Laying down the law

The latest on voter identification law and other electoral legislation, plus reams of federal preselection news.

This week should see the fortnightly federal voting intention poll from Roy Morgan, the regular fortnightly Essential Research poll which is scheduled to feature neither voting intention numbers nor leadership ratings, and possibly the more-or-less monthly Resolve Strategic poll from the Age/Herald. Until then:

Tom McIlroy of the Financial Review reports the Centre Alliance will push for an inquiry into the government’s voter identification bill when it comes before the Senate, to which it will presumably progress swiftly after coming before the House of Representatives today. Three further electoral bills come before the House on Tuesday: to reduce the thresholds beyond which those who spend money on their own election campaigning are required to lodge annual disclosures; to provide for measures deemed desirable under emergency conditions such as pandemics, including greater flexibility with postal and pre-poll voting; and to require security assessments and such like for the computer systems and software used to conduct the Senate count. Two notable bits of detail include bringing forward the deadline for receipt of postal vote applications from the Wednesday before the election to the Tuesday, and requiring the Australian Electoral Commission to publish the Senate vote data files within seven days of the return of the writs, having presumably been allowed to play it by ear in the past.

• A preselection vote on Saturday to determine the successor to Victorian Liberal Senator Scott Ryan, both in respect to the vacancy arising from his imminent retirement and the third position on the Coalition ticket at the election, was won by Greg Mirabella, Wangaratta farmer and husband of Sophie Mirabella. James Campbell of the Herald Sun reports Mirabella won the final round by 165 votes to 141 over Simon Frost, staffer to Josh Frydenberg and former state party director. Incumbent Sarah Henderson comfortably won the ballot for the top position, with the second reserved for Bridget Mackenzie of the Nationals. Other unsuccessful candidates were Emanuele Cicchiello, former Knox mayor and deputy principal at Lighthouse Christian College, and Ranjana Srivastava, an oncologist who also contested the preselection for Casey.

• A dispute within the New South Wales Liberal Party affecting preselections for Warringah, Hughes, Gilmore, Eden-Monaro, Dobell and Parramatta reached a new pitch at a meeting of its state executive on Friday night, which resolved to close nominations on December 3 with plebiscites likely to follow in February. However, James Massola of the Sydney Morning Herald reports the issue could be settled next week by a deal between Scott Morrison and Dominic Perrottet, potentially through the federal executive choosing candidates with plebiscites. Broadly speaking, the dispute pits centre right powerbroker Alex Hawke against the combined forces of the moderates and the hard right, with the former wanting candidates to be promptly installed by the state council and the latter wanting party plebiscites at the cost of delaying the process until February. One aspect of this is that Scott Morrison, who is close to Hawke, is backing state MPs (specifically Holsworthy MP Melanie Gibbons run in Hughes and Parramatta MP Geoff Lee’s for the federal seat of the same name) for preselection in federal seats while Dominic Perrottet, from the hard right, would sooner avoid the resulting state by-elections.

• Dominic Perrottet’s concerns apparently do not extend to the done deal of Bega MP Andrew Constance contesting preselection for Gilmore. However, Constance’s field of competition has now expanded to include Jemma Tribe, a charity operator and former Shoalhaven councillor, and Stephen Hayes, a former RAAF officer and staffer to Christopher Pyne. They join Shoalhaven Heads lawyer Paul Ell, who by all accounts has strong support in local branches, while Constance is favoured by Alex Hawke and the centre right.

• Sharon Bird, who has held the Illawarra seat of Cunningham for Labor since 2004, has announced she will retire at the election. With the seat seemingly the preserve of the Right faction, candidates to succeed her reportedly include Misha Zelinsky, Fulbright scholar and assistant national secretary of the Right faction Australian Workers Union, who aborted a planned challenge to Bird’s preselection before the 2016 election; Alison Byrnes, an adviser to Bird; and Tania Brown, Wollongong councillor and an administrator at the University of Wollongong.

• Labor’s candidate for north coast New South Wales seat of Page, which was held by Labor through the Rudd-Gillard period but now has a Nationals margin of 9.4%, is Patrick Deegan, who works for a domestic violence support service and also ran in 2019.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,089 comments on “Laying down the law”

Comments Page 18 of 22
1 17 18 19 22
  1. Jaeger says:
    Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 4:08 pm

    Incredible cast – Leonardo di Caprio, Jennifer Lawrence, Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchette and more of this calibre. Starts December 24th. Looks like a Must Watch.

    Fizza. (e.g. Prime Video’s “Greenland”.)
    ______________
    Greenland was a B grade movie. This cast has chops. The degree of difficulty is high in a comedy though.

  2. The govt looks genuinely panicked at the moment, especially Morrison. They’re swinging wildly, throwing shit everywhere hoping something will stick to someone, somewhere. They look rattled AF, especially Morrison.

    It’s hilarious. Never known a person to just so regularly lie about everything, even things he has no need to. It’s a genuine personality defect (he has many).

    And they still haven’t pre-selected candidates across NSW.

    They’re in real strife.

  3. Arch unionist, Northern Ireland’s Ian Paisley Jnr has just got an Irish passport.
    Maybe he’s become a nationalist or is it to avoid brexit queues when visiting Europe? 🙂


  4. ing_live_scroll=1

    Nostradamussays:
    Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 2:53 pm
    Even if the Coalition get an apocalyptic run of polling, they still have ample time to install Dutton and win re-election from there.

    Stored away in bank vault. 🙂

  5. Alpha Zero says Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 4:16 pm

    What could possibly go wrong, Darwin awards nomination for sure…

    https://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-updates/incidents/an-italian-man-has-died-after-intentionally-trying-to-catch-covid/news-story/d935b17ec184f42423ee70a7fd4420ec

    A man has died and others are fighting for their lives after a slew of “corona parties” in Italy, where attendees went with the purpose of catching Covid.

    The 55-year-old man died in Austria last week after being infected at a party in northern Italy.

    This being a thing is beyond ridiculous…

    But, but, natural immunity! Isn’t that what the antivaxxers and wellness freaks are preaching.

  6. Greenland was a B grade movie. This cast has chops. The degree of difficulty is high in a comedy though.

    As I said, fizza.
    Front loading the cast and skimping on the (already feeble) SFX never ends well.

  7. a r says Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 4:48 pm

    The fantasy that naturally occurring things are automatically better/safer/healthier than man-made options is nothing new. It’s especially stupid when applied to modern medicine.

    I’m thinking of introducing a poison ivy skin care range. Entirely natural, and if collected from the forest, also “organic” so it must be good for you.

    Whenever I see “organic” products in the supermarket I always wonder where the inorganic versions are.

  8. C@tmomma says: Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 12:02 pm

    Okay, via my mother, the latest line from the Peter Dutton Support group facebook page, so that government Ministers and their supporters can walk both sides of the street is:
    ‘I am vaccinated and I feel safe and I will mingle with the unvaccinated because I believe in freedom of choice.’

    Flaws in argument
    1. Vaccination does not provide 100% protection, it reduces your risk of catching covid to 12.5%
    2. Your unvaccinated friend is 20 times more likely to give you covid

    But if they are Peter Dutton supporters I would encourage them to mingle indiscriminately

  9. Whenever I see “organic” products in the supermarket I always wonder where the inorganic versions are.

    I drove by a veg farm in the Piccadilly Valley yesterday. Chap was driving up and down the rows spraying the crap out of everything. Including the road and the swale in between.

    There are fruit and veg shops that sell certified organic produce and a second tier of minimal spray and artificial fertilizer. They mostly produce excellent produce by using better farming techniques rather than chemicals. If you can afford it I recommend giving it ago – it normally isnt much more expensive. We use far too much herbicide and pesticides in our farms and gardens. Think of the frogs, the good bugs, the bees….

  10. Rex Douglas says:
    Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 5:18 pm
    Albanese is doing Morrison slowly.

    ________________________

    Morrison is doing Morrison quickly. Albanese is just handing him the fossil fuel to keep the fire going.

  11. ItzaDream says:
    Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 1:47 pm

    B.S. Fairman @ #719 Tuesday, November 23rd, 2021 – 1:20 pm

    So today is the anniversary of the JFK assassination…. Where were the older bludgers doing that day? Not accusing them of anything (although I wouldn’t put it beyond them).

    Nov 22 (which it is in the US)

    My father woke me in the morning, Saturday. (Kennedy was shot 12.30pm Dallas time, Friday). I still remember being in bed, looking up at him. He was very upset. He believed in the Camelot fantasy. I would years later visit the Kennedy graves in Arlington, much on Dad’s behalf. Therein lies my Clinton jogging story, already told.

    —————————————————————————-

    Security wasn’t an issue, just six months earlier, when I spoke with the President at the summer White House on Cape Cod.

    I was with the press party in May, 1963, accompanying newly-elected Canadian Prime Minister Lester “Mike”Pearson for his first talks with President Kennedy at the Kennedy compound at Hyannisport.

    It was a cold and blustery day as we waited for the President and Prime Minister to emerge from their talks. Kennedy came out, without a coat, and walked and talked with us before inviting us into Bobby Kennedy’s house which was next door, to warm up.

    Mr. Pearson took the President around the living room and introduced each of us to Kennedy. When it was my turn, all I could muster was something like: “Is this is what the weather on Cape Cod is really like Mr. President? ” Kennedy smiled and said: ” You should be here when it really blows.”

    You can see, as far as security goes, how times have changed. This is my shot (poor choice of words) as the President walked us over to Bobby Kennedy’s place. Yes, I was that close. He must have called off the Secret Service. Mike Pearson is smiling, behind the President’s finger.

    http://postimg.cc/8JMJ37cR/9ec9c754

    And six months later he was gone.

  12. Coalition Tea Lady @ItsBouquet
    · 1h
    A highlight from Barnaby’s drunken rant in today’s #qt.

    Morrison nearly wetting himself with the hilarity of it all … and the new Speaker reckons it’s a hoot as well!

    What a rabble. The new Speaker should at least try to look independent.

  13. Germany are not too far behind Australia with levels of vaccination
    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-vaccination-doses-per-capita?country=AUS~NZL~DEU
    But look at the situation they are currently in. Thank goodness the State Premiers largely told SfM to GAGF.
    .
    .
    Merkel told officials from her Christian Democratic party on Monday that the situation was “highly dramatic” and warned that hospitals would soon be overwhelmed unless the fourth wave of the virus is broken, according to a person familiar with her remarks.
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/europe/300460677/covid19-angela-merkel-says-germanys-virus-spike-worse-than-anything-weve-seen
    I like Herr Spahn
    ““Immunity will be reached,” Spahn said. “The question is whether it’s via vaccination or infection, and we empathetically recommend the path via vaccination.”

  14. “Cheryl Kernot
    @cheryl_kernot
    ·
    18m
    You can tell how much Joshie really fears @JEChalmers by the way he feels the need to start every answer with a pathetic attempt to belittle him. #qt”

    Cheryl Kernot, you rat, you have had your time in the sun. You tried to take on Dutton in Dickson – the next Prime Minister – and failed. Time to go back to your knitting and shhh.

  15. I don’t have a huge amount of time for Cheryl Kernot. But I’m enjoying the way she riles up knuckle-dragging misogynists like ‘Nostradamus’.

  16. Sometimes Jacqui Lambie is g-o-o-d!

    Jacqui Lambie “a baby born on the day the government promised a federal integrity commission is walking, talking and getting ready for kindy, being almost three, and has ACCOMPLISHED MORE IN ITS SHORT LIFE THAN THE GOVERNMENT.”

  17. It is enjoyable when certain posters emerge. Besides the laughs, the posts are more manna for machine learning. Random forest technique for a blog?

  18. There was a comic tune named ‘when cheryl went feral’. You can find it on YT.

    However there is a lesser known parody version that featured lyrics about Cheryl and other Oz politicians.

    I’d love to find a link for that 🙂

  19. ‘Jacqui Lambie “a baby born on the day the government promised a federal integrity commission is walking, talking and getting ready for kindy, being almost three, and has ACCOMPLISHED MORE IN ITS SHORT LIFE THAN THE GOVERNMENT.”’

    ***

    Incredible, isn’t it.

    Just wait until you hear what the kids born back in 2010 have achieved since the parties of the establishment teamed up to block the Greens from implementing a Federal ICAC. They’ll be starting high school soon!

  20. This “Lies! Lies! Lies” campaign against Morrison reminds me of a similar campaign against Malcolm Fraser back before he lost to Hawke. Probably after the Budget. It worked too because there was ongoing antipathy to Fraser and plenty of evidence to support the proposition

    I recall the Labor MPs chanting it in unison one day as Fraser scurried from the House.

    Perhaps someone can find the footage.

  21. “Albanese is just handing him the fossil fuel to keep the fire going.”

    ***

    I don’t think you realise just how accurate this statement truly is.

  22. How do you argue with intellects like these?

    PRGuy@PRGuy17 · 4h
    Police have politely asked the small group of protesters at Parliament to clean up their rubbish. The protesters say they’re convinced the request is a direct order from Daniel Andrews (it’s actually from the council) and “they won’t be held to ransom by this tyranny.”
    The protesters are now discussing legal options and say they plan to draw on their sovereign citizen status to override and nullify the police.

  23. “Some posters here are definitely AI experiments”

    ***

    While some others display a level of intelligence and similar behavioural tendencies to that of Trump supporters.

    (And are definitely not self-aware)

  24. “What a misogynistic remark. She has enough experience of politics to be able to comment. As much as anyone here.”

    ***

    Well said. I don’t like her as a politician but that was most certainly a sexist attack that nobody deserves.

  25. Greens to test Labor climate position

    Greens leader Adam Bandt is calling on Labor to prevent “climate crime” and help stop taxpayer-funded fracking in the Beetaloo Basin.

    In what the Greens view as Australia’s first post-Glasgow test, the party will introduce a Senate motion on Wednesday to block the $50 million Beetaloo Cooperative Drilling Program.

    Mr Bandt, who said drilling the Northern Territory basin could add up to 13 per cent to Australia’s emissions every year, said the crossbench had the numbers to pass the motion with Labor’s support.

    “(They) want to use your money – public money – to open up a massive new gas climate bomb … putting 2030 and 2050 targets out of reach,” he said.

    “What part of no new coal and gas don’t Labor and Liberal understand?”

    https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/environment/greens-to-test-labor-climate-position-c-4667069

  26. Greens reveal plan to make gender-affirming healthcare free under Medicare

    The Greens have announced a new plan to include gender-affirming healthcare as a permanent part of Medicare.

    The plan involves investing $15 million annually to cover the out of pocket costs experienced by trans and gender diverse people in accessing gender-affirming healthcare.

    Greens Senator Janet Rice said Australia does not have a universal healthcare system until there is an “equal access to essential services”.

    “Everyone has the right to have their specific health needs met with equity, dignity and respect, and it is the government’s responsibility to ensure this is no different for trans and gender diverse Australians,” Senator Rice said.

    “Healthcare is a human right. No matter how much is in your bank account, everyone should be able to access healthcare to alleviate suffering and improve their lives.”

    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/greens-reveal-plan-to-make-gender-affirming-healthcare-free-under-medicare/ceb8f56a-0ec8-4c71-a5c4-a29a4d2b116c

  27. Just wait until you hear what the kids born back in 2010 have achieved

    Well, hopefully they can walk. Otherwise they have the NDIS for what it’s worth now.

  28. Nostradamus @ #869 Tuesday, November 23rd, 2021 – 5:50 pm

    “Cheryl Kernot
    @cheryl_kernot
    ·
    18m
    You can tell how much Joshie really fears @JEChalmers by the way he feels the need to start every answer with a pathetic attempt to belittle him. #qt”

    Cheryl Kernot, you rat, you have had your time in the sun. You tried to take on Dutton in Dickson – the next Prime Minister – and failed. Time to go back to your knitting and shhh.

    Male Chauvinist Sexist Pig.

  29. ”Just wait until you hear what the kids born back in 2010 have achieved since the parties of the establishment teamed up to block the Greens from implementing a Federal ICAC. They’ll be starting high school soon!”

    That was about the time that the Greens joined the Liberals and Nationals to block the CPRS.

  30. How do you argue with intellects like these?

    Call their parents to come and take them home and put them in their room and deny them internet privileges.

  31. One Nation

    Didn’t Abbott have the brief to bury them – resulting in Hanson going to jail if I recall correctly?

    And look where we are today

    Before you get to Palmer

    Aged Care, post Howard, has featured the handing of bed licences to private operators

    And now the industry can not access the necessary staff, noting the employment conditions they are forced to including remuneration

    Capitalism hey, the money finishing up on Company Balance Sheets and in the hands of Shareholders and senior management

    Aided and abetted by the most effective form of regulation being self regulation (refer the Royal Commission findings and other findings, the Coroner Court proceedings current receiving no coverage in media – a media which no doubt will rail on the CHO standing down staff because of infection Ignoring that the “surge staff” responsibility of the Federal government was non existent which will no doubt not be reported. So it was all the CHO’s fault, no doubt)

  32. nath
    “I sense a Beetaloo Convoy being planned for the election.”

    Oooh, the excitement! You can ride shotgun with your buddy Bob Brown!

  33. And along comes Uhlmann…

    If Scott Morrison could pick his election battles, there’s one he would prefer

    The Prime Minister’s chances of winning the day against strong Labor premiers are slim. Anthony Albanese is his preferred opponent.

    The election battle lines are being more sharply drawn in the shadow of Christmas and the Prime Minister believes he is in a fight with more than one foe.

    In a telling moment during question time, Scott Morrison gave voice to a suspicion many Liberals mutter in private.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/if-scott-morrison-could-pick-his-election-battles-there-s-one-he-would-prefer-20211123-p59b9h.html

Comments Page 18 of 22
1 17 18 19 22

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *