Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. I’m with Steve. Except on the photo date. Plus there was that completely banal anti-Mining Tax fandango, with Gina on a fruit box choking on pearls the size of cool mints screaming poor, which of course they won.

  2. Confirming that you have to have a frontal lobotomy if you want to be editor of one of Murdoch’s tabloids.

    Less like a frontal lobotomy and more like a bottle in front of me judging by the contributions of his fellow travellers!

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/20/from-alan-jones-to-the-daily-mail-the-australian-medias-bizarre-reactions-to-the-climate-strike?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other&utm_content=bufferd29f9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

  4. It’s a French word.

    farce
    /fɑːs/

    noun
    a comic dramatic work using buffoonery and horseplay and typically including crude characterization and ludicrously improbable situations.

  5. The Harbour Bridge photo was taken when it opened in 1932. Pedestrians had a day to cross the bridge before it was taken over by motor vehicles. The photo of course dived into the space-time continuum and foreshadowed the Aboriginal flag and the helicopter overhead, as well as at least one person from the future.

  7. citizen @ #1256 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 9:14 pm

    The Harbour Bridge photo was taken when it opened in 1932. Pedestrians had a day to cross the bridge before it was taken over by motor vehicles. The photo of course dived into the space-time continuum and foreshadowed the Aboriginal flag and the helicopter overhead, as well as at least one person from the future.

    My parents walked across it that day, not long married. It was, hopefully still is, a bit of a Sydney thing. Like walking the Harbour Tunnel, people in wet suits, umbrellas …

  8. Yeah those photos all have at least one deliberate anachronism. Like the bike lane and street art in the photo that otherwise looks like its from the 30s.

  10. citizen @ #1260 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 9:14 pm

    The Harbour Bridge photo was taken when it opened in 1932. Pedestrians had a day to cross the bridge before it was taken over by motor vehicles. The photo of course dived into the space-time continuum and foreshadowed the Aboriginal flag and the helicopter overhead, as well as at least one person from the future.

    In other words, Photoshopped.

    Like the other photo with the kids sitting in front of an inner city house…with a Banksy painting on the side!?!

  11. Steve777:

    [‘In particular has a deep understanding of economic policy matters, far ahead of mine…’]

    But he needs to get over the election as the moderator said, however hard that is.

  15. A bit of trivia (of which I am sure most are aware?). The four distinctive stone pylons on each corner of the bridge are essentially decorations and not an integral part of the bridge structure.

    I haven’t been on the bridge climb (too expensive) but have been inside the SE pylon years ago where there were displays of the bridge construction and other exhibits. I wonder if this is still open to the public.

  16. Yes, looking closer, that Harbour Bridge picture is photoshopped. I was thrown off / fooled by the Aboriginal flags, the helicopter and the dark guy in sunglasses. Most people look like they’re from the 1930s or 40s. There are overhead cables on both sides, so what is now a traffic lane was a tramway when the base photo was taken.

    There was a march across the Bridge on Sorry Day 2001. I recall that Peter Costello took part. John Howard would have none of it, of course.

  19. ItzaDream:

    Are you familiar with Larkin’s view of marriage – to wit, “Self’s the Man”?

    It’s very cruel yet probably near to the mark.

  20. ” haven’t been on the bridge climb (too expensive) but have been inside the SE pylon years ago where there were displays of the bridge construction and other exhibits. I wonder if this is still open to the public.”

    You are referring to the Pylon Lookout. It closed for a while but is now open to the public.

    More trivia: I worked there during Uni vacations in the early 70s – lift driver, cleaner, ticket seller…

  21. “osmosed”

    Is that a word? If its not it should be and be defined as the absorption of toxic slime .

    Was thinking after a few wines (not necessarily very good thoughts….) that back in the day we used to have the term wRONg in fairly common usage on this blog. Does wREX (for wreck) scan as a disparaging term for an idiot and / or boringly repetitive comment???? 🙂

  22. Steve777 @ #1266 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 9:28 pm

    Yes, looking closer, that Harbour Bridge picture is photoshopped. I was thrown off / fooled by the Aboriginal flags, the helicopter and the dark guy in sunglasses. Most people look like they’re from the 1930s or 40s. There are overhead cables on both sides, so what is now a traffic lane was a tramway when the base photo was taken.

    There was a march across the Bridge on Sorry Day 2001. I recall that Peter Costello took part. John Howard would have none of it, of course.

    Even I remember the trams Steve. And am I correct anyone, there was at the northern end of the bridge, well beyond the pylons, a beautiful stone arch from the east side tramway, taking the trams over the roadway and across to Milson’s Point?

    We marched Sorry Day. Teary eyed beautiful day.

  24. Stephen Spencer@sspencer_63
    6m6 minutes ago
    A smart tabloid editor would be doing a wraparound with pics celebrating the kids and getting all the parents and grandparents to buy and keep the paper. But hey, why pursue new readers when you can keep feeding the prejudices of your dying audience hey @bennyglish?

    Can’t wait for the Oz reports of today’s events.

  28. Mavis:

    The so-called Heart of the Nation would surely be attuned to the tens of thousands of ordinary Australians who marched and gathered today, yes?

    Itza:

    I see. Regardless I think the hording is very cleverly done.

  30. Bushfire Bill @ #1237 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 8:46 pm

    I’m almost getting tired of making this comment but, in the light of the latest blow-up, I would like it noted that I HAVE NOT COMMENTED SINCE VERY EARLY THIS MORNING, and thus have nothing to do with William’s current pissoffedness with his contributors.

    I might make note, however, that where there is trubble on this blog, C@tmomma and Rex always seem to be lurking not too far behind the scenes.

    Eventually, dots need to be joined. Since the election, the great majority of the quality contributors here have disappeared, leaving mostly just trolls and politically correct fanatics from Labor and the Greens.

    Of late, PB reminds me of one of those David Attenborough doccos, set in Africa, where the river dries up, then most of the pools one by one, leaving only a single muddy waterhole to be squabbled over by hungry lions, ravenous crocodiles and starving hippos, all fighting and killing each other over the Serengeti’s fast diminishing resources.

    God help any innocent wilderbeest who dares approach, looking for some modest sustenance.

    I know how you feel BB

  31. Lenore Taylor is stunned at Trump’s rambling incoherence.

    “In most circumstances, presenting information in as intelligible a form as possible is what we are trained for. But the shock I felt hearing half an hour of unfiltered meanderings from the president of the United States made me wonder whether the editing does our readers a disservice.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/sep/20/as-a-foreign-reporter-visiting-the-us-i-was-stunned-by-trumps-press-conference

  32. Confessions:

    I’m not sure it’d be reported in the Oz favourably. It’d probably reported as: “Dem no good children sculking school” – such is their mentality. I’m really impressed by their motivation, reminiscent of the old Vietnam moratorium days.

  34. “Lenore Taylor is stunned at Trump’s rambling incoherence.”

    She sounds completely bewildered by it. Which is not actually a criticism of her.

  35. “Confirming that you have to have a frontal lobotomy if you want to be editor of one of Murdoch’s tabloids.”
    That’s not true. David Pemberthy (who is married to Kate Ellis) was the editor of the DT, and he’s a good guy.

  37. As the Reactionary Authoritarian Conservatives have worked to virtually outlaw strikes, so they are working very hard to coerce the society into having a negative attitude towards demonstrations.

  40. Mavis Davis @ #1282 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 8:01 pm

    Confessions:

    I’m not sure it’d be reported in the Oz favourably. It’d probably reported as: “Dem no good children sculking school” – such is their mentality. I’m really impressed by their motivation, reminiscent of the old Vietnam moratorium days.

    I don’t think today’s climate marches will be reported positively in the Oz. My assumption is that it will be wall to wall screeching about the Swedish teenager, get back to school hectoring for Australian students, and sneering culture war nonsense for anyone else who either took part in today’s marches, or who have expressed support for them. Bonus points if any of those people are in any way loosely connected with the ABC.

  41. imacca:

    [“Lenore Taylor is stunned at Trump’s rambling incoherence.”]

    I take it that she flew to the states with the shire squire. I find it hard for journos to be objective in such circumstances. Arguably the only one who is Peter Hartcher. For the rest of them…? The CPG needs to get off their respective arses, excuse the French.

  42. This is really sad. I have no further knowledge but it looks tragic.
    “In 2009 police believed they had made a breakthrough and applied for DNA samples of a man who had died by suicide two years after Mrs Poll’s murder.

    At the time associates of the man told The Advertiser they believed the man was responsible and the guilt had weighed on his conscience.”

    Can you imagine being so distressed about being accused of being a murderer that you commit suicide?

  45. Can you imagine being so distressed about being accused of being a murderer that you commit suicide?

    Assuming I could bring myself to commit suicide in the first place, yeah, certainly, if I was innocent.

    If I was guilty… not so sure.

  47. Confessions:

    That’s already started, witness the irriot Corman who said their studies will suffer resulting from one half-day of protesting. All power to the young, I say.

  49. This media reaction to the climate protests might seem funny, but it is a serious issue that is a serious cause of the disaster that has been policies in Australia since the Howard ascendency.

    We despreately need an alternative media. I mean serious media.

    The Australian media is probably the most one sided of any in the world, outside full totalitarian regimes.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/20/from-alan-jones-to-the-daily-mail-the-australian-medias-bizarre-reactions-to-the-climate-strike?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other&utm_content=bufferd29f9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

  50. They’re having a go but they’re not getting a go from consumers. SMEs doing it tough:

    “I think if it weren’t for exporting, a lot of businesses wouldn’t be surviving.”

    This is the prevailing feeling for many small retailers, who are hoping stimulus from income tax cuts will lure consumers back to stores amid conditions some say are as bad as during the global financial crisis.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/really-really-tough-small-retailers-say-they-are-facing-gfc-like-conditions-20190917-p52s4b.html

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