Essential Research: leadership ratings and COVID management

Downward trends continue for federal leaders’ ratings and perceptions of COVID-19 management at both federal and state level.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which finds Scott Morrison’s approval down one to 57% and disapproval up four to 36%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady on 39% and up one to 36%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 48-28, narrowing from 50-24 last time. The pollster’s regular question on the handling of COVID-19 gives the federal government its weakest result since the beginnings of the series in March last year, with its good rating down five to 53% and its poor rating up six to 24%.

The trends for the leadership ratings are COVID-19 questions are worth noting: the former can be found at BludgerTrack, which no longer registers a recovery for Morrison after his slump in May, but also now records Anthony Albanese in net negative territory for the first time; the latter is shown in the chart of the Essential Research series below.

However, it’s not just the federal government that Essential Research finds to be down from its earlier peaks on COVID-19 management: the Victorian government’s good rating is down 15% amid the state’s latest lockdown to 48% (the federal government is also down 15% in the state, to 42%), and recent results for the other state governments are all down around six points from where they were at the start of the year, ranging from 65% for Queensland to 75% for Western Australia.

The poll also finds 40% view the federal government less favourably than they did a year ago, compared with 25% for more favourably and 35% for the same; 43% of the view that the vaccine rollout is being conducted efficiently (unchanged since April), 67% that is is being done safely (up four) and 54% that it will be effective at stopping the virus (up two); and 55% agreeing the Victorian government is raising valid concerns about the federal government’s vaccine rollout performance compared with 45% for the alternative option that it is seeking to shift the blame.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1104. This being Essential’s first result since the launch of the Australian Polling Council code of conduct, it comes with a separate disclosure statement containing detail of the poll’s response options for voting intention, from which we learn that state and Senate voting intention questions were included even if we may never see the results, and that the poll is weighted for age, gender, location and party identification (a somewhat contentious practice in the latter case).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,336 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings and COVID management”

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  1. Bucephalussays:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:09 am

    a r says:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 10:12 am

    The PM has denied it in public. Unless the ABC has actual proof that the PM believes in the Qanon crap and actually engages with it – which is a lot different to knowing someone who believes in it – then exactly what is their story apart from a smear campaign

    The PM has a history for denying things that turn out to be true.

  2. Bucephalus @ #95 Wednesday, June 9th, 2021 – 11:09 am

    The PM has denied it in public.

    Oh, okay then. A politician said it, so it must be true. 🙂

    Unless the ABC has actual proof that the PM believes in the Qanon crap and actually engages with it – which is a lot different to knowing someone who believes in it – then exactly what is their story apart from a smear campaign?

    There’s a question that actually watching the report might answer.

    A better question might be, if the report is a defamatory nothingburger as you suggest, then why oppose having it aired in the first place? Either it’s a obvious boring nothingburger and the ABC looks stupid for making it, or they get forced into an embarassing retraction via legal action and the ABC looks stupid for making it. Seems pretty win-win if the allegations are as false as you suggest.

  3. Moira Rayner
    @MoiraR
    ·
    25m
    This is true. This government is shamelessly destroying the safety net for ordinary Australians in both citizenship, rule of law, health, economic and housing policies, in the middle of a global pandemic.

  4. Barney

    How we treat people fleeing persecution is used by terrorists to say.

    See how they hate us. There is no fairness etc etc.
    All the examples add up.

    These are people who are not altruistic. It’s exactly the type of thing that feeds into their radicalisation agenda.

  5. guytaursays:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 10:40 am

    “It’s interesting that the supporter of the government, that’s keen to use defamation law, objects when Labor might use it.”

    Where did I object? I’d be very interested to see the Premier take a defamation action against the Opposition for asking questions and see what a Judge says.

  6. It’s about time that Morrison started dropping in satisfaction rating, his handling of the vaccine rollout has been terrible. Not to mention that he’s just useless in general. He should have been a lot lower by now though.

  7. Greensborough Growler @ #92 Wednesday, June 9th, 2021 – 10:57 am

    A bit of post event opinionating, but it does confirm that the Federal Government have been laggard in their response to Covid in Aged Care Facilities from the very beginning. And, there’s no strong evidence they have or can catch up in the near future.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jun/09/three-people-tasked-with-australias-aged-care-covid-response-during-early-stages-of-pandemic

    Very interesting, thanks for that, GG. I found this factoid very telling:

    The department also says the branch was being supported by other areas of government at the time, including its New South Wales state office, the National Incident Room, and the Aged Care Quality and Safety Commission.

    So Scott Morrison(because who else could issue such an order?), has directed that the feds liaise with and use the expertise of NSW, to help them do the job.

    No wonder Scott Morrison keeps lauding NSW!

  8. @LordofWentworth tweets

    Minister, what is the time?
    Look, I heard the Prime Minister and the Home Affairs Minister address this question this morning, as they have done so many times up and down the country. Indeed, I would welcome the opportunity to comment but the matter is before the Courts @abcnews

  9. Where would the equity and debt required to run businesses that give the jobs to the workers come from? Where? Who?

    The same place the existing artificial construct of Wall Street comes from….
    Bankers are 100% dispensable

  10. Morrison ignores his domestic victims – the aged, the sick, the unemployed, Indigenous people… and goes 0/s to hector world leaders.

  11. So the Greens must be a real chance to have the Balance of Power with all the time Labor partisans are taking to attack their leader.

  12. Barney

    Terrorism in Indonesia is talked about by the LNP all the time.
    Being of such concern we have to worry about how they are recruiting

  13. Simon Katich says:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:11 am

    You’ve headed off down a rabbit hole there. Where did I call for unbridled zero regulation?

    Biden tried to smear the Capital Markets which are fundamental to running a modern economy.

  14. Ambulance Vic releases a document refuting the Opposition’s claims…er, important questions which need to be asked.

    “Ambulance Victoria received a triple zero call for an ambulance at 6.36am on Monday March 9 for a patient who had fall on steps at a house in Sorrento,” it read.

    “Based on information provided during the call, the case did not require and immediate lights and sirens (life-threatening emergency response) and the call underwent secondary triage.

    “The triage determined that the case was appropriate for ambulance response, and as ambulance was dispatched from the nearest ambulance branch in Sorrento under normal road conditions at 6.47am. The ambulance arrived at 7.01am.

    “The patient was assessed by treating paramedics as having suspected fractured ribs and pain relief was provided.

    “The patient requested to attend a local hospital in order for the attending crew to remain within the area once cleared from the case.”

    That was yesterday.

    Today, Michael O’Brien (I think that’s his name), Leader of the Opposition, who supported Louise Staley’s questioning, says he hasn’t read it.

    So either he’s a very slow reader or the questions that needed to be answered weren’t that significant after all.

  15. @misskylie tweets

    Latho defending war crimes saying there’s no such thing as crimes in wartime…um yeah this was covered at Nuremberg. And Tokyo. And Frankfurt. And Jerusalem. And Malmédy. And My Lai. And the Hague. And fuck it even breaker morant.

    @Psyvert tweets
    And on the very day Ratko Mladić loses his appeal against war crimes convictions, including the Srebrenica massacre

  16. steve davis @ #113 Wednesday, June 9th, 2021 – 11:28 am

    I think the overseas pollies think Morrison is a bit of a dick in all honesty.

    I saw the front page of the paper as I was coming home on the train and it was all ‘Scott Morrison to organise the rest of the world to stymie China’s rise’, or wtte in the Murdoch tabloid I think it was, and I just thought to myself I think they’ll politely humour him. Nevertheless, if the world then decides to do it, guess who’ll take credit Down Under?

  17. steve davissays:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:28 am

    I think the overseas pollies think Morrison is a bit of a dick in all honesty.

    He’s definitely domestically focused and when it comes to international issues he is a light weight who lacks the nuance required to deal with different countries and cultures.

  18. #auspol The loss of trade and the diplomatic relationship with China is the biggest diplomatic disaster to beset Australia in 70 years and it was presided over by Morrison and Marise Payne.

    Word. Murdoch swept this disaster under the rug – though the stench is rising.

  19. So either he’s a very slow reader or the questions that needed to be answered weren’t that significant after all.

    No, he’s being willfully obtuse so that he can continue the attack and raising doubts. It’s slimy stuff from a bunch of Victorian Liberal scumbags.

  20. “That’s quite a compliment to the Greens. Putting them in the same category as the President of the United States.”

    *shudder*

    No, that would be a great insult to the Greens. The two should never be mentioned in the same sentence.

    But Buce’s defence of the rich elites is typical of the far right. Wall Street and all it’s scammers wouldn’t exist if it wasn’t for the everyday people who slave away in the big corporations which are traded on the markets. Without the people doing the hard yards, these big companies wouldn’t be what they are. They wouldn’t even exist. There would be no funding at all. Meanwhile, the fat cats at the top sit around shuffling paper getting rich off the hard work of other people.

    Then in Australia we have the absurd situation where Labor and the Coalition have teamed up to give the rich elites at the top like Gina Rinehart and Clive Palmer tax cuts. The con of trickle down economics continues thanks to the establishment.

  21. They’re political earworms, these ‘questions’. They want people to start questioning Dan Andrews bona fides.

    Boy, I just can’t wait until he’s back on deck to give them the biggest serve.

  22. No one takes ScoFo seriously outside this country, and not that our blinkered press would notice, but he’s leading us inevitably to crippling climate-related trade sanctions.

    That useless smirk of his will one day be read as it was always intended: “You’ve been had, Straya. LOL!”.

  23. “So the Greens must be a real chance to have the Balance of Power with all the time Labor partisans are taking to attack their leader.”

    Exactly.

  24. zoomster

    That’s the standard Dave Sharma defence: I haven’t seen it, I haven’t read it, couldn’t comment as I don’t know the background.

    Michael O’Brien needs to stand up straighter.

  25. Lefty_e
    I agree. Completely out of his depth internationally. A legend in his own and Murdochs mind.
    He will be the cabaret act for the other 6.

  26. Bucephalussays:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:32 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:13 am

    Where’s your evidence of his involvement in Qanon?

    Until the program is aired we don’t know what they have found.

    Interesting that you’re not denying that the PM has in the past denied things that later were proved to be true.

  27. Of course there are environment Greens who get the Anthropocene Extinction and the Red Greens. A casual glance at the Greens’ policy platform tells you that the latter have the former by the short and curlies. In the Coalition the coalers have the moderates by the short and curlies.
    The Greens and the Liberals are both captured by extremists.

  28. “It’s like they promoted the office boy to lead the party after Bob Brown left.”

    Except the next person to lead the party after Brown left was Christine Milne AO…

  29. What was the national polling when Bandt took over and what is the national polling now?
    How many elections has Bandt grown the Green vote and how many elections has the Greens vote gone backwards.
    It is just as well Bandt is a pinko or the Greens comrades would be around with the political knife in the back.
    The comrades only tolerate failure when it is their failure.

  30. guytaursays:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:30 am

    Barney

    Terrorism in Indonesia is talked about by the LNP all the time.
    Being of such concern we have to worry about how they are recruiting

    Taking your talking points from the Government again.

  31. If the Coalition were not driven by an inner racism they would be putting huge resources into developing a long term mutually beneficial defence and economic relationship with Indonesia.
    I am sure that, should Australia show consistent and proper respect, Indonesia would be up for it.

  32. Much of what goes on in Wall Street (and its equivalents elsewhere) is glorified gambling. It collapsed in an almighty heap in the GFC but the lessons have been unlearnt.

  33. boerwar

    Thanks. 🙂
    My kitchen is designed to be only three steps from hotplate to sink to oven , etc. Labour saving, but not suitable for energetic exercise (but very suitable for tripping over dogs waiting for me to drop food!)

  34. boerwar

    …….. a long term mutually beneficial defence and economic relationship with Indonesia

    Can’t have that, the place is full of brown people and Muslims. It’s a well known ‘fact’ that when the ‘Asiatic hordes’ inevitably sweep down from the North they will come via Indonesia. Just ask any local Colonel Blimp

  35. “He will be the cabaret act for the other 6.”

    This assume he is one of the seven. He’s not. We’re not and we’ll never be. He’s been invited to sit in the cheap seats and to come down and say something stupid to keep the big boys and girls amused.

  36. ‘poroti says:
    Wednesday, June 9, 2021 at 11:55 am

    boerwar

    …….. a long term mutually beneficial defence and economic relationship with Indonesia

    Can’t have that, the place is full of brown people and Muslims. It’s a well known ‘fact’ that when the ‘Asiatic hordes’ inevitably sweep down from the North they will come via Indonesia. Just ask any local Colonel Blimp’
    _______________________________________________
    I get your point. IMO, this is a major opportunity for Labor to differentiate itself from the Coalition ‘s toxic sectarian racism and the Greens’ peace studies lunacies.

  37. @DocAvvers
    ·
    5m
    ATO figures for 2018-19 have found that the median taxable income is $59,538. The government is demanding that people earning more than $46,620 start repaying back study loans. Again, HECS was introduced on the basis graduates earned MORE than others.

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