Essential Research coronavirus latest

Support rising for an easing of coronavirus restrictions, and strong backing for Kristina Keneally’s contentious call for migration cuts.

The usual weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll finds “only a quarter” of respondents now consider it too soon to be easing coronavirus restrictions, down from a peak of 49% in mid-April. There was also strong support for a range of fresh restrictions being imposed if there is a new surge of cases, but not for making the coronavirus app compulsory, which only 38% supported. Only 45% were confident the government would be able to adequately protect data from the app, and 44% were confident the government itself would not misuse it. Kristina Keneally’s call for a reduction in temporary migration after the pandemic had the support of 67% of respondents. All this detail is derived from The Guardian, which also tells us that the number of respondents who are “quite concerned” about the virus is up three points since last week to 49%, but without the “very concerned” figure it’s hard to know what if anything to make of that. The full report from the pollster should be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The government reaches new heights on the eighth weekly iteration of the question as to how well it is handling the crisis, with good up five points to 71% and poor down one to 13%. The goodwill extends to state governments, who are collectively up three on good to 73% and steady on poor at 12%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1067.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,996 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. Bucephalus @ #262 Tuesday, May 12th, 2020 – 12:10 pm

    No problem with shooting feral dogs but what about Dingo crosses? There aren’t many pure breed Dingos out there anymore.

    Dingos have only been on the continent for ~4000 years. Not sure if that counts for standing. Aboriginal people were around for ~100,000 years before Europeans showed up, and they sure got the short end of the stick.

    So probably, kill ’em all. Pure breed dingos too. Introduced carnivores, the lot of them. 🙂

  2. @yassmin_a
    ·
    1h
    Nice of Alan Jones to retire during Ramadan, when I’m religiously obliged to hold my tongue if I have nothing nice to say.

  3. Far from being inspired by Josh’s summaries of the accounts, I always feel as we’ve got stuck in deep mud.

    Phillip Coorey@PhillipCoorey
    ·
    3m

    No more stimulus will be announced. That has been made clear. The June statement will be like MYEFO, ie contain forecasts on debt, deficit etc, and be a precursor to the Oct budget.

  4. Same old Coalition rhetoric about cutting taxes for the rich again and trickledown economics to recover the economy.

  5. The NRL , the teams and players invest a lot of time, money and effort in getting a league up and running. Why would you risk your whole team and competition , even the fans because a couple of anti-science NRL boofheads decide they don’t want a fluvax?
    Try working in health or many other professions without a fluvax. The NRL is no different.

  6. Urban Wronski
    @UrbanWronski
    ·
    4m
    FFS. Had to go to Sky News to watch Labor’s reply to Frydenberg’s twaddle. Jim Chalmers’ reply not shown by ABC. Morrison has walked out. Is this what our politics has become. A one party state?

  7. Lizzie

    They can pretend but economic reality is going to hit them big time. Keeping to Austerity is ideology over reality.

    When the money runs out in September the last pretence will be swept away.

    Several industries have collapsed.

    Labor is in the box seat politically. Much as I am sure they would prefer people keep their jobs as they fight for government

  8. Hope Chalmers said that the only plan Frybrain has is the same tired old trickledown shit that they always use.

  9. No, I didn’t know that, not being from NSW.

    Susan Mackay @mackaysuzie
    ·
    4h
    Also for the ones who don’t know Fordham is David Speers’ brother in law

  10. MYEFO in June should be interesting if we are in the midst of the expected ‘2nd wave’

    No More Stimulus rhetoric will be tested

  11. Trust? Falls about laughing.

    John Hewson @JohnRHewson
    ·
    11m
    Frydenberg Economic Statement- basically I am none the wiser – no pathway forward. We have to trust that they know what they are doing?

  12. Ryan Struyk‏Verified account @ryanstruyk

    Reported US coronavirus cases:

    Mar. 11: 1,267 cases
    Apr. 11: 529,887 cases
    Right now : 1,385,834 cases

    Reported US coronavirus deaths:

    Mar. 11: 38 deaths
    Apr. 11: 20,604 deaths
    Right now : 81, 795 deaths

  13. Interesting how Josh’s economic predictions don’t factor in a second wave and don’t factor in the fact that a lot of jobs are inherently connected to having crowds of people indoors and on trains and that it may not be possible to actually have this without a second wave.

    I also love hearing the interviews with tourism operators talking about interstate travel and ignoring the very obvious fact that states that are free of the virus are not going to open their borders any time soon.

  14. Peg:’
    CI You and BW’s “sneering” at Greens never changes. May it long continue.’

    I don’t think it could be called ‘sneering’, but more like pointing out the real life consequences of Greens Policy.

    What BW says about the consequences are concerning. He may or may not be right, but I fear he is. He has thrown out the challenge to Greens on this blog to say what is wrong with his conclusions. Crickets.

    I understand using words like ‘sneering’ or resorting to personal abuse is a reaction by the Greens because of their frustration, but I would prefer a serious discussion.

    It is also disappointing because the Greens used to put the environment first. That is no longer the case and they are happy to have policies that wreck the environment.

  15. When Hamilton Station switch to cattle from sheep, they no longer needed to kill dingos. What happened was fox, cat, kangaroo and rabbit numbers decreased.

    Dingos are the solution to a lot of our feral problems.

  16. Rex, the problem with our meat is because of a ‘technical matter’.

    Obviously nothing to do with Morrison’s utterings.

  17. PeeBee

    Very selective of you. My post reflected back the word “sneering” because CI used it.

    Of course, in your partisan eyes his use was just fine and dandy and I understand your need to ignore his use of “sneering”.

    As to the rest of your post, nothing there of substance to respond to. Have a good day.

  18. ‘Tricot says:
    Tuesday, May 12, 2020 at 10:37 am

    Not sure the purpose of the KK comments re immigration, but I doubt whether Australia can flourish with shrinking population.
    Being on the wrong side of 50 I am happy for hardworking, adaptable, and creative people to come and live in this country to help support my lifestyle in my dotage. The problem is the where they prefer to live ………usually in the SE corner of Oz………so Melbourne starts to approach London in terms of population while Sydney sprawls even further west……………….’

    Uh huh. This attitude is the attitude that underpins the migration ponzi scheme. It is the attitude that underpins the projected doubling of Australia’s population by 2050: I’m alright Jack and sustainability can go and get stuffed.

    Migrants can, and should be able to, do what other Australians want to do. One law for all. One set of rights for all.
    Fair enough.
    Migrants do not come to Australia to go and live in declining one horse towns in the far outback. They want to live on the coast. They want to live where the economic action is. They want to live where the support facilities and services are.
    Fair enough.
    Inter alia, migrants aspire to more or less the same patterns of consumption and resource use.
    Fair enough.

    Our water has run out. The political squabbling which is white noise to any politics on the inland side of the Great Dividing Range, is now about who gets what share of a steadily diminishing resource.

    The four desal plants are another clear symptom of water shortages – this time on the coastal fringe.

    Add what climate change is doing to rainfall patterns (Murray inflows halved in 20 years) and the current situation is actually worse than it looks.

    Add 25 million people and you are implicitly (because of rational and reasonable migrant aspirations) doubling the water demand.

    The scale of the ask is stupendous. Melbourne, population 5 million, is one fifth of the projected doubling of the population.

    Melbourne is currently supplied by ten storages and a desal plant.
    Five times that is fifty storages and five desal plants.

    The Coalition loves this sort of stuff – infinite growth is good.

    Labor sort of likes it because it supports the jobs that it will bring. IMO, in terms of sustainability, this is wrong-headed. But there are no votes for Labor in ecological sustainability. Those votes are owned by the Greens.

    The Greens oppose building a single new dam. They oppose raising Warragamba by a few meters. But 25 million people will need an additional five new Warragambas.

    The Greens ALWAYS support pro migration stances whenever there is a public debate on the issue. They routinely raise racism and xenophobia when migration and population policies are being discussed.

    Combined with the open-ended nature of their migration policies, as on their policy site, the Greens tacitly accept doubling Australia’s population by 2050.

    The Green New Deal touted by Bandt is a fake. It may be some sort of New Deal. But it can’t be ‘Green’ if the population is doubled.

    IMPOSSIBLE.

  19. It is notable that the US Democratic Party have declined to embrace the sort of “America First” or “Americans First” rhetoric Donald Trump episodes namely to appeal to Soft Trump voters. That incidentally is among a few positive things I can say about Joe Biden.

    On the other hand our federal Labor Party recently seems happy to espouse “Australian First” or “Australians First” rhetoric. That in my opinion clearly a dog-whistle to soft Hansonite voters in Queensland particularly.

  20. Where did it all go wrong for former Queensland Labor deputy premier Jackie Trad?

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-12/jackie-trad-career-turmoil-go-wrong-unfinished-business/12235200

    Jackie Trad was one of the most powerful players in Queensland politics, wielding a defining influence in government since Annastacia Palaszczuk took office more than five years go.

    Ms Trad played a crucial role in such pivotal moments as passing the state’s land-clearing laws, decriminalising abortion and ensuring mining giant Adani would not be given a royalty holiday.

    Her comments on each issue were frank, even if it meant upsetting parts of the voting public.
    :::
    The Premier said she believed Ms Trad would fight to return, but was less committal when asked if she would actively help her former deputy campaign in the lead up to the October poll.
    :::
    For now, Ms Trad has more time to win over voters in her inner-city seat of South Brisbane, against a push from the Greens.

    In 2017, Greens rival Amy MacMahon almost toppled Ms Trad, winning nearly as many primary votes as the Labor stalwart.

  21. What a surprise.
    The Chinese are wedging the Coalition by targeting beef and barley.
    The stuff about ‘technical issues’ is just that – stuff and nonsense.
    The Abbott and Morrison governments have had as a leitmotif a sort of swaggering contemptuous attitude to the natives combined with a snivelling sucking up to monsters like Trump.
    One way or another these two governments have managed to gratuitously insult all our near neighbours.
    None of that was necessary but the white supremacism that underpins it is in their blood.
    They can’t help themselves.
    So Morrison has a go at shitstirring Chairman Xi.
    Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad mistake.
    The Nats will be sweating political blood on barley and beef.
    As Comrade Xi intends.
    Mickmack will be begging Christensen and Morrison to STFU.
    As will the rural industry heads.
    As for Birmingham, does he not inspire confidence that as trade minister he is on top of all this?
    Yeah, nah. Pissweak comes to mind.

  22. Sorry, Peg, As it was in your post I thought you had written it and agreed with it.

    Still my point remains. It is not sneering.but pointing out the consequence of Green policy.

    You may feel there is nothing to respond to and just accept Grren policy as good.

    Unfortunately, I would prefer to know what is going to happen if the policies are enacted. What BW points out is pretty significant environmental issues.

    Then again, you are correct. The Greens as a minority party with consistently about 10% of the votes so will have to enact any policy. So no consequences to worry about.

  23. Trad is going to cause a problem for Palaszczuk if Qld Labor are determined to continue to snuggle up with the fossil fuel industry.

  24. Analysis: Alan Jones’ retirement will spark mourning or celebration, depending on who you ask

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-12/alan-jones-retires-from-2gb-radio-breakfast-analysis/12238008

    “He attacked Labor prime minister Julia Gillard in 2012 suggesting her late father, John, “died of shame” and suggested she should be “put into a chaff bag and thrown into the sea”.
    :::
    His judgement and cultural sensitivity was brought into question in 2018 when he used the racist term “n**** in the woodpile” on air, to the horror of previous owner Macquarie Radio’s board which feared its licence terms were in breach.
    :::
    Yet even with his retirement, Jones proved his power to call politicians to heel with tributes from Labor leader Anthony Albanese and NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian.
    :::
    Former ABC investigative journalist Chris Masters, who wrote Jonestown, says Jones was “a politician who broadcast.”
    :::
    “Maybe at some time when he doesn’t have the power of the [2GB] pulpit, the full story of Alan Jones ‘the bully’ will come through.

    “There were plenty of victims along the way who saw him as an enemy of democracy. The political community felt there was no point in getting him offside.

    “One of the reasons that he held on to power for so long is not because he exercised it responsibly but that people were frightened of him.”
    :::
    While Fordham is regarded as a moderate in the 2GB stable of conservative opinion-led broadcasting, the jury is out on whether the move to a younger host will be enough to attract a younger audience.”

    Yes, let’s say nice things about Jones who stoked climate change denial declaring it a hoax.

    Albanese – born to fight Tories. Sure, sure.

  25. Cheers PeeBee

    Unfortunately, I would prefer to know what is going to happen if the policies are enacted. What BW points out is pretty significant environmental issues.

    Then again, you are correct. The Greens as a minority party with consistently about 10% of the votes so will have to enact any policy. So no consequences to worry about.

    And that’s why I keep responding to BW with his concern as he expressed …… What is Labor saying and proposing about the nexus between environmental sustainability, immigration and population.

    He is avoiding the question and so is everyone else. Would you care to provide a response?

  26. Denham Sadler
    @denhamsadler
    ·
    10m
    Shadow AG Mark Dreyfus says Labor has secured a number of changes to the contact tracing app legislation, such as clarity around what data is protected, greater oversight by the OAIC and more public reporting, and the Opposition will be supporting its passage through Parliament.

  27. I just saw a clip on ABC24 of Chalmers speaking in parliament and was shocked to see a clearly semi-comatose Richard Marles sitting behind him. He at least needs to attend parliament in a fully conscious and professional state of mind.

  28. RD

    He at least needs to attend parliament in a fully conscious and professional state of mind.

    Perhaps being back and sitting in parliament is all a bit taxing for him. Give him a break.

  29. Pegasus @ #327 Tuesday, May 12th, 2020 – 1:50 pm

    RD

    He at least needs to attend parliament in a fully conscious and professional state of mind.

    Perhaps being back and sitting in parliament is all a bit taxing for him. Give him a break.

    To borrow a line from Daniel Andrews, it looked like he’s been “getting on the beers”…

  30. The G – Katharine Murphy

    Regional airports angst

    With parliament back in something approximating normal fashion, angst has also resumed. Regional Coalition MPs raised concerns pre-Covid about regulations imposed by the home affairs minister, Peter Dutton, that will make regional airports do more security screening.

    The government is covering the costs of the new screening equipment for small airports but I gather not the operating costs, or the staff to do the security checks and perform the screening services.

    This will mean the small airports will have to seek cost recovery through increases in landing charges.

    Government MPs, including Rowan Ramsey and Barnaby Joyce, have spoken against the proposal.

    There have also been objections from Labor senators. We are getting to the sharp end of this now because Rex Patrick will seek to disallow the regulations tomorrow.

    I’m told that Labor (despite the internal objections) has resolved to oppose the Patrick disallowance this morning.

  31. boerwar

    It is a LOL about the “technical issues” . Nothing to do with us pissing them off eh ? Just as it was totally unrelated that China discovered “technical issues” after Canada pissed them off re an extradition. As in all the other times “technical issues” were discovered.
    ……………………………………………………..

    12.09.2019 г. – China has raised technical issues in both canola and pork markets that have curtailed exports from Canada to China………. it is not clear that other issues will not arise until the Huawei case is resolved.

    The arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou, at the request of the United States government, has created a significant irritant in the relationship between Canada and China.
    https://thediplomat.com/2019/09/pork-and-huawei-us-canada-china-trade-triangle/

  32. Re: Rex’s push into the lucrative east coast capital cities route.

    One thing that Rex has going for it is small lines to check in at the main airport terminals. Whereas once might have to queue for 30-60 minutes at peak times to check in – drop luggage at either Qantas or Virgin for a capital cities domestic flight during peak times. Another bonus is the very short wait times for baggage collection at the other end. Downsides with Rex are the aging and dubious fleet of Saab turbo prop planes and the fact you havre to catch a bus from the departure lounge to the actual plane.

    However, I reckon that if Rex leases a fleet of small jets and runs shuttles between Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney, Brisbane (and maybe extend to Townsville and Cairns) the positives (Cheap flights, ease of check in and baggage collection) will outweigh the negatives and this could be a very lucrative move.

  33. FS

    Goodness me, don’t you know?

    Does the same excuse apply to the Greens? as in……never a problem for the Laborites who go on and on 24/7 … and what are the Greens doing about (insert any one of 1 million complaints).

    Keep trotting it out.

  34. Regional airline Rex plans to launch flights between Australia’s capital cities, taking on Qantas and a reborn Virgin Australia in the process to create what it calls “a three-airline market.”

    According to a detailed report in The Australian Financial Review, the ambitious project would see Rex carve out a share of the east coast’s highly-profitable ‘Golden Boomerang’ corridor as well as the coast-to-coast transcontinental route.

    This is not going to happen. Rex is a good regional airline on licensed and subsidised routes but is absolutely no match for Qantas and Virgin on intercapital routes.

    Their fleet consists of 57 Saab 340 twin-engine turboprop aircraft seating around 34 passengers in a 2+1 configuration with two pilots and one cabin attendant. Cruising speed is below 500km/h.

    Presumably Rex management plan to use the $200m they intend to raise for purchasing or leasing planes that are comparable to those flown by Qantas/Jetstar and Virgin. Otherwise the current Rex fleet is totally uncompetitive on intercapital routes. (One exception is Sydney-Canberra where Qantas uses Dash8 turboprops to provide a more frequent service.)

    Even with a more competitive fleet, Rex still faces the fact that over the years, several companies have tried to compete on intercapital and resort routes and all have failed under competition from Qantas. There is no reason the believe that Rex will beat the odds this time.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regional_Express_Airlines

  35. Alan Jones putting the cue in the rack..

    Jones, 79, made the announcement live on air during his 2GB breakfast radio program on Tuesday.

    “Well, the experts are telling me in no uncertain terms, and not for the first time I might add, ‘continuing with the present workload is seriously detrimental to your health’,” he said.

    “I have listened to the experts and I am taking this opportunity to indicate to my radio family that I will be retiring from radio at the end of this month.

    https://inqld.com.au/news/2020/05/12/talkback-titan-alan-jones-announces-his-retirement-at-end-of-month/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=InQueensland%2012%20May%202020&utm_content=InQueensland%2012%20May%202020+CID_c93582ac1e0514b839bd51698e232e13&utm_source=EDM&utm_term=READ%20MORE

  36. Jack Mundey 1929-2020: a comrade for our times

    https://watermelongreenland.wordpress.com/2020/05/12/jack-mundey-1929-2020-a-comrade-for-our-times/

    Only Australia had a figurehead who was a working-class hero. That was Jack Mundey, legendary leader of the builder’s labourers union, who died Sunday night aged 90.

    Jack (born John Bernard) Mundey combined in himself all the leitmotifs of the Sixties. He was antiwar. He was anti-racist. He practised civil disobedience. He was a champion of the environment. He was a supporter of women’s and gay liberation. He advocated participatory democracy – it was called self-management then – everywhere. He introduced it and practised it in his union. He defended the idea of socialism with a human face and condemned the Russian-led invasion that snuffed out the experiment in a democratic socialism in Czechoslovakia in 1968.
    :::
    By then Jack had been elected president of the Communist Party, but it was a ‘hospital pass’ as they say in rugby league, as the party was in terminal decline. When the Party disbanded in 1991 after the collapse of the Soviet Union, it was more than natural that Jack and Judy, after an initial hesitation, joined the Greens. After all, its politics were theirs. The four founding principles of the Greens – ecological sustainability, participatory democracy, social justice and peace and non-violence – summed up Jack Mundey’s basic credo.

    The man of the Sixties had found his natural home. Right to the end he continued to support citizens in campaigns against the wrong kind of growth, whether it was coal mines, fracking, heritage demolitions or the expropriation of public land for upscale apartments. He’s gone, but his example remains. La lutte continue, as they say.

  37. Andrew_Earlwood @ #333 Tuesday, May 12th, 2020 – 2:04 pm

    Re: Rex’s push into the lucrative east coast capital cities route.

    One thing that Rex has going for it is small lines to check in at the main airport terminals. Whereas once might have to queue for 30-60 minutes at peak times to check in – drop luggage at either Qantas or Virgin for a capital cities domestic flight during peak times. Another bonus is the very short wait times for baggage collection at the other end. Downsides with Rex are the aging and dubious fleet of Saab turbo prop planes and the fact you havre to catch a bus from the departure lounge to the actual plane.

    However, I reckon that if Rex leases a fleet of small jets and runs shuttles between Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney, Brisbane (and maybe extend to Townsville and Cairns) the positives (Cheap flights, ease of check in and baggage collection) will outweigh the negatives and this could be a very lucrative move.

    Rex. No frills, what you see is what you get.

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