Roy Morgan has unveiled its unpredictably timed fortnightly federal voting intention poll, which on this occasion shows Labor leading 54-46 – up from 52.5-47.5 a fortnight ago, and almost back to the 54.5-45.5 result in the poll before that. Both major parties are on 36% of the primary vote, which entails a three-and-a-half point drop for the Coalition and a one point increase for Labor. With the Greens down half a point to 12.5%, this makes room for an increase in the independents/others category that has been a pattern of recent polling, in this case gaining one-and-a-half points to 12%. One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%.
The state two-party breakdowns show Labor leading 53.5-46.5 in New South Wales, for a swing of 5.3%; 56-44 in Victoria, a swing of 2.9%; 54.5-45.5 in Western Australia, a swing of 10.1%; 58.5-41.5 in South Australia, a swing of 7.8%; and 52-48 in Tasmania, a swing to the Coalition of 4.0%, though here the sample gets very small indeed. The Coalition leads only in Queensland, by 52.5-47.5, a swing to Labor of 5.9%. The poll was conducted over the past two weekends from a sample of 2752.
Also out this week was the regular fortnightly survey from Essential Research, which does not on this occasion feature the monthly leadership ratings (we are also about due for its roughly quarterly dump of voting intention results). The poll tackles the nuclear submarines issue and related matters, finding 45% believe the deal will make Australia more secure, 36% that it will not affect Australia’s security, and 19% that it will make Australia less secure. Further questions find respondents taking a benign view of the issue generally, and also surprisingly (to me at least) towards nuclear power: 50% say they would support it for electricity generation with 32% opposed.
The poll also has the regular fortnightly questions on federal and state government responses to COVID-19 management, which give the federal government its best numbers since July: good up two points to 45%, poor down five to 30%. The good ratings for the state governments, in descending order of reliability due to diminishing sample sizes, are 53% for New South Wales, up seven; 44% for Victoria, down six; 62% for Queensland, down three; 82% for Western Australia, down five; and 55% for South Australia, down twelve. The latter result is that government’s weakest so far, but here the error bars are particularly wide. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1094.
Firefox2 says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 12:52 pm
“I am from Labor’s left.”
***
Pull the other one, mate.
It is the truth. The whole truth. And nothing but the truth.
You know, I have two real interests in life. One is writing. So I have learned to read and to understand the viewpoint of the author. Texts are layered with meanings. And political text is written to serve political purposes. So the thing is to read the purpose within the layers. We all do that, whether we know it or not. To read is to meet the writer.
The other thing I love doing is drawing. Drawing is about looking and finding/looking and finding/looking and finding. So I have learned to observe what there is to see, rather than what I wish was there. I think I’m a tutored observer and an accurate one.
When I read the texts – see the images – published by the Greens I see hostility, pretension, rectitude, sanctimony, contempt, deceit and reaction. I see them feigning for political reasons, for power’s sake.
I am not an idiot, except for these two things: I’m a democrat and an egalitarian. This is the only hope for people like me, who have next to nothing and who depend on democracy and on the social estate. I think you are an enemy of that estate, whether you know it or not.
You have chosen to put yourself on a pedestal. But there is no pedestal. Life is not lived by monuments. There is only the choice….to be of the people or to consider oneself to be better than the people.
From an objective view, it was a good speech.
To think, a mere few months ago, Berejiklian was the golden girl who was untouchable and would be Premier for as long as she wanted.
How dare those inconsiderate icac bustards.
Dominello from the Moderates.
Perottet from the Religious Right.
Tough choice
Voting time – always good to visit Willoughby Public especially since the upgrade.
Lol – the PB death riders – feasting in delight!
All we need now is a doom and gloom prediction from cudchewer to complete the scene!
But if GladysB has done nothing wrong. She could have merely stepped aside until the investigation was complete.
Oh dear, Binchicken to Feather Duster in one fell swoop……………………
Stop bullying Lars, you lot.
Or at the very least remain an MP representing her seat of Willoughby.
It’s all Labor’s fault. I suspect Dan Andrews is the true culprit.
Mavis @ #894 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 1:07 pm
How’s Perrottet do it for you? 🙂
She saved Australia, doncha know!
Bin Chicken one day
Feather duster the next.
Tricot 1 at 1:12 pm- Schnapp !
Oh THAT $5.5m grant to Daryl Maquire’s Wagga clay pigeon club.
And my son just pointed out that we might get a twofer as the Pedo Protector Pastor, Brian Huston has arrived back in Australia, and that’s not going to help Scott. At. All.
@ShoebridgeMLC tweets
One Premier resigning does not fix the culture of pork barrelling in NSW and blaming ICAC for doing its job is 100% wrong. The Greens forced the release of key documents that have led to this ICAC inquiry because we always work for the public, transparency and changing politics
This is about more than any one MP, or any one point in time, it’s about the political culture of pork-barrelling in NSW. This is the big challenge and it can’t be put in the deep freeze because of Covid. The Greens’ work on transparency is only just getting started.
It’s difficult to have trust in one who didn’t tell anyone about her secret relationship with her work colleague.
It was only exposed due to the ICAC investigation,
Says a lot about a person who is tasked to lead their state.
Imagine if say Dan Andrews had a secret relationship with a work colleague for years. And it only came out during ICAC investigation.
Could you imagine the outcry by the media and fiberals here in a Victoria.
The poor bloke slipped down stairs and broke his back and they still gave him hell.
Johncee
Yep. And it’s Dan Andrews fault that he couldn’t control the virus from NSW into Victoria. You know it makes sense.
Victoriasays:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 1:06 pm
I always believed she was corrupt. But for her to resign and leave parliament.
Not even step aside. Goodness me,
________________
Being a Victorian you would know.
Blaming ICAC for it all….”Very bad timing……….”….Dear oh dear!
Nobody likes to see a political death but for her to go so totally speaks of what might be behind it all…….
Local radio shock jocks here just cannot believe it…..had to move on from local Labor bash to news from NSW…..”Massive news” they claim and “Freedom Day only a week away” What a shame…………….But, get this ….”She is doing the honourable thing……………….” Oh dear………………..
Oh, and Morrison’s day absolutely ruined!
@Kate_McClymont tweets
If ICAC announces a public inquiry, they usually already know the answer. It’s not only the grant to the Australian Clay Target Association, also under scrutiny is the Riverina Conservatorium of Music in Wagga Wagga. Seems favoursdone for her then beau Dazzler Maguire.
@GladysB
“You know, I have two real interests in life.”
***
Behold the Artist Formally Known as Briefly!
But seriously, the Greens never stop standing up for those who are not as fortunate as the rich elites who are propped up by Labor and the Coalition. If you have seen the positions advanced by the Greens, which you have thanks to the likes of me, you would know this. We are on your side.
I think the saying is “Today’s Binchicken is tomorrow’s feather duster.”
Vic
The Murdoch outlets here had the story as ‘dodgy boyfriend who dudded starstruck lover’ – with lots of empathy for her
Taylormade
You do say some stupid shit
So, despite all the muck thrown at Andrews by the Murdoch press, the Golden Child from NSW, running the Golden Rule State, bites the dust……Oh dear, ain’t Karma a shit!
Sprocket
I recall that. It was very embarrassing stuff.
What has changed now that she can’t ride it out again?
Nostradamus @ #874 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 1:02 pm
Once a Liberal apologist, always a Liberal apologist who searches for just the right pro Liberal, anti Labor spin.
Can we have Cooreys resignation as well?
Perhaps Maguire is seeking a lighter sentence on the basis of
cooperation?
Ashley Raper saying father of 6 Dom Perottet next in line, but doesn’t have the numbers.
Rob Stokes, Stuart Ayres, Dominello and Rob Constance all Moderates and in the frame
Firefox2 says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 1:18 pm
“You know, I have two real interests in life.”
***
Behold the Artist Formally Known as Briefly!
But seriously, the Greens never stop standing up for those who are not as fortunate as the rich elites who are propped up by Labor and the Coalition. If you have seen the positions advanced by the Greens, which you have thanks to the likes of me, you would know this. We are on your side.
And yet I know this is pure expedience and camouflage. 24/7 the Greens campaign for Reaction. This is your gig.
There is no “rich elite” propping up Labor, nor the reverse either. This is a thorough-going falsehood. It is a lie told for political purposes. The telling of the lie means you are not to be trusted. We can all tell the difference between a hologram and the material substance.
I have a nice Crémant de Bourgogne saved fo no particular purpose. Tonight sounds like the night.
However, no popcorn for me this afternoon, as I have an intensive 3 hour French lesson, followed by a visit with the Jack Russell to the vet.
Enjoy the show everyone. Gladys was proudly the Premier for the northern suburbs of Sydney. She will not be missed by most of us.
I should add that this in no way reflects on my many friends up that way, who are also unlikely to miss her.
Edit “Up that way” equates to just outside my 5 km radius 😀 . I think I could legally go to Milsons point station, but no further.
Gladys’ career in NSW pet food stores near you
@marquelawyers tweets
It is kind of funny that ICAC has taken down three Liberal premiers and no Labor ones.
Scott
One bottle rather than a case?
Meaning he has to begin gearing up for an election.
ICAC caught up with her. Live by the sword.Die by it.
HoJo as ‘eleventy’ as ever.
One of these might be appropriate for me:
Liberal blue. 🙂
Douglas and Milko says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 1:22 pm
I have a nice Crémant de Bourgogne saved fo no particular purpose. Tonight sounds like the night.
I’m a booze-free zone…on a life-time ban, sad to say, but please toast her departure for me too.
“There is no “rich elite” propping up Labor.”
***
No, no, Labor props up the rich elite. You’ve got it the wrong way around. See teaming up with the Coalition to give tax cuts to the rich while leaving people on JobSeeker and pensions in poverty. That’s propping up the rich elite.
Piss off Hockey!! It would be so much different if it was a Labor premier.
Had the misfortune to first hear the Berejiklian/ICAC news on Nine which crossed live to a discussion between newsreader and political reporter Chris O’Keefe.
I have always suspected this guy leans right but was left in no doubt when one of his first comments was to characterise the action by ICAC as a “stunt” (which he quickly realised and then corrected – slips of the tongue and all that). The next thing was to appear shocked and surprised at the developments (how a political reporter didnt know this was a distinct possibility is mond-boggling).
Then he followed up with an hagiography of Gladys which would have made the Vatican proud outlining her political “achievements” (I mean she was president of the NSW Young Liberals for god sake!) and longevity in parliament as if this was some sort of balance to the alleged corruption and/or breaches of trust. Towards the end he told us how hard working she is, working 24/7 for the people of NSW. I’m sure the Premier’s PR department was envious of his efforts.
He then started attacking ICAC. His first arrow was the rhetorical “Why have this ICAC investigation now ?” Don’t worry about any corruption folks, dont you know theres a pandemic going on?
His next assault was stating ICAC had a bad track record and had ruined so many lives. This was then followed by his view this was a sad day for NSW to lose a premier like this. (so much for that NineFax independence huh?). The ICAC investigation was going to cause chaos because we might not have a Premier for a week as the Liberals worked it it out in their party room. A week!
It was at this point I was ready to hurl the remote at the TV so I switched off and went outside to read.
Guytaur at 1.22pm
…and people think NSW Labor is the party that’s rotten to the core!
Clearly Richo organised for Dan to pay Darryl to nobble Gladys. You know it makes sense!
My money’s on Stokes as the next Premier.
“@GladysB an absolute tragedy for the people of NSW that Gladys has resigned.She has been the best political leader Australia has seen in years taking the state through drought, bushfires and COVID.ICAC again pulls down a fine Premier for
something other than corruption.
— Joe Hockey (@JoeHockey) October 1, 2021”
One Armenian to another Armenian – I wonder if we will get another Armenian in Willoughby, as I write 200 metres from the Armenian Evangelical Church.