The first Newspoll for the year, and the third under the new YouGov online polling regime, finds Labor opening up a 51-49 lead, after they trailed 52-48 in the poll in early December. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down two to 40%, Labor up three to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and One Nation down one to 4%. Perhaps more remarkably, Scott Morrison now trails Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister by 43-39, after leading him 48-34 in the previous poll. The damage on Morrison’s personal ratings amounts to an eight point drop on approval to 37% and an eleven point rise on disapproval to 59%. Conversely, Albanese is up six on approval to 46% and down four on disapproval to 37%. The Australian’s report is here; the poll was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1505.
UPDATE (Essential Research): The Guardian has numbers from the first Essential Research poll of the year, but they disappointingly offer nothing on voting intention. What they do provide is corroboration for Newspoll’s finding that Anthony Albanese has taken the lead over Scott Morrison as preferred prime minister, in this case at 39-36, which compares with a 44-28 lead to Morrison when Essential last asked the question in early November. We are told that Scott Morrison is up nine on disapproval to 52% and that Anthony Albanese is up four on approval to 43% – their respective approval and disapproval ratings will have to wait for the full Essential report, which will presumably be with us later today or tomorrow. UPDATE: Morrison is down five on approval to 40%, Albanese is up two on disapproval to 30%. Full report here.
Despite everything, the poll finds 32% approving of Morrison’s handling of the bushfire crisis, which may be related to the fact that his approval rating was down only three among Coalition voters. The Guardian tells us only that 36% strongly disapproved of Morrison’s performance, to which the less strong measure of disapproval will need to be added to produce an equivalent figure for the 32% approval. Fifty-two per cent disagreed that Australia had always had bushfires like those just experienced, and 78% believe the government had been unprepared for them. Efforts to shift blame to the states do not appear to have borne fruit: Gladys Berejiklian’s handling of the bushfires scored 55% approval among New South Wales respondents, while Daniel Andrews was on 58% (these numbers would have come from small sub-samples of around 300 to 400 respondents).
The poll also offers a timely addition to the pollster’s leaders attributes series. The findings for the various attributes in this serious invariably move en bloc with the leaders’ general standing, and Morrison is accordingly down across the board. However, a clear standout is his collapse from 51% to 32% for “good in a crisis”, on which he was up 10% the last time the question was posed in October. Other unfavourable movements related in The Guardian range from a six-point increase in “out of touch with ordinary Australians“ to 62% to a 12 point drop on “visionary” to 30%.
More on all this when the full report is published. The poll was conducted online from Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1081.
PeeBee @ #1645 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 2:25 pm
Maybe, in this time of crisis, it is the apparent inability of you and your Labor colleagues to sort out their internal divisions, or to accept constructive criticism on how to do so, that is embarrassing?
Actually, probably not. Embarrassment requires a degree of self-awareness, and this seems to be in astonishingly short supply on the Labor right. So much so that I’m beginning to think the lack of it must actually be a pre-requisite.
Mobster always gonna mob……
Tea Pain
@TeaPainUSA
·
2h
Trump said Yovanovitch would “go through some things.”
Trump is a two-bit mobster. He should be removed and prosecuted for the remainder of his days.
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Natasha Bertrand
@NatashaBertrand
· 4h
Um holy sh*t. This certainly makes it sound like Parnas and co. were actively tracking Yovanovitch’s movements. This could explain why Yovanovitch was moved out of Ukraine so quickly. https://intelligence.house.gov/uploadedfiles/20200114_-_hpsci_transmittal_letter_to_hjc_-_new_evidence_attachment.pdf
P1:’Maybe, in this time of crisis, it is the apparent inability of you and your Labor colleagues to sort out their internal divisions, or to accept constructive criticism on how to do so, that is embarrassing.’
It is not embarrassing because it is not constructive. You are playing at being a LNP troll.
Spend your time helping the LNP and perhaps you maybe able to help your environment.
Remember the LNP? They are the ones in power that could react to your constructive critercism and put your brilliant ideas into practice.
Rex Douglas:
[‘Wouldn’t seeing Bill back on our screens just bring back bad vibes to those swinging voters who rejected him for the muppet show ..?’]
Not at all. Shorten’s a good team player, who’ll be seen by most as a capable shadow minister. Indeed, compared to the marketing guru we have now (I could’ve put it starker terms), Shorten’s calm but confident demeanour exudes all that his nemesis isn’t. And he’ll have the respect of most of the electorate for not throwing a hissy fit on May 18. He got over it quickly & is getting on with his job.
Paul Roberts
@PaulRob11880584
The lies and the cheating of Scott Morrison never stops. How bad is Scott Morrison?The worst Prime Minister ever. Coalition gave out $100m in pre-election grants favouring targeted seats, audit office says.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/15/coalition-gave-out-100m-election-grants-not-assessed-merit?CMP=share_btn_tw
C@tmomma @ #1654 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 2:38 pm
See what I mean about self-awareness?
PeeBee @ #1653 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 2:38 pm
If it soothes your troubled conscience to believe this, who am I to disabuse you? 🙂
[‘Water levels at NSW’s Burrendong Dam, which is three times bigger than Sydney Harbour, have dropped to a critical low of 1.6 per cent, with rain predicted for this weekend unlikely to help.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/it-should-be-scary-regional-nsw-dam-close-to-empty-20200115-p53rnz.html
P1’s journey
1. Kill Bill
2. Slag Labor for having some imaginary policy.
3. Slag Labor for not having a policy.
4. Slag Labor in order to help Labor.
5. Slag Labor for being too divided to have a policy.
6. Slag Labor because…
Whatevs.
M
They let too much out for the irrigators.
Stupid as.
If it soothes your troubled conscience to believe this, who am I to disabuse you?
Thought so.
The Joker starts the ball rolling to have the AO postponed:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/sportsnews/article-7888493/Maria-Sharapovas-Australian-Open-match-STOPPED-players-choke-smoke-filled-air.html
BW, you missed 7.
7. Ignore the LNP government
Mavis
The irrigators supply has just dryed up. Another cost of doing nothing on CC.
Boerwar:
[‘They let too much out for the irrigators.
Stupid as.’]
Yep & and Dubbo, Cobar, and surrounding areas will have to get their water trucked in soon.
steve davis:
[‘The irrigators supply has just dryed up. Another cost of doing nothing on CC.’]
And they’ll more than likely vote back in their Country Party member, Mark Coulton.
‘Mavis says:
Wednesday, January 15, 2020 at 3:05 pm
Boerwar:
[‘They let too much out for the irrigators.
Stupid as.’]
Yep & and Dubbo, Cobar, and surrounding areas will have to get their water trucked in soon.’
Which will cost a motsa.
Mavis
Just like lemmings over a cliff.
Greg Jericho
@GrogsGamut
The is absolutely no way
@senbmckenzie
should be able to keep her job after this.
Coalition gave out $100m in pre-election grants favouring targeted seats, audit office says
Scrott’s “resilience” is that his way of saying ‘HTFU
Princess’
Regional Rorts Revisitted…
“Former sports minister Bridget McKenzie handed out grants based on marginal electorates and targeted locations over advice from Sports Australia, a scathing audit has concluded.
The Australian National Audit Office began investigating the Coalition government’s Community Sport Infrastructure Program at the request of Labor, after Liberal candidate Georgina Downer gave a $127,000 cheque to a South Australian bowling club as part of the scheme.
But the audit office found the novelty cheque was just the beginning.
Mr Hehir said the selection of successful grants “was not informed by an appropriate assessment process and sound advice”. There was also evidence of “distribution bias” in how grant funding had been awarded.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6581880/audit-sparked-by-georgina-downers-giant-novelty-cheque-uncovers-distribution-bias/?cs=14350
Boerwar
It’s wonderful news for the spiv community. Before you know it a maaate of the Coalition will get a juicy contract to supply the transport. If the public are lucky the maates might even know something about transport. Win win, maaates helped and an increased stream of donor $s.
Mavis says:
Wednesday, January 15, 2020 at 2:49 pm
[‘Water levels at NSW’s Burrendong Dam, which is three times bigger than Sydney Harbour, have dropped to a critical low of 1.6 per cent, with rain predicted for this weekend unlikely to help.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/it-should-be-scary-regional-nsw-dam-close-to-empty-20200115-p53rnz.html
In Victoria Brumby’ response to this type of emergancy. Civilized countries do not let their towns run out of water.
Desalination plant
North south pipeline ( normal Liberal country party protesters).
Goldfield pipeline.
Western irrigation system moved from channels to pipelines.
It rained Labor lost the election and the rest is history.
Lets see how NSW like the Liberal solution.
p
Perpetual motion spivocracy. They fuck us over coming and going.
Killing Bill and Sinking Labor was well worth the effort… for some, apparently.
I can understand Palmer sinking $60 million into it.
But Di Natale? How does that work, exactly?
I notice that NewsLtd hasn’t reported on James Murdoch’s slamming of their papers as climate change denialists.
Dio
haha.
AN Opinion : Winners and Losers From The CNN Iowa Democratic Debate
Winners – Biden, Warren, Buttigieg
Losers – Klobuchar, Styer, Sanders
https://www.politicususa.com/2020/01/14/winners-and-losers-from-the-cnn-iowa-democratic-debate.html
Heavy showers heading for Melbourne.
Yep……
Counterchekist
@counterchekist
·
5h
If Bernie was the best candidate to defeat tRUMp, there’d be a “Bernie 2020“ sign in my front lawn.
However, he‘s not. And he’s doing the same thing today that he did to HRC in 2016 with help from the Russians.
You’ve been warned… again.
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Claude Taylor
@TrueFactsStated
· 15h
You think Bernie is polling well against Trump? Wait until voters see a million ads talking about a socialist/deadbeat dad/who never had a job until 40/who just had a heart attack. The oppo file on Bernie is brutal and will be used to great effect.
Lara and Avalon near Geelong are being hammered by severe storms.
Avalon has received 45mm since 1500 this afternoon.
With conspiracy theories like this one, it’s not difficult to understand why it’s so hard to convince the masses of global heating:
[‘Thousands of Australians appear to believe lasers and exploding smart meters are being used to start our bushfires to make way for a new train network.
A Storyful investigation with news.com.au has found the conspiracy theory has spread far and wide on social media — with “directed-energy weapons” (DEWs) posts being shared tens of thousands of times in the past few weeks.’]
https://www.news.com.au/technology/online/social/conspiracists-say-lasers-and-exploding-smart-meters-used-to-start-bushfires-to-make-way-for-a-new-train-network/news-story/24f154722befb3b3c20b748e3336ea19
Maybe a benevolent dictatorship is the best way to govern?
Avalon 45 mm in just 35 mins.
steve davis @ #1670 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:13 pm
Of course she will. Angus Taylor did.
And why do you think Scotty from Marketing thought it more important to go to Netball games and Footy Clubs in Tasmania than more serious election pursuits?
“You think Bernie is polling well against Trump? Wait until voters see a million ads talking about a socialist/deadbeat dad/who never had a job until 40/who just had a heart attack. The oppo file on Bernie is brutal and will be used to great effect.”
Yup. That’s why I’m backing Biden. Because I want a guy who at least has a chance of beating Trump. Not the guy (Sanders) who gives me a warm inner glow.
steve davis @ #1683 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:45 pm
I thought you meant Avalon on the Northern Beaches of Sydney? So I looked outside down the coast and thought, ‘Hmm, looks pretty dry to me’ 😆
Virtually all the spivs kept their jobs and the public backed them all the way in May.
Operation Kill Bernie has been escalated by the establishment. Must maintain the status quo for the 1%..!
Victoria says: Wednesday, January 15, 2020 at 3:42 pm
Claude Taylor @TrueFactsStated · 15h
You think Bernie is polling well against Trump? Wait until voters see a million ads talking about a socialist/deadbeat dad/who never had a job until 40/who just had a heart attack. The oppo file on Bernie is brutal and will be used to great effect.
*****************************************************************
Rightly or Wrongly – This is exactly the sort of attack on Bernie Sanders that both past GOP strategists Rick Wilson and Steve Schmidt said would be raged endlessly against him …… they both believe that such a socialist character assassination in a US environment would sink Bernie’s candidacy …..
——
The oppo file on Bernie is brutal
——
And the one on Trump in 2016?
Kakuru @ #1685 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:48 pm
Plus a running mate from the Mid West somewhere.
Im not sure whether there is a weather station at Avalon on the Northern beaches.
Kakuru
Thank goodness they won’t have any ‘brutal ads’ to run with ‘great effect’ against Biden.
Rex
“Operation Kill Bernie has been escalated by the establishment.”
Boo hiss establishment! I really wish the establishment didn’t control US elections.
Simon Katich @ #1690 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:50 pm
Got misplaced around Fox News somewhere. 😐
Kakuru @ #1694 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:52 pm
And like contain the majority of voters. 😐
poroti @ #1693 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:52 pm
It’s already been factored in and people who say they will vote for Joe say they just don’t care. He has an Obama halo around him.
————
thought you meant Avalon on the Northern Beaches of Sydney? So I looked outside down the coast and thought, ‘Hmm, looks pretty dry to me’
————
Booooooooo!
Show off.
poroti
“Thank goodness they won’t have any ‘brutal ads’ to run with ‘great effect’ against Biden.”
They’d have attack ads against a ham sandwich if it ran for President. But Sanders is such an easy target. The attack ads write themselves.
Simon Katich @ #1698 Wednesday, January 15th, 2020 – 3:55 pm
Look, my mum has been coming here to see the cousins and holiday on the Central Coast since the 1950s…when it was just a great fishing spot. We are definitely not arriviste nouveau riche. 😀