Roy Morgan has unveiled its unpredictably timed fortnightly federal voting intention poll, which on this occasion shows Labor leading 54-46 – up from 52.5-47.5 a fortnight ago, and almost back to the 54.5-45.5 result in the poll before that. Both major parties are on 36% of the primary vote, which entails a three-and-a-half point drop for the Coalition and a one point increase for Labor. With the Greens down half a point to 12.5%, this makes room for an increase in the independents/others category that has been a pattern of recent polling, in this case gaining one-and-a-half points to 12%. One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%.
The state two-party breakdowns show Labor leading 53.5-46.5 in New South Wales, for a swing of 5.3%; 56-44 in Victoria, a swing of 2.9%; 54.5-45.5 in Western Australia, a swing of 10.1%; 58.5-41.5 in South Australia, a swing of 7.8%; and 52-48 in Tasmania, a swing to the Coalition of 4.0%, though here the sample gets very small indeed. The Coalition leads only in Queensland, by 52.5-47.5, a swing to Labor of 5.9%. The poll was conducted over the past two weekends from a sample of 2752.
Also out this week was the regular fortnightly survey from Essential Research, which does not on this occasion feature the monthly leadership ratings (we are also about due for its roughly quarterly dump of voting intention results). The poll tackles the nuclear submarines issue and related matters, finding 45% believe the deal will make Australia more secure, 36% that it will not affect Australia’s security, and 19% that it will make Australia less secure. Further questions find respondents taking a benign view of the issue generally, and also surprisingly (to me at least) towards nuclear power: 50% say they would support it for electricity generation with 32% opposed.
The poll also has the regular fortnightly questions on federal and state government responses to COVID-19 management, which give the federal government its best numbers since July: good up two points to 45%, poor down five to 30%. The good ratings for the state governments, in descending order of reliability due to diminishing sample sizes, are 53% for New South Wales, up seven; 44% for Victoria, down six; 62% for Queensland, down three; 82% for Western Australia, down five; and 55% for South Australia, down twelve. The latter result is that government’s weakest so far, but here the error bars are particularly wide. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1094.
One good NSW silk announcement – hopefully more to follow
“Not being able to sing in church! A heavy burden for Australians.” 😆
A binchook is an Ibis, dear lurker.
Berry Jerry Can does have an avian bobble that uncannily resembles that of the Ibis riffling through the bins in Sydney’s parks whenever she’s under the pump and is flannelling, fibbing or straight out lying.
“I don’t need to know that bit” is my current ring tone. Lols
Hmmm – Morrison sounds…jumpy.
Yeah – he’s testing his election pitch.
Scott
Getting a bit nervous about my champagne pledge re Victor Dominello. Can we make it Aussie sparkling wine if you are right?
guytaur @ #851 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 12:53 pm
Neither should Alex Hawke who still hasn’t granted Quade Cooper or the Biloela family, citizenship. 😡
Everyone home again by Christmas, Scott? 😆
Shellbell says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 12:55 pm
Scott
Getting a bit nervous about my champagne pledge re Victor Dominello. Can we make it Aussie sparkling wine if you are right?
Lol Shellbell
“His goal was always to dismember and destroy Labor. Luckily, he has not so far succeeded.”
***
But I thought you said Bob’s Stop Adani Convoy killed Bill?
Andrew_Earlwood says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 12:54 pm
A binchook is an Ibis, dear lurker.
_________________
ok. Well not as bad as I assumed.
Shellbell
Go the whole hog , a case of….
Riff Raff
@RichardAOB
Today is the day Scott Morrison said we’d all be vaccinated by.
😐
“ Can we make it Aussie sparkling wine if you are right?”
Give me French brut or give me death!
I’m off to the bottlo later to stock up on the Verve.
Interesting tweet. The Scomo bus has many victims.
“Alex Hart
@alexhart7
·
30m
BREAKING Liberal Upper House MP Peter Poulos has just said on open mic in a public committee that Gladys Berejiklian is going to resign at 1pm.”
I feel sorry for Scott – his big announcement about to be swamped by alleged Liberal corruption in NSW.
No wonder he sounds shrill and strident
jt1983 @ #855 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 12:55 pm
Yes, preparing to pat himself on the back wrt the inadequate actions his government has taken/is taking, as it pertains to Climate Change.
“Shellbell says:
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 12:55 pm
Scott
Getting a bit nervous about my champagne pledge re Victor Dominello. Can we make it Aussie sparkling wine if you are right?”
No Frills soda water OK?
ICAC has been Daryled…
Smoko blowing smoke out of arse on the vaccination rollout.
Even on his slack as fuck schedule from February we’d be totally vaxxed TODAY.
If he’d actually done his job that would have been two months ago.
GladysB doing the statement from the dock…
Aww it’s all because of the love and respect she has for us New South Welshmen. How sweet.
*throws up*
Morrison “I’m going to give people their life back.”
Bow down ye people, before the compassion of your leader. But don’t expect any more help.
At least by committing seppuku, the premier of NSW leaves with a measure of honour.
Meanwhile Daniel Andrews continues to run his little people’s republic further into the grave, without shame or remorse.
And she… resigns
Gladys press conference here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AT9kLQNOE8
Leaving Parliament
GladysB and honour don’t belong in the same sentence.
Lol
By election in Willoughby
It’s all ICAC’s fault…
For someone who did nothing wrong she is leaving parliament just like that.
Wowee
A meeting of Liberal Party in coming days
Goorne… pop.
A lot of credit should go to Adam Searle MLC for leading the charge in estimates committee earlier this year.
You know, the guy that Minns then sacked.
Gladys: I’m innocent but I’m still resigning anyway…also I’m resigning from parliament effective immediately.
Hmm.
Good riddance binchicken.
Anything Scott just announced has been blown away
Steve777 @ #880 Friday, October 1st, 2021 – 1:04 pm
And the Opposition who just wouldn’t leave her alone and kept asking questions! 🙄
sprocket
All it needs is an independent to win that is willing to put confidence in Labor. Voices?
Ha! I knew she’d be gone once a pathway out of COVID had been achieved. Never thought she’d go voluntarily though lol!!
“I have made it clear on numerous occasions that if any of my ministers were the subject of allegations being investigated by an integrity agency or law enforcement, then he or she should stand aside during the course of the investigation until their name was cleared.
The reason for my stance was not to have made any presumptions, as to their conduct, but rather to maintain the integrity of the public office which has held, which that person is held whilst An investigation was completed, that same standard must always apply to me also as the premier however standing aside is not an option for me as the premier of New South Wales, the people of this state. The certainty as to who the leader is during the challenging times of the pandemic.
I cannot predict how long it will take the ICAC to complete this investigation, let alone deliver a report in circumstances where I was first called to give evidence in a public hearing nearly 12 months ago.
Therefore, it pains me to announce that I have no option but to resign from the Office of Premier, my resignation will take effect as soon as the New South Wales Liberal Party can elect a new parliamentary leader in order to allow the new leader and government, a fresh start.”
Just go.
I always believed she was corrupt. But for her to resign and leave parliament.
Not even step aside. Goodness me,
Gladys upstages ScoMo again.
WOOT-WOOT-WOOT!
Berejyklian’s resignation does not come as a surprise, that comment on the phone to Maguire (wwtte) “Please spare me the detail” is prima facie inculpatory. I trust the new premier has an easier name to spell.
poroti @ Friday, October 1, 2021 at 11:26 am
Both AZ and Pfizer vaccines are very decent at preventing hospitalisation or death even after the first dose. But you don’t want to be over 80 or have significant comorbidity. But especially avoid dementia and/or residential aged care. Scottish evidence. YMMV.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(21)00380-5/fulltext
An important paper. We all have to decide, what do we do if we are vaccinated and government is no longer making any attempt to control transmission. Do we accept the resulting shit show, take the risk or stay home.
Wonder who attends national cabinet this afternoon on behalf of NSW?
@AlboMP tweets
I repeat an Albanese Labor Government will establish a National Anti-Corruption Commission.
@Australian Greens tweets
We need a Federal ICAC, now.
Good timing about the ICAC investigation given IBAC in Victoria is about to begin open hearings re Adem Somyurek.
The MSM and the liberals, state and Federal, would have been salivating about dragging Andrews and labor through the mud with, perhaps, some federal labor implications. Morrison would have had his lines written re Albanese and labor corruption to take the heat off his own rorting and corruption issues.
At least Albanese has been running hard with the federal ICAC and now the NSW ICAC has taken a bit of thunder out of any Morrison attack.
We shall see how it all unfolds.
The gold plated state premier is no more
Gold standard!