BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its steady course overall, but with signs of the Greens losing ground.

Another fairly uneventful week in the world of BludgerTrack, which has only nudged 0.1% in favour of Labor on two-party preferred and one on the seat projection (the gain being in New South Wales), despite their one-point improvements in the week’s Newspoll and Essential Research polls. If there’s anything worth noting, it’s that the Greens have fallen below 9%, and One Nation are back up after a recent dip. Both pollsters also produced new numbers for the leadership trends, the only observable movement on which is that Scott Morrison’s net approval is slightly improving, for no immediately obvious reason. Full results through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,561 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor”

Comments Page 38 of 52
1 37 38 39 52
  1. Rex Douglas @ #1832 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 10:34 am

    With regard to media laws and the ability of social media platforms to live stream violence, the incoming PM Shorten has questions to answer.

    You’re not joking, are you!?!

    I feel sorry for you, Rex Douglas. That you have let some, probably, principled positions make you into someone who is as bitter and twisted against the Labor Party, in general, absent your mealy-mouthed support for Dan Andrews when it suits you, as Gerard Hendersen is from the other end of the political spectrum. And nath is against Bill Shorten in particular.

    Is that what gets you up in the mornings? The chance and opportunity provided to you here by Mr Bowe, to spend your days attempting to put a spanner in the works of the federal Labor Party?

    Maybe if you were not continually exposed as pedaling fake views then the majority here could take what you have to contribute more seriously, but today’s effort wrt Coal policy, as Dandy Murray, an expert in the field, has specifically and correctly outlined, is just the latest in a long, long line of similar efforts by you.

    I feel enormous pity for people like you, I really do. No amount of logic, reason or facts will sway you from your simplistic position. I just can’t understand it at a time when people in this country should be forgetting our differences and coming together as one, you came here today to perpetuate your divisive bs. I can only shake my head and wonder why? You know your nirvana is practically impossible, yet you constantly perpetuate the lie. I ask again, why?

    Mr Bowe can delete this comment if he wants. I just had to get that off my chest.

    And, as zoomster pointed out, after the misogyny you initially directed towards Emma Husar, there is no way you will ever be getting an apology from me.

  2. The Law of Unintended Consequences has been hovering in my mind lately.
    The ‘invention’ of the internet is an example.

  3. jenauthor @ #1851 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 10:48 am

    Hear Hear Andy Murray.

    The problem with blind ideologies are simply that – they’re blind to reality.

    This has always been my beef with Greens’ methods (or instruction as to lack of method). Pragmatic they are not. They seem to think that they can simply wipe a slate clean and start again, and bugger all those (which is 99% of the population) who would have their world turned upside down.

    They have much in common with r-w ideologues who will die on a hill in order to preserve a 1950s style stasis in that they are against the ‘process’ of change.

    Process needs time and degrees in order to transform. One wants to burn the house down while the other wishes to freeze the world in time.

    The message around burning coal needs to be clear. There’s no middle ground. Propping it up isn’t ‘pragmatic’.
    Communities in coal mining districts need to hear the truth… coal is dead …and a transition to new local industry jobs is a short term policy necessity.

  4. lizzie @ #1831 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 10:33 am

    How to think with ***logic.

    No, sorry, my brain can’t cope with it.

    Not particularly in relation to anybody in particular —

    A helpful scan of my brain taken in 1968

    And after my toxin removal diet just last week –

    Please note the change from chaos to infinity. From inward seeking to outgoing empathy and pussy cats.

    The possible cause of the change – I refer you to the immortal lines of Cocaine Blues which ends

    Come on, you hot heads you listen unto me
    Stay off that whiskey, and let that cocaine be

    This last is for those yet unenlightened. I revolve my thoughts on peace and wonder triggered by Mr. Henderson this morning. I plan on staging a protest aimed at bringing back the horse as a primary means of transportation. I love horses – particularly those whopping big Clydesdales.

    In the meanwhile – peace sister. ☮ 🕊☮🕊☮

  5. This really frustrates me. It is much easier now for law enforcement to do background checks on people, especially via the net etc. The police were told that Tarrant presented red flags for him. It should have been taken seriously.

    I may have recounted this story in past.
    Anyhoo, reminds me of Years ago when I worked in family law.
    It was a minefield in terms of partners who made threats etc.
    Generally you got a feel of what to take seriously or not.
    One particular case, got my feelers up. The husband wasn’t taking the break up to well and he took to calling our office to make threats. I told senior partners who dismissed it as the usual argy bargy
    I insisted that the police had to be told (which funnily enough had a station on opposite corner to my office) as I felt that not only we were at risk, but the partner and her extended family too. This guy was going to act on his threats.

    Anyhoo my superior who was a gentleman said to me that particular day, that if I said it was an issue, he would be in touch with all relevant parties as he trusted my judgment.
    Next morning when arriving for work I found a policeman guarding the entrance. Turns out that night, the guy shot his mother in law and police were looking for him.
    Save to say, my other superiors were surprised as to the turn of events. I was not.

  6. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, March 17, 2019 at 10:55 am

    The message around burning coal needs to be clear. There’s no middle ground. Propping it up isn’t ‘pragmatic’.
    Communities in coal mining districts need to hear the truth… coal is dead …and a transition to new local industry jobs is a short term policy necessity.

    So you criticise Labor and then basically quote their transition position. 😆

  7. LOL Sky News finds one student who didn’t attend Friday’s strike.

    Sky News AustraliaVerified account@SkyNewsAust
    21m21 minutes ago
    Year 12 student Joanne Tran boycotted Friday’s student climate change strike.

    ‘I don’t think a bunch of kids waving around signs who don’t understand what they’re advocating for is the informed debate we need in this country.’

    MORE: https://bit.ly/2TGbwW4 #Outsiders

  8. Some here are equating the Greens with Pol Pot – 99% will have their world turned upside down. In reality, the Greens I know are more concerned about property values in the inner-city areas. That said, the destruction of our environment and the rampant consumerism of the capitalist age will do more than just turn the world upside down for 99%. Australia and all other developed countries want to eat their cake and have it too.

  9. Barney in Cà Mau @ #1863 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:01 am

    Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, March 17, 2019 at 10:55 am

    The message around burning coal needs to be clear. There’s no middle ground. Propping it up isn’t ‘pragmatic’.
    Communities in coal mining districts need to hear the truth… coal is dead …and a transition to new local industry jobs is a short term policy necessity.

    So you criticise Labor and then basically quote their transition position. 😆

    Propping coal up isn’t the right policy.

    “There’s a role for coal” ..isn’t the right messaging for these communities.

  10. Rex uses anti-Labor tropes in the same way that others use racist tropes. I’ve said it before. I’ll go on saying it. They summon mistrust, resentment, blame and shame for political reasons. They use techniques borrowed from the RW media and Crazy Branch Campaigners. They are a tropist. That is, they employ canards – distortions, fabrications, falsifications – all the time. They do it for political purposes. Essentially, Rex uses antagonism as a political device. This is skin-head politics – the improvised political street theatre of the idiotic. They are a semi-professional liar.

  11. Finances for the funding of something resembling a living wage is available by requesting large multinationals, particularly in the mining industry pay something resembling an accurate assessed taxation rate.
    At the moment the multinationals are circumventing taxation legislation to avoid paying any tax.
    Remind the multinationals that they have mining leases which should be terminated for failure to pay tax.
    The multinationals will screan blue murder. Call their bluff.
    The multinationals will not give up their garden of eden for anything, including having them pay tax.
    The multinationals are falling over themselves to get a foothold in Australia. Let competition for the right to conduct business in Australia determine who does business.
    Demand and legislate the tax obligations.
    Not one of the existing leasees will leave these shores.

  12. Barney in Cà Mau @ #1850 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 10:50 am

    Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, March 17, 2019 at 10:37 am

    I want to see Bill Shorten rule out taxpayer money being used to prop up existing coal fired power stations.

    You know that will never happen.

    Why? Because it would make you happy! 😆

    Rex is only happy when he is miserable.

  13. Confessions @ #1862 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:01 am

    LOL Sky News finds one student who didn’t attend Friday’s strike.

    Sky News AustraliaVerified account@SkyNewsAust
    21m21 minutes ago
    Year 12 student Joanne Tran boycotted Friday’s student climate change strike.

    ‘I don’t think a bunch of kids waving around signs who don’t understand what they’re advocating for is the informed debate we need in this country.’

    MORE: https://bit.ly/2TGbwW4 #Outsiders

    Must be one of Rex’s children 🙂

  14. Sceptic

    Looking at footage of Tarrant in court, he appears to be a steroid user.

    If you look at any group of supremacists of any colour, they all seem like that. Heavy muscled-up and angry (I won’t say ‘toned’). He used to be a fitness coach. That adds up, to me.

    If he goes to prison, withdraw his medication.

  15. Player One @ #1874 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:09 am

    Rex Douglas @ #1861 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:01 am

    Goll @ #1857 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 10:52 am

    Rex
    You have little faith in youth. Your loss.

    I’m not sure we need to foist the views of white supremacists onto school kids.

    Your first reaction is always to ban stuff, isn’t it? Instead of actually dealing with it.

    If kids come across that sort of stuff then it can be addressed by parents.

    I’m not sure that directing kids to that stuff is the right approach.

  16. Ah, the circle is complete Grasshopper!

    Confucius says, He who does not listen, will forever be trapped at the beginning.

    Apologies to Confucius. 🙂

  17. I’m in awe of Rex’s debating style this morning.. He’s just so clever.

    So clever he’s approaching Malcolm T’s level’s of “cleverness.”

    I’m out for the day.

  18. simon holmes à court
    ‏@simonahac
    9h9 hours ago

    beware the anning “dead cat” distraction! he’s a nobody with no chance of re-election.

    bigger fish such as @ScottMorrisonMP, @PeterDutton_MP & @PaulineHansonOz — and their media enablers — have so much more to answer for.

    #racism won’t leave parliament when anning goes.

    SHAC gets it.

  19. Informed debate on Climate Change is simple.

    1. Scientists say Climate Change is happening and we must do something.
    2. Economists say put a price on carbon- it is the most efficient and cheapest way to go.

    That’s it….Gillard duly noted the above and acted.
    And it worked.

  20. Player One @ #1875 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:11 am

    Confessions @ #1862 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:01 am

    LOL Sky News finds one student who didn’t attend Friday’s strike.

    Sky News AustraliaVerified account@SkyNewsAust
    21m21 minutes ago
    Year 12 student Joanne Tran boycotted Friday’s student climate change strike.

    ‘I don’t think a bunch of kids waving around signs who don’t understand what they’re advocating for is the informed debate we need in this country.’

    MORE: https://bit.ly/2TGbwW4 #Outsiders

    Must be one of Rex’s children 🙂

    Just my opinion, but a climate change rally is indeed a worthy community learning experience to direct kids to.

  21. Rex
    No one mentioned foistering white supremacy on youth except you.
    I mentioned rallies and protests.
    You have little faith in the ability of youth to determine what is good and bad.
    Some make bad decisions and say bad things. You Rex, do it regularly.
    Our society is tolerant of exceptions like yourself for example.

  22. There is a great book by a guy called Sam Fussell called “Muscle” in which he explains how he became a body-builder because of low self-esteem. The muscle was like armour he used to protect his ego. I think it’s a very common phenomena.

  23. Goll @ #1887 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:16 am

    Rex
    No one mentioned foistering white supremacy on youth except you.
    I mentioned rallies and protests.
    You have little faith in the ability of youth to determine what is good and bad.
    Some make bad decisions and say bad things. You Rex, do it regularly.
    Our society is tolerant of exceptions like yourself for example.

    Your earlier quote..

    “School students should be taken out of school to attend rallies and protests in just the same way they attend any excursion. It is a life skill.”

    I simply questioned that proposition in relation to a white supremacist rally.

  24. Sydney:
    Chance of any rain: 100%
    42.8mm rain since 9am in Sydney.

    The reason why we need to focus on likes of Anning:

    Rick Morton
    ‏Verified account @SquigglyRick
    12m12 minutes ago

    Wasn’t the first nor the last, but I wrote about Fraser Anning speaking at a neo-Nazi rally in October last year. His media “advisor” – a neo-Nazi thug himself – then made threats against me.

  25. Player One @ #1896 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:25 am

    Rex Douglas @ #1890 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:22 am

    I simply questioned that proposition in relation to a white supremacist rally.

    Trying to hide this stuff from them is a good way to ensure they will get suckered by it when they do eventually get exposed to it.

    Sunlight is a pretty good disinfectant.

    I never suggested ‘hiding’ that stuff from kids.

    I just questioned the proposition of proactively ‘taking kids on an excursion’ …to a white supremacist rally.

    If and when kids discover that stuff, then parents will no doubt address it.

  26. I had to attend a body building contest for work, I was involved in drug testing.

    It’s will go down as one of the weirdest experiences of my life.

    I have never seen so much vanity in one place, there was a mirror in the waiting room and all one guy could do was stare at his reflection and flex his muscles.

    Narcissist would have been invisibly in this crowd. 🙂

  27. Rex Douglas @ #1895 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 11:29 am

    I never suggested ‘hiding’ that stuff from kids.

    I just questioned the proposition of proactively ‘taking kids on an excursion’ …to a white supremacist rally.

    If and when kids discover that stuff, then parents will no doubt address it.

    Sure Rex. Keep back-pedalling. It’s what you do best.

  28. Good Morning

    From Insiders it was good to see Newscorp talking about A Labor Green NSW government.

    The NSW right is going to have to learn the Greens are not evil.

    That will probably make national politics on the left more civil too.

    —————————————-
    Morrison presser.

    One Comment. Fraser Anning should face the full force of the law.

Comments Page 38 of 52
1 37 38 39 52

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *