Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Labor maintains its solid two-party lead in Newspoll as Scott Morrison slides into net negative personal ratings.

The latest Newspoll from The Australian finds Labor retaining its 53-47 two-party lead from three weeks ago, with both major parties steady on 39% of the primary vote, the Greens up one to 11% and One Nation steady on 3%. Scott Morrison has fallen into net negative approval for the first time since March last year, being down four points on approval to 47% and up the same amount on disapproval to 49%. Anthony Albanese is steady on both approval and disapproval at 38% and 46% respectively, and has narrowed Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister from 51-33 to 49-36.

Also included are ratings for Scott Morrison’s handling of coronavirus in general, on which his good rating is down four points since last time to 48% and his poor rating is up four to 49%, and of the vaccine rollout in particular, on which he is down two to 38% and up two to 59%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1527.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,783 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. This is a concerning development:

    [‘Children aged under nine are increasingly testing positive to COVID-19 in NSW, with 44 cases of the contagious Delta variant detected in one day and young children accounting for almost 15 per cent of infections in the past fortnight.

    Infectious diseases expert Peter Collignon said while the Delta variant was behaving differently to earlier strains, children were likely to be contracting the virus from their parents as it spread through households rapidly. Many parents under 40 are not yet immunised.

    The rise in cases in children comes as teacher unions and the Catholic sector urged the state government to improve access to vaccinations for teachers, saying immunisation was the only way to limit the spread of COVID-19 and protect teachers if schools reopened.’]

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/it-is-a-disease-of-the-unvaccinated-44-children-get-virus-in-a-day-20210812-p58i29.html

  2. a r

    On top of that they could…

    – Impose fractional workforce limits on essential businesses – as they did in Melbourne.
    – Curfew which helps prevent illegal movements
    – Patrols on trains
    – House to house doorknocking, information sharing, vaccination, testing – particularly of essential workers
    – Release the modelling and accept criticism of the modelling

    And in particular I agree with your point 11. This “its not really a lockdown” is what is causing poor compliance.

    The Liberal apologist needs to go home and rethink his life
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEpr2T_gKYw

  3. Evening all. I know you have all finished reading the IPCC report by now so if looking for more climate science this article is excellent. It explains how a German scientist greatly improved the ability of science to say whether a weather event is normal or likely due to climate change. This is why the IPCC 6 report was able to be so much more definitive on the evidence.
    https://www.politico.eu/article/friederike-otto-world-weather-attribution-climate-science-heat-waves-floods-droughts/.

    Sympathy for NSW bludgers. Even my Liberal leaning friends in Adelaide think Gladys has completely lost the plot. The current lockdown is both not severe enough to halt covid with inadequate financial assistance to motivate people to obey it. Plus as I posted this morning, they don’t even have adequate multi-lingual information on covid and vaccines.

    PS Gladys doesn’t even mention how much NSW has been bailed out by interstate testing and tracing teams for weeks now. NSW Health is almost broken.

  4. https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/desperately-worried-outbreak-at-sydney-school-for-children-with-autism-20210812-p58ic3.html

    A growing COVID-19 outbreak has forced a Sydney school for children with autism spectrum disorder to shut its doors, with 18 cases linked to the cluster.

    Health authorities say three staff members and seven students at Giant Steps special education school in Gladesville have tested positive to COVID-19, as well as eight family members.

    Autism Awareness Australia chief executive Nicole Rogerson has spoken to a number of devastated parents at the school with hundreds of children and family members now in isolation.

  5. I think the Black Death was relatively indiscriminate in who it killed. Let’s face it, in those days medical care was so bad you were more likely to die if you could afford treatment. Nutrition probably helped the rich though.

  6. I am in southern Canberra. About an hour ago I was rung to advise that a person I assisted in my role as a volunteer is a primary contact of a Covid case. In iso for 14 days, get tested tomorrow. Had second Az about two weeks ago. Wife is in ultra high risk cat due to health problem, only had one Az as yet.
    Fuck you, Gladys!

  7. “So many of us have been yelling from the rooftops for months that people with a disability were part of 1b of the rollout, yet so many remain unvaccinated.”

    1B really didn’t mean much to Morrison.

  12. Dio. Thanks, I will accept any comfort I canget at this stage. The thought that I might pass it on to my wife is just devastating.

  17. Bushfire Bill says:
    Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 3:23 pm

    A friend just rang. The virus has reached “Forster”… somewhere, but no-one seems to know where exactly.

    Apparently idiot Bromhead (local LNP MLA) has made the announcement.

    Bugger!

    Update: apparently the person picked it up in Newcastle, but has been quarantining since returning to Forster.
    ————————————————————————-

    Will they lockdown the bridge to Tuncurry where my 90-year-old big brother lives and enjoys the company of his 20 great grandchildren?

  18. ”
    C@tmommasays:
    Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 7:00 pm
    Cud,
    tl:dr Hugo: Gladys is doing an amazing job, and my crystal ball (aka inside info), tells me that we’ll be able to drift along at 300 cases per day until August 28 when they’ll magically disappear and lockdown will be lifted.
    ”
    I think Hugo is fed facts by OC. He could be paving the way for OC to return to PB.

  19. ”
    Cut Snakesays:
    Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 10:55 pm
    I am in southern Canberra. About an hour ago I was rung to advise that a person I assisted in my role as a volunteer is a primary contact of a Covid case. In iso for 14 days, get tested tomorrow. Had second Az about two weeks ago. Wife is in ultra high risk cat due to health problem, only had one Az as yet.
    Fuck you, Gladys!
    ”
    How is Gladys responsible for Canberra outbreak? Sympathise for your wife situation.

  20. ”
    DisplayNamesays:
    Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 7:56 pm
    Anyway, put-downs like “echo chamber” are misconceived. (In this case at least, not like I haven’t said similar on other occasions :P).
    ”

    DN
    Those labels are given when they don’t know how to reply.

  23. ”
    Cud Chewersays:
    Thursday, August 12, 2021 at 8:02 pm
    C@t

    What I’m simply hoping for is for Morrison to put enough pressure on Gladys right now so that she gets serious about the lockdown. This is based on the observation that Gladys is screwing Scomo’s re-election right now and I’m pretty sure Scomo knows this.
    ”
    I think he did but in return she asked for Job keeper 2.0, which I think was not agreed to. Hence, the standoff continues.

  24. So Kerry Chant offered her resignation today, after offering it a few days ago, when it was rejected. Not sure what the outcome of today’s offer is. She apparently told them to appoint someone that provides advice the government likes.

  29. If Kerry Chant resigns, then her integrity is restored, as it demonstrates a lack of complicity and a rejection of the current approach in NSW in the strongest possible manner.

  30. Griff

    Only time will tell..
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z8alr_XJ0co

    You’re leaving now
    It’s in your eyes
    There’s no disguising it
    It really comes as no surprise
    To find that you planned it all along
    I see it now
    Becomes so clear
    Your insincerity
    And me all starry-eyed
    You’d think that I would have known by now
    Now, sure as the sun will cross the sky
    This lie is over

  33. BK/ @WEDeming

    Expect people to follow etc, do the right thing as a leader, and put the mission first, oops;
    About the ungravitas displayed every NSW 11:00 except for weekends, a NFI technocrat like Gladystan Borisjiklian makes a spreadsheet (Datastar, even Multiplan, as in before Lotus or Excel) look like it has personality, wanna save on mental health impact, keep her off TV, 🙁

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