The Australian has published a set of geographic and demographic breakdowns compiled from multiple recent Newspoll results, once a regular quarterly feature of the pollster notable for its results at state level, but now greatly expanded as more elaborate methods are adopted in response to last year’s pollster failure. Where in the such breakdowns were limited to geography, gender and age, there are now also education (no tertiary, technical and university), household income, English or non-English speaker at home, religion (only Christian and no religion are provided, but they presumably have a small sample result for other religions).
Compared with a national result of 50-50, the state breakdowns show level pegging in New South Wales (1.8% swing to Labor), 55-45 to Labor in Victoria (1.9% to Labor), 56-44 to the Coalition in Queensland (2.4% to Labor), 55-45 ditto in Western Australia (0.6% swing to Labor, and 53-47 to Labor in South Australia (2.3%). These suggest statistically indistinguishable swings to Labor of 1.8% in New South Wales, 1.9% in Victoria, 2.4% in Queensland, 0.6% in Western Australia and 2.3% in South Australia. The primary votes are notably strong for the Greens in Queensland, up nearly three points from the election to 13%, and One Nation in Western Australia, who are on 9% after never having done better than 7% in the last term.
The age breakdowns are notable for the 62-38 lead to Labor among the 18-34 cohort, a differential quite a lot greater than that recorded by Newspoll in the previous term, which ranged from 4% to 8% compared with the present 12%. The gender gap — 52-48 to the Coalition among men and the reverse among women — is at levels not seen since the Tony Abbott prime ministership, whether due to genuine churn in voting intention or (more likely I think) a change in the pollster’s house effect.
Analysis of the education breakdowns is made easy by the fact that two-party is 50-50 for all three cohorts, with even the primary vote breakdowns recording little variation, other than university graduates being somewhat more disposed to the Greens and allergic to One Nation. As the table below illustrates, there are notable differences between these numbers and comparable findings for the Australian National University’s post-election Australian Election Study survey, which recorded a strong leftward lean among the university-educated compared with those without qualifications and, especially, those with non-tertiary qualifications.
For income, Newspoll reflects the Australian Election Study in finding the low-to-middle income cohort being Labor’s strongest, with a relative weakness among the low-income cohort presumably reflecting their lack of support in rural and regional areas. However, the distinctions are less marked in Newspoll, which credits the Coalition with 46% of the primary vote among the top household income cohort (in this case kicking in at $150,000) compared with 51% in the Australian Election Study, with Labor respectively at 34% and 32%. Differences were predictably pronounced according to language (51-49 to the Coalition among those speaking English only, 57-43 to Labor among those speaking a different language at home) and religion (58-42 to the Coalition among Christians, the reverse among the non-religious).
The results are combined from the last four Newspoll surveys, collectively conducted between March 11 and May 16, from a sample of 6032, with state sample sizes ranging from 472 (suggesting a 4.5% margin of error on the South Australian result) to 1905 (suggesting 2.2% in New South Wales.
William,
What do these numbers suggest the seat breakdown would be?
And the consequences for Home Affairs? As usual? None.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-28/home-affairs-paladin-manus-island-audit-review/12297076
Barney
On those numbers the ALP would gain Bass (Tas) Boothbys (SA) and Chisholm (Vic) but if we look at the demographics there would be a few other seats that could fall if that was the election night swings.
On uniform swings and current margins, Labor would only gain Chisholm and maybe Bass. There will be redistributions though, probably including seats being added in Victoria and chopped in Western Australia and the Northern Territory.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/cool-it-andrews-urges-feds-as-victorians-surge-back-to-work-20200528-p54xgg.html
Sorry, add Boothby to the Labor gains. The most likely outcome would be a Coalition minority government.
Thank you both! 🙂
https://www.theage.com.au/world/asia/gladys-liu-hits-out-at-beijing-over-hong-kong-national-security-laws-20200528-p54xff.html
Want to know what glasses will be like in the future? Listen to this 6 minute TED Talk to find out!
https://player.fm/series/tedtalks-audio/autofocusing-reading-glasses-of-the-future-nitish-padmanaban
https://observer.com/2020/05/donald-trumps-executive-order-leaks-war-on-twitter-facebook/
Trump’s answer to everything he doesn’t like, oppression by lawsuit.
The federal government is rushing to suppress an outbreak of workplace flexibility linked to the COVID-19 crisis.
Symptoms include increased productivity, morale, and energy, and decreased stress, commute times, and micro-management.
C@tmomma @ #10 Friday, May 29th, 2020 – 4:41 am
Not in this case.
Here he is actually making a law for his own personal reasons.
Basically the aim of this law is allow him to lie and not get called out for it.
Now that is an abuse of his powers!!!!
This is an insightful analysis of why Boris Johnson, can’t and won’t’ sack Dominic Cummings:
https://www.politico.eu/article/boris-johnson-cant-let-dominic-cummings-go/
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #12 Friday, May 29th, 2020 – 6:52 am
But by making the law he is enabling others to bring lawsuits. So, what will be the upshot? An explosion of disinformation spreading like poison across social media, with a ready recourse to a lawsuit if anyone challenges you. It’s bad enough as it is now!
Bluebottle
🙂
As I’ve said previously, the polling is pretty good for Labor given the coronavirus emergency.
Trump said this about the new Executive Order he has signed:
To which someone should just have said, ‘You mean, the truth!?!’
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/05/28/trump-social-media-executive-order/
C@t:
It’s just the latest in a VERY long line of ‘Imagine if Obama did this….’ things.
Confessions @ #18 Friday, May 29th, 2020 – 5:11 am
I couldn’t!!!
Yay the Real Time panel is back!
I wonder if Scotty from Marketing will jump on the Trump Tantrum Wagon and do the same thing here, he’s already gutted the ABC so why stop there.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/alleging-bias-trump-signs-order-aimed-at-curbing-protections-for-social-media-giants-20200529-p54xix.html
I think this a reasonable position for Labor to be in at this point in the electoral cycle. I further think that Morrison’s troubles will start in earnest in the post-C-19 period when he imposes austerity measures.
These polling stats will mean very little to the coalition supporters , they will wait and see what happens on the actual election day
Right on, Sista!
And, as usual, Charles Koch is thinking laterally and into the likely Democratic future:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/05/28/trump-social-media-executive-order/
Anyway, suffice to say, Trump has just handed the Democrats a made-to-order organising rallying point for the upcoming election.
It isn’t just twitter copping it today. Facebook and its CEO comes in for some criticism as well.
“56-44 to the Coalition in Queensland (2.4% to Labor”…
Queensland is the Federal thorn in the flank for Labor…. and it has been so for very many years (not so much at the state level, though). I appreciate that both the shadow Treasurer and the ALP President are Queenslanders, but that won’t be enough. Albo and his team must put together a “Queensland strategy” and if they haven’t started yet, they should start NOW!
Murdoch’s end of his hardcopy newspapers will be a golden opportunity, as very few Queenslanders will pay a subscription to read the papers online…. No more free copies of The Courier as you sit and drink a coffee or have lunch, just about everywhere in Brisbane…. no more small, regional newspapers publishing photos of Anna Palaszczuk in crosshairs in the front page, that are visible to anyone (even if you don’t buy the paper)…. no more propaganda disguised as “information”….
If Labor solves its “Queensland problem”, then it can relax about Western Australia…. and the Coalition will face very BIG challenges to win another Federal election….
C@t:
Interesting discussion on the Senate in an interview with AB Stoddard from Real Clear Politics. The Dems are looking at up to 10 seats that are in play. Ten!
https://podcast.thebulwark.com/a-b-stoddard-on-the-2020-senate-trumpian-albatross
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Simon Benson summarises the latest NewsPoll saying that despite the overwhelming and uniform national support for the Mr Morrison and the federal government’s handling of the pandemic, the national contest remains deadlocked, with the two-party-preferred vote at 50-50. Federal Labor is languishing in WA and Queensland.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/labor-languishing-in-election-states-queensland-and-wa-newspoll/news-story/11cff6a7417b3b087bc08a2f94271179
Phil Coorey says that Albanese was already treading a delicate balance as opposition leader – but the coronavirus crisis has left him struggling in Scott Morrison’s wake.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/albanese-fights-for-relevance-as-morrison-rules-the-roost-20200527-p54x25
Shane Wright tells us that the Morrison government is considering revamping elements of its JobKeeper wage subsidy scheme to head off a $100 billion financial cliff beyond September as it works with banks to help hundreds of thousands of Australians once mortgage deferrals end. Philip Lowe certainly thinks there should be a continuation of sorts.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/jobkeeper-revamp-on-agenda-as-rba-warns-ongoing-support-needed-20200528-p54xcz.html
Low also is concerned that excessive red tape might hamper the recovery.
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/economy-better-than-first-feared-rba-20200528-p54x68
Jennifer Hewett writes that spending not lending is the key to economic recovery.
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/spending-not-lending-is-the-key-to-economic-recovery-20200528-p54xdj
David Crowe says Morrison promises a path out of this decline but is yet to prove he has the map – and the money – to achieve real change. He talks about the now parlous state of vocational and tertiary education.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/skills-gap-is-the-nation-s-chasm-20200528-p54xac.html
Michelle Grattan on “When Christian met Sally – the match made by a pandemic”.
https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-when-christian-met-sally-the-match-made-by-a-pandemic-139562
Morrison’s industrial relations peace gambit is worth a shot. Even if it fails, it’s shrewd politics says Richard Holden. He does wonder just how representative will be the representatives at the table.
https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-morrisons-industrial-relations-peace-gambit-is-worth-a-shot-even-if-it-fails-its-shrewd-politics-139459
Some think we heading for a post-COVID-19 utopia, but based on current projections, a pessimistic Martin Hirst doesn’t think so.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/neoliberalism-is-dashing-all-hopes-of-a-post-covid-19-utopia,13936
Under extreme grilling by Kristina Keneally Australia’s financial regulator has revealed it was given less than 24 hours to provide advice on the first draft of the Morrison government’s early super access scheme.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2020/05/28/apra-early-super-access/
Strategic planners Sean Macken and Tim Williams opine that in order to fix our housing industry, governments need skin in the game. The say big first home owner grants are a waste of money and that governments could pre-purchase property on the proviso that the developer immediately starts construction, generating new jobs. Once built, these new homes would become public assets.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/to-fix-our-housing-industry-governments-need-skin-in-the-game-20200522-p54vki.html
Noel Towell reports that Dan Andrews wants the federal government to put down its weapons as he warns of the dangers of Victorians going back onto transport networks.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/cool-it-andrews-urges-feds-as-victorians-surge-back-to-work-20200528-p54xgg.html
Elizabeth Knight on Murdoch’s woes in Australia.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/the-cat-refused-to-play-and-scratched-murdoch-s-plan-a-20200528-p54xej.html
And Stephen Mayne reckons it’s time for the Murdochs to sell out of News Corp.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2020/05/29/stephen-mayne-news-corp-closures/
Older women may have more to fear from the health risks of COVID-19, but it’s younger women who are bearing the stressful brunt of the shutdowns writes Kate Aubusson.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/stress-in-covid-19-era-young-women-worst-affected-20200526-p54wja.html
The ageing of Australia’s population is having negative impacts on our economic growth and productivity, writes Abul Rizvi.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/population-ageing-could-be-affecting-australias-economic-performance,13939
Given what the bushfire royal commission has been hearing the SMH editorial says that we need informed and honest discussion, from all contributors, about the risks climate change poses to our environment and communities and what we can do to mitigate them.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/experts-recount-cost-of-bushfires-and-government-must-listen-20200528-p54xfd.html
Katie Burgess reveals that private job agencies were paid six weeks of administration fees up front to prepare for a coronavirus-induced spike in unemployment, despite a moratorium on mutual obligations reporting because of the pandemic. What’s going on here? Oh that’s Stuart Robert’s outfit.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6773589/jobactive-providers-paid-lump-sum-in-anticipation-of-covid-19-unemployment-surge/?cs=14329
Eryk Bagshaw and Anthony Galloway tell us that the board of an Australian and Victorian government funded Belt and Road foundation was stacked with advisers with high-profile links to the Chinese Communist Party.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/belt-and-road-advisory-board-was-stacked-with-people-linked-to-ccp-20200528-p54xex.html
Jennifer Wilson goes to town on what PM&C’s Phil Gaetjens revealed to the senate committee looking at how prepared Australia was for the bushfire season.
https://theaimn.com/lies-lies-and-more-lies/
Mike Foley explains how Australia’s emissions reductions falling short of climate commitment. This should come as a surprise to nobody.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-s-emissions-reductions-falling-short-of-climate-commitment-20200528-p54xdz.html
Recent signs of a closer relationship between government, unions and employers are positive, but they need to step up and establish a new social contract at work writes Professor Russell Lansbury. He thinks the government will have its work cut out.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace/time-for-a-new-social-contract-20200505-p54q5g.html
Josh and Scotty from Marketing: Michelle Pini puts forward nine reasons why we’re not all in this together.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/josh-and-scotty-from-marketing-9reasons-why-were-not-all-in-this-together,13938
The national cabinet is set to become a permanent feature of the political landscape, but some state leaders have warned Scott Morrison that attacks on them by his ministers could threaten the new era of co-operation says Phil Coorey.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/states-to-back-permanent-national-cabinet-with-a-warning-20200527-p54x24
Zona Black explains how consumers remain at the centre of the coronavirus economic battle, fending off shonky product promises with one hand while applauding good brand behaviour with the other. She says there are plenty of snake oil salesmen out there.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/consumer/2020/05/28/coronavirus-consumers-bad-brands/
Australia spent $7.1 billion to process asylum seekers in Nauru and Papua New Guinea in a program that was largely managed well but failed to achieve value for money in relation to PNG, the Auditor-General has found.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/offshore-detention-in-png-not-value-for-money-auditor-general-finds-20200528-p54xe6.html
The AFR also comments on the A-G’s report saying Paladin’s big contract was shown not to be value for money.
https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/home-affairs-rebuked-over-paladin-s-532m-contract-20200528-p54xds
Nick Toscano reports that Santos has likened a proposed trans-Australian pipeline to an admission of defeat, saying there are vast gas reserves yet to be extracted in the south-east.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/santos-cool-on-covid-19-taskforce-s-6b-gas-pipe-dream-20200528-p54xaf.html
As Australia braces for a second wave of COVID-19, two new studies have highlighted the urgent need to determine how common and how infectious asymptomatic carriers really are writes the AFR’s Jill Margo.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/there-are-more-asymptomatic-people-than-you-think-20200528-p54xb2
The world wasn’t ready for a Green New Deal in 2009. Today, it may be suggests Larry Elliott.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/may/28/the-world-wasnt-ready-for-a-green-new-deal-in-2009-today-it-may-be
Dana McCauley reports that Greg Hunt has warned manufacturers, importers and sellers of protective face masks that anyone found distributing counterfeit or faulty items in breach of national standards will face court action.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/health-minister-tells-dodgy-face-mask-sellers-they-will-be-prosecuted-20200528-p54xdq.html
The coronavirus pandemic may have sparked a global boom in leisure wear but there has been little upside for Indonesia’s sports shoe factories, where 400,000 workers have lost their jobs and as many as a million people could be out of work by July.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/world/coronavirus-sports-slump-kicks-400000-indonesian-footware-workers-out-of-a-job/news-story/0d1b0c35506b21acadd2f91c00b10bcb
Australian taxpayers will fork out close to $1 billion for the Woomera Range Complex upgrade, used by the ADF, the US and UK. With revelations that the US military denies Australia access to computer source code needed to operate key components in our war-fighting equipment, Michelle Fahy investigates the real beneficiaries of the secret test range.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/are-australians-paying-for-secret-us-weapons-tests-at-woomera/
Things are not good in Minneapolis as another crack in US society is opened up. And in breaking news the National Guard has just been called out to quell this uprising.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/violent-protests-rock-minneapolis-for-second-straight-night-20200529-p54xih.html
With his threats on Twitter Trump is claiming extraordinarily sweeping powers that experts say the President simply doesn’t have. We’ve heard this story before.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/as-trump-claims-powers-he-doesn-t-have-twitter-draft-order-points-to-game-plan-20200528-p54xfn.html
Yes, there are arguments for treating the president differently but If he’s going to use Twitter, he doesn’t get an exemption because of the office he holds writes Stephen J Carter.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/sorry-president-trump-twitter-makes-its-own-rules-20200528-p54x5e.html
Bloomberg’s Therese Raphael writes that Boris Johnson’s most senior adviser may ride out the immediate crisis, with help from his boss, but both men will pay a price.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/dominic-cummings-creates-a-very-british-scandal-20200528-p54xd4.html
And Michael Bloomberg says Senate Republicans should join with House Democrats in holding hearings that probe why the President fired four inspectors-general over the past two months.
https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/trump-s-firing-of-watchdogs-must-be-checked-20200527-p54x06
According to the acerbic John Crace Boris Johnson has sacrificed top scientific advisers on the altar of Classic Dom Cummings.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/may/28/boris-johnson-sacrifices-top-scientific-advisers-on-altar-of-classic-dom
The coronavirus infection rate is still too high. There will probably be a second wave warns David Hunter as the UK opens up the lockdown.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/may/28/coronavirus-infection-rate-too-high-second-wave
A former Liberal staffer has well and truly earned nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/ex-liberal-party-staffer-faces-51-new-charges-over-alleged-13-5m-identity-theft-20200528-p54x6t.html
Cartoon Corner
Mark David
Alan Moir
David Rowe
Cathy Wilcox
Andrew Dyson
David Pope
Jim Pavlidis
Matt Golding
Johannes Leak
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/044f03232f7e3928b767ee60fee5dde3?width=1024
From the US. Theses cartoonists are becoming increasingly vicious.
In reply to:
Confessions says:
Friday, May 29, 2020 at 7:33 am
Zuckerberg is betting on a losing horse…. He will regret it in November…
But hey, as a good parasite that he is, he may quickly morph into a “responsible citizen”, if that’s what’s needed to keep his profits high….
BK:
“Simon Benson summarises the latest NewsPoll saying that despite the overwhelming and uniform national support for the Mr Morrison and the federal government’s handling of the pandemic, the national contest remains deadlocked, with the two-party-preferred vote at 50-50.”…
…. and just wait for the “snap-back”….. If by splashing free money around ScuMo can only get a 50%, how much will he get as soon as he takes that money back?
Alpo
One thing about Murdoch’s online papers is they all tend to run the same stories so there is little in way of individual news as i discovered when i had a twitter account and had a list of local paper twitter accounts and found they all tweeted the same headlines.
Thanks BK. Another brilliant Rowe today.
Alpo:
Zuckerberg has tried to walk both sides of the fence and has failed.
Good Morning
Stress is getting to the journalists
@byronkaye tweets
Sorry, I’ll try to be quiet. https://twitter.com/maggienyt/status/1266073629042733059
@maggienyt tweets
Someone is typing very loudly in the briefing room.
@tedlieu tweets
Dear @realDonaldTrump: Your Executive Order is a farce. The courts interpret Section 230, not @FCC. Your “US policy” doesn’t matter if it conflicts with the statute or case law. That’s why your EO calls for legislation, which is dead on arrival in @HouseJudiciary. Go pound sand. https://twitter.com/maggienyt/status/1266124856250306560
An example of how damaging the culture wars can be.
@TheAdvocate tweets
On the latest @lgbtqpod, now in partnership with @glaad, “Mister Rogers” star François Clemmons talks about his music career, the Stonewall uprising, and staying in the closet at the request of Fred Rogers. https://apple.co/3chsxKM https://twitter.com/TheAdvocateMag/status/1266128319113641984/video/1
Trump is trying to solve a problem that doesn’t exist — with powers he doesn’t have: NYT reporter
President Donald Trump’s new executive order on social media companies was ridiculed on MSNBC’s “Deadline: White House” on Thursday.
“Donald Trump has moved at remarkable speed — imagine if he did that with the pandemic — in his attempt to exact revenge on Twitter for daring to fact-check a pair of his tweets,” Nicolle Wallace reported.
What’s happening with the president’s order here, as far as we’ve seen details, he’s trying to use powers he doesn’t actually have to solve a problem that doesn’t exist,” he explained. “It’s ridiculous.”
“That’s the most brilliant thing I’ve heard in a long time,” Wallace said.
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/trump-is-trying-to-solve-a-problem-that-doesnt-exist-with-powers-he-doesnt-have-nyt-reporter/
Yes, ‘fess, I can only imagine that as Trump flails around like a cornered rat and tries to put off the election that he knows he will likely lose, polls like this one will only become more stark for the Republicans:
PoliticsVideoChannel
@politvidchannel
·
May 28
BREAKING: Democrat John Hickenlooper is leading GOP Sen. Cory Gardner by 18 points in the Colorado senate race in new poll.
‘Resisting suffocation is not resisting arrest’: Ex-prosecutor explains why police defense in George Floyd killing won’t fly
On CNN Thursday, former federal prosecutor Laura Coates explained why police cannot use the defense the George Floyd was “resisting arrest” to excuse his death.
“Resisting suffocation is not resisting arrest. Let me be clear with that. The code and the policy of the police officers is that they have to use only the amount of force necessary to repel a force against them. This is a man on his stomach, handcuffed behind his back, gasping for air, calling out for help and saying he cannot breathe.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/resisting-suffocation-is-not-resisting-arrest-ex-prosecutor-explains-why-police-defense-in-george-floyd-killing-wont-fly/
Confessions @ #32 Friday, May 29th, 2020 – 7:54 am
Because Zuckerberg’s MD is a former top adviser to George W. Bush. So he’s actually walking more on one side of the street than the other.
The Lincoln Project latest ad targets Mitch McConnell. #RichMitch 😆
https://twitter.com/RonSteslow/status/1265972592047001601
C@t:
Oh look that radical socialist is channeling Sally McManus and the Australian Union Movement
@AOC tweets
I’m curious – how has wage theft shown up in your life? Have you ever had an employer steal your wages?
(Wage theft isn’t just not receiving a check – it’s being forced to do work off the clock, not being paid for overtime, being denied breaks, etc.)
Share your stories below ⬇️ https://twitter.com/philopean/status/1266129173245984768
Moses Morrison flaunts his faith for an election, but is morally corrupt. An empty vessel. How did we ever get into a situation where this man “leads” the country?
https://theaimn.com/lies-lies-and-more-lies/
guytaur,
You do know that ‘radical socialist’ AOC is working on the Biden campaign now, don’t you?
Cat
Yes exactly my point. So is that other radical socialist Bernie Sanders.
@USReatlityCheck tweets
Acosta to press secretary: Are you saying Trump hasn’t lied? CNN’s Jim Acosta asks the White House press secretary about President Trump’s executive order targeting social media companies after Twitter fact-checked his tweets. http://twib.in/l/q9E6X5dRbdrG #Video #USRC https://twitter.com/USRealityCheck/status/1266130133674528769/photo/1
‘fess,
Interesting Veep polling analysis by long time Dem pollster, Stan Greenberg (he who coined the term ‘Reagan Democrats’ and was Bill Clinton’s pollster):
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/28/famed-democratic-pollster-pushing-biden-pick-warren-for-vp-285659
Labor’s problems in Queensland would be down to there being more older and retired voters living there there as a proportion of the voting population, the sluggish economy being reliant on Tourism and Mining and the distribution of the population means there are more people overall living in remote and regional areas compared to other States.
Volatility in voting behaviour there is quite common. Morrison will be doing OK at the moment because the full impact of the recession/depression has not yet hit and people are striving to be positive and supportive of the Government in difficult times. But, this may change if Morrison and his Government cannot manage the post Covid recovery.
At the moment Morrison is making plenty of money spending announcements. But, as some here have already found out, he is supported by a bureaucracy that wants to ensure the money is not distributed.
guytaur @ #45 Friday, May 29th, 2020 – 8:22 am
Because both have realised their most radical solutions were never likely to be supported by a plurality of voters in the general election.
Cat
I kept getting attacked by you for saying Biden has to win over Sanders voters. Glad to see you using expert analysis to say the same things.