Call of the board: Tasmania

Some overdue insights into what went wrong for Labor in Tasmania, whose five seats accounted for two of the party’s five losses at the federal election.

Welcome to the penultimate instalment of the Call of the Board series (there will be one more dealing with the territories), wherein the result of last May’s federal election are reviewed in detail seat by seat. Previous episodes dealt with Sydney (here and here), regional New South Wales, Melbourne, regional Victoria, south-east Queensland, regional Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia.

Today we look at Tasmania, which has long been noted as a law unto itself as far as federal electoral politics are concerned. The Liberals managed clean sweeps of the state amid poor national results in 1983 and 1984, and the state likewise went all-in for Labor at their losing elections in 1998 and 2001. The state’s form more recently, and especially last May, suggest a normalising trend – in this case, Labor’s defeats in the northern seats of Bass and Braddon were emblematic of their poor show in white, low-income regional Australia (and they can probably count themselves likely that Lyons wasn’t added to the list).

Conversely, another easy win for independent Andrew Wilkie in the central Hobart seat of Clark (formerly Denison) confirmed the uniquely green-left nature of that seat, while a predictable win for Labor in Franklin typified the party’s ongoing hold on low-income suburbia. It may be worth noting in all this that the state’s economic fortunes appear to be on an upswing, and that this coincides with one of its rare periods of Liberal control at state level. It’s tempting at this moment to speculate that the state has a big future ahead of it as a haven from climate change, with electoral implications as yet unforeseeable.

In turn:

Bass (LIBERAL GAIN 0.4%; 5.8% swing to Liberal): Bass maintained its extraordinary record with Labor’s defeat, changing hands for the eighth time out of ten elections going back to 1993. The latest victim of the curse of Bass was Ross Hart, who joins Labor colleagues Silvia Smith, Jodie Campbell and Geoff Lyons and Liberals Warwick Smith (two non-consecutive terms), Michael Ferguson and Andrew Nikolic on the roll call of one-term members. The only exception to the rule has been Michelle O’Byrne, who won the seat in 1998 and was re-elected in 2001, before losing out in 2004 and entering state politics in 2006. Labor also retained the seat in 2010, but their member at the time, Jodie Campbell, resigned after a single term.

Braddon (LIBERAL GAIN 3.1%; 4.8% swing to Liberal): Northern Tasmania’s other seat has been a slightly tougher nut for the Liberals since Sid Sidebottom ended 23 years of Liberal control in 1998, having been won for party since on three occasions: with Mark Baker’s win in 2004, as part of the famed forestry policy backlash against Labor under Mark Latham (who may have taken the episode to heart); with the heavy defeat of the Labor government in 2013, when it was won by former state MP Brett Whiteley; and now with Gavin Pearce’s win for the Liberals. Also in this mix was the Super Saturday by-election of July 28, 2018, at which the now-defeated Labor member, Justine Keay, was narrowly returned. Such was the attention focused on the Coalition’s weak result in the Queensland seat of Longman on the same day that few recognised what was a highly inauspicious result for Labor, whose 0.1% swing was notably feeble for an opposition party at a by-election. Much was made at that time of the performance of independent Craig Garland, who polled 10.6% at the by-election before failing to make an impression as a candidate for the Senate. Less was said about the fact that another independent, Craig Brakey, slightly exceeded Garland’s by-election result at the election after being overlooked for Liberal preselection. Both major parties were duly well down on the primary vote as compared with 2016, Liberal by 4.1% and Labor by 7.5%, but a much more conservative mix of minor party contenders translated into a stronger flow of preferences to the Liberals.

Clark (Independent 22.1% versus Labor; 4.4% swing to Independent): Since squeaking over the line at Labor’s expense after Duncan Kerr retired in 2010, independent Andrew Wilkie has been piling on the primary vote with each his three subsequent re-elections, and this time made it just over the line to a majority with 50.0%, up from 44.0% in 2016. This translated into a 4.4% increase in Wilkie’s margin over Labor after preferences. For what it’s worth, Labor picked up a 0.8% swing in two-party terms against the Liberals.

Franklin (Labor 12.2%; 1.5% swing to Labor): The tide has been flowing in Labor’s favour in this seat since Harry Quick seized it from the Liberals in 1993, which was manifested on this occasion by a 1.5% swing to Julie Collins, who succeeded Quick in 2007. This went against a national trend of weak results for Labor in outer suburbia, which was evidently only in that their primary vote fell by 2.9%. This was almost exactly matched by a rise in support for the Greens, whose 16.3% was the party’s second best ever result in the seat after 2010. The Liberals were down 4.0% in the face of competition from the United Australia Party, which managed a relatively strong 6.7%.

Lyons (Labor 5.2%; 1.4% swing to Labor): Demographically speaking, Lyons was primed to join the Liberal wave in low-income regional Australia. That it failed to do so may very well be down to the fact that the Liberals disassociated themselves mid-campaign with their candidate, Jessica Whelan, over anti-Muslim comments she had made on social media, and directed their supporters to vote for the Nationals. The Nationals duly polled 15.7%, for which there has been no precedent in the state since some early successes for the party in the 1920s. However, that still left them astern of Whelan on 24.2%. Labor member Brian Mitchell, who unseated Liberal one-termer Eric Hutchinson in 2016, was down 3.9% on the primary vote to 36.5%, but he gained 1.3% on two-party preferred after picking up around a quarter of the Nationals’ preferences. With a further boost from redistribution, he now holds a 5.2% margin after gaining the seat by 2.3% in 2016, but given the circumstances he will have a hard time matching that performance next time.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,795 comments on “Call of the board: Tasmania”

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  1. The AFP could only be investigating an allegation that Pascoe obtained benefit by deception from the Commonwealth Government presumably in the form of an award or grant.

    The criminality would require proof beyond reasonable doubt that Pascoe is not indigenous and knows as much so as to know he was not eligible for grants or awards.

    How could that be done without some genetic testing which the AFP, pleasingly, is not empowered to administer?

  2. The AFP could only be investigating an allegation that Pascoe obtained benefit by deception from the Commonwealth Government presumably in the form of an award or grant.

    I thought it was common practice these days for granting bodies etc to require proof of Aboriginality in order to determine eligibility for the grant/award.

  3. Attended the WTA Brisbane International. Wow! Female tennis players hit the ball really hard these days. The last time I went to a tennis tournament (apart from the 2018 Brisbane Mens’ Tournament) was the AO in ’74 at Kooyong, where Evonne Goolagong Cawley won the final against Chris Evert, on grass. I’m sure they didn’t the ball that hard in those days.

    Great tennis and far better than viewing it on the box. But there were downsides. There’s no parking at the Brisbane Tennis Centre; and, the cost of food and drink is prohibitive – eg, a bottle of water $5.20, a small kebab $13, small fries $8. On the way home to the Goldie, it absolutely pissed down, causing my carer, who drove my car, all manner of problems leading her to swear like a drunken matelot – she probably didn’t realise I had remembered my hearing aides.

    And to top it off, a petrol tanker overturned on the M1 at around 1 pm, it taking three hours to get from Brisbane to the Gold Coast. But overall I enjoyed my outing, much better than playing bingo, sing-alongs, other diversional therapies. And moreover, SE Queensland has probably been saved from the fires ravaging other State & Territories.

  4. I’m waiting for the news that those of aboriginal descent will be required to wear armbands in public. Can’t be far off.

    It’s not that in any way.

    The question is: “How does a person establish indigenous status for the purposes of grants, employment preferences etc. which are available only to those of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander heritage?”

    It’s a perfectly legitimate question.

    Looking obviously indigenous is one way. But many who claim indigenous status don’t look indigenous at all.

    Even the court in Bolt’s case had no problem with this type of question as such, but ruled that Bolt erred on points of fact that he researched sloppily, or not at all.

    Bolt went on appearances: what he reckoned looked acceptably “Aboriginal”.

    I get mistaken for my appearance. With my olive skin and jet black eyes, all sorts of ethnic groups take me for one of their own: from Lebanese and Greeks, to aborigines. I’m a brother to all of them.

    In fact the features I have are probably distantly derived from African Negro, as my ancestors used to be slave owners in the Caribbean, and almost everyone with my surname in the USA is black, AND from the same island as my ancestors. All this was pre-1830 (we hen my ancestors came to Australia), so whether I’m ethnically black, Lebbo, or Aboriginal I’m not claiming any special privileges.

    If I could claim anything from my ethnic ancestry, then I’d probably need to do a DNA test to establish the exact path. It’s be quite interesting to me personally to do this, but to be forced to do it is another thing.

    Pascoe can probably establish some kind of kinship within the Aboriginal community through ordinary residential records or verbal evidence.

    But establish it he must, if he is receiving benefits designed only for people of Aboriginal descent. That’s fair.

    If he has already done so then any investigation should be a mere formality.

  5. Good. It’s about time we heard from him:

    Indigenous Australians Minister Ken Wyatt has criticised a member of a key government advisory body for accusing prominent author Bruce Pascoe of faking his Indigenous heritage.

    Josephine Cashman, an Aboriginal entrepreneur and lawyer, wrote to Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton accusing Professor Pascoe of “dishonesty offences”, with the complaint then referred to the Australian Federal Police for assessment.

    Ms Cashman, a member of the Voice Co-Design Senior Advisory Group and former member of the Prime Minister’s Indigenous Advisory Council, has been a vocal critic of the author, who was a joint winner of the $30,000 Indigenous Writers’ Prize in NSW for his best-selling book Dark Emu.

    In the letter to Mr Dutton, first reported by The Weekend Australian, Ms Cashman said a genealogy search did not bring up any Aboriginal ancestors for Professor Pascoe and accused him of inappropriate financial benefit from his status.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/ken-wyatt-defends-indigenous-author-bruce-pascoe-against-attacks-over-heritage-20200111-p53qnx.html

  6. From the , very good, article:

    The widely accepted definition of Indigenous heritage in Australia comprises three parts: self-identification, evidence of descent and community recognition.

    Professor Pascoe, who holds a position at the University of Technology Sydney, has identified as having Bunurong and Yuin descent and also spoken of his struggle with people questioning that heritage because he has pale skin. He also has European ancestry.

    Doesn’t look THAT pale to me:

    I’m a hell of a lot paler.

  7. Pascoe is a distraction!!!!! you’ve spent a day talking about a non story affecting 1 persons when the damage to Australia by fire is equivalent or greater to 1000 Hiroshima bombs.
    Families are running from Canberra to escapes the smoke and the PM if flailing.

    There are more important issue at play right now.

    The real truth is if we don’t get climate change right, we don’t get to have other fights.

  8. Come on Scrotty time to roll out those wunnerful tourism ads to show these foreign types how absolutely fabulous we are
    ——————————————-

    Bruce Haigh
    @bruce_haigh
    I am in Hanoi and the same reaction, including from senior officials. We are on the nose. Reminds me of Apartheid South Africa when I was posted there.
    Quote Tweet

    Mark Kenny
    @markgkenny
    · Jan 10
    Do NOT underestimate the scale of the community shift underway simply because you’re in it. I’m in NY and frankly, everyone mentions Australia’s epic climate failure https://smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/dangerous-misinformation-news-corp-employee-s-fire-coverage-email-20200110-p53qel.html
    Hayes Zhou
    @hayden61
    ·
    Jan 10
    Replying to
    @bruce_haigh
    and
    @phbarratt
    even China every talks about failure of Australia government efforts in climate change

  9. C@tmomma:

    [‘I found out today that Calf Muscle Strains are called ‘Old Persons Disease’ by Tennis people. ‘]

    I’ll tell you one thing, trying to get up the very steep steps at the BTC, I think I’ve now got said disease.

  10. south says:
    Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 10:52 pm
    Pascoe is a distraction!!!!! you’ve spent a day talking about a non story affecting 1 persons when the damage to Australia by fire is equivalent or greater to 1000 Hiroshima bombs.
    Families are running from Canberra to escapes the smoke and the PM if flailing.

    There are more important issue at play right now.

    The real truth is if we don’t get climate change right, we don’t get to have other fights.

    ______________________________________

    Certainly true. Whenever reality adversely affects the power of the right a new culture war distraction is rolled out by them.

  11. I know I’ve said it before but race is a totally arbitrary artificial societal construct which shouldn’t be recognised by policy etc. Scientifically we are just humans. That’s it.

  12. Bushfire Bill @ #704 Saturday, January 11th, 2020 – 9:44 pm

    But establish it he must, if he is receiving benefits designed only for people of Aboriginal descent. That’s fair.

    Fair as part of applying for whatever benefit or grant he’s receiving, sure. That’s the time for checking these things, and when a competent administration would check. By all means lay out the requirements for establishing aboriginal heritage as part of that process, and enforce them there.

    But at some point an application is approved (or declined); barring cases of deliberate, premeditated, provable fraud, that decision should draw a line in the sand.

    I don’t see much fairness in the AFP being able to retroactively say “okay now establish your eligibility for what we already approved you for, to our arbitrary level of satisfaction; or else face criminal charges”. Doesn’t seem in the public interest.

  13. a r says:
    Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 11:23 pm

    …”I don’t see much fairness in the AFP being able to retroactively say “okay now establish your eligibility for what we already approved you for, to our arbitrary level of satisfaction; or else face criminal charges”. Doesn’t seem in the public interest”…

    ……………………….

    …”No man shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest, detention or exile”…

    Sooner or later somebody is going to have to tell Dutton and his goon squad to go and get Ffffffurther up the street.

  14. Lars Von Trier says:
    Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 7:00 pm

    Looks like mexicanbeemer and c@t have a special skill of being able to spot the indigene.

    Amazballs !!
    —————————-
    Nothing amazing about it at all, Indigenous Australians often have a particular nose shape.

    Take a look at their faces and you will soon notice it.

  15. … barring cases of deliberate, premeditated, provable fraud…

    That sounds like the allegation. The lady says she did an ancestry search on Pascoe and found no indigenous links.

    I don’t know how thorough it was, or even if she picked the correct “Mr Pascoe”, but she has written to Dutton formally, dobbing Pascoe in for what she thinks is fraud, presumably with some kind of summary of her evidence.

    Plenty of people get dobbed for cheating welfare. I don’t see why cheating on a grant would or should be any different.

    I’m not saying I endorse what’s happened. I’m just trying to imagine the scenario.

    It would really stick in my craw if Bolt finally found his fake aborigine. That’s for sure. I hope this is all a mistake.

  16. OC
    Anglo noses tend to be thin and Indigenous noses tend to take on a larger appearance but like any large community there are many variations just like there is variation among Europeans.

  17. Bushfire Bill:

    Plenty of people get dobbed for cheating welfare. I don’t see why cheating on a grant would or should be any different.

    The two are different, even if you don’t see it.

    Cheating on welfare involves something one does on an ongoing basis, for example by continuing to claim welfare whist actually working full time, or continuing to claim workers compensation for a damaged back whilst participating enthusiastically in an itinerant trampoline troupe. This cheating is detected after the fact, and hence “dobbing in” plays a role.

    Cheating on a grant in respect of eligibility occurs at the time of application, not subsequent to the award. This renders it of a completely different nature to cheating on welfare, a distinction somehow missed in your assertion. It involves both:
    – fraud on the part of the applicant, and
    – incompetence on the part of the technical assessment bureaucracy
    There is no necessary role for “dobbing in” is remedying such a situation; audit and if necessary an investigation will do far better. It therefore seems clear that the “dobbing in” in this instance is intended as harassment, not to correct a serious problem.

  18. Bushfire Bill:

    You’ll be pleased to know Andrew Bolt agrees with you, Diog!

    Diogenes is simply right is relation to science (genetics) and race; and it does not matter whether Andrew Bolt agrees with this or not. One of the more humorous demonstrations of the falseness of a genetic basis for race was when James Watson found himself astonishingly Korean (if one follows his odd theories).

  19. John Safran once outed a KKK white supremacist as being part black at a meeting based on a covert DNA test (I don’t think the results were real). The guy was later murdered and Safran wrote a book about it.

  20. Just to make it clear, and before someone comes on labelling me as racist…

    I have no more than a passing interest in Mr Pascoe’s predicament, other than to wish him complete victory in his stoush with Bolt, his indigenous protege, Dutton and the AFP.

    If that sleazy lot are ganging up on him, then he must have right on his side.

    Imagine writing a book that said aborigines had a sophisticated agricultural society and that they weren’t just the station drunks, lubras and picaninnies Bolt remembers so warmly from his childhood.

    The cheek of the man!

  21. “Fairness”
    A most interesting word being thrown around tonight, particularly in a household where fairness is arbitrary on so many levels and generally creates much “light” hearted banter on all of those levels.
    Ths teenagers with their irreverence in regard to the allocation of pocket money are the most amusing.
    The same teenagers will step forward and have their say if they see the need. Love ’em.

  22. Interesting by Bloomberg. I like it.

    https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/y3mdqj/bloomberg-vows-to-bury-trump-with-his-billions-even-if-hes-not-the-nominee

    Bloomberg spokeswoman Galia Slayen confirmed to VICE News that the campaign’s fast-growing field operation and mammoth advertising apparatus would pivot toward defeating Trump in key battleground states in the general election. NBC News first reported the news Friday.

    A move like that could effectively zap Trump’s advantage as an incumbent in terms of organizing staff, voter data, and, most of all, cash. Whereas the president’s campaign is seeking to raise $1 billion before the election, Bloomberg’s net worth is pegged somewhere around 55 times that.

    The media mogul has already dominated spending in the Democratic primary, even in the short time since his campaign launch. He’s poured nearly $200 million into an all-out media assault, taking over Facebook News Feeds, swamping key Google keywords, and drowning out everyone else on TV stations in key markets. That spending far outpaces other candidates’ entire fourth-quarter fundraising hauls: Trump’s $46 million, Sen. Bernie Sanders’ $34.5 million, and Pete Buttigieg’s $24.7 million.

    Bloomberg even went so far as to shell out a staggering $10 million for a 60-second spot during the Super Bowl. Trump’s campaign said soon after that it had matched the ad buy for the Feb. 2 mega-event, suggesting a mano-a-mano showdown between the New York billionaires.

    “The biggest point is getting under Trump’s skin,” Michael Frazier, a Bloomberg spokesman, told The New York Times.

  23. Australian Law Review Commission held an inquiry which looked at genetic testing in 2010:

    https://www.alrc.gov.au/publication/essentially-yours-the-protection-of-human-genetic-information-in-australia-alrc-report-96/36-kinship-and-identity/genetic-testing-and-aboriginality/

    36.66 Dr Loretta de Plevitz and Larry Croft summarised the four major barriers to proving Aboriginality by means of genetics as follows:

    Firstly, there is no such thing as a genetically differentiated ‘race’: we are all one species. Secondly … if race is defined by cultural and genetic context, then there are difficulties in proving membership of the ‘Aboriginal race’ as on this definition there were hundreds of Aboriginal races pre-1788. Thirdly, looking at the polymorphisms in an individual’s DNA shows us who they are related to. But this just defers the problem of whether those people related to the claimant are Aboriginal or not. Fourthly, who could the claimant’s genetic inheritance be tested against? It would be necessary to construct DNA reference groups based on ‘pure blood’ Aboriginal people covering all geographic groups in Australia. If by chance one of the reference DNA groups was very similar to the claimant’s then we can show descent … as the Australian Aboriginal population is so genetically diverse, there would need to be a large reference set of people for all genetically distinct groups … Where there has been the wholesale extermination of entire groups of people, claimants attempting to prove their Aboriginality may not be related to any of the reference groups because there is no longer a reference group for them.[84]

    36.70 The Inquiry considers that under no circumstances should any person be required to undergo genetic testing to establish their Aboriginal descent. As noted above, this would have significant ethical implications, and would arguably constitute racial discrimination against Aboriginal persons.

    The idea of genetic testing was floated by One Nation in the lead up to the 2019 election.

    https://www.sbs.com.au/nitv/article/2019/03/16/no-dna-test-exists-aboriginality-scientists1

    However, Dr Misty Jenkins, who leads the Division of Immunology lab at the Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research in Melbourne, said the ability to test DNA for Aboriginal genealogy does not exist.

    “An Australian Aboriginal genome does not exist and therefore to even propose that a test is possible is scientifically inaccurate,” Ms Jenkins said.

    “The two companies which currently offer this ‘service’ use sections of DNA called single tandem repeats (STRs) that vary in the number of copies each person has. This approach is utilised in forensic cases and paternity testing, but are not appropriate for genetic genealogy.”

  24. Elizabeth Farrelly hopping on the Greg Barns fantasy of redistributing government wealth to individuals but forgetting the lawyers clipping the ticket on the way through.

    The article has an Independent Australia feel about it:

    (a) dogmatic:
    (b) bugger all research as to the viability of the key idea – here suing the government:
    (c) random linking of others’ work without any attempt to tie it back in to the key point.

    She needs an editor. One who might even challenge her key idea.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/class-actions-against-negligent-governments-it-s-a-burning-issue-20200109-p53q1h.html?fbclid=IwAR2n8EwbjOZOlgJnmqTTMs-IDs-LyepOi5uRoSTerKINobvpVqUN0W-Zm7s

  25. shellbell

    Farrelly does quote the successful class action after Black Saturday. Doesn’t that give some basis for a future one? Or does the single defendant and provable cause in that action provide the only model?

  26. The proof of the madness in Morrison’s thinking.

    Some of Australia’s most extreme Christian-right parties have withdrawn from politics, claiming the election of Prime Minister Scott Morrison had rendered them redundant.

    The Victorian-based Rise Up Australia leader said the political party was deregistered after the May election because Mr Morrison’s Christian values “mirrored” many of its own.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/christian-right-groups-say-pm-scott-morrison-stole-their-thunder-20200110-p53qgw.html

  27. Lizzie

    That is a government body doing an action negligently. You can sue.

    Not adopting a policy is not a basis for suing.

  28. Good morning Dawn Patrollers on Sparse Sunday.

    A vengeful and passionate Malcolm Turnbull writes that Scott Morrison can’t afford to waste the bushfire crisis when Australia urgently needs its own green new deal. This will make a good subject for David Speers’ interview with Morrison this morning.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/12/scott-morrison-cant-afford-to-waste-the-bushfire-crisis-when-australia-urgently-needs-its-own-green-new-deal
    In a rare convergence of interests, peak bodies for small and large employers joined the Australian Council of Trade Unions in demanding that affected workers, sole traders and firefighters receive proper compensation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/unions-and-employers-join-forces-to-demand-increased-bushfire-relief-for-workers-and-fireys-20200109-p53q4t.html
    Peter Hannam reports that the Berejiklian government has sacked Anissa Levy, the coordinator-general of its main environmental agencies.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/state-government-sacks-top-environment-official-in-latest-shake-up-20200111-p53qkk.html
    The Coalition continued to ignore warnings about the results of climate change and now must bear responsibility for our bushfire catastrophe, writes John Wren in his weekly round up.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/wrens-week-climate-change-denialism-sparked-the-fires,13480
    Australia’s most prestigious scientific organisation has added to growing pressure on Prime Minister Scott Morrison over climate change policy, calling on the government to “take stronger action” in response to the unprecedented bushfire crisis. There’s nowhere (apart from Murdochia) for Morrison to hide.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-s-top-scientists-urge-government-to-do-more-on-global-warming-20200111-p53qlc.html
    Now that the damage has been done, it’s time to think forward to how we can prevent another large-scale bushfire tragedy from happening again, writes Dr Kim Sawyer.
    https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/measuring-the-bushfire-tragedy-and-what-we-can-do–next,13481
    I can’t work out whether or not this contribution is satire.
    https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/pray-for-strength-to-face-the-future-with-courage-20200109-p53q6b.html
    John Bolton will be blocked from testifying at Donald Trump’s impeachment trial, the president has indicated, despite the former national security adviser insisting he would do so if he received a subpoena.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jan/11/john-bolton-impeachment-testimony-donald-trump
    This is interesting. As Moore’s law reaches the end of its dominion, Myhrvold’s laws suggest that we basically have only two options. Either we moderate our ambitions or we go back to writing leaner, more efficient code. In other words, back to the future.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/11/we-are-approaching-the-limits-of-computer-power-we-need-new-programmers-n-ow

    Cartoon Corner

    Alan Moir


    Matt Golding

    Reg Lynch

    From the US




  29. Kerryn Goldsworthy
    I think the Right is trying to discredit Bruce Pascoe’s Dark Emu by using an Aboriginal adversary to trash him personally. I refer them to multi award winning white historian Bill Gammage AM and his prizewinning book The Biggest Estate on Earth.

    ***
    On the subject of Cashman and her fellow travellers (who are against The Voice):

    Thomas Mayor
    At the moment, ppl like her, Price, Dillon, they get a start on advisory committees and the like BECAUSE we don’t have a way of officially choosing our own political representatives.
    The Voice is the way to address this problem.
    That’s one reason why they oppose it.

  30. Impeachment should be the least of Trump worries as he faces a flood of lawsuits and federal investigations: report

    As the Senate awaits the articles of impeachment expected to be delivered by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Trump and his family have a minefield of court cases facing them — three of them to be heard by the Supreme Court.

    “The impeachment trial starts as soon as next week, while the court cases are running on separate tracks. House committees are seeking his financial records, a New York prosecutor wants his income tax returns, and public officials and private watchdogs say he’s unlawfully profiting from foreign government business,” the report states. “The House Judiciary Committee is suing to get the records of former Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation, and a court is being asked if former White House Counsel Don McGahn must testify.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/impeachment-should-be-the-least-of-trump-worries-as-he-faces-a-flood-of-lawsuits-and-federal-investigations-report/

  31. Trump administration threatens to deny Iraq access to their own money if they boot out US military: report

    On Saturday, the Wall Street Journal reported that the State Department is threatening to revoke Iraq’s access to a national bank account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York if the country moves to push U.S. troops out of the country.

    “Iraq, like other countries, maintains government accounts at the New York Fed as an important part of managing the country’s finances, including revenue from oil sales,” wrote reporters Ian Talley and Isabel Coles. “Loss of access to the accounts could restrict Iraq’s use of that revenue, creating a cash crunch in Iraq’s financial system and constricting a critical lubricant for the economy.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/trump-administration-threatens-to-deny-iraq-access-to-their-own-money-if-they-boot-out-us-military-report/

  32. I can’t work out whether or not this contribution is satire.

    Sadly it is real god bothering . So remember.

    Our creator wants everyone to survive this cataclysmic time. We were born for life, for love.

  33. For Rick Wilson fans amongst us :

    A review of his latest book and his thoughts on getting rid of Trump

    How to dump Trump: Rick Wilson on Running Against the Devil

    He was a Republican ad man but now he’s a bestselling author out to bring down a president. He says Democrats must listen

    “You don’t have to like me. You don’t have to think I’m the guy you want to have over for a beer. But when it comes to being somebody who will tell you where to go, how to do it, even if you have to hold your nose to do it, I’ll tell you how to get there.”

    He means it, his tone growing stern, the words rapped out.

    “And this time I am putting my ideological priors and my preferences aside, because I think that Donald Trump is an existential threat to the Republic. I’ll do anything I can to help ensure that he is not president for another four years.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jan/11/donald-trump-rick-wilson-running-against-the-devil

  34. I read this article last night about the Trump Impeachment trial. It’s by George T. Conway III, who is a lawyer in New York and an adviser to the Lincoln Project, an anti-Trump super PAC & Neal Katyal, a law professor at Georgetown University, who is the author of “Impeach: The Case Against Donald Trump” and previously served as the acting solicitor general of the United States.

    House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has announced that she plans to transmit the articles of impeachment to the Senate, but that does not mean she has lost in the seeming standoff with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) over whether to call witnesses at the Senate trial. McConnell has said “there’s no chance the president’s going to be removed from office” and “there will be no difference between the president’s position and our position.” In response, Pelosi still has cards in her hand — if she plays them — because the House approved two articles of impeachment against President Trump.

    The first article of impeachment effectively charges the president with shaking down Ukraine; the second impeaches him for his unprecedented obstruction of Congress. That gives the speaker room to maneuver. She could choose to tweak her announcement and send only the second article, on obstruction, for trial. Or she could transmit them both — along with a House-approved provision advising the Senate that if it fails to obtain adequate witnesses and documents, the House will reopen the investigation into Article I and subpoena that material itself.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-conway-and-neal-katyal-how-pelosi-should-play-her-impeachment-cards/2020/01/10/4ab9bdd2-33e7-11ea-91fd-82d4e04a3fac_story.html

  35. bakunin

    Thanks for posting on genetics.
    Do you know the basis for the Ancestry analyses? I think they say it’s mitochondrial DNA.
    Then people say they’ve “found a cousin”, which smells a bit suss to me.

    Several years ago I investigated my own family tree through the Ancestry and Mormon records, and like any decent research, found that unless there were two confirmed records proven, huge assumptions were being made by excited “researchers”.

  36. Trump administration threatens to deny Iraq access to their own money if they boot out US military: report

    It’s all about the Benjamins. 🙂

  37. Thanks BK for your selections for the Dawn Patrol.

    I think I can help with 👇👇

    I can’t work out whether or not this contribution is satire.
    https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/pray-for-strength-to-face-the-future-with-courage-20200109-p53q6b.html

    There are a couple of other other articles by Carol Frost, described simply as “a Melbourne Writer” 👇👇

    Faith reminds us that good can come from pain
    https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/faith-reminds-us-that-good-can-come-from-pain-20150311-140uy4.html

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/faith-column-20161104-gsi9yr.html

    It would appear that Carol Frost is writing from a Christian point of view.

    I suspect that she is not
    Dr Carol Frost in X-Men Origins: Wolverine (fictional character).

    Damn. Poroti has gazumped me. Only thing to do is make a cup of fresh coffee and sulk (my major super power). ☕

    BK’s little introductions are super magnets.

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