The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
sprocket_ says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 11:27 am
One wonders why pharmacies weren’t at the front of the queue for distribution of vaccines – worked a dream in the US, and most have always got their flu shots at chemists.
Ok, some early uncertainty about safety etc may have pushed everyone eligible into GPS, but seriously.
The next Federal Government must have a Royal Commission into the botched vaccine rollout..
I posted on this 3 months ago after having my flu jab at local pharmacy.. he had a jab room set up & said Pharmacy Guild was begging the feds to allow them to administer Covid shots.. nah was the answer
Simon Katich @ #197 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 11:56 am
50,000-1 odds of getting a clot not good enough odds for the boomers ? – they need to get real !
Far out! Just watched the ad and I couldnt get through it. I havent had an asthma attack since I was a kid but it all came flooding back. F me. Please, everyone, get vaccinated, follow the rules, be kind to and take care of each other. ’cause I am starting to think some in the government dont give a rats.
The best way to flip Queensland is to launch a bigger and better Adani convoy, to diss every single bit of ADF expenditure, to threaten to shut down the mines, to threaten to kill of in intensive ag industries and to threaten to turn off the irrigation tap. And then some lesser stuff on killing off GMOs, Round Up and rodeos.
An answer found to ‘Fractal Caulies’ and “why is it so ? ”
François Parcy at the French National Centre for Scientific Research and his colleagues have figured out that cauliflowers, including Romanesco, gain their shape because they start off as flower buds that fail to become flowers. These buds become shoots that make new flowers which also fail – and the process is repeated again and again in a sort of chain reaction.
Read more: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2283690-weird-fractal-romanesco-cauliflowers-start-life-as-failed-flowers/#ixzz70MhT9Rcy
poroti @ #199 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 11:31 am
Yep. Fair enough.
poroti
I bet the Fibonacci Number comes into play there.
I had a feeling last week Berejiklian’s comment about green shoots would come back to bite.
boerwar @ #205 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 11:35 am
Has Buce taken over BWs account?
Just rang our GP surgery. Got a booking for our 2nd AZ jabs on Tuesday 20th July. Exactly 12 weeks.
I see BW is in full distraction mode of blame the Greens for everything when there is an obvious LNP stuff up.
The problem for the LNP. You can’t blame the Greens for the government stuff up.
RD
But why rush ? That nice Mr Morrison and Hunt told us of a veritable tsunami of Pfizer is going to hit our shores in a few short months. WSo why not wait for the ‘better’ vaccine ? Especially if I do not live in Gladystan.
laughtong @ #211 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 12:09 pm
Great Work ! :thumbsup:
Case in point
@ SwannyQLD tweets
If Morrison spent as much time and effort purchasing vaccine supply as he devoted to securing Cormann’s election to the OECD, Australia’s failing COVID response would have been avoided #auspol
S K
I thought when I saw that ad that it would trigger many people.
guytaur @ #213 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 12:10 pm
‘stuffup’ ??
It’s blatant rorting and corruption of the worst kind – and the plonkers in Qld are ok with that ????
This is clarity, folks.
Fish are becoming addicted to methamphetamines seeping into rivers
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2283296-fish-are-becoming-addicted-to-methamphetamines-seeping-into-rivers/
Rex
I was biting my tongue. I overcompensated.
@TonyHWindsor tweets
NSW Chief Health Officer badly needs a break from the frontline position. Having been politicised by #ourgladys to the extent that health advice has not prevailed above “business”advice she is obviously compromised and trapped.For her own health she should take some leave.
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@sallyrugg tweets
Remember: Gov managed to circumvent parliament to spend tens of millions of dollars via the Bureau of Statistics to post, collect and count a uniquely identified “survey” for every adult in Aus that asked their feelpinion on gay people.
If Morrison cared about vaccines as much…
”
boerwarsays:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:01 pm
ven
The Green shoots were triffids.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KUjE995IO4
”
I don’t know about that because scenario of Triffids means situation is out of control. I don’t think we are there yet because I think it can be brought under control relatively quickly if the whole of Greater Sydney is brought under strict ( I emphasize strict) lockdown not just 3 LSAs.
Simon Katich says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:08 pm
boerwar @ #205 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 11:35 am
The best way to flip Queensland is to launch a bigger and better Adani convoy, to diss every single bit of ADF expenditure, to threaten to shut down the mines, to threaten to kill of in intensive ag industries and to threaten to turn off the irrigation tap. And then some lesser stuff on killing off GMOs, Round Up and rodeos.
Has Buce taken over BWs account?
_______________________________________
The Coalition just loves the above Greens policies. They encapsulate the urban/regional culture war. It has enabled them to hoover up the majority of Queensland’s regional seats. Easy peasey.
BK
Whatever the numbers they were a !!!!!! when I first saw one. There will be someone out there who had too much time on their hands and measured the cauliflower’s spirals, ‘done the math’and made a …..
Fiona Katauskas
@FionaKatauskas
5m
Serious Q- if other people can work from home, why not the folk who actually need to make decision about how we’re dealing with this stuff?
‘Jaeger says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:16 pm
Fish are becoming addicted to methamphetamines seeping into rivers
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2283296-fish-are-becoming-addicted-to-methamphetamines-seeping-into-rivers/‘
_______________________________
Meh. Australia has had Stoned Fish since Day 1.
BW
You love the culture wars as an excuse to attack the Greens.
Guess what. Kevin Rudd and Malcolm Turnbull are not Green Party figures.
Big Fail on this one.
@JohnRHewson tweets
While there is a story to be told as to exactly how it was possible to get Pfizer to bring some vaccine doses forward, I am informed that there is also a story to be told about how the original negotiations with Moderna broke down – an investigative opportunity for MSM
Poroti i see a ratio of 1:1.61803398875.
Golden.
Or
Hello 4Corners !
Poroti,
It’s a Fibonacci series.
lizzie @ #234 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 12:29 pm
Tell me it’s not his religious beliefs. I’m starting to think seriously it could be. What else explains it – stupidity and incompetence aside.
Quincelanders in NSW told to get back home.
So Queenslanders see a bunch of Greens being Greens and decide, with the help of people like Christensen, Joyce and Palmer to hate the ALP and all urban people.
Either they are gullible beyond dumbness or very hateful and immature people. Or…. your link between the Greens policies and people voting against the ALP is weak.
Why arent the ALP able to distance themselves from some of the more unpalatable Greens policies and sell themselves as the sensible centre?
Anyway, I am hoping the QLD regions see the light and the jobs and the money and get behind a few nuclear power plants. Maybe even a waste dump or two as well. Jobs for the skilled, lowskilled and beyond. There are some good uranium deposits in QLD.
Re selection of vaccine type by government. That we could make AZ locally would for this government be a ‘no brainer’ to build our vaccination plan around it for 2 reasons. Firstly how could they resist the Oi Oi Oi Straya ! aspect of its local manufacture ? With the totally irresistible pièce de résistance of AZ costing a mere 1/5th of Pfizer.
@ShoebridgeMLC tweets
The Premier and CMO telling everyone, including essential workers, we need to stay home except to get tested with even the slightest symptoms. This is right. What’s also right is we need universal paid pandemic leave right now to help this happen.
For some perspective in the Sydney East vs West media betrayal, reflect on the (‘large families’) Italian community reaction to Euro win in Carlton vs Leichardt. Then think about MMS coverage of the mock lockdown Bondi a week ago.
guytaur @ #230 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 12:25 pm
We’re being told that the majority of Qlders prefer gold standard rorting and corruption to environmental policy.
That’s essentially calling the majority of Qlders a bunch of plonkers – which at the moment I agree with.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_angle
Alpha Zero at 12:27 pm
Your eye sight is far better than mine . I just see spirally things 🙂
Morrison’s (apparent) inability to see his own prejudices and favouritism shows a blindness that makes him completely unsuitable as a leader, but ideal as the Pastor of a religious cult. Could someone please offer him a position at the head of one?
Jeeez
Norman Swan on News 24… “get what you can (now) “…
‘Simon Katich says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:34 pm
The Coalition just loves the above Greens policies. They encapsulate the urban/regional culture war. It has enabled them to hoover up the majority of Queensland’s regional seats. Easy peasey.
So Queenslanders see a bunch of Greens being Greens and decide, with the help of people like Christensen, Joyce and Palmer to hate the ALP and all urban people.
Either they are gullible beyond dumbness or very hateful and immature people.
…’
___________________________________________
You have just exhibited exactly why and how all this works for the Coalition. Anyone who disagrees with the Greens policies just has to be dumb, gullible, hateful or immature.
If you are in Queensland region that benefits from: broad acre, irrigation and intensive farming, irrigation, GMOs, glyphosate, recreation such as shooting or rodeos, ADF establishments or mining then you don’t have to be gullible or dumb to figure out that the Greens are coming for your town, for your job and for your way of life. You vote your pocket. Further, it is a no-brainer to point out that the Greens are concentrated in enclaves that are biodiversity wastelands.
It’s a Fibonacci series.
No, it’s a Fibonacci sequence.
Norman Swan on News 24… “get what you can (now) “…
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Panic stations?
This is the right time for a true leader to come forward . . . but?