Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: June-August

A still greater Coalition lead in Queensland underwrites its modest ascendancy in Newspoll over recent months, according to newly published breakdowns.

The Australian today brings us the latest set of breakdowns from three months’ accumulation of Newspoll results, and the second to be published since its ambit was extended beyond state, age and gender to education, income, language and religion. Highlights:

• Labor is credited with a lead of 51-49 in New South Wales, compared with 50-50 in the April-June quarter and 51.8-48.2 to the Coalition at the election, and its lead in Victoria is out to 56-44, compared with 55-45 and 53.1-46.9. Once again though, Queensland is Labor’s sticking point, with the Coalition lead recorded at 59-41, compared with 56-44 last quarter and 58.4-41.6 at the election. The Coalition leads 54-46 in Western Australia, compared with 55-45 last quarter and 55.6-44.4 at the election, and is now at level pegging in South Australia, compared with 53-47 to Labor last poll and 50.7-49.3 to Labor at the election.

• The Coalition leads 53-47 among men and trails 51-49 among women, compared with 52-48 to the Coalition among men and 52-48 to Labor among women last quarter.

• The age effect is a little more modest in the latest poll, with Labor leading 58-42 among the 18-34s and 53-47 among the 35-49s, respectively compared with 62-38 and 52-48 last quarter. The Coalition leads 54-46 among the 50-64s and 63-37 among the 65-plus, compared with 53-47 and 62-38 last quarter.

• Whereas the result was a perfect 50-50 among each of the three education cohorts last time, this time the Coalition leads 53-47 among those with no tertiary qualifications and 51-49 among those with TAFE and technical qualifications, while Labor leads 52-48 among those with university degrees.

• The last poll has 50-50 splits among the three lowest income cohorts, whereas the Coalition leads 57-43 among those with household incomes of $150,000 or higher. Last quarter, it was 50-50 among those on $50,000 or lower, 52-48 to the Labor among those on $50,000 to $100,000, 52-48 to the Coalition on those from $100,000 to $150,000, and 53-47 to the Coalition on $150,000 and higher.

• The Coalition leads 52-48 among those who speak only English at home, out from 51-49, and Labor leads 56-44 among non-English speakers, in from 57-43.

• The Coalition leads 60-40 among Christians, out from 58-42, and Labor leads 57-43 among those with no religion, in from 58-42.

The full results can be viewed here, I think without a paywall. The results are compiled from YouGov’s Newspoll surveys from June 3 to August 8, with a combined sample of 6392.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,230 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: June-August”

Comments Page 52 of 65
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  1. Kirky @ #2536 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 8:11 am

    I think that SmoCo’s failure to accept responsibility and accountability resonates well with the Australia population. Why?

    Because most Australians also don’t accept responsibility and accountability and are always looking to blame someone else for their own *uckups.

    At last some level headed thinking on PB.
    This mob have been in charge for the lion’s share of a decade now.
    Something has to fire up Labor soon or thay may as well just join the coalition as the second minor party partner.

  2. Cat

    That’s because Labor is a major party I want better from.

    Like as my post was about looking for areas Labor and the Greens can win more voters than the LNP.

    That would deliver Labor government. I don’t see the Greens winning government at the next election.

  3. guytaur,
    I wasn’t getting upset, I was being passionate about the party I support and their policies. I would appreciate it if you didn’t mischaracterise my contributions like that and take licence with them to advance your own agenda.

  4. Andrew_Earlwood @ #2520 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 7:24 am

    “ Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s office says of tonight’s @60Mins report: “This is an organisational matter for the Victorian Division of the Party.” #auspol #springs

    So that’s that then? Surely today’s front pages will be full off “Liberal Corruption”, “The Prime Minister has Questions to answer” and similar.”

    Well. We are still waiting for the CPG’s follow up probe into Morrison’s miraculous 8-82 ‘win’ in the 2007 Cook preselection.

    Waiting. Waiting. Waiting …

    Labor……quiet, quiet, quiet…….

  5. Peter Ryan @Peter_F_Ryan

    #BREAKING – AMP chairman David Murray resigns, Boe Pahari steps down as AMP Capital CEO, John Fraser resigns as a non executive director @abcnews @AMP_AU pic.twitter.com/t8P7ncCemo

  6. guytaur,
    Until The Greens stop trying to be the tail that wags the Labor dog by spouting their arrant arrogant nonsense about power-sharing deals and the right to determine Labor Party policy in a Labor government, then they can naff off and suffer in their jocks.

  7. It’s more notable who is NOT speaking at the RNC than who is.

    Unlike the Democratic National Convention, which concluded on Thursday, none of the GOP’s living former presidents or presidential nominees are scheduled to appear at the RNC. Former president George W. Bush is missing from the list, as is 2012 GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney, now a senator from Utah who was the sole Senate Republican to convict Trump on one article of impeachment in February.

    Also absent from the lineup released Sunday are a handful of Republican senators locked in competitive races, including Susan Collins (Maine), Cory Gardner (Colo.), Martha McSally (Ariz.) and Thom Tillis (N.C.). Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), who also faces a tough reelection campaign, will be speaking Wednesday evening.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trumps-family-members-conservatives-allies-dominate-gop-convention-lineup/2020/08/23/d9d48d14-e574-11ea-970a-64c73a1c2392_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-banner-main_gopguests-425pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory-ans

  8. guytaur @ #2513 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:03 am

    Good Morning.

    Regarding the 60 Minutes story. Labor should have Dreyfus and Albanese talking Federal ICAC.

    Daniel Andrews can weigh in with commissioning an IBAC inquiry for the state jurisdiction.

    The Greens and any other parties should support this.

    Completely wrong.

    It’s up to the Liberal Party to say how they will deal with the issue.

    If that response is inadequate, then it opens the the door for Labor to attack.

    At the moment the little digs from Tim Watts and the like are appropriate as they go to the lack of any real response so far.

    Labor acted decisively after the allegations made against them.

    How will the Liberal Party respond?

  9. guytaur @ #2511 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 6:03 am

    Good Morning.

    Regarding the 60 Minutes story. Labor should have Dreyfus and Albanese talking Federal ICAC.

    Daniel Andrews can weigh in with commissioning an IBAC inquiry for the state jurisdiction.

    The Greens and any other parties should support this.

    ‘Regarding the 60 Minutes story. Labor should have Dreyfus and Albanese talking Federal ICAC.’

    Yep, there on to it. They’re all over it.

  10. Cat

    I would appreciate you not taking license with a journalists article to claim how the Greens are about destroying Labor and working for the Liberals whenever they don’t agree with Labor on the best approach to the environment

    The truth is both Labor and the Greens are streets ahead of the LNP on the environment and both parties with different approaches are working for the environment

    If Labor don’t like the Greens approach that’s fine. Just don’t pretend that Labor is the holy writ on the environment and that the Greens approach is a pro LNP approach.

    That is a Labor lie. It’s just a pro Green approach.

  11. Ten new Sydney ferries will not be able to pass under two bridges on the Parramatta River if commuters are seated on the top deck, the government has confirmed.

    The new River Class ferries, which have been built in Indonesia and shipped to Australia, are due to enter service on Sydney Harbour later this year.

    But passengers seated on the top deck will need to be called below before the new ferries can pass under the Camellia Railway Bridge and the Gasworks Bridge near Parramatta.

    “While customers are able to enjoy the upper deck during their commute, they will need to move to the lower deck when passing the bridge,” a Transport for NSW spokeswoman said.

    Mr Minns said the bridge problem was an example of problems borne out of governments outsourcing manufacturing overseas.

    “This will rank alongside intercity trains that don’t fit the track, or the ‘Ferry McFerry Face’ fiasco as another national joke,” he said.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/duck-the-problem-with-sydney-s-new-ferries-20200821-p55o61.html?btis

  12. Barney

    You are completely wrong.

    Why?

    History. Ruby Princess and Dutton
    Cash and her Whiteboard

    The list goes on.

    The LNP will do nothing when Labor does not hold them to account.

  13. grace pettigrew
    @broomstick33
    ·
    17m
    #RNBreakfast Fran Kelly tries to turn the Victorian Liberal branch-stacking scandal against the #ALP .. Albanese pulls her up, twice, there are no allegations against Anthony Byrne

  14. Senator Sue Lines
    @linessue
    ·
    32m
    @BreakfastNews Can’t believe Deputy PM #MichaelMcCormack is still saying “the best form of welfare is a job”. Where are these jobs? Just make #JobSeeker a liveable payment & stop messing around #auspol


  15. guytaur says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:19 am

    Cat

    That’s because Labor is a major party I want better from.

    Like as my post was about looking for areas Labor and the Greens can win more voters than the LNP.

    That would deliver Labor government. I don’t see the Greens winning government at the next election.

    No but the Greens will do their best to stop Labor winning the next election. You as much as much as Rex, Mundo and Bucephalus ( the only honest Liberal on this site) have argued for a Liberal government with equal vigor. You are all equally responsible for the destruction of our tertiary sector, the winding back of environmental regulations, attempt to undermine the states efforts to deal with this virus, the corruption and all the other disasters this government has wrought.

    The only difference is Bucephalus is honest in stating this is what he wants.

  16. RN Breakfast@RNBreakfast
    ·
    27m
    Coming up in a moment, @AlboMP will join us from the Parliament House Breakfast studio #auspol

    I expect the Victorian Liberal corruption will get a mention.


  17. guytaur says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:26 am
    ..
    If Labor don’t like the Greens approach that’s fine. Just don’t pretend that Labor is the holy writ on the environment and that the Greens approach is a pro LNP approach.


    Campaigning against Labor is campaigning for the Liberal. The Greens are a 5th column, nothing more and nothing less.

  18. Barney

    Yes exactly. That’s why Labor needs to be calling for a Federal ICAC.

    To be honest I will be shocked at the political negligence if they don’t.

    Associate corruption with the LNP will damage them politically for ages. See NSW Labor.

    Calling for standards to be upheld is in Labor’s interest.
    Labor despite Obeid in my view (a minority one by election results) is better on transparency and accountability than the LNP.

    Unless you know something about Labor I don’t.
    Andrews took action.


  19. mundo says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:24 am

    lizzie @ #2513 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 7:00 am

    Tim Watts MP
    @TimWattsMP
    ·
    23m
    Another big day at the buck passing factory coming up for Scott Morrison.

    Hey Tim, maybe your mob could try a bit harder?

    Mundo in full Liberal party support mode.


  20. guytaur says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:36 am

    FredNK

    You really do not understand preferential voting.

    No ACT government for you.

    Shock news for you mate, on this site we don’t vote, you however ( in my view) accurately reflect the behavior of the Greens towards Labor. Almost constant attempts to undermine Labor.

  21. guytaur,
    You can say what you want but you cannot deny that The Greens spout arrant arrogant nonsense that attempts to be the tail that wags the Labor dog. Something I will keep on saying for as long as they continue to do it, whether you like it or not.

    And you can stop @ing me in one of your pathetic attempts to make this blog all about you and your causes, I’m not interested. I’ve said what I wanted to say about a journalist attempting to distract from the big story concerning the Victorian Liberal Party today and The Greens who also, being the Purity Party, never miss an opportunity to criticise Labor.

    I repeat, don’t @ me, I am no longer going to be the subject of another one of your manic reply trees.

  22. frednk @ #2568 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 8:32 am


    guytaur says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:19 am

    Cat

    That’s because Labor is a major party I want better from.

    Like as my post was about looking for areas Labor and the Greens can win more voters than the LNP.

    That would deliver Labor government. I don’t see the Greens winning government at the next election.

    No but the Greens will do their best to stop Labor winning the next election. You as much as much as Rex, Mundo and Bucephalus ( the only honest Liberal on this site) have argued for a Liberal government with equal vigor. You are all equally responsible for the destruction of our tertiary sector, the winding back of environmental regulations, attempt to undermine the states efforts to deal with this virus, the corruption and all the other disasters this government has wrought.

    The only difference is Bucephalus is honest in stating this is what he wants.

    Jeez Freak you really need to have a lie down.
    Last election I voted at was two weeks ago, upper house division Tasmania – Huon.
    I voted 1 Labor and 2 Green….as usual.
    The Labor candidate won handsomely…..with Green preferences form Labor / Green voters.

    Are you a simpleton?

  23. Josh Butler
    @JoshButler
    “This is a test based on his own words”,
    @AlboMP
    says of Scott Morrison and the 60 Minutes report on the Victorian Liberal party, noting the PM said previous similar reports on the VIC ALP required action from federal Labor

  24. Cat

    So you contend the Liberals are right. The Greens are the tail that wags the Labor dog. It’s nothing to do with Labor listening to the science.

    Well done at buying the LNP Murdoch brainwashing.

  25. Media release from the Speaker of the House. With these precautions in place there is no reason why parliament cannot continue to sit for as long as the emergency continues.

    Hon Tony Smith MP, Speaker of the House of Representatives | Senator the Hon Scott Ryan, President of the Senate

    Over the last 6 months Australian Parliament House has applied multiple control measures to manage the increased risk of exposure to COVID-19. However, since the last sitting of the Parliament in June, there has been a significant change in relation to the transmission of COVID-19 predominantly from overseas transmission to significant community transmission.

    Following further discussions with the Office of the Chief Medical Officer and the Parliamentary Departments, the following advice is provided for building occupants and those visiting Parliament House (APH) during the next sitting fortnight.

    While recognising that the wearing of masks is not mandatory in the ACT, at the specific request of the Acting Chief Medical Officer and out of an abundance of caution, in the public common areas of Australian Parliament House everyone is recommended to wear a mask at all times.

    As an additional precaution the wearing of masks is encouraged in the presence of others, especially where physical distancing is not possible, and by those at increased risk of COVID-19.

    If infected, the wearing of masks reduces the chance of unknowingly passing on COVID-19 to others, with masks also playing a role in protecting people who are not infected.

    It is important to use and wear masks properly:

    wash or sanitise your hands before putting it on or taking it off;
    make sure the mask covers your nose and mouth and fits snugly under your chin, over the bridge of your nose and against the sides of your face;
    do not touch the front of your mask while wearing or removing it;
    do not allow the mask to hang around your neck or under your nose;
    do not reuse single use masks; wash and dry reusable masks after use and store in a clean dry place.

    A link to how to use a mask correctly can he found here.

    Used single use masks must be disposed of in designated bins.

    This measure is in addition to the range of control measures to manage the risk of COVID-19 exposure to Senators, Members and building occupants that have already been put in place.

    The Department of Parliamentary Services will continue to provide updates regarding the operations of Parliament House to building occupants. Please click here to read the COVID-19 statement by the Presiding Officers issued on 17 August 2020.


  26. PeeBee says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:40 am

    Guytaur, could you explain why Greens relentlessly criticise Labor and then give their preferences to Labor?

    Not all Green voters are party members. Public funding to undermine Labor, yet a vote for labor is not rational, but that is what you describe.

  27. ‘The LNP will do nothing when Labor does not hold them to account.’

    The LNP still do nothing even when Labor does hold them to account.

    It’s up to the media to keep the focus on these issues, rather than dismissing them as old news as soon as the next distraction comes along.


  28. guytaur says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:43 am
    ….
    Well done at buying the LNP Murdoch brainwashing.

    Instead of facing reality, guytaur reverts to form. The Greens are a contradiction.

  29. guytaur

    ‘That’s why Labor needs to be calling for a Federal ICAC….’

    Labor has been. So either you’re not paying attention or the media isn’t reporting on it.

    Take your pick.

  30. zoomster @ #2576 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 8:42 am

    mundo

    Why is it all up to Labor? Why don’t you expect the media to do their job?

    I do. If you like I could include the 4th estate more often.

    I bet the meeja will be all over the corrupt VIC libs like a rash!

    Like a rash I tells ya!!!!

    I just don’t see the point.
    Labor actually get a fair degree of support across the print media and other outlets – PvO is doing his bit – as discussed here a few days ago. Scrooter cops a bit of stick as well – seen the cartoons and editorials lately – Labor has to stop bending over for the CPG.
    Labor has to stop bending over for the CPG.


  31. mundo says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:42 am
    ….

    Are you a simpleton?

    Really.
    For all my faults I don’t take someone else’s post, attach to the end an attack on Labor, and believe it to be clever.

  32. The Chinese government is ­actively recruiting leading Australian scientists for a secretive research program that offers lucrative salaries and perks but requires their inventions to be patented in China and obliges them to abide by Chinese law.

    An investigation by The Australian has revealed dozens of leading scientists at major universities across the country have been recruited to a Chinese government program called the Thousand Talents Plan, which FBI director Christopher Wray describes as economic espionage and a national security threat.

    The Australian’s investigation shows that, in many instances, Australian academics have been named in Chinese patent applications despite their Australian universities being unaware of their involvement.

    Academics targeted globally under the Thousand Talents Plan may have a field of research with a military application, sparking the risk the Chinese government is misusing their inventions and technology for military advancement and even to develop weapons.

    When told about The Australian’s revelations, Andrew Hastie — chair of parliament’s joint ­intelligence committee — called for a parliamentary inquiry.

    Mr Hastie said the revelations demonstrated how national research and intellectual property was “being plundered by the CCP”.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/china-exploits-australias-lax-laws-to-sign-up-researchers-for-secret-program/news-story/35a48fe48919f0cc2cd269a3bc2fd91d

  33. Zoomster

    It’s up to Labor to keep calling for standards to be upheld.

    The interesting thing is this morning I have been attacked for suggesting Labor speak about its own policy.

    Why?

    Is there something Labor is hiding that wants them to back away from their own policy?

    The posts from Lizzie show why it’s a good idea. Argue for better standards applying to all pointing out Labor has acted on this as Albo did with Fran Kelly about Victoria’s branch stacking giving Labor the ground to demand a Federal ICAC.

    It’s not being hypocritical arguing for that.

  34. Holdenhillbilly says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:50 am

    The Chinese government is ­actively recruiting leading Australian scientists for a secretive research program that offers lucrative salaries and perks but requires their inventions to be patented in China and obliges them to abide by Chinese law.

    With the federal governments sustained attacks on the University sector what exactly are they supposed to do? Starve.

  35. Holdenhillbilly says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 8:50 am

    The Chinese government is ­actively recruiting leading Australian scientists for a secretive research program that offers lucrative salaries and perks but requires their inventions to be patented in China and obliges them to abide by Chinese law.

    With the federal governments sustained attacks on the University sector what exactly are they supposed to do? Starve.

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