Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Slight improvement in the Coalition’s voting intention numbers, but Scott Morrison’s personal ratings continue to track down.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor leading 53-47, in from 54-46 three weeks ago. The primary votes are Coalition 37% (up two), Labor 38% (steady), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 2% (down one). Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 44% and up two on disapproval to 52%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady on 37% and up two to 48%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has been cut from 48-34 to 46-38. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1524.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,544 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 11 of 31
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  2. Climate change politics destroyed the leaderships of Rudd and Gillard and then Turnbull. It might yet demolish Morrison. It is political hemlock.

  3. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 6:07 pm

    Boerwar @ #414 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 1:20 pm

    … Did you know that the whole of Vietnam, the korean pensinsula, Laos and Cambodia and parts of Burma were once part of China. …

    No, I didn’t.

    But that’s because you just made most of it up.

    Northern Vietnam has at times been under Chinese control, but never the south of the country.
    A small portion of Laos was occupied during one of these events. Cambodia has been untouched.
    ——————————–
    Well then, Vietnam down to about half way along the coast is inside China’s borders and part of Laos is obviously also inside Chinese borders. At least one ‘Chin’ fleet assaulted Angkor Wat. Unsuccessful expansion attempt, I suppose?

  4. Boerwar @ #503 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 3:30 pm

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 6:07 pm

    Boerwar @ #414 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 1:20 pm

    … Did you know that the whole of Vietnam, the korean pensinsula, Laos and Cambodia and parts of Burma were once part of China. …

    No, I didn’t.

    But that’s because you just made most of it up.

    Northern Vietnam has at times been under Chinese control, but never the south of the country.
    A small portion of Laos was occupied during one of these events. Cambodia has been untouched.
    ——————————–
    Well then, Vietnam down to about half way along the coast is inside China’s borders and part of Laos is obviously also inside Chinese borders. At least one ‘Chin’ fleet assaulted Angkor Wat. Unsuccessful expansion attempt, I suppose?

    You just make shit up.

  10. Ven says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 6:38 pm

    Can you clarify further?
    __________
    Those were the expeditions of Chinese Admiral Zeng He.
    Who took fleets, some Treasure Ships were 135 meters long, to the Indian Ocean for trade and diplomacy in the 15th century.

  12. A couple of headlines from the NT News. Probably see similar figures elsewhere. Not exactly great hordes of vax refuseniks.

    NT hospitality loses less than 5 per cent to vaccine mandate

    REVEALED: 97 per cent of public servants receive their first jab

  14. You have to wonder how much longer Ghislaine Maxwell can stand eating maggot-infested food and rats running around her cell, before she starts co-operating and naming names …?

    Judgement day is almost upon her.

  15. Boerwar says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 6:39 pm

    nath
    Not really. That fleet was not like, say, the First Fleet in Australia – a fleet of conquest and invasion.
    ___________
    Thats true.

    But when the Spanish Archbishop of Manila believed that the Chinese had designs on The Philippines, his followers thought it best to get in first and start a massacre:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sangley_Rebellion

  17. poroti @ #435 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 3:47 pm

    Why are we seeing crazy rises in house prices here when demand produced by population growth has virtually stopped ?

    Cities are suddenly less appealing places to be. They get the worst outbreaks, the earliest and longest-lasting lockdowns, and so on. They give you your best chance of personally catching covid.

    Plus remote work has been mainstreamed thanks to 2 years of covid.

    Plus city-dwellers with remote-able jobs tend to be cashed up and on higher incomes than their regional peers, and used/resigned to paying extortionate prices for housing.

    Plus years of central banks pumping literal trillions of dollars into the financial markets, creating inflationary pressure that has to surface sooner or later. People can only make money for doing basically nothing of value for so long before it all comes crashing back down.

    Put all that together and you don’t need population growth to drive demand (or even demand to drive increasing prices). Outside of major urban centers, at least (and Austin is probably an outlier due to Tesla moving a bunch of stuff there, and also major US tech companies doing the same thing well beforehand). And inside those places too, thanks to inflation.

  19. What is it about female environmentalists that so greatly triggers old white conservatives …?

    Easy, they’re not compliant, in all respects.

  23. ABC news leading with the National Party crazies out in force promoting coal. Led of course by Barnaby.

    I say let them all speak. Loudly and very publicly! 😆

  24. A not so common visitor to our Bucketty bush today. Photo taken while sitting on verandah. Also GangGangs, Grey Fantail, Eastern Spinebill, Striated Thornbill, Eastern Spine bill, and numerous others.

  25. Sacre Bleu ! And it is all in the “bleu”.
    .
    .
    Emmanuel Macron has reportedly made a significant and “revolutionary” change to France’s flag – but critics have already slammed the new design.

    https://www.news.com.au/world/europe/emmanuel-macron-has-reportedly-made-a-subtle-but-significant-change-to-the-french-flag/news-story/731865d9b5b67ba550e90888b35908d3
    .
    https://www.thelocal.fr/20211114/has-macron-changed-the-colour-of-frances-tricolore-flag/

  27. The major consideration in December 2007, with knowledge of short selling so profit from value falling, was the amount of private debt in Australia (post the year 2000 with RBA data provided) aligned to any fall in house prices (particularly) and the consequent pressure on the Balance Sheets of our banks

    Given this consideration do you expect the RBA will raise interest rates without the considerations which were at the forefront in 2007?

    Then again, we now have a LNP government which, thankfully, we did not have in late 2007

  28. Bernard Keane was not getting stuck into anybody. He tiptoed around Morrison’s lying to the point where he all but said “they all do it and Albanese has questions to answer. Or will have them if I’ve got anything to do with it”.

    Keane is green leaning and therefore closer to the LNP then Labor. A bit like his masters at Crikey.

  29. a r

    My son has just had an offer accepted on a house. He was the first non-local the real estate agent had seen and the initial assumption was that he was buying for investment.

    The real estate agents are saying that it’s a case of locals moving locally and that what’s driving price rises is excess cash which is not going on holidays etc.

  31. Well then, Vietnam down to about half way along the coast is inside China’s borders and part of Laos is obviously also inside Chinese borders. At least one ‘Chin’ fleet assaulted Angkor Wat. Unsuccessful expansion attempt, I suppose?

    You just make shit up.
    ==================
    I leave that to the comrades. How are you going with your cultural explication of Xi’s motives and your cultural explication of where the current wave of Chinese imperial expansion will stop?

  33. Roy Orbison says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 7:29 pm

    Bernard Keane was not getting stuck into anybody. He tiptoed around Morrison’s lying to the point where he all but said “they all do it and Albanese has questions to answer. Or will have them if I’ve got anything to do with it”.

    Keane is green leaning and therefore closer to the LNP then Labor. A bit like his masters at Crikey.
    ________________
    Stooge comment of the day!

  34. Observer
    “ Then again, we now have a LNP government which, thankfully, we did not have in late 2007”

    Another sorry aspect of the Liberal government over 8 years, especially Morrison, is that genuinely expert economists who used to run Treasury have been replaced by private sector types under Scomo and Josh, resulting in a large decline in expertise IMO. So if things go wrong, there is not the same level of experienced advisers to tell Josh what to do as there was in 2008.

  42. Roy,

    Bernard Keane was not getting stuck into anybody. He tiptoed around Morrison’s lying to the point where he all but said “they all do it and Albanese has questions to answer. Or will have them if I’ve got anything to do with it”.

    Keane is green leaning and therefore closer to the LNP then Labor. A bit like his masters at Crikey.

    Thanks for that summary Roy. the only takeaway I get from Keane’s commentary these days is “Don’t vote Labor. Don’t consider Labor. Do not ever think about their policies excepts for the negative bits I pick.”

    He was someone who was a must read for me when I was a long-term Crikey subscriber from around 2007 – 2019. But by July 2019, I got to the stage where I only read Keane each day in Crikey to confirm I had correctly guessed what his anti-Labor rant of the day would be would be. Same with Guy Rundle. I could have written their articles myself, because they always took the low-hanging “bad” Labor fruit.

    I presume Crikey is still persisting with their “Their all bastards, bastards or worse” line, but “p.s. preference Labor behind the Coalition”.

    I think Crikey’s white upper- middle class privilege is showing.

    Added by edit: I find Bernard Keane circa 2021 very hard to reconcile with Bernard Keane circa 2009.

  43. nath says:
    Monday, November 15, 2021 at 8:26 pm
    I only hope you didn’t spend too many hours mashing Albo and Gough together.
    ___________________________
    Conceptually I saw him doing dress ups as Margaret.

  44. yabba @ #524 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 7:10 pm

    A not so common visitor to our Bucketty bush today. Photo taken while sitting on verandah. Also GangGangs, Grey Fantail, Eastern Spinebill, Striated Thornbill, Eastern Spine bill, and numerous others.

    Fabulous shot. I could stare at it for hours. And, without a word of a lie, yesterday there was one on a low branch of the gum next to the house (bit too close really) as it blew a cold gale all around, and in decades, I’ve only ever seen one before. Spooky. And so lovely.

  45. The editor in chief of boerwar’s fave publication responds to recent comment by our Reichspud.
    .
    .
    Hu Xijin 胡锡进
    @HuXijin_GT

    China state-affiliated media
    If Australian troops come to fight in the Taiwan Straits, it is unimaginable that China won’t carry out a heavy attack on them and the Australian military facilities that support them. So Australia better be prepared to sacrifice for Taiwan island and the US

  46. Check out Bernard Keane’s new book, Lies and Falsehoods: The Morrison Government and the New Culture of Deceit — a bargain at $22.99.
    ____________________
    A cunning attempt at misdirection and obfuscation from one of Morrison’s key spin doctors. Behind the condemnation of Morrison you sense a ‘Labor bad’ subtext in every paragraph.
    -Stooge Review.

  47. ItzaDream @ #465 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 8:37 pm

    yabba @ #524 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 7:10 pm

    A not so common visitor to our Bucketty bush today. Photo taken while sitting on verandah. Also GangGangs, Grey Fantail, Eastern Spinebill, Striated Thornbill, Eastern Spine bill, and numerous others.

    Fabulous shot. I could stare at it for hours. And, without a word of a lie, yesterday there was one on a low branch of the gum next to the house (bit too close really) as it blew a cold gale all around, and in decades, I’ve only ever seen one before. Spooky. And so lovely.

    Thanks. Actually, J, clever lady, took that one, and quite a few of the others I have posted.. I notice I doubled up on Eastern Spinebills.

    I should have included the King Parrot, eating hop bush. The yellow eyes are striking.

  49. yabba @ #547 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 8:49 pm

    ItzaDream @ #465 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 8:37 pm

    yabba @ #524 Monday, November 15th, 2021 – 7:10 pm

    A not so common visitor to our Bucketty bush today. Photo taken while sitting on verandah. Also GangGangs, Grey Fantail, Eastern Spinebill, Striated Thornbill, Eastern Spine bill, and numerous others.

    Fabulous shot. I could stare at it for hours. And, without a word of a lie, yesterday there was one on a low branch of the gum next to the house (bit too close really) as it blew a cold gale all around, and in decades, I’ve only ever seen one before. Spooky. And so lovely.

    Thanks. Actually, J, clever lady, took that one, and quite a few of the others I have posted.. I notice I doubled up on Eastern Spinebills.

    I should have included the King Parrot, eating hop bush. The yellow eyes are striking.

    Heaps of King Parrots here this year. Sadly, very few small honeyeaters (not for want of nectar). Not since the bushfires. One or two New Holland, and a few Eastern Spinebills. Lots of Wattlebirds. Weird weather. Yesterday was bitterly cold and blowing hard, and all but sleeting at times.

    (Terrific ACO coming up this Wednesday)

  50. a r

    Cities are suddenly less appealing places to be. They get the worst outbreaks, the earliest and longest-lasting lockdowns, and so on. They give you your best chance of personally catching covid.

    Plus remote work has been mainstreamed thanks to 2 years of covid.

    Plus city-dwellers with remote-able jobs tend to be cashed up and on higher incomes than their regional peers, and used/resigned to paying extortionate prices for housing.

    All of which is going to create even more demand for high speed rail.

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