Roy Morgan published results on Wednesday of its latest federal voting intention polling, as it does from time to time, in this case combining surveys conducted over the past two weekends from 2709 respondents. This shows Labor with its biggest lead of the term, from this or any other pollster: 53.5-46.5, out from 52.5-47.5 in the poll it published in mid-July. The Coalition and Labor are tied at 37% on the primary vote, respectively being down two and steady, while the Greens are up a point to 12.5% and One Nation is steady on 3%. These numbers have ticked the BludgerTrack poll aggregate a further 0.4% to Labor, who are now credited with a lead 52.4-47.6.
State breakdowns of the two-party vote are provided, showing Labor leading 51-49 in New South Wales (for a swing in their favour of about 3% compared with the 2019 election), 59.5-40.5 in Victoria (a swing of about 6.5%, and three points stronger for Labor than the previous poll), 55.5-44.5 in South Australia (a swing of about 5%) and 54-46 in Tasmania (a 2% swing to the Liberals, although the sample size here is particularly flimsy), while the Coalition leads 52-48 in Queensland (a swing to Labor of about 6.5%) and 51.5-48.5 in Western Australia (a swing of about 4%, which is a fair bit more modest than other polling from WA recently).
262 new cases today.
I was fortunate to see Patty Mills play as a junior in the U16s national championships. We had heard about this kid from Canberra, and he didn’t disappoint – showing then how he could win a game off his individual skill, speed and balance.
One particular thing he did was when he was inbounding, with the defender in front of him facing away and a strong full court press from the opposing team – bouncing the ball off the opponent out of bounds to get another 5 seconds. I had never seen this before (though the NBA does have variations of this), but in a 14 year old?
Happy to see Patty also pick up,$US13m for 2 seasons with the superstars at Brooklyn Nets..
262
>50 infectious in the community
Re building…I imagine compulsory surveys, certifications and approvals must add a few unavoidable thousands too….regardless of size of the project.
Gladys is fronting the public today.
1 death
When he does eventually go, Hunt’s contribution to the nation through his political career will be entirely negative, firstly in his role as “Environment Minister” in stymieing effective climate action and later in his role as Health Minister in a Government that completely botched the response to Covid.
Is 262 good for Gladys?
After 7 weeks cases still over 250 a day. Claytons lockdown.
Vic:
It’s not good for Sydney and NSW, that’s all that matters.
Is 262 good for Gladys?
Well it’s not good but better than the mid 300’s that I was expecting.nd
EDIT: of course, numbers often dip on weekends. This would also affect tomorrow’s number. If we see lower numbers continuing from Tuesday it could be an indication that we’re close to passing the peak.
Tweets pointing out that the lower testing rates will skew the figures.
Very matter of fact delivery from Gladys.
zoomster @ #1512 Sunday, August 8th, 2021 – 11:05 am
The weekend factor?
I prefer 262 over 361.
I prefer 0 over 262.
The 80 year old from Summer Hill Wyoming aged care facility who died was not vaccinated
It creeps. It’s creeping west. The bushfire analogy resonates – spread by creeping and forward spotting.
54 out of 58 in ICU unvaccinated. There’s a message there.
For NSW:
Yesterday 319/109k test = 0.292%
Today 262/95k tests = 0.276%
The raw numbers are better but the geographical spread today is worse.
54 in ICU
50 unvaccinated
3 with 1st AZ shot
1 with 1st Pfizer shot
The DCMO should’ve said you don’t have to wear a mask in the car when travelling with other members of your HOUSEHOLD, not family. I reckon the failure to make this distinction early on in the outbreak is what has caused the spread in the SW as cousins, aunties, uncles etc are meeting, thinking that because they are family, it’s okay.
sprocket_ @ #1520 Sunday, August 8th, 2021 – 11:09 am
and the 50s age group way in front by numbers.
Has gladys been asked. Considering 7 weeks ago, it was known that not many people had been vaccinated, why did she take so long to lockdown?
Breakdown of the ICUs
58 cases in ICU…
5 in 20s
7 in 30s
4 in 40s
17 in 50s
7 in 60s
15 in 70s
3 in 80s
New restrictions for 12 suburbs in city of Penrith LGA.
Why not the whole of Penrith LGA?
Is it because it is held at state and Federal level by Libs?
Again another piece meal solution like dividing King St, Newtown, Sydney in the earlier stages of lockdown. Look how well it turned out later.
Did anyone hear/see how many were unlinked? Of the 262 cases, up to 176 could be infectious in the community. I am also interested in the quality i.e. potential to transmit and unlinked.
[‘The understanding that prime minister Scott Morrison is a cunning political player yet lacks the leadership skills that are needed to run a nation is becoming a common sentiment around the country these days.
Labor MP Julian Hill helped popularise it when he charged the PM with being responsible for the short lockdown of Greater Melbourne in early June, for failing in his two pandemic responsibilities: the vaccine rollout and quarantine.
“He is a very cunning politician,” Hill told reporters at Parliament House, “but he is a failure – an absolute failure – as a leader.”
And this was before the current extended Sydney lockdown, as well as the recent brief shutdowns that have occurred in SA, WA, Queensland and again in Victoria.
Morrison released the national plan for opening up, which is based on scientific modelling, last Friday. This relies on the vaccination of at least 70 percent of the population to make lockdowns less likely, which highlights that the PM was wrong when he said it was not a race to vaccinate in March.
But the loss of faith in the PM is about much more than just his failing to coordinate the mass vaccination program promptly, rather it’s about his continuance to play the role of leader like it was a political chess game, when, in reality, those pawns on the board are real people.’]
https://www.sydneycriminallawyers.com.au/blog/in-a-time-of-mounting-crises-morrisons-political-cunning-does-not-the-leader-make/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=week-33
There is no downwards trend , its the weekend pattern
where the numbers go down for 2-3 days then rise, and downwards for 2-3 days and rises again
Holy shit Gladys is leaving builders to police themselves re vaccination.
On the horizon, monoclonal antibody treatment. Hunt talked of it this morning.
https://www.tga.gov.au/tga-evaluating-first-monoclonal-antibody-treatment-covid-19-sotrovimab-glaxosmithkline-australia-pty-ltd
(guardian)
Penrith, on my close observation, has two types of resident:
1. Police force and military members
2. ABN tradies who have made enough to buy a McMansion, concrete mixer, dump truck, or a construction oriented business.
The suburb in the Penrith LGA subject to the greater restrictions are at the easternmost end – ‘houseO’ communities.
I can understand why the NSW Liberal government has excised Penrith from the restrictions…
‘Harsher restrictions will now be in place in the following suburbs.
Caddens
Claremont Meadows
Colyton
Erskine Park
Kemps Creek
Kingswood
Mount Vernon
North St Marys
Orchard Hills
Oxley Park
St Clair
St Mary’s’
Rex Douglas @ #1529 Sunday, August 8th, 2021 – 11:25 am
As I mentioned, I suspected that this industry would be one of the more worrying wrt self monitoring.
Ven
Particularly since in answer to a (clarifying) question, those in the 12 suburbs can go elsewhere in Penrith LGA. Ridiculous. Significantly dents the whole purpose of this more restrictive regime.
Query if that is/was actually the intent; the delivery of the answer did not seem authoritative to me.
And the lack of clarity and complexity is just such an issue here, IMHO
Gladys, if you have a doubling rate, you have exponentiality!
U.S. COVID update: California and Alabama resume weekend updates
– New cases: 87,873 ………………………. – New deaths: 341
– In hospital: 65,136 (+2,001)
– In ICU: 15,926 (+552)
632,987 total deaths now
Rex Douglas – 11:25 am
In days old old the Unions would have been able to ensure compliance. Those days are long gone so it is basically let ‘er rip.
Gladys alluded to Georges River LGA, one of “The 8”, being released from the more strict lockdown conditions if WTTE the residents are good.
The eastern half of the quite possibly vulnerable seat of Banks is in that LGA.
poroti
Here in Victoria the building union is quite involved in managing the covid situation in the construction industry. Commercial primarily.
Re covid outside of Sydney (From NSW Heath Facebook page):
“Three new cases have been identified on the Central Coast, all of whom are contacts of previously reported cases. Two cases are linked to Lake Munmorah Public School and one case is a household contact of a case linked to a workplace in Sydney. This brings to 12 the total number of cases on the Central Coast.
Seven new cases have been confirmed in Hunter New England LHD, bringing to 20 the number of cases in the district, three of which are in Armidale.
One new case has been confirmed in Armidale, a household contact of the two cases reported yesterday. Four new cases are in the Newcastle area are young people – two linked to the Blacksmith Beach gathering and two to the University of Newcastle. There are also new cases in a student at Morisset High School, who is a close contact of a previously reported case, and man in his 30s from Raymond Terrace – the source of his infection is under investigation. “
Victoria at 11:33 am
The large sites should be OK but outside of them, yee haw !
From recollection, testing has been done on actual building sites.
This enabled workers to get quick turnaround in results, thereby ensuring the industry doesnt have to shut down due to an outbreak.
Poroti
Too true that!
Shades of ghettoization today: “We make no apology”.
So, for these people that we allow out of the communities that “don’t do the right thing”, should we require them to wear some sort of symbol? Are we sure the requirement to wear a mask outside is enough for our children to know who they are? 🙁
If only the NSW government were as good at suppressing covid as they are with information.
Until yesterday, the daily report included information on sources of cases: linked to a known case or cluster, household contacts, close contacts – or under investigation.
The number of cases where the source of infection remains under investigation has been at very high levels, both in absolute terms and in percentage terms – consistently between 50% and 60% for the last two weeks. When the 11am commentary is so focused on household and workplace transmission, this strikes me as really very high indeed (even allowing a to-be-expected time lag in investigation).
Anyway they appear to have “solved” this problem: it’s not published in the daily report today.
I’ll trawl around some websites to see if I can find it. Transparency builds trust Gladys; but also accountability
Noting that the facts in this case are filtered through the Comrades, and informed by the Thought of Xi Jinping, how would this go down in Oz?
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202108/1230782.shtml
20,000 plus vaccinations in NSW hubs is a Saturday record – interesting to see what GP etc produces
Laocoon @ Sunday, August 8, 2021 at 11:39 am
I am struggling to find this information as well. I have been following Juliette O’Brien’s tweets:
Let’s hope that the outbreaks outside Sinny and Brizzy are isolated and stamped out asap and best wishes for the Victorians who are fair dinkum. As for Sinny, please know that…
There is one question that I would like an enterprising MSM hack to ask of Berejiklian:
‘Is leaving home in order to shoot to death a rival gang member an essential job?’
BW,
It’s a matter of life or death!