Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review

Scott Morrison’s personal ratings maintain a downward trend, as the government scores middling ratings for its overall performance for the year.

Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.

The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.

Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.

As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.

Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,431 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review”

Comments Page 5 of 49
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  1. mikehilliard
    Which ‘level’ RAT did you manage to get your paws on , 80% , 90% or 95% ? Saw something in the SMH about businesses hoovering most of them up .

  2. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:38 am

    Rex Douglas @ #189 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 8:23 am

    zoomster @ #180 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:17 am

    P1

    Thanks for that. She was big on it on social media originally and there was an on line policy at one stage which was more explicit.

    She appears to have backed away from her original proposal, in which case that’s a good move.

    Misrepresentations are your specialty.

    Where was the misrepresentation?

    zoom highlighted a policy advocated in the past and then acknowledged positively when she found out that it was no longer being advocated.

    Player One is a pissant. Who willfully misrepresents others’ posts.

  3. C@t

    Player One is a pissant. Who willfully misrepresents others’ posts.

    __________________________________________

    It wasn’t P1 who made the ‘misrepresentation’ comment – it was Rex.

  4. I bought 2 x 5 packs of the Hough RATs – in the middle ranking on the Guardian list ‘high sensitivity’. Works out $10 a test.

    Got them at Coles a week ago, they aren’t on the shelves – behind the counter where they sell fags. You had to ask there for the RATs, only had the Hough brand..

  5. C@tmomma @ #205 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:49 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:38 am

    Rex Douglas @ #189 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 8:23 am

    zoomster @ #180 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:17 am

    P1

    Thanks for that. She was big on it on social media originally and there was an on line policy at one stage which was more explicit.

    She appears to have backed away from her original proposal, in which case that’s a good move.

    Misrepresentations are your specialty.

    Where was the misrepresentation?

    zoom highlighted a policy advocated in the past and then acknowledged positively when she found out that it was no longer being advocated.

    Player One is a pissant. Who willfully misrepresents others’ posts.

    You have embarrassed yourself yet again, C@tmomma.

    You are one of the worst offenders on this site when it comes to obnoxious behavior.

  6. poroti @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:19 am

    C@tmomma at 11:08 am
    So you reckon he is same same with Labor ? Labor would be too scared to even whisper such things , that is if they’d even want to take any action on such issues. Your party has however got very good at explaining why it is ‘clever politics’ to roll over on issues they supposedly believed in. Which makes it harder to believe any promises made or claimed beliefs/principles.

    You want a sensible answer to your snarky reply?

    1. Chile doesn’t have a Murdoch media monopoly which bastardises everything Labor says from Opposition in order to benefit the Coalition’s re-election chances.

    2. Labor tried big, bold policy in 2019. That ended well, didn’t it?

    3. Serious analysis, on these pages the other day, suggested that Labor gets back into power when they get the temperature of the times right. Not by pandering to the idealists.

    4. If you don’t like that, you’ve always got the ineffectual Greens to vote for.

    5. When The Greens held the Balance of Power with the Independents in the Gillard Minority government, all the right on policies were used as cudgels to beat Labor with. And here we are today.

    6. You appear to have ignored the evidence I supplied that noted how Chile’s new President tacked to the centre, after winning over the base with his right on policies, in order to win the votes of the middle ground. Just like Labor has to if they want to win government also.

    Sheesh! Some people just can’t get this most basic idea through their thick heads with blinkers on!

  7. ItzaDream
    The one year I didn’t make what is referred to as Grandmas trifle all my adult kids complained loudly and 10 years later still tell me not to mess with the trifle.
    This year I am doing the traditional but in individual glass bowls as well as a choc brownie and berry version. The grandkids don’t like the traditional one and neither do I so a compromise had to be made.
    We will have traditional plum pudding with pre decimal coins and hard sauce for Boxing Day when my daughter and partner come for lunch.

  8. Top job Assantdj!

    Honestly, I have been unable to come at the new Aussie Xmas dinner of Prawns, Lobster Tails and Oysters. I prefer to slave over a hot oven and enjoy doing something that isn’t easy.

  9. The Chaser
    @chaser

    Morrison announces it’s time for the government to stop telling people how to live their lives, and get back to the important work of letting employers fire gay people

  10. The ‘Personal Responsibility’ Tweets are going off like a Xmas cracker!
    (Morrison appears to have overlooked that ‘Personal Responsibilty’ can be a two way street):

    Dr Lizzie Skinner
    @drlizzieskinner

    “I want people to take personal responsibility” says the Prime Minister who wants the cashless welfare card to literally control where people spend their money.

    And:

    Australian Unions
    @unionsaustralia

    When Morrison says “personal responsibility” what he really means is “not my responsibility”.

  11. “So FF is wrong again.”

    ***

    Sigh. No, highlighting Labor’s track record of denying the science of climate change and doing the bidding of the rich elites doesn’t make me wrong, it just means I haven’t been brainwashed by Labor’s conservative propaganda. It’s amazing how out of touch with reality some Laborites are. Amazing and alarming at the same time.

  12. Here’s some ‘Personal Responsibility’ for you:

    Global Biosecurity
    @Globalbiosec
    ·
    2h
    Personal responsibility: Thurs Dec 16 a symptomatic superspreader attended party at Regent hotel in #Sydney. Then went to see #Spiderman at #Chatswood #Hoyts cinemas (~10pm late session) on Fri 17th Dec while awaiting COVID test result. Many already infected. Get tested. RT.

  13. How the hell are we supposed to manage this?’:

    GPs in New South Wales have been left scrambling less than a week before Christmas after the state health department told them they will now be responsible for the management of Covid patients in the community.

    On Friday NSW Health informed GPs through the state’s 10 primary health networks that there is a new state-wide approach for the management of low-risk Covid-positive patients, effective immediately. It came as NSW hit another Covid record on Wednesday, reporting 3,763 new cases.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/dec/22/how-the-hell-are-we-supposed-to-manage-this-gps-in-nsw-left-scrambling-after-new-covid-order

  14. “You want a sensible answer to your snarky reply?”

    ***

    1. The same Murdoch media Labor is too scared to take to task now that an election is looming because they want their help? The same Murdoch media which supports Labor over the Greens?

    2. Hilarious! Big and bold my rear end! Conservative and out of touch more like it.

    3. Again it all comes back to Labor’s electoral fortunes, doesn’t it. Stuff “getting the temperature right” for the planet.

    4. Telling people to vote for someone else always works a treat – just ask Chris Bowen!

    5. When the Greens were part of the Bandt/Gillard gov we delivered for Australia and were able to get serious action on the climate emergency when we implemented our ETS.

    6. You appear to have ignored the evidence that Chile’s new leader is completely at odds with Labor’s policies and recent track record in the Parliament.

  15. caf says:
    Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 10:53 am
    Bludging:

    We have had just one victory from Opposition since 1996 and that was in 2007. Looking at the record, we may wait until 2050 before winning again.
    This is a nonsense combination of the Gambler’s Fallacy and cherry-picking.

    You know who else has had just one victory from Opposition since 1996? The Liberal/National Coalition.

    This objection ignores the success of incumbents in Australian elections. The LNP fight relatively few elections from Opposition because they are usually in power. Labor, conversely, seldom have the advantages of incumbency. The parties do not start from equal positions in elections. The incumbents have a head start.

    The parties do not have equal chances of winning. It is not a 50/50 game. In Australia, it has been about a 1/6 game for Labor since 1951 when they’ve been fighting from Opposition. This is the indisputable record. There is absolutely no reason whatsoever to expect the odds in the forthcoming election to be any different.

  16. TPOF

    I’m astonished by the incredibly specious comparison between Labor and the party led by the new Chilean President.

    Like the two countries are peas in a pod.

    Same type of government and electoral system – very similar histories (especially the bit about a Marxist President being overthrown by a military dictatorship which ‘disappeared’ political opponents).

    Very similar population structure and economic history. Even have the same colonial master and achieved independence in the same way.

    Yep – like for like – why can’t we be the same?

    It is making me really angry, as most of the posters have absolutely no idea what the lives of ordinary Chileans are like, nor do they understand their voting system.

    Chilenos have not voted en masse for the equivalent of the Australian Socialist Alliance or the Australian greens, and to say these things for political point scoring and having a go at other posters is really condescending to the people of Chile.

    Firefox, I am particularly looking at you. there is no way you could understand the social structure of Chile, or the real poverty, or the real need to get rid of the vestiges of what Hayek and Friedman did.

    You are taking the “public” pensions part of the new President’s policy completely out of context.

    Many of the people in Chile who voted to elect Boric are the same people who voted for Michelle Bachelet and Ricardo Lagos, who sat the ground work for Boric by doing what is possible.

    Poroti, you at least are trying to understand the country, and I enjoy most of your posts, but your idea that Liberal governments are better than Labor governments because Labor is not radical enough is completely wrong-headed.

    Under Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison the social conditions of the poorest 20% of Australians has become demonstrably worse, and I often comment that when I first went to Chile I 1994 I was pretty shocked (but not surprised) at the incredible poverty.

    Now, walking the streets of Redfern, I see the same thing, and particularly near Central station and parts of the city.

    About 2 weeks ago, heading for Chinatown, I saw a wizened old woman in a wheel chair, dressed in black. She had obviously had a stroke, and someone had put a coffee cup in her hand to collect coins. She was not there under her own steam, and presumably at the end of the day, someone would come and collect her, and hopefully between the coins she collected and other money the family could scrape together, the family might eat that night.

    Such things were very common in 1994 in Chile, and still happen a bit, although things have improved user Lagos and Bachelet, while Piñera tries to turn the clock back when he gets a go.

    So tell us as often as you like about how great the German Greens are, or AOC, but have a bit of compassion for the people of Chile before you talk about things you are not capable of understanding. The Chilean left do not have a irrational hatred of the centre left, because they have lived under Pinochet and his aftermath. They know that you do not get a revolution by putting the right-wing in power and waiting for people to get angry.

    Chile taking back its democracy was done slowly, carefully and peacefully. The transition has take decades, because there really was no other choice.

    One of the things on my list is to do a dissection of Boric’s history and policies. His partly came out of a merger of 4 parties in 2018, and presumably one of those was Podemos

  17. ItzaDream @ Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 12:24 pm

    The shift to GP management of COVID cases is ‘interesting’. Transitions of care is an active area of research interest. If a simple email would fix this problem, I shall eat my hat. All my hats and maybe a few others. Without gravy.

  18. On McGowan’s approval ratings: the 88% was recorded back in February, I presume during the state election campaign. Makes sense that a little gloss would have come off in the last ten months or so. 77% approval is still incredibly high for a leader who has been in office for nearly five years now.

  19. Assantdj, that all sounds just perfect.

    Lollies were also a bit of a thing for us, probably because we didn’t have them much during the year. The table would include (as for birthday parties) large oranges with tooth picks sticking out all around, each pick stuck with a marella jube on the end. Very proto-Covid!

  20. It really matters not who leads the High Court. Firstly, a chief justice is merely the first among equals; and secondly, unlike, for example, the SCOTUS, the HC of Australia is essentially apolitical though there have been occasions where a serving chief justice has been highly political – eg, Barwick, a former Tory A-G, who provided Kerr with advice that proved crucial in the dismissal of the Whitlam Government.

    That is not to suggest that counsel don’t take their value judgments with them when elevated to the bench. And if there’s any wriggle room, their values will be reflected in their judgments. Overall, though, we are very well served by our judiciary, the only bulwark against an out-of-control Executive – ie, the Morrison Government.

    (NB: the AFR article is paywalled, so I didn’t have the advantage of reading it, but I very much doubt whether it would have changed my views.)

    ___________________________________

    Legal practitioners who complain about incessant flatulence in the workplace or who make highly improper suggestions at functions give the legal profession a bad name.

  21. Douglas and Milko at 12:34 pm
    Given your work, travels, experience and contacts I hereby appoint you PB’s official Senior Correspondent reporting on Chile 🙂

  22. Firefox says:
    Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 12:27 pm

    Fewer than 1/100000 voters in Australia will be influenced by events in Chile, either one way or another.

    It is indeed a great thing that Chile has chosen a leftist leader. Excellent. But it will not change anything in this electorate.

  23. C@tmomma
    Last years Christmas dinner was a disaster, we had it Christmas Eve because son had to work on Christmas Day. The power went out while the roasts were in the oven and when we turned on the barbie we found it was out of gas. Our power didn’t come back on till 11am Christmas Day by which time all the roasts had to be ditched. We dined on cold ham and mashed Voges followed by trifle.
    This year due to rosters it’s hot roast dinner Thursday, pork, turkey and ham with the requested parsnip and carrot purée, roast spuds and greens , followed by trifles.
    Boxing Day it will be daughter and one son and partners for cold turkey, ham after a starter of prawns with potatoe salad, broccoli salad and a tossed salad , followed by plum pudding or trifles.
    The reason for the seperate trifles is so I can add the cream at the last moment, the base of both should stay fine refrigerated.
    I am finding as the family has grown with children marrying I have had to deviate from my traditional approach to Christmas although I still refuse to have anything but traditional Christmas colours in my decorations.

  24. Perhaps Firefly should concentrate on selling the Greens’ progressive policies to the electorate while Labor tries to win over enough conservative voters to muster a majority in the House of Reps.

    These two disparate strategies might just do the trick in combination. God willing.

  25. Firefox says:
    Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 12:17 pm

    Labor are not going to adopt Green poses. If they were to do that, their PV would fall into the teens. Labor inflicted a very great injury on themselves in 2010 when Gillard struck an idiotic deal with Brown. This can never be reprised. Rather, the concept of a Labor/Green overlap has to be rescinded if Labor are to win and govern.

    Given this, the campaign against Labor by the Greens is probably doing Labor more good than harm.

  26. “The parties do not have equal chances of winning. It is not a 50/50 game. In Australia, it has been about a 1/6 game for Labor since 1951 when they’ve been fighting from Opposition. This is the indisputable record. There is absolutely no reason whatsoever to expect the odds in the forthcoming election to be any different.”

    ***

    This instantly reminded me of this hilariously botched promo lol: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=msDuNZyYAIQ&ab_channel=AbrahamM.

  27. I first became aware of city to city travel permits and curfews in Chile in 1978, I never thought I would see them here but amazing what a pandemic does

    There was grinding poverty in Chile in 1978 and I can’t imagine how refugees survive in the Atacama desert.

    I think Douglas & Milko has more knowledge of Chile than me

  28. Griff, the timing couldn’t be worse, for all the obvious reasons. Are you looking at ‘transitions of care’? and their weak links? I remember ‘them’ trying to workshop problems in ORs with handovers, and the holes in the net, of which there are many.

    To give people some idea, take Day Surgery – the nurse who checks in and admits the patient is different to the anaesthetic nurse, who is different to recovery one nurse, who is different to recovery two nurse, who happens to be at tea when the rellies come for discharge, or the ward nurse comes to take the patient up to the floor, just before her shift ends, and so it goes.

  29. Asha @ #237 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 12:46 pm

    Anyone care to explain to a Luddite like myself how to get C+ working on a mobile browser? I use Chrome, FYI.

    Asha – You will need to download the kiwi browser. It seems to work best with that.
    Once you have kiwi there is an extensions option in the menu.
    Click that and search for PB comments, download
    Then you should see a red PB comments button right at the bottom of the menu. Select that and set up as you like.
    I did this a couple of weeks ago

    Good luck

  30. Listening to Dr John Campbell, Omicron might result in lower hospitalisations with fewer people requiring oxygen, more kids are getting hospitalised. Gauteng province in South Africa (Johannesburg) may have peaked

    Disappointed that Scotty from Marketing might walk away from yet another stuff-up

  31. Douglas and Milko @ #229 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 9:34 am

    TPOF

    It is making me really angry, as most of the posters have absolutely no idea what the lives of ordinary Chileans are like, nor do they understand their voting system.

    Great comment.

    There is often a lot of comment posted here about places outside Australia which demonstrate a total ignorance of what that place is really like and usually consists of just projecting Australia on that place.

    These projections are usually neither valid or true.

    The world outside Australia is often very different to Australia.

  32. “Anyone care to explain to a Luddite like myself how to get C+ working on a mobile browser? I use Chrome, FYI.”

    ***

    Stop using Chrome and get Kiwi on your phone instead, or one of the versions of Firefox which runs extensions. You can run Chrome extensions like C+ using Kiwi browser.

  33. poroti

    Given your work, travels, experience and contacts I hereby appoint you PB’s official Senior Correspondent reporting on Chile

    I can be very strident sometimes. I will take my correspondent’s role very seriously 🙂

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