Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.
The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.
Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.
As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.
Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.
Firefox says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 8:39 am
Seriously… Bandt’s tweets are comical as if Chileans give a fig for has been greens words of support. Bandt who? A Continual search for attention & relevance.
I’d like one of those old fashioned journalists to ask the NSW Premier and Prime Minister how, by exercising “personal responsibility,” i can be protected from covid infected people who choose not to wear a face mask .
Every hospital bed filled with a COVID patient is someone else not having a knee replacement, or gastric surgery or a transplant etc etc…. we are already months behind much surgery…..this barely ever seems to be mentioned.
Wonder where Eagles and Fremantle will play out of next year. Hobart and Launceston?
I must say Hamilton was good live, but the Sydney production and cast a shadow of the US one you can see on the Disney Channel.
Christmas grocery shopping. Tick.
Christmas present wrapping. Mostly done.
List of phone and skype calls to make on Xmas Day. Tick.
Meal planned for Xmas Day.
Tree fully decorated. Tick.
Decision made to down our bottle of Brown Brothers Prosecco for Xmas lunch. (It’s only been sitting there for about 3 years)
Sorted. 😀
sprocket_ @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:01 am
And they hacked into it and shortened the story.
”
Firefoxsays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 8:58 am
“I thought that Bandt would be announcing that Putin and Xi have flunked Greens’ Peace Studies 101.”
***
Never fear Boerski, your prayers have been answered! Everyone’s new favourite Foreign Minister Comrade Baerbock is on the job!
”
Believe me when I say this. Baerbock is not my favourite Foreign Minister. And I can bet 99% of World population doesn’t even know who Germany’s Foreign Minister is let alone being the favourite one.
C@tmomma
What are you coooking for Christmas Day? 🙂
Shellbell @ #104 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:01 am
– OMG NO DONT SEND EM DOWN HERE THANKS
I really enjoyed Hamilton, although the people I was with thought it could’ve done with some dialogue.
”
TPOFsays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 9:15 am
Jo Dyer should have thrown her hat in Sturt ring.
____________________________
I don’t know Adelaide geography. Does she live in Sturt?
”
She lives in Adelaide metropolitan area, doesn’t she? She is a sufficient requirement in my opinion.
Greensborough Growler @ #41 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 8:23 am
For you, a special treat. Sydney Symphony Orchestra in full cry. RPPS special. Endorsed by Pell lovers everywhere.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pB958pxquj0
“Believe me when I say this. Baerbock is not my favourite Foreign Minister.”
***
Oh I believe you! Greens occupying positions of power on the world stage is Labor’s worst nightmare come true.
Perhaps I should have said that she is the favourite Foreign Minister among progressives. You are right that many conservatives are not a fan of her at all.
Confessions:
I’m not a fan of sung-through musicals. I quickly find myself just wanting the singing to stop for a bit so I can actually experience a story.
”
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 9:40 am
Ven @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 8:55 am
”
Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.
”
Can any PBer from WA explain why McGowan approval ratings dropped by 11 % points albeit from Putinistic and Xi levels?
I’m not from WA, though I lived there for 15 years and my kids were born there, so, close enough. What I would say is that some people are pissed off that the borders aren’t open for Xmas family reunions. People are fickle like that.
”
Fair enough. 🙂
Well it looks like masks mandates are returning – strong recommendation by the AHPPC..
Will Domicron comply?
Will ScottyFromAnnouncments shake and bake his way out?
He is already lying about what he said yesterday…
Mask wearing. AHPPC. “Masks should be mandated in all indoor settings, including retail, hospitality when not eating and drinking, and entertainment facilities. Implementation of mask wearing measures should occur prior to Omicron case escalation to have maximum benefit”.
On Guardian blog..
bakunin says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 7:48 am
The Xen/Centre Alliance vote in Boothby at 2016 election was 20.66% vs Labor’s 24.52%. With no CA candidate running at 2019 election every contesting party had a positive swing. Labor was the major beneficiary picking up 7.70%, Greens 3.78%, Liberal 3.50%, the rest to minor parties.
Jo Dyer running as a Teal is likely to fill the gap left by absence of a Xen/CA type candidate.
If there is a Teal bandwagon effect in play it’s quite likely that Labor will be pushed into third.
Rather than being a Labor gain as Albo suggested back in January, the Teal makes this is likely to be a Liberal retain, or “Voices Of” gain.
What what could Labor possibly hope to gain by tarring Dwyer as a Labor-aligned candidate?
It may keep enough voters from switching from Labor and Liberal to Teal to prevent Dyer finishing 2nd.
Avoiding the ignominy of being relegated to third in a seat Labor believed it could win would be reason enough. Remaining in 2CP contention at least gives ALP a chance of picking up the seat.
Your suggestion is that Labor have sabotaged Dyer. First, there’s no evidence for this claim. Second, it is a claim advanced by a Green/Labor-phobic bludger. Would a Labor-phobic Green attempt to sabotage Labor by making unsubstantiated claims? You betcha they would.
The Prime Porkie lying about what he said…
PM, this morning. “They will be decisions that [premiers] take in each of their states and territories. You know, you should be wearing them anyway. You don’t have to wait to be told in this country and this is the point I was making yesterday.”
#auspol
”
C@tmommasays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 9:46 am
zoomster,
I think your middle name is the Lithuanian equivalent to mine. Ellen.
”
🙂
Getting to the Lyric is challenge enough. There was a very funny piece (Brigid Delaney possibly) where she couldn’t get off the north west distributor and ended up back at Milsons Point trapped in some roundabout, Chevy Chase like.
Ray (UK) @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:04 am
We have a tradition in our family because my son is a Pescatarian. We used to do a whole fish when both of my sons were at home, plus what I’m only going to do this time because one is in the US and the other still at home. So I do the Jamie Oliver Xmas chook with a ton of Roasted vegetables! Basically, you shove a whole lemon up the chook’s clacker, plus a bunch of bouquet garni, rub it with oil, salt and pepper (ditto with the vegs but just crack Lemon Pepper onto them and salt) and then shove it in the oven. It always comes out moist as and supremely tasty.
Then prepare the Pav. This year we are putting Strawberries, Raspberries, Blueberries, Blackberries, dressed with Passionfruit pulp, Mango pulp, Lemon Curd and Strawberry Jam. 🙂
sprocket_ @ #NaN Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:20 am
Yeah. Yeah. ‘Personal Responsibility’ 🙄
Rikali @ #102 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:00 am
Like wearing sunscreen stops you catching melanoma from the person next to you on the beach!!
Barrister who sued after colleague asked him to stop farting loses case
Lawyer said flatulence was caused by heart medication and argued the request violated his dignity
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/dec/21/barrister-who-sued-cps-for-disability-related-harassment-loses-case
Lawyers seem to be a very precious lot
Zuvele Elena Leschen @ #83 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 9:41 am
I wouldn’t call it ‘blind belief’. I would call it ‘hope’.
Determining the mechanism is not their job, is it? All politicians – any politicians – have to do is accept what is recommended to them by those whose job it is to know this stuff. The science is perfectly clear, and the mechanisms are available. Our current politicians are simply ignoring them.
Why would they baulk?
Clearly, that is not a complete solution. Still, a 20% reduction is a far chunk, don’t you think?
Can you post a reference for that claim?
The Liberals have a target. Labor has a target. But both targets are inadequate. Inadequate targets, or targets without a corresponding commitment to ambitious action are quite pointless. Possibly even counterproductive. Anyway, you said in your first paragraph the indies had ambitious targets, now you say they have none. Which is it?
The whole point of indies is that they are independent. But in this case they agree on common principles, one of which is ambitious climate action. Might they not stick to their principles? Sure they might not. Might the Liberals and Labor not stick to theirs? Of course they do not. We know this. We have so many examples of this that it is pointless to even start listing them.
Do any of the pro-action Independents support either the Labor target or the Liberal target? I don’t believe so, so your argument is moot. Or at least it degenerates to the previous argument, which is effectively that you can’t really trust any politician. And I think we can all agree with that.
At the moment, we may have two parties in our parliament but when it comes to fossil fuels they speak with only one voice. The answer is more voices in parliament. And the way to achieve this is to vote for it. Vote Independent.
Speaking of lawyers, who do our lawyerly lot think will get the guernsey if Labor or the Liberals get to choose?
Next year’s election will not only decide who leads the nation, it will also decide who is the next chief justice of the High Court, writes Michael Pelly.
https://www.afr.com/politics/election-will-decide-next-high-court-chief-justice-20211215-p59hli
FoxxyLove
“Oh I believe you! Greens occupying positions of power on the world stage is Labor’s worst nightmare come true.”
Either that… or most people just don’t care. You can put me in the second category.
The Producers was fun.
Anyway, the new leader of Chile is not a Green, he’s a Social Democrat. Big difference. More like the Labor Party.
I still think there is alot of noise rather then substance over these independents in terms predictions of electoral success. I saw it was suggested that the seat of Bowman would be prime for an independent. Claire Richardson ran as an independent in the state seat Oodgeroo which is based in Bowman at the last Queensland state election. And all these predictions she may take the seat turned out to be a fizzer. She failed to make the two party preferred vote.
Jo Dyer has announced her canidacy quite late compared to the Labor and Liberals canidates in Boothby. I doubt she will make the final two party preferred vote despite some talking up her chances on here.
Does anyone still make a trifle? Much underrated, a good one mean.
“What are you coooking for Christmas Day?”
***
If you’re not having potato salad you’re not doing it right! My immediate family are all atheists but we always (with the exception of last year) catch up and have Xmas lunch together. Potato salad is always a must! I may be biased but I reckon my mum makes the best damn potato salad in the world lol. Could live off that stuff quite happily if I had to!
I’m more of a stage play person.
“Either that… or most people just don’t care. You can put me in the second category.”
***
Of course. That’s why you took the time to comment and obsess over it, obviously.
C@t
Sounds wonderful
I’m going to my niece’s place for the traditional UK roast turkey and trimmings
The niece and her fella (late 20s) are both boosted as well as us old ‘uns 🙂
”
Firefoxsays:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 10:16 am
“Believe me when I say this. Baerbock is not my favourite Foreign Minister.”
***
Oh I believe you! Greens occupying positions of power on the world stage is Labor’s worst nightmare come true.
Perhaps I should have said that she is the favourite Foreign Minister among progressives. You are right that many conservatives are not a fan of her at all
”
Goal Post shifted. Wrong again. She is not the favourite Foreign Minister among progressives. Do you have any polling regarding that? It appears that you think only who swear by Greens idealogy are progressives. Wrong again.
“ Was it AE after a 10 hour session studying submarine warfare tactics ?”
Lucky for you, L’arse Von Bot Bot, I’m not as thin skinned as many of your team: otherwise Mark O’Brien Legal would already be threatening to take your house off you on account of my hurt feelings. …
Itza:
I drove to the Lyric and found it pretty easy to get there. Parking under the casino was easy, and there were plenty of parks when I went.
This was before the unvaxxed were unleashed, so I imagine the casino is probably busier now than it was.
I very much expect now that Morrison and Perrottet have let the Omicron genie out of the bottle they will deny responsibility and blame shift if the shit starts hitting than fan. It’s looking like the week after Christmas will be horrendous and January will be tragic.
Omicron seems to be milder than Delta, listening to Dr John Campbell (on Youtube) this is because it doesn’t migrate into the alveoli but stays in the bronchi. Hopefully this means hospital admissions will be a lot less but given the R factor we’re still looking at health systems that fail.
And that will be where the blame shifting happens, Morrison will deny he has any responsibility because it’ll be the state medical systems that collapse.
Player One says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 10:25 am
There is only one way to change the country and that is to change the government. Voting Lite will not accomplish that. Most likely, it will merely forestall change. The Reactionaries are exceptionally good at winning elections in Australia. Labor have been confined to Opposition most of the time since Federation, which means they have had to campaign from behind in most elections. They are in this position now…of starting out some way behind the incumbents. Labor’s chances are real, but not great, considered historically. After the fall of the Scullin Government in 1931, Labor did not win from Opposition until 1972. 41 years passed. We have had just one victory from Opposition since 1996 and that was in 2007. Looking at the record, we may wait until 2050 before winning again.
But if Labor’s chances are poor, the chances that the electorate will vote for a minority government are even lower. This has occurred just twice since WW1. We might well wait until 2070 before we see another such result.
The electoral behaviour of the Australian people has been remarkably stable since the Great War. There is absolutely nothing in the polling to suggest things have been upset in that respect. We will most likely see more of the same. This is consistent with everything we know about voter affiliations, intentions and expressions.
ItzaDream says:
Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 10:29 am
Does anyone still make a trifle? Much underrated, a good one mean.
_____________
Of course. Is not Christmas without the trifle.
Stuffed rolled turkey breast (thank you Mr Butcher). I can make Cumberland Sauce, by the way.
Confessions @ #140 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:36 am
Somehow it’s sort of stayed some kind of nightmare in my mind, and the Casino vibe just ain’t my thing. btw, did you ever get to explore Barangaroo Headland and the Walsh Bay precinct. We went to drinkie poos and a recital there (Barangaroo, under Sydney Theatre, 4/5) the other night and it was gobsmackingly beautiful.
I think Gageler is the obvious next CJ and his classification as most liberal (in the US sense) is the typical boring and superficial crap that attaches to High Court judges
P1
(Damn it, outed myself again – drat autofill).
I put a ‘may’ in the ‘ambitious targets’ so there’s no contradiction.
As for Haines policy, as I’ve outlined before, she wants to mandate that renewable companies investing in regional areas will make additional investments in the local community. Which would mean that renewable companies would face increase costs, which would make investing less attractive.
Living in the first Voices electorate, I know that indies aren’t the answer. When Cathy McGowan didn’t get what she wanted from the Liberals, she just stopped asking.
And, as I said, with a range of indie approaches, whoever’s trying to form government can pick and choose which indies they’ll work with.
Itza:
No, Barangaroo is still on my to do list.
GoldenSmaug @ #141 Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 – 10:40 am
And it’s clinically more than enough to take essential staff out of the already stretched health system, regardless of anything else. The shows that are being shut down aren’t closed because of restrictions, but because the casts are getting sick.
I did not need the vision of Dom Perrottet in a thong (if that’s the right word).
“Anyway, the new leader of Chile is not a Green, he’s a Social Democrat. Big difference. More like the Labor Party.”
***
Almost as funny as when you tried to claim AOC as a Laborite and made a complete fool of yourself lol. You really don’t have a clue, do you.
Chile’s new leader is a leftist – nothing like the ALP who are a party of the centre-right. He’s vowing to take serious action to address the climate emergency and wants to shut down coal mines and power plants, not open them up and back coal beyond 2050 like Labor has committed to. He plans to tackle economic inequality, not team up with the right and make it worse as Labor does.