.
noun
noun: resilience; noun: resiliency; plural noun: resiliencies
1.
the capacity to recover quickly from difficulties; toughness.
“the often remarkable resilience of so many British institutions”
2.
the ability of a substance or object to spring back into shape; elasticity.
“nylon is excellent in wearability, abrasion resistance and resilience”
“Although we can broadly agree on what resilience is, the conclusion must be that it does not mean very much. A quick search of the literature shows that resilience lacks any deeper meaning in relation to either the functioning of systems or the psychology of the human condition. The conceptual basis of resilience that comes from the ecology and psychology literature soon gives way to rather more banal arguments about the changing nature of the world and the need to protect the everyday. … Not only is resilience a shallow concept, it is also a shifting concept. The policy literature reveals that resilience can mean different things in different contexts.”
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/21693293.2013.765741
Again… resilience is important and needs to be done properly.
In this case, it hasn’t and there are unfortunate/tragic consequences.
ItzaDream at 10:01 pm
You missed number 3
1.
the capacity to recover quickly from difficulties; toughness.
“the often remarkable resilience of so many British institutions”
2.
the ability of a substance or object to spring back into shape; elasticity.
“nylon is excellent in wearability, abrasion resistance and resilience”
3.
Liberal Party expression of ‘Don’t look at me, I don’t hold a hose . You’re on your own mate. ‘.
I’ve just seen Starc’s hat trick ball.
What a waste. No one would get a bat anywhere near that first up.
I agree, resilience is good, resourcefulness even better.
But that’s no excuse for the pathetic response to the northern rivers floods.
5 days to get to Coraki!
And Cummins says …
we’ll have another bat. 😆
Well I sure do feel sorry for those unfortunates who live outside Victoria, who have never experienced a state Labor government, that actually does things things to improve the lives of working class people.
‘Right-leaning Labor dominates Qld’ – Um, no. They dont.