Roy Morgan has produced its second federal poll in a fortnight, and will hopefully make a regular habit of this going forward. The poll credits Labor with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5 (Morgan’s rounding being done to increments of half a percentage point), down from 51-49 last time. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up 1.5% to 41.5%, Labor is down half a point to 34.5%, the Greens are up half a point to 12% and One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%. State two-party breakdowns have the Coalition leading 51-49 in New South Wales, 56-44 in Queensland and 52-48 in Western Australia, but with Labor leading 55-45 in Victoria, 52-48 in South Australia and 57-43 in Tasmania.
The poll was conducted by telephone and online surveys over the previous two weekends from a sample of 2782. Since we will presumably be hearing more from Morgan in future, it’s worth pointing out that the company is not a member of the Australian Polling Council, and thus does not observe the standards of transparency demanded of its code of conduct.
Other news:
• Peter Law of The West Australian reports that Labor’s candidate for the key Perth seat of Swan will be Zaneta Mascarenhas, an engineer who runs an energy management consultancy. This comes after the state party’s Left-dominated administration committee blocked the nomination of the only other contender, former South Perth councillor Fiona Reid, on the grounds she had run as an independent candidate at the 2017 state election, to the displeasure of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. Mascarenhas is aligned with the Left faction Australian Manufacturing Workers’ Union. The West’s report also relates that Tania Lawrence, a manager at Woodside who ran unsuccessfully for Labor in Darling Range at a state by-election in 2018, is the party’s only nominee in the seat of Hasluck.
• Pollster John Utting has told The West Australian that his recent polling leads him to expect that Labor will win Swan and possibly Pearce. He also believes that Labor will “probably” win the election off the back of wins in Chisholm, Boothby, Longman and potentially Leichhardt, Braddon and Bass, although they could potentially lose Eden-Monaro and Macquarie. Utting has polled extensively for Labor and provided polling for The West Australian five months out from the March state election that had the measure of the eventual result.
• Roxanne Fitzgerald of the ABC reports a complaint has been lodged with the Human Rights Commission accusing the Australian Electoral Commission of discrimination against indigenous voters, having failed to provide sufficient polling facilities to remote communities and directly enrol people who do not receive mail at a residential address. The complainants are Matthew Ryan, mayor of West Arnhem Regional Council, and Ross Mandi, chairman of Yalu Aboriginal Corporation in Galiwinku, with the support of the Maritime Union of Australia and the United Workers Union.
C@t
Howard and Morrison should also be mentioned in despatches!
guytaur says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:21 pm
N
Just after the graph of supply and demand is where the theories go off the rails.
The market needs an environment to exist in.
The costs of supply to meet that demand are not factored in.
Clearly, economics acknowledges these things. There are entire branches of economics given to their study.
Marx recognised this with labour and social costs but came up with a terrible solution ignoring the power seeking part of human nature.
Who says Marx was an economist? He posited a theory of history. What’s the betting you’ve never read Marx and have no idea what he actually wrote. I have.
Anyone else noticed how divisive and antagonistic the blog has become since recon-structed nath reappeared?
Spray
Did I ever say that NSW people were the enemy.
My frustration over past few weeks with the NSW approach is because a year ago Victoria tried to manage it differently. 2020 hindsight should have informed NSW, but no they honestly believed that they are gold standard and outbreaks that cannot be controlled are due to being inferior,
I’m not imagining this. It has played out. What pisses me off is that we will have to cop the consequences. Victorians are a quite tired and triggered.
Not that NSW would have cared to take that into consideration when making decisions.
Gladys and co are still sniping even today.
Sheesh. Enough already,
And I just found out that Kyle Sandilands is a Queenslander!
C@t
Recon is merely gum on ones shoes.
C@tmomma says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:34 pm
Anyone else noticed how divisive and antagonistic the blog has become since recon-structed nath reappeared?
_________
I wish you well in your new campaign to get me banned.
Both chose to swan about in Kirribilli rather than behave like good little PMs in The Lodge.
lizzie @ #2003 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:32 pm
And Gladys!
Though, as a Sydneysider I have to admit to the fact that, whilst beautiful around the edges, and in parts, central Sydney is quite grubby and ugly too and I think Melbourne is nicer. 🙂
The outbreak in NSW has had a knock-on effect in WA. My aged family member, in hospital for surgery on a broken limb, can no longer have visitors. Terrific pandemic management by the LNP.
Spray says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:35 pm
And I just found out that Kyle Sandilands is a Queenslander!
___________
He was homeless as a teenager, and despite his flaws can be a good interviewer if he wants to though of course he works very blue.
Morrison and his cronies continue to say its not a race to rollout the vaccine
Why did Morrison and his cronies made it into a race by saying Australians would be amongst the first in the cue to get the vaccine/s
Gold standard chaos.
Berejiklian saying she relied on CMO advice? A bit hard to shred advice you never got.
Recon @ #2009 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:35 pm
You don’t need my help. A leopard doesn’t change his spots.
C@t
Nothing can beat the Sydney harbour etc, but most people live in the burbs so based on that it is probably a muchness throughout Australia in that regard.
Gladys and co are still sniping even today.
Pathetic. They’re trying to spin that Gladys waited too long to lock down into a positive.
Greg Hunt saying extra support is being given to NT.
N
You keep missing the point in your defence of your religion.
Back to the drawing board means exactly that.
A new style of socialism is needed. One that respects multiparty party rule.
Both political structures and economics are acknowledged as being at the heart of economic theory. By non economists.
Having an environment and humans in that environment are a basic assumption of which the costs are not built into the basic foundation of economics.
Marx spectacularly failed in doing regarding labour as he allowed for a dictatorial model. Which as we have seen has contributed to the spread of the pandemic. The costs of inaction on things that prevent catastrophe are just not included in the basic model.
That’s where economic theory goes wrong. It’s all bolted on as afterthought.
Now Greggie is into stats, as ever.
Victoria @ #2018 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:39 pm
Yes, lots and lots of bland, featureless suburbs out there. Some good ones too. 🙂
As most would know, “Our Glad” was a much-admired & respected singer in her day:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjyhDlx3I74
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gladys_Moncrieff
As for the other “Glad”, I’m not so sure. She has continually deferred to Morrison’s implicit imperative of prioritising the economy over health, which could prove politically difficult for her if C.19 gets further out of control in NSW. She has also continually criticised other states – Victoria and Queensland – for their no-nonsense stance on lockdowns and strong policies on border control. Now, however, the shoe’s on the other foot. That said, I do hope the situation in NSW is contained.
lizzie @ #2022 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:42 pm
Lies, Liberal lies and damned statistics. 🙂
This lockdown gives Minns some quiet time to formulate a game-changing signature policy that genuinely addresses broad political integrity.
If he can convince the voters with a clear policy that will clean up all the corruption in NSW politics, then he’ll beat Gladys.
Spray @ #1938 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 12:45 pm
The Service NSW app does not work at several (in my direct experience) locations in NSW, including the Erina Respiratory Clinic where I had my second AstraZ shot on Friday morning. It uses some other one, of which the staff operating the clinic had no direct knowledge to impart. None of the patients I spoke to had been able to sign on using it. When you try to use the NSW Services app it says it does not recognise the location. I came across the same problem over the last couple of weeks at a coffee shop in West Gosford, and a pharmacist in Long Jetty.
N
Yes the Chinese really got it wrong in calling Marx an economist.
So did the Soviet Union.
I disagree with his model but you cannot now claim Marx did not present an economic and political model.
Wow, a whole 50000 extra vaccines for NSW next week. 🙄
lizzie @ #2017 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:44 pm
Is he the leader of the New Liberals party ..?
R D
I believe he is.
C@
That’s the only reason nath/recon engages on this blog. Sees it as a threat to his ‘side’ and wants to shut it down. Also why he encourages certain posters to believe they’ve got more to contribute than they actually have.
Remember, his earliest incarnation said he was here because the Libs weren’t getting a fair go. Realised quickly that wasn’t going to float, so he turned green.
@newscomauHQ tweets
#BREAKING: A new case of Covid-19 has been recorded in Perth after a woman visited a Bondi cafe, prompting the West Australian government to reimpose some restrictions.
Zoomster
Is that why he goes by recon. Short for reconnaissance. Lol!
zoomster @ #2033 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:50 pm
Ultra capitalist Green, ultra capitalist Liberal. Same same. 😀
LVT
So Sir Jeffrey Donaldson is confirmed as the third leader of the DUP in 50 days while a puppet of the deposed second leader remains first minister and there is no easy path for Donaldson into the assembly unless they can get someone to resign.
In the meantime Westminster is preparing an Irish Language Act, if the assembly continues to obfuscate
This is the end of days
Labor accuses PM of ‘stubborn incompetence’ on vaccines and quarantine
Opposition leader Anthony Albanese spoke a little earlier today, saying the federal government had to shoulder the blame for causing the Sydney outbreak with a slow vaccine rollout and issues with hotel quarantine.
“Governments need to respond to the health advice as the Berejiklian government has done yesterday,” he said.
“I’m not going to be critical of the Berejiklian government, I think the issue here is – as we’ve continued to say – while you have 4 per cent of the population being fully vaccinated, while you don’t have national quarantine facilities, while you have someone driving a foreign aircrew round without a mask, and getting infected, and then spreading that around, you’re going to have these outbreaks.”
Opposition health spokesman Mark Butler said Sydney was now paying the price of a slow vaccine rollout – a failure, he said, of Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s making.
“His stubborn incompetence on vaccines and on quarantine have left Australians dangerously exposed to these latest outbreaks,” he said.
(Age updates at 13:29)
Rex Douglas @ #2031 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:49 pm
https://www.thenewliberals.net.au/the-national-executive/
Rex Douglas @ #1988 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:27 pm
Ha! I thought this one would resonate with you Rex. Can’t imagine why.
zoomster says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:50 pm
C@
That’s the only reason nath/recon engages on this blog. Sees it as a threat to his ‘side’ and wants to shut it down. Also why he encourages certain posters to believe they’ve got more to contribute than they actually have.
Remember, his earliest incarnation said he was here because the Libs weren’t getting a fair go. Realised quickly that wasn’t going to float, so he turned green.
________________
If you think I’m a Liberal then your English comprehension must be terrible
That’s the only reason nath/recon engages on this blog. Sees it as a threat to his ‘side’ and wants to shut it down.
______________
I’m a threat to the blog theme again! William do something!
Greg Hunt speaks about Essential Workers being given access to vaccines. What he doesn’t say is that supply for them is woeful.
lizzie @ #1986 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:27 pm
There is a core of very superior Sydneysiders who don’t give a toss for the rest of Australia, including regional NSW, far less Melbourne.
Recon @ #2043 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 1:57 pm
Why don’t you have the guts to just go back to being ‘nath’ again?
https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2021/03/420071/how-effective-johnson-johnson-covid-19-vaccine-heres-what-you-should-know
Interesting read. I the JJ vaccine was available could well be of use here as its a one dose item.
Mr Hunt..it is actually a race. Even if people get vaccinated now, which is too late, maybe its will get us out of the lock downs that are on the way sooner.
Ballantyne
I was wondering about them. Very rich, very snob.
😆
poroti @ #1678 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:04 am
Wait, what? This came from Qld HQ.
Apparently Scotty didn’t spend the whole morning under the doona. He came out to record a video. Anyone seen it?
South Australia is a parochial and proud place and I have personally witnessed a strong reluctance to adopt better processes originating from other states simply because they come from other states. I always (parochially?) thought NSW was more of a meritocracy. It didn’t matter where the idea came from, or who thought if it.
In the case of QR code’s…. one wonders why other states didn’t take notice of SA’s system and go ‘hey, that’s a damn good system, let’s do that’.
More importantly, why didn’t the Morrison government step in and say ‘we r a long way from full vaccinations, our app is crap, so let’s encourage and assist all states to adopt the best contract tracing methods.