Essential Research coronavirus latest

Support rising for an easing of coronavirus restrictions, and strong backing for Kristina Keneally’s contentious call for migration cuts.

The usual weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll finds “only a quarter” of respondents now consider it too soon to be easing coronavirus restrictions, down from a peak of 49% in mid-April. There was also strong support for a range of fresh restrictions being imposed if there is a new surge of cases, but not for making the coronavirus app compulsory, which only 38% supported. Only 45% were confident the government would be able to adequately protect data from the app, and 44% were confident the government itself would not misuse it. Kristina Keneally’s call for a reduction in temporary migration after the pandemic had the support of 67% of respondents. All this detail is derived from The Guardian, which also tells us that the number of respondents who are “quite concerned” about the virus is up three points since last week to 49%, but without the “very concerned” figure it’s hard to know what if anything to make of that. The full report from the pollster should be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The government reaches new heights on the eighth weekly iteration of the question as to how well it is handling the crisis, with good up five points to 71% and poor down one to 13%. The goodwill extends to state governments, who are collectively up three on good to 73% and steady on poor at 12%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1067.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,996 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. Re Rakali @5:59 (previous thread).
    Doctor Skiba has hit on the key flaw in pretty much all conspiracy theories – the alleged conspirators are generally far too incompetent to initiate and run a global conspiracy, let alone keep it secret.

  2. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Shane Wright reports that Josh Frydenberg will warn Australians who flout measures aimed at stopping the coronavirus they could inflict billions of dollars worth of financial pain every week if states have to abandon initial steps to reopen the economy.
    Peter Hartcher says that antagonism between China and US entering its most dangerous phase yet.
    Eryk Bagshaw writes that Morrison does not believe a sudden escalation in a $600 million trade dispute with China is part of a co-ordinated campaign from Beijing aimed at squeezing local producers in retaliation for his push for a global inquiry into the coronavirus.
    The AFR thinks that China’s fury over steel is behind its barley threat.
    According to these two experienced guys Australia is not as vulnerable to Beijing’s trade threats as it appears.
    A Coalition appointee at Fair Work has attracted fresh criticism after he secretly emailed BHP modelling showing its agreement left workers worse off, two hours before he approved it. Surely this maaate needs to be booted.
    Simon Benson writes that the industries most severely damaged in the COVID-19 ­shutdown — hospitality, accommodation, air transport and retail trade — will take two years to recover the losses inflicted by the pandemic. Some industries — such as healthcare and social assistance, public administration and heavy and civil engineering — can expect by the end of this year to be ahead of where they were before the coronavirus hit
    Max Koslowski says that it was clear on last night’s Q+A that the premiers were already looking months and years ahead, to the economic challenge that will shape Australia’s next generation, with hopes they could not only maintain economic growth and employment – but restore the country’s faith in politics, too.
    Eryk Bagshaw writes that Australia is on guard for a second coronavirus surge as states and territories begin to ease restrictions while South Korea, Germany and China grapple with outbreaks shortly after reopening parts of their economy.
    Peter FitzSimons reports on a serious outbreak of moronavirus emanating from the US.
    Anti-lockdown protests in Australia over the weekend mimicked some of the conspiracy theories and language of similar protests in the United States but they’re unlikely to grow as big due to the limited size of the groups within Australia, according to one misinformation researcher.
    Employers and the Morrison government are hoping the level of co-operation between employers, unions and the Coalition during the COVID-19 crisis may prove permanent. Dream on, says Jennifer Hewett.
    Interstate tensions over water supplies in the nation’s food bowl are set to flare anew after a CSIRO-led report found more freshwater flows were needed to maintain the health of the Coorong and Lower Lakes of the Murray River.
    According to David Crowe some privacy advocates have raised new concerns about the federal government’s coronavirus tracing app on the eve of a debate in Parliament on jail terms and fines for those who breach its safeguards.
    Anthony Albanese has called for an end to the contracting out of “essential” public services and the creation of more APS jobs in regional areas.
    NBN Co has raised $6.1 billion to help pay for the roll out of the national broadband network, three times what the government-owned telco had initially flagged.
    When it comes to the federal government’s COVIDSafe app, Australians are not buying what Scott Morrison is selling – and this is a big problem. After an initial burst of enthusiasm, the take-up rate for the app is slowing, and it looks like it may not get anywhere near the target level of 10 million downloads reports Mark Diamond.
    Superannuation funds, property developers and the federal government could join forces to build housing under a Labor plan to recover from the coronavirus pandemic writes Jennifer Duke
    And she reports that while the ATO last week confirmed its systems had not been compromised, a spokeswoman said enhancements had been made to increase the end-to-end security of the scheme.
    Clancy Yeates reports that Westpac is tightening borrowing capacity for self-employed customers and people who live in areas that are highly dependent on tourism.
    Greg Jericho opines that we have a long way to go to get Australia’s economy back on track.
    We used to have a thriving domestic manufacturing sector. After this crisis, Australia should have one again says Van Badham.
    David Crowe says Scott Morrison has denied misleading Parliament over his part in the $100 million sports funding program after documents revealed his office sought authority over the approved projects. Journos must continue to probe this issue!
    Katherine Murphy angrily writes that, inconveniently for the prime minister, serious questions remain about this scandal. Four months have passed and there are still no clear answers, and Morrison is accountable. Being accountable is the price of entry for political leadership.
    Doug Dingwall writes about the newest members of the APS helping job seekers through the coronavirus mess.
    Dana McCauley reveals that Australian hospitals are facing shortages of crucial drugs needed to support the operation of ventilators, putting at risk the capacity of intensive care units to respond to a surge in COVID-19 patients and delaying the ramping-up of elective surgery. This sounds a bit serious.
    Consumers and exports are not going to tow the economy out of trouble. Only massive government action can do that proposes Richard Denniss.
    David Crowe tells us that, worried about the cost of the schemes, government backbenchers are backing the return of mutual obligation rules as a gradual step to curb the sweeping payments to those who have been thrown out of work. The IPA is alive and well!
    Skilled migration will be critical for Australia’s economic recovery – as it was after the GFC – but this requires a well-designed visa system, writes Abul Rizvi.,13883
    Australia listened to the science on coronavirus. Imagine if we did the same for coal mining say this group of academics.
    Ged Kearney thinks full employment could be the answer to rebuilding the economy.
    Killian Plastow writes that Australians are spending more money as the worst of the health crisis appears to have passed, but where we shop has started to change.
    The editorial in the SMH says that relaxed rules are welcomed but we must remain vigilant.
    Another global agency has found freedoms in Australia are declining under the current Coalition Government explains Alan Austin who says the attacks on investigative journalism by the Morrison Government pose a significant threat to Australia’s democracy.,13882
    Simon Johnson reports that Westfield mall manager Scentre Group expects most retailers in its shopping centres to reopen over the next few weeks, but uncertainty around the coronavirus pandemic has prompted it to cancel its first-half distribution payout.
    Aaron Patrick declares that the dairy industry and the Nationals party should end their obsession with making Australians pay more for milk.
    Emma Koehn explains how the boss of Australia’s largest life sciences investor makes his point in calling for urgent policy action to ensure billions of dollars continue to flow into cash-strapped biotech businesses at risk of shutting their doors.
    Investors have piled into COVID-hit shares and ignored the risks. They may have this right but, if not, it will be spectacularly wrong warns Elizabeth Knight.
    Euan Black says investors are being warned to expect another major sell-off after the ASX rallied 20 per cent in spite of the increasingly grim economic outlook.
    Stephen Bartholomeusz can’t understand how disconnected share markets are ignoring the economic devastation the pandemic is wreaking.
    Community sports clubs warn they won’t have the cash to let matches kick-off next month unless they can also let people in for a pint and a pie, as SA Premier Steven Marshall pledges to work on a safe plan to lift restrictions. The clubs certainly have a point.
    Meredith Burgman tells us how Jack Mundey and his mates saved Sydney.
    Adam Morton writes that global greenhouse gas emissions are expected to slump this year after countries and industries shut down due to the Covid-19 pandemic, but Australia’s electricity grid appears immune.
    Classically understated, Troy Bramston says that Donald Trump not the leader we need in a crisis. A very good examination of US leaders.
    Far from the moment of clarity and reassurance many were hoping for, Boris Johnson’s Sunday evening address to the nation seemed to raise more questions than it answered. What day were people supposed to return to work? How many individuals were allowed to meet outdoors?
    Boris Johnson’s coronavirus ‘roadmap’ will only sow confusion says Zoe Williams.
    Midwesterners were already doubting Trump but Covid could seal his political fate writes Art Cullen.
    The corrupt “Injustice Department’s” move to drop the case against turncoat Russian agent, Michael Flynn, demonstrates Trump’s unfettered control. For a president with limited authority, this is a critical step to a de facto dictatorship. DCReport editor-in-chief, David Cay Johnston, reports.
    Interpol has issued a wanted notice for Anne Sacoolas, the wife of a US diplomat and today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”, who is wanted in Britain over a fatal car crash in a case that has caused friction between London and Washington.

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    Cathy Wilcox

    Matt Golding

    John Shakespeare

    Mark David

    Peter Broelman

    From the US

  3. Trump has just repeated that the US and Germany are “the best when it comes to deaths per 100000 people”.
    Here is the pertinent chart.

  4. Trump says he is requiring everyone in the White House to wear a mask — even though he won’t wear one himself

    At Monday’s press briefing on coronavirus, President Donald Trump was asked if he was behind the order requiring everyone at the White House to wear a mask. He confirmed that he was.

    However, this stands in contrast to the president’s ongoing refusal to wear a mask himself.

    Trump and some of his senior officials have given variable explanations for their unwillingness to wear masks — one common argument being that they are being tested repeatedly and have a clean bill of health. However, some reports suggest that Trump is afraid being seen wearing a mask in public could hurt his re-election chances.

  5. Trump is making ‘the dumbest possible move’ with his newest campaign strategy: Nate Silver

    President Donald Trump over the weekend has been ramping up attacks on former President Barack Obama, despite the fact that Obama will not be on the ballot in 2020.

    FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver, however, thinks that Trump is making a historic blunder if he really tries to turn the 2020 election into a popularity contest between him and Obama.

    “Turning the election into a referendum on Obama vs. Trump would seem to be one of the dumbest possible moves for Trump given Obama’s popularity, which was pretty good when he left office and has improved since,” Silver writes on Twitter, and then links to a 2018 analysis written by Perry Bacon, Jr. showing that Obama’s favorability numbers positively dwarf Trump’s.

    According to polling averages at Real Clear Politics, 59 percent of Americans view Obama favorably, while just 36 percent have an unfavorable view of him.

    Trump, in contrast, currently has a favorable rating of 42 percent, with an unfavorable rating of 52 percent

  6. Someone should just Photoshop a mask on Trump and be done with it. Then he’ll have no excuse, he’ll be seen with one looking stupid anyway.

  7. President Donald Trump over the weekend has been ramping up attacks on former President Barack Obama, despite the fact that Obama will not be on the ballot in 2020.

    But his VP Joe Biden is so I can kinda see the logic there. I’m sure Democrats will be devastated that Trump is turning the election into a referendum on himself. Not!! 😆

  8. Trump really thinks there are enough people that hated an African American President to get him re-elected. I sure hope he’s wrong.

  9. Donald Trump angrily walks out of his own press briefing after reporter calls him out for his racism

    Donald Trump held a coronavirus press conference today to brag about how he’s “prevailed” over the coronavirus crisis, which is weird considering the death toll keeps rising. When Trump got to the part where he took questions from reporters, it went so poorly, Trump ended up angrily walking out.

    An Asian-looking reporter asked Donald Trump why he keeps bragging about United States testing numbers in comparison to the rest of the world. Trump’s response: “Don’t ask me, ask China.” The reporter then called Trump out on his racist remark, asking Trump if he was specifically telling her to go ask China. He then called on another reporter, but as she was attempting to ask a question, Trump got angry and left.

    We’ve seen Donald Trump walk out of his coronavirus press briefings before. But this is the first time he’s gotten so angry he walked out without answering a question from someone he’d called on. This was particularly ugly all around, as Trump managed to combine his racism, his temper, and his cowardice all into one pathetic moment.

  10. LOL!

    Tom Nichols@RadioFreeTom
    Asked why testing is some kind of global competition by a young Asian reporter he yells at her that she should ask CHINA.
    And then Kaitlyn Collins asked the same question when Trump tired to bulldoze past it, so he ended it and huffed off stage like the angry teenage girl he is.

  11. Fascinating video. I’d imagine you’d get similar results in any shopping mall, restaurant or gym however.

    Spoon & Tamago@Johnny_suputama
    8 May
    NHK conducted an experiment to see how germs spread at a cruise buffet.

    They applied fluorescent paint to the hands of 1 person and then had a group of 10 people dine.

    In 30 min the paint had transferred to every individual and was on the faces of 3.

  12. Elon Musk announces he will defy stay-at-home order — and dares California to arrest him

    On Monday, Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced he would be reopening his Tesla plant “against Alameda County rules.”

    He added that he will join his employees on the production line and demanded that if the state of California makes arrests, it should only be of him.

    Tesla is restarting production today against Alameda County rules. I will be on the line with everyone else. If anyone is arrested, I ask that it only be me.

    — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 11, 2020

  13. Thanks C@t. I’ve not heard of Val Demings before, but I’ve often thought Biden will nominate a woman and a woman of colour as his VP.

  14. Elon Musk really is undoing all the good that he has gained building the electric car.

    Now he is just another nasty cruel billionaire

  15. Confessions @ #19 Tuesday, May 12th, 2020 – 5:38 am

    Fascinating video. I’d imagine you’d get similar results in any shopping mall, restaurant or gym however.

    Spoon & Tamago@Johnny_suputama
    8 May
    NHK conducted an experiment to see how germs spread at a cruise buffet.

    They applied fluorescent paint to the hands of 1 person and then had a group of 10 people dine.

    In 30 min the paint had transferred to every individual and was on the faces of 3.

    I don’t see how this can relate to most of the other situations you mention.

    In the case of the buffet you have a focal point to which people return possibly multiple times, this is not the case with the others.

    Dining has been documented as a common place of infection, so I think it is pertinent to look at how we dine so as to minimise the chances.

    Any sort of self service seems problematic.

  16. From BK’s round up:

    Shane Wright reports that Josh Frydenberg will warn Australians who flout measures aimed at stopping the coronavirus they could inflict billions of dollars worth of financial pain every week if states have to abandon initial steps to reopen the economy.

    So if anything goes wrong, it’s all YOUR fault. At least they can’t blame Labor this time (although I’m sure they will try).

  17. Barney:

    True, buffets are a particular and arguably greater risk, but I was thinking of frequently touched surfaces. In the case of gyms and shopping malls there are surfaces which are frequently touched by multiple people (equipment, escalator handles, lift buttons), and in restaurants things like doors and door handles, menus etc.

  18. Citizen

    Frydenberg will try and deny it. However he is the most socialist Treasurer since World War Two.

    He makes Jim Cairns look conservative.

    Also like Wayne Swan he predicted Back in Black.
    Unlike Swan he and Morrison ran an election campaign on it.

  19. Well, it seems as though staying inside all day and watching Fox News IS bad for your health!

    Global data from the COVID-19 pandemic has revealed a strong correlation between severe vitamin D deficiency and mortality.

    The deficiency appears to trigger the cytokine storm (an over-reaction of the immune system) that has killed many COVID-19 patients.

    Turning that around, the researchers from Northwestern University say that vitamin D strengthens innate immunity and prevents overactive immune responses.

    …The researchers conducted a statistical analysis of data from hospitals and clinics across China, France, Germany, Italy, Iran, South Korea, Spain, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the US.

    They found patients from countries with high COVID-19 mortality rates, such as Italy, Spain and the UK, had lower levels of vitamin D compared to patients in countries that were not as severely affected.

    …“Cytokine storm can severely damage lungs and lead to acute respiratory distress syndrome and death in patients,” said Dr Ali Daneshkhah, a postdoctoral research associate in Dr Backman’s laboratory, and the paper’s first author.

    “This is what seems to kill a majority of COVID-19 patients, not the destruction of the lungs by the virus itself. It is the complications from the misdirected fire from the immune system.”

    …Our analysis shows that it might be as high as cutting the mortality rate in half,” Dr Backman said.

    “It will not prevent a patient from contracting the virus, but it may reduce complications and prevent death in those who are infected.”

    Dr Backman said this correlation might help explain why children are less likely to die.

    Children do not yet have a fully developed acquired immune system, which is the immune system’s second line of defence and more likely to overreact.

    “Children primarily rely on their innate immune system,” he said.
    “This may explain why their mortality rate is lower.”

    This vindicates the observation that those children that are dying are succumbing to cytokine storms.

  20. Actually I thought Frydenburg’s message is one the govt should’ve been running with rather than try to wedge the states. Ramming home the message about good hygiene and appropriate physical distancing is far more appropriate than attacking state premiers over schools.

  21. Alan Jones has just announced he is retiring from radio at the end of the month.

    I think Labor just won the Queensland election

  22. Rick
    Guess who! Shock jock. $4M a year. Takes a week off cause he had the sniffles. Broadcasting from his resort in the NSW Southern highlands. All this while screeching down the air waves that #COVID19 is a beat up and lock ups are bullshit. The hypocrisy is breathtaking! Guess?

  23. Barney

    With Murdoch being hit hard by The economic depression I think the future is looking better for both Labor and the Greens.

  24. Premier Daniel Andrews has announced the schedule for a return to the classroom, with a pupil-free day on May 25 followed by the return of the youngest and oldest students on May 26. Years 3 to 10 will return on June 9.

  25. I’m sure that his employers will find someone else with as big an ego to replace Alan Jones and feed into all the ignorance and conspiracy theories that he encourages.

  26. No professional sport, even behind closed doors, will be staged in England until 1 June at the earliest, the UK government has announced.

    The government has published a 50-page guidance document detailing how England will begin to ease lockdown measures.

    Step two of that plan – which will not be allowed to start before 1 June – includes “permitting cultural and sporting events to take place behind closed doors for broadcast, while avoiding the risk of large-scale social contact”.

  27. One of the ways in which Jones stirs up people who are ignorant about the function that bats play in pollination and their prejudice against animal rights and conservation. It’s bats or people, y’see.

  28. guytaur @ #44 Tuesday, May 12th, 2020 – 6:33 am


    Yes. However that takes years to build.

    It’s the start of a whole new Media landscape this decade.

    Not necessarily.

    People will listen to the new person initially out of habit.

    If they appeal and pull the right strings, then people will keep listening.

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