Click on the image at the bottom of the post and you will see an updated account of the electorates visited by the leaders during the campaign, more or less (there is an element of subjectivity as to what constitutes a visit). One of the salient points to emerge is the rather intensive focus on Tasmania, which remarkably played host to both leaders yesterday. Scott Morrison has spent three days over two visits – exactly equal to his record for Victoria, where he has targeted the five Liberal-held seats on margins of up to 6.4%, but not wasted effort on Dunkley, which is Liberal-held but notionally Labor. Bill Shorten’s visit to the state was likewise his second, but so far he’s spent two days in the state to Morrison’s three.
Western Australia also logged up some points this week, but this is largely due to the debate having been held there on Monday, and the practicality of hanging around afterwards given the distance involved. Nonetheless, it is notable that Morrison spent fully three days campaigning their compared with Shorten’s two, and that Morrison felt it worth his while to conduct a street walk in the electorate of Canning, situated well up the pendulum at 6.8%.
Bill Shorten is overdue for a visit to New South Wales, where he hasn’t been since he spent the first three full days of the campaign in Sydney. Nonetheless, the prize for the most targeted seat of the campaign so far would appear to be the Sydney seat of Reid, which has been visited three times by Scott Morrison, most recently on Sunday, and was also visited by Shorten on each of his three days in Sydney.
And while you’re about, note also the other new post below this one: episode three of Seat du Jour, covering the Melbourne seat of La Trobe.
Are the greens really here to help the environment or just in bed with libs
William,
A question if I may.
How well do disendordorsed major Party members usually poll at the subsequent election?
Terrigal is an older, well-heeled part of Gosford. It explains its consistent voting pattens.
citizen @ #106 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 8:30 am
Yep they’ll just change into yellow t shirts.great multi taskers are the libs n fibs.
Darn,
There are two campaigns. The Wholsesale Campaign being fought in the MSM and social media which is all about bootstrapping issues, earnest over analysis, gotcha moments and opinionated discourse on the merits of each party’s campaign. Then there is the local on the ground campaign where voters that are only marginally interested in the horse race type analysis live and get on with their life.
This Election will be won at local level.
Pauline Hanson got elected in Oxley in 1996 in spite of being disendorsed. She was still on the ballot paper as a Liberal. Here notoriety helped her, with many in the Liberal base agreeing with her.
So those disendorsed Liberal candidates in winnable seats may yet get get into parliament. They are saying what many Liberals, including some who get elected, really think.
Party members who nominate for preselection knowing full well what they have said/done/posted in the past so their own party a huge disservice.
Lyons was unlikely to go Liberal but the Liberal candidate has denied the opportunity of a ‘cleanskin’ candidate from their own party having a chance to run.
I doubt she will be the last major party candidate to be disendorsed or resign during this campaign. One likely today before the debate.
fess,
That’s why I’m asking the question.
Looking at where the leaders have travelled to over the last few weeks, I wish I knew where they get their energy from. Travelling is exhausting without even considering the work they’re doing -talking to people as if they were actually interested, strategising, standing in front of cameras making shit up, walking walking walking.
I wouldn’t be getting out of bed by day 4.
GG
Yes that’s why for instance a seat like Chisholm is illustrative. Marginal on the national stage but locally Gladys Liu is gone for all money. Her disappearance from the public eye says it all.
Federal election 2019: Facebook page linked to Clive Palmer party candidate Tony Hanley mocked women, Muslims before deletion
Confessions @ #139 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 8:54 am
Too late to cancel the caterers better donate all the sangers to the poor and homeless.Yeh right sure thing,as if we give a damn about those peasants.
Steve,
Hanson was helped because, like Whelan will, she had “Liberal” next to her name on teh ballot paper.
Hanson rode in on the back of a massive swing to the Libs as Howard came to power. There’s not much evidence of anything like that happening around the joint this election.
Good Morning
Great news Qld Labor.
Glad to see the Black Finch winning over the special interests agenda.
For a truth telling on special interests and their danger to democracy I recommend watching Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s press conference in full about AG Barr on YouTube.
The proliferation of these far-right fringe parties (PHON, Anning, UAP) is making Cory Bernardi’s party look relatively normal by comparison.
‘Absolute genius.’
Agree. Cartoon of the campaign.
And even more profound when you factor in Labor’s loss on May 18.
If only Labor had been able to cut through as effectively as Pope does.
Greensborough Growler says:
Friday, May 3, 2019 at 9:01 am
I would have thought the relevant document was the nomination form for the candidate.
That says she’s the Liberal Party candidate and as a result the ballot paper will say the same.
Money from the AEC for votes received by a Party’s candidate is sent to Party, so I wouldn’t expect it to be any different here.
Hanson won Oxley in a 1996 off a double-digit swing, far greater than the national swing to the LNP.
Clearly her viewpoints found traction in the suburbs of Queensland, and more so than a “generic” Liberal candidate.
I’ve lived in Brisbane before. They’re that type of people.
autocrat
Even worse for USA President primary and general election candidates.
There was a part in West Wing where Alan Alda as Republican nominee got a broken hand from handshaking and then had to wear a splint everywhere – but never in public as it would reflect poorly on his age !
And the last election with Trump, Clinton and Sanders – I don’t know how they physically did it for so long
Kayjay
My four sons are all voting Labor.
One is a DSP, one a builder, one a Policeman and the youngest a second year Law student.
They range from 32-21 years of age.
Why, Labor?
Two words, CLIMATE CHANGE.
They want action to start happening yesterday and believe the ALP offer the only option to legislate and get things rolling.
I suggest we will be surprised at what the young are going to do at this election, they will vote for their future
Something a lot of us oldies aren’t doing.
The enrolment of the young to vote in this election is huge.
The beneficiaries will be Labor and the Greens.
The young will herald a change of government, no doubt about it in my mind.
Ven @ #140 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 8:54 am
Ven, the State seat of Terrigal encompasses all the areas of the lower Central Coast that are opposite Palm Beach and up the coast, on the coast. So a lot of the multi-million dollar houses are located here, like this one, for example, which is down the road and around the corner from my place:
https://www.domain.com.au/21-the-scenic-road-killcare-heights-nsw-2257-2014980850?utm_source=smh-mobile&utm_medium=link&utm_content=position1&utm_campaign=masthead_featured_listings&utm_term=2014980850
I am living here because my parents moved here in the 70s and we know people that rent a house to us on very favorable terms, but generally you have to be wealthy to live in this part of the electorate. So it’s a Liberal NSW State seat.
On the other hand, Robertson encompasses a far wider area and is made up of a couple of the Labor NSW State seats, so we have a better chance at success. 🙂
Terrigal is a beachside suburb and resort about 12 km East of Gosford on the NSW Central Coast. Terrigal and nearby beachside suburbs bear a strong resemblance to Sydney’s Northern beaches (Bronwyn Bishop, Tony Abbott) and Cronulla (Scott Morrison). I would expect it to be solid “Liberal” territory.
Straws in the wind and/or signs of desperation in the West newspaper?…………..
Theme 1………Labor is facing internal divisions over its inability to cost its climate change policy “Labor at war”………
Theme 2…….One of WA’s most influential unions want to teach teenagers ……….how to strike.
Theme 3……..Labor MP for Perth (Patrick Gorman) – from a question he was asked at pre-selection – accuses the party of not being family friendly.
Now, about Theme 1 and 2 I know nothing but I live in the Perth electorate and Patrick Gorman has been out and about for months prior to this election and the comment above from him is taken totally out of content. I far as I can see he is doing all he can to get Labor and himself re-elected.
As a small fact check for Theme 3, I can put this down to utter, pathetic, continued trash journalism from the West. So far, the hack Grayden, the Lib candidate, has been totally invisible and were it not for the fact that old Bill Grayden (his dad I think) was a Liberal minister years ago in the State government, his name would not be known at all. At best, the current Grayden is a token candidate from the Libs.
Shorten presser now.
Defending not dumping Creasey.
mundo @ #166 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 9:17 am
Can you pee off for the rest of the campaign, mundo!?! Your posts have no basis in a reality other than inside your twisted mind.
“A culture of contemporary extremism”.
Nicely put by Dan Andrews
Pre-poll
The ACP are handing out htv pamphlets claiming they’ll keep the polliticians honest.
When voters refuse their pamphlet they offer the Libs.
Eeyore’s logged in.
D @ #176 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 9:23 am
Cory Bernardi is still a Liberal at heart.
“Too late to cancel the caterers better donate all the sangers to the poor and homeless.”
What? Never! Give them to “self-funded” retirees and corporate executives.
One of our friends was ’round at the house late yesterday.
She told us she intended to vote for UAP because she had just seen one of Palmer’s ads. She liked it because it was brightly colored and sounded positive. Other than that, she knows nothing about Palmer, except that he’s rich and can’t have made all that money by being an idiot.
We are still not sure if she was serious. Truly… she might do it.
Tricot,
It all sounds a little threadbare as far as attacks on Labor go.
Wow. 30 seconds to destroy jobs for the boys narrative.
Impressive from Mr Shorten.
“Cory Bernardi is still a Liberal at heart.”
So is Pauline Hanson.
Clive Palmer is a Palmist at heart but I think he’s running interference for those he wants to win, harvesting and directing preferences.
@Steve777
The difference between now and then is social media
Shorten talking about the libs loving “top end of town rent seekers”. Good line
Big difference in energy from Shorten this week. He seems to have found his energy and mojo. Hopefully another good performance at the debate tonight and then a rails run to the finish line.
C@tie
Er, no.
But I’ll read fewer Earlwood posts ok?
Red13 @ #170 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 9:18 am
I like your confidence -which I share. I am mildly dismayed at the MSM.
I think I had better do some restorative lawn mowing to recapture my optimistic outlook.
😇😵
‘“top end of town rent seekers”
Except the average punter has no idea what ‘rent seeker’ means….
Greensborough Growler says:
Friday, May 3, 2019 at 9:01 am
Someone raised the question of whether the $2 per vote will now go to Whelan rather than the Liberal Party now she has been disendorsed. Does anyone have the answer?
I asked the question and I have not seen an answer.
C@t
You have to laugh!
If the Coalition win it will be by riding a tidal wave of bullshit.
Regrading disendorsed candidates, surely the AEC has plenty of time to print up new ballots with party removed ?
Mundo,
Just too over the top. You are not serious.
A concern troll if ever I saw one.
Give it a biscuit mate!
Voting has already started Vogon….
While they could get it done for most voters, I’d like to hope that all voters vote on the same ballot!
Can the AEC offer different ballot papers for those pre-polling and voting on election day?
Confessions says:
Friday, May 3, 2019 at 9:16 am
The proliferation of these far-right fringe parties (PHON, Anning, UAP) is making Cory Bernardi’s party look relatively normal by comparison.
Fess, when they are in the same place, such as a pre-poll centre, they all huddle together with the Libs. They are Lib-clones. They believe in the same kind of things and have the same basic objectives, which are to defeat Labor and oppose change. They fear the future.
Some are more nativist and more aggro-nationalist/ supremacist than others. But they’re all basically hewn from the same log.
I’m still thinking through my encounter yesterday with the Young Nazi, campaigning for ON; schmoozing with the Libs, campaigning on bigotry. I really think Australians are much better than this. I certainly hope so.
More filth from the UAP…
Apparently, as a teenager Shorten was a creditable long distance runner. He would know the benefits of letting your opponent streak ahead, thinking they’re winning. In the case of a close race, he would know about demoralizing that opponent by staying within range, forcing them to be always looking over their shoulder, making them nervous and more likely to panic and make mistakes, and then overtaking them towards the end of the race.
Grime @ #153 Friday, May 3rd, 2019 – 9:06 am
Just shows that they are very committed to their principles /sarcasm 🙂
Scott Morrison is about to introduce the Liberal Party theme song for this election. Tune and words:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE
(Another one bites the dust – apologies to Queen)