Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.
The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.
Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.
As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.
Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.
A timely reminder from Moir:
Bludging @ #142 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:41 am
On that we agree. We need a parliament with more than a single voice.
Firefox says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 10:47 am
A Labor-phobic Green campaigns against Labor over breakfast. Ho hum. The only party capable of enacting change in Australia is vilified by a self-styled leftie. Yet again.
I am going to take up the case inside Labor for the relegation of the Greens on HTVs. They are among our foes. We should not favour them with prefs.
I’d like to know what is stopping Omicron moving from the Bronchi to the Alveoli?
To know the answer to that might help us stop Covid moving futher than our noses or something if we could develop a nasal spray with that protective chemical in it.
Bludging:
This is a nonsense combination of the Gambler’s Fallacy and cherry-picking.
You know who else has had just one victory from Opposition since 1996? The Liberal/National Coalition.
The electorate never really “votes for a minority government”. People vote for a local member, and if enough cross-benchers are elected, the chance of a minority government goes up. I suppose you could total up all the votes that aren’t for one of the “parties of government” and consider all those to be “votes for a minority government” if you wanted – if you did so, you’d find 25% voted that way at the 2019 election.
nath
And it’s not trifle if it doesn’t have sherry in the recipe .
I hope it’s Gageler, shellbell.
He also plans to end “private pensions” – sounds like a raid on peoples superannuation. I don’t see that going well.
Firefox @ #150 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:47 am
ItzaDream @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:29 am
Or a pudding with coins in it? Or are they too toxic these days? 🙂
C@tmomma:
I wouldn’t put a cupronickel coin like our legal tender into a pudding, but you can buy sets of real silver coins for the purpose: https://eshop.ramint.gov.au/christmas-pudding-coins
C@t, have you seen this:
*intranasal heparin*
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-22/melbourne-researchers-trial-use-of-common-drug-to-combat-covid/100717224
Morrison about to turn up in a lab coat any day.
Re the coins in the the pudding ,just have to wrap them in al foil if you want to use them.
Chile’s new leader is a leftist – nothing like the ALP who are a party of the centre-right.
You are a bigoted against the Centre Left, fool, Firefox. Not to be taken seriously at all.
zoomster @ #146 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:45 am
Well, I’ve read her website and her discussion paper, and I can’t see anything like what you describe. It all sounds quite sensible and rational. Even mundane.
https://www.helenhaines.org/issues/energy/
Can you point me in the right direction?
Oops, sounds like what Labor are campaigning on:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/21/world/americas/chile-boric.html
Never really understood this style of commentary/framing-device. It’s like, discouraged for people to change their behavior because other people have set up businesses that assume current behavior won’t change, or something? So we all just have to play along, because businesses need an easier time and mustn’t lose money or be forced to actually adapt?
Money is a warped way of evaluating what things should/shouldn’t be done. 😐
Firefox at 10:47 am
Of course he is just like ‘Labor’ , I mean just look at the headlines. How much more 2021 Labor can you get ? 😆
And this is what Gabriel Boric campaigned on (sounds very Labor to me):
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/21/world/americas/chile-boric.html
poroti @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:05 am
Is snark by headline quoting all you’ve got? Just proves you don’t have any legs to stand on.
C@tmomma @ #159 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:57 am
We have a family collection of non-toxic sixpences. Retrieved after pudding consumption, for use the next year. Have been in annual use since 1967.
Each sixpence is swapped for a scratchie when found. We have to be very careful that younger grandkids don’t swallow them. Their servings are dismembered and decoined prior to consumption.
Oh dear. Reality bites:
The acid tests for Indies are their policies on taxation, social housing, Indigenous affairs, health and education.
Taxation is skirted, naturally.
Fantastic, yabba! That’s the way. Find yourself with a problem, then solve it. Whilst maintaining the tradition. 🙂
Boric is certainly up against it.
I wish him well.
“Oops, sounds like what Labor are campaigning on:”
***
Just don’t mention the fact that Labor teamed up with the Coalition to give tax cuts to the rich while also leaving some of the most disadvantaged in the country below the poverty line. Listen to the spin that Laborites like Cat come up with, don’t judge Labor by what they actually do – that might mean they’d have to be held accountable for once. Can’t have that.
Boerwar @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:11 am
Yep. It all comes down to this:
Pie-eyed idealists never deal in reality but political leaders have to.
Re McGowan fall in popularity, in my limited circle of acquaintances the prime reason is the intention to open the borders in February. We’re quite happy living virus free thank you.
I’m astonished by the incredibly specious comparison between Labor and the party led by the new Chilean President.
Like the two countries are peas in a pod.
Same type of government and electoral system – very similar histories (especially the bit about a Marxist President being overthrown by a military dictatorship which ‘disappeared’ political opponents).
Very similar population structure and economic history. Even have the same colonial master and achieved independence in the same way.
Yep – like for like – why can’t we be the same?
P1
Thanks for that. She was big on it on social media originally and there was an on line policy at one stage which was more explicit.
She appears to have backed away from her original proposal, in which case that’s a good move.
Interesting juxtaposition re Gabriel Boric’s win in Chile’s Presidential election:
Pinochet’s widow Lucia Hiriart died last week at 98. She was said to have had a significant influence on the Chilean dictator.
“She was believed to have had a hand in the dismissal of ministers, and General Pinochet acknowledged that she had pushed him, when he was the head of the armed forces, to participate in the 1973 coup d’état that deposed Chile’s socialist president, Salvador Allende.
“One evening, my wife took me to the bedroom where our grandchildren were sleeping,” General Pinochet wrote about the eve of the coup in a memoir. “She turned to me and said, ‘They will be slaves because you haven’t been able to make a decision.’ ”
Soon after that, General Pinochet signed on to the coup attempt, which ousted President Allende on Sept. 11, 1973, in a swift attack on La Moneda. He was installed at the head of the military junta, and his dictatorship ruled Chile until the country’s return to democracy in 1990.” New York Times obit.
“Oh dear. Reality bites:”
***
Yeah, the reality that you really don’t know what you’re on about. While Chile’s new leader moves to end coal, take the climate emergency seriously, and tackle economic inequality, Labor is doing the complete opposite. They’re worlds apart.
For what any poll run by the West is worth, the 77% for McGowan is really saying nearly 8/10 people are in synch with McGowan’s approach.
However, if one tunes to the likes of 6PR there has been a steady queue of whingers claiming the government lacks ‘compassion’ when inconsistencies turn up and – it must be said, – some odd decisions are made ….
The likes of Liam Bartlett has been stirring the “WA hospitals are broken” line for months, blaming the former Health Minister Cook (and by implication McGowan) together with ambulance ramping and death of a small child added to the whinge list…..
Local testing site at Callum Park Sydney has been closed due to over demand. Hopeless Liberal guvmint.
Lucky we stocked up on RAT’s.
zoomster @ #180 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:17 am
Goodness, fancy a politician actually listening to feedback and amending their policies!
I guess this must be an Independent thing?
C@tmomma at 11:08 am
So you reckon he is same same with Labor ? Labor would be too scared to even whisper such things , that is if they’d even want to take any action on such issues. Your party has however got very good at explaining why it is ‘clever politics’ to roll over on issues they supposedly believed in. Which makes it harder to believe any promises made or claimed beliefs/principles.
Leon says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 11:13 am
Re McGowan fall in popularity, in my limited circle of acquaintances the prime reason is the intention to open the borders in February. We’re quite happy living virus free thank you.
_______________________________________
Not much experience of WA from what I’ve read, but that seems about right to me.
When you think about it, all the other explanations really only impact a small proportion of the population, despite the grossly outsized reporting. But everyone can be worried by the importation of a plague as a result of looser border restrictions.
Losing the Test is a particularly poor argument. After all, as a result of the border closures they got a once in a lifetime AFL Grand Final, while an Ashes test will be on the agenda for the next tour. For WA sports lovers it sounds like a good deal to me.
Beguiledagain
thanks for another fascinating historical insight. I really enjoy your posts.
zoomster @ #180 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:17 am
Misrepresentations are your specialty.
sprocket_ @ #105 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:01 am
I thought the production was good but Covid has made things a bit patchy in the theatre industry – cast member gets a sniffle and they’re straight out. It means changes right up until the last minute for each show. We saw it recently and got a White Hamilton. Not even an understudy, just someone on call. Not terrible, but not great either. The main cast – as cast – is actually very good IMO. Brent Hill As King George is exceptional, he’d hold his own in any company.
mikehilliard
RAT ? Ram Air Turbine,Risk Assessment Team,Redeployment Assistance Team,Remote Access Tool orrrr Rapid Antigen Test ?
Not sure why Daniel Andrews is attending Morrisons look-at-me exercise today. Merlino and Sutton have previously showed they can keep things ticking along. Victoria has adequate measures in place at the moment.
Rex Douglas says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 11:23 am
zoomster @ #180 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 11:17 am
P1
Thanks for that. She was big on it on social media originally and there was an on line policy at one stage which was more explicit.
She appears to have backed away from her original proposal, in which case that’s a good move.
Misrepresentations are your specialty.
____________________________________
In a nutshell, the problem this site has with posters. Poster A says something; Poster B responds with evidence that it is now wrong; Poster A then acknowledges the error.
And then one of the most pointless, useless and least constructive posters comes on with a snarky bit of gratuitous abuse.
”
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 11:07 am
And this is what Gabriel Boric campaigned on (sounds very Labor to me):
Mr. Boric won the election on Sunday with 55 percent of the vote, 11 points ahead of Mr. Kast — a strong popular mandate to restructure the country in light of his promises.
They include shifting from a private pension system to a public one; pardoning student debt; increasing investment in education and public health care; and creating a care giving system that would relieve the burden on women, who do most of the work of tending to children, older relatives and others. He has vowed to restore territory to Indigenous communities and to support unrestricted access to abortion.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/21/world/americas/chile-boric.html
”
C@tmomma
All those policies were introduced and implemented by ALP over a period of time. So FF is wrong again. ‘-)
TPOF @ #193 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:30 am
Even with the final paragraph, that’s still less dysfunctional than like 99% of online forums.
How Christians co-opted the winter solstice.
The ‘church’ decided on Dec 25 in the 4th century CE.
https://bigthink.com/thinking/winter-solstice-and-christianity/
How deadly is the omicron variant? Here’s what we know
On Monday, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that the omicron variant now accounts for nearly 73 percent of new coronavirus infections in the United States. That rise is astonishing given that, in the beginning of December, the new variant only made up less than 1 percent of new infections. This means that the variant has successfully outcompeted the delta variant, ushering in a new stage of the pandemic scientists long feared would arise.
Currently, much of the country is seeing a dramatic increase in the number of COVID-19 cases thanks to omicron. In New York state, new coronavirus cases have increased more than 80 percent over the last two weeks.
“It is a predictor of what the rest of the country will see soon, and the minimum — since NYC is highly vaccinated — of what other parts of the country will experience in under-vaccinated cities and states,” Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, told Reuters.
https://www.rawstory.com/omicron-variant/
Rex Douglas @ #189 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 8:23 am
Where was the misrepresentation?
zoom highlighted a policy advocated in the past and then acknowledged positively when she found out that it was no longer being advocated.
Good one Barrie…