Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. Mavis Davis @ #1199 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 7:33 pm

    Quasar:

    [‘I attended the Sydney rally today and can vouch for elderly people with walking sticks to mum’s pushing prams.’]

    Good on them, though due to my youthfulness, I very much doubt I’ll ever be affected. That’s the problem as I see it. Essentially it can be reduced that, I think?

    Living long enough to experience grand-kids is the only thing that holds us together, as a species. Parents are one thing, you need them, but the grand-parent grand-child relationship is the one that binds us together. Binds the dimming past to the uncertain future. The young ones don’t even need to be your children’s children. Love them. Teach them. Nurture them.

  2. The ABC has a good pictorial coverage of the climate rallies across Australia.

    Then the LNP speaks:

    Environment Minister Sussan Ley said if the purpose of the protest was to draw Government attention to climate change “I can assure everyone that our attention is already there”.

    “We are taking real and coordinated global action on climate change, while ensuring our economy remains strong,” she said in a statement.

    In a statement, Education Minister Dan Tehan drew a link between the global strike movement and flagging test results around the country.

    “The true test of the protesters’ commitment would be how many turned up for a protest held on a Saturday afternoon,” he said.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-20/school-strike-for-climate-draws-thousands-to-australian-rallies/11531612

  3. Late Riser @ #1204 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 7:41 pm

    Mavis Davis @ #1199 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 7:33 pm

    Quasar:

    [‘I attended the Sydney rally today and can vouch for elderly people with walking sticks to mum’s pushing prams.’]

    Good on them, though due to my youthfulness, I very much doubt I’ll ever be affected. That’s the problem as I see it. Essentially it can be reduced that, I think?

    Living long enough to experience grand-kids is the only thing that holds us together, as a species. Parents are one thing, you need them, but the grand-parent grand-child relationship is the one that binds us together. Binds the dimming past to the uncertain future. The young ones don’t even need to be your children’s children. Love them. Teach them. Nurture them.

    Beautifully put L R.

    Taking a little sideway step, on teaching, and the intimacy of that transfer of knowledge from the older to the younger, the opening of minds, I enjoyed last night’s Big Ideas on what makes great teaching and what makes great schools.

  4. Watch your kittnes closely C@t. Else the Sea Eagles swoop and eat them.

    The real action this weekend is South Africa v All Blacks. Shapes as a brute of a game.

  5. @qldaah

    The Queensland LNP’s Jarrod Bleijie demands all children be detained or suspended for attending #ClimateStrike. Jarrod expects to be the Qld education minister after the next state election. #auspol #qldpol

  6. “I tell you one thing, I’m having kittens watching the football tonight!”

    I follow the NRL a little bit. My hierarchy of support is:
    Canterbury Bulldogs –> whoever’s playing the Cronulla Sharks (added since Scmmo became PM) –> whoever’s playing Manly.

    So looking good tonight at this stage.

  7. Steve777 @ #1217 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 8:16 pm

    “…and the Buffoon in Chief who was the first to triumphantly withdraw from the Paris Agreement.”

    So say the big funders and backers of the Coalition, the IPA, Voice of Freedom (of Corporations from tax, regulation, laws on environment…). It’s number 3 on their latest wish list:

    https://ipa.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/IPA-Research-20-Policies-to-Fix-Australia.pdf

    It’s number 3 on their latest wish list

    In between the Repeal of Section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act coming in at Number 2, but beating the Installation of a Flat Income Tax into 4th.

  8. “.Jack Houghton (Sky Digital Editor) calls the strikers “completely economically illiterate”.”

    So he thinks they have bright futures in the Liberal Party then??

  9. The Queensland LNP’s Jarrod Bleijie demands all children be detained or suspended for attending #ClimateStrike.

    All LNP MPs need to produce their school attendance records and reports prior to the next election.

  10. “The Queensland LNP’s Jarrod Bleijie demands all children be detained or suspended for attending #ClimateStrike.”

    The instincts of many of those on the right are profoundly authoritarian and undemocratic. The “Liberal” party contains the seeds of, if not Fascism (yet), then certainly a future authoritarian right wing regime. Australia’s Bolsonaro, Duterte or Orban won’t come from One Nation or some other fringe ratbag outfit. He (and it will be a he) will arise in the “Liberal” party or its successor.

  11. “The Queensland LNP’s Jarrod Bleijie demands all children be detained or suspended for attending #ClimateStrike.”

    Given a lot of these people vote, or will be voting in the next 2-3 years, you wonder why people like this fwark up and then double down?

    The gene pool of the LNP is a pretty shallow , toxic and murky place. Hmmm…much like the Menindie Lakes……

  12. “A subeditor somewhere strikes a blow for the forces of goodness and light.”

    That picture was in the Guardian. It must have been deliberate.

    Maybe it’s Viking Scumo, who terrorises the poor, the powerless, the unemployed, the disabled, the sick… all the more for his rich mates.

    Reverse Robin Hood.

  13. LOL! From the editor of the Daily Telegraph.

    Stephen Spencer@sspencer_63
    2m2 minutes ago
    Newspapers: all our readers are old, advertisers are leaving us, how do we attract younger readers?
    Newspaper editor: I got this.

    :large

  14. Odd that it is OK for vested interests to spend huge amounts of money (that comes from consumers of their products) on lobbying and donations, gaining exclusive access to the executive (who spend their publicly paid time listening to them), yet the public are not allowed to express their democratic voice, in their hundreds of thousands, by peaceful protest.

    What sort of democracy do the LNP want Australia to be?

    Do these quasi fascists forget all the important advances in our society that have come about, at least partly, through peaceful protest? Or is that just an inconvenient fact in their pursuit of total power?

    Shame on you Jarrod.

  15. BBC has a rolling coverage of climate rallies across the globe, as countries move into the daytime Friday time zone. “Our live coverage lasts all day, marking protests from Pacific islands to LA”.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-49753710

    CNN is also doing a running commentary, with Australia featuring prominently due to its time zone location.

    https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/global-climate-strike-2019/index.html

    Hope Morrison feels just a bit uncomfortable at his Trump dinner after seeing how many people in Australia took part.

  16. William Bowe says:
    Friday, September 20, 2019 at 6:24 pm

    Just the other day, the ACT Labor government announced it would “phase out natural gas, electrify its bus fleets and public school buildings, and introduce incentives for drivers who buy electric cars”. Apparently, the ACT is “due to achieve its target of 100% renewable-generated electricity on 1 October”. Perhaps Rex is right though, and Labor in the ACT should abandon any effort to promote itself to environmentally concerned voters. That way he can start dumping shit on them for not knowing how to win an election after they get voted out next year.

    Well said, William.

  17. I’m almost getting tired of making this comment but, in the light of the latest blow-up, I would like it noted that I HAVE NOT COMMENTED SINCE VERY EARLY THIS MORNING, and thus have nothing to do with William’s current pissoffedness with his contributors.

    I might make note, however, that where there is trubble on this blog, C@tmomma and Rex always seem to be lurking not too far behind the scenes.

    Eventually, dots need to be joined. Since the election, the great majority of the quality contributors here have disappeared, leaving mostly just trolls and politically correct fanatics from Labor and the Greens.

    Of late, PB reminds me of one of those David Attenborough doccos, set in Africa, where the river dries up, then most of the pools one by one, leaving only a single muddy waterhole to be squabbled over by hungry lions, ravenous crocodiles and starving hippos, all fighting and killing each other over the Serengeti’s fast diminishing resources.

    God help any innocent wilderbeest who dares approach, looking for some modest sustenance.

  18. Funny, I don’t recall any criticisms of the anti-Carbon tax ralleys by the usual suspects. No doudt they thought that those protestors were exercising their democratic rights. No 2,000 word essays for those at the Convoy of Concern. And no ugly signs accusing the PM being a practitioner of dark arts who had to be ditched.

    Hypocrites.

  19. ItzaDream @ #1235 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 6:46 pm

    Sydney City building sites’ hoardings have compulsory decorative displays, either old pictures of Sydney or some contemporary Art. So I’m walking through the X, and these caught my eye. Take your time with them. There’s lots to see.

    I’ll out one up, see how it goes.

    https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-SoiC-17TWJ0/XYSsUIqCSQI/AAAAAAAAGyg/slQTqAPFVxIWFzC_e6QUnh7I6W51puPtQCLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/fullsizeoutput_33b5.jpeg

    When was that one taken? I’m noting the 2 Aboriginal flags atop the bridge.

  20. Confessions @ #1230 Friday, September 20th, 2019 – 8:37 pm

    LOL! From the editor of the Daily Telegraph.

    Stephen Spencer@sspencer_63
    2m2 minutes ago
    Newspapers: all our readers are old, advertisers are leaving us, how do we attract younger readers?
    Newspaper editor: I got this.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>:large

    Confirming that you have to have a frontal lobotomy if you want to be editor of one of Murdoch’s tabloids.

  21. “What sort of democracy do the LNP want Australia to be?”

    Many don’t seem to believe in democracy. As I said above, there is a profoundly authoritarian streak running through the LNP.

    Do these quasi fascists forget all the important advances in our society that have come about, at least partly, through peaceful protest? Or is that just an inconvenient fact in their pursuit of total power?

    It’s an inconvenient fact. Media magnates and mining billionaires don’t march in the streets – they don’t have to. They can unwind the fruits of two centuries of peaceful protest through money and access to power.

  22. Australia’s Bolsonaro, Duterte or Orban won’t come from One Nation or some other fringe ratbag outfit. He (and it will be a he) will arise in the “Liberal” party or its successor.

    The Queensland branch, unless I miss my guess.

  23. ‘You are a true gentleman, Mavis. .’

    I’m saying only this because it’s true, following the almost unprecedented criticism by dear leader, whom today seems to be losing the plot. I mean, old briefly should not have been put down in that way even though he has a tendency to be boring, repetitive. I do hope he comes back – a true Labor warrior.

  24. “When was that one taken? I’m noting the 2 Aboriginal flags atop the bridge.”

    Probably Sorry Day May 29, 2001. Labor was in power in NSW at the time.

  25. It comes to something when the editor of a major metropolitan daily newspaper has dealt themselves so completely out of the conversation.

  26. I have over the years found Briefly’s posts interesting and informative. In particular has a deep understanding of economic policy matters, far ahead of mine, and is a passionate warrior for Labor. He does have a bit of a bee in his bonnet about the Greens and has become a little obsessive lately. He’s been accused of pessimism, but when things aren’t looking good that’s the logical outlook. I hope he returns soon.

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