There haven’t been any new polls this week, so the headline to this post isn’t news as such – the point is that a new thread is needed, and this is it. Developments worth noting:
• We do have one new poll, but it was privately conducted and so doesn’t count as canonical so far as BludgerTrack is concerned. The poll in question was conducted by uComms/ReachTEL for Greenpeace last Wednesday from a sample of 2134, and has primary votes of Coalition 38.8%, Labor 36.7%, Greens 9.7% and One Nation 6.1%. A 53-47 two-party split is reported based on respondent-allocated preferences, but it would actually have been around 51.5-48.5 based on preferences from 2016. The poll also features attitudinal questions on carbon emissions and government priorities, which you can read all about here.
• The Greens have landed a high-profile candidate in Julian Burnside, human rights lawyer and refugee advocate, to run against Josh Frydenberg in the normally blue-ribbon Melbourne seat of Kooyong. This further complicates a contest that already featured independent hopeful Oliver Yates, former Liberal Party member and chief executive of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.
• The Liberal preselection to choose a successor to Julie Bishop in Curtin will be determined by a vote of 60 delegates on Sunday. Initial reports suggested the front-runners were Celia Hammond, former vice-chancellor of Notre Dame University, and Erin Watson-Lynn, director of Asialink Diplomacy at the University of Melbourne, which some interpreted as a proxy battle between bitter rivals Mathias Cormann and Julie Bishop. However, both have hit heavy weather over the past week, with concerns raised over Hammond’s social conservatism and Watson-Lynn’s past tweets critical of the Liberal Party. Andrew Tillett of the Financial Review reports that some within the party believe a third nominee, Aurizon manager Anna Dartnell, could skate through the middle.
• Tom Richardson of InDaily reports moderate faction efforts to install a male candidate – James Stevens, chief-of-staff to Premier Steve Marshall – in Christopher Pyne’s seat of Sturt are prompting a slew of conservative-aligned women to nominate against him. These include Deepa Mathew, a manager at the Commonwealth Bank and state candidate for Enfield last year; Joanna Andrew, a partner with law firm Mellor Olsson; and Jocelyn Sutcliffe, a lawyer with Tindall Gask Bentley. However, Stevens remains the “overwhelming favourite”.
Fees I’m not sure what we have at present.
Here are the votes: Celia Hammond 51, Anna Dartnell 28, Andres Timmermanis 1, Karen Caddy 1, Erin Watson-Lynn 1.
Was Erin Watson-Lynn Bishops choice [reading between the lines] ? One vote. That’s going to cost the Liberals at least half a Million in campaign funding for marginals if Bishop has anything to do with it.
Just working from memory, but I think the Notre Dame University was started by the right wing forces in the Catholic Church in Australia (read Pell et al) because the Australian Catholic University (which I think is essentially a federation of a lot of Catholic institutions with a long history like teachers colleges and colleges of nursing and now other branches) was considered too left wing for their view of Catholic orthodoxy (which involves ditching a whole lot of the advances made at the Vatican II Council under Pope John XXIII)
A few frames on from the earlier NSW Liberal launch with the unwanted guest..
He may well have done all he could to get the club to be open to all, we will never know as he didn’t speak publicly about what he’d done.
Personally, my experience is that white men of privilege are very adept at hanging onto that privilege, and unwilling to let it go unless they absolutely have to.
My guess is that had this not come out at all Burnside would still be a member of the Savage Club, still attending its events, maybe inviting his wife along after the 4.30pm curfew time when women are allowed, and not doing much at all publicly to get the club to change its membership rules.
sprocket_ @ #2581 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 5:23 pm
Isn’t she just a “loyal girl”. Loyalty is a fine principle but not when it’s the only one.
Wren’s week
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/wrens-week-australias-recession-refugee-baiting-and-labour-day,12454
*edit*
thanks Player One – that’s a stupid answer. but it perfectly exemplifies the type of public opinion that drove him to quit. -a.v.
The Hammond quaddie:
1. No abortion choice
2. No sex before marriage
3. No contraception except for the Vatican Roulette, as rubber-stamped by Pell.
4. No same sex marriage.
EVERYTHING ELSE IS OK!
It is good to see that, when it comes to patriarchal institutions, Burnside has finally found some #metoo moral fibre and quit.
It only took 40 years.
But better late than never.
You get zero points for working out who owns the legs behind the Prime Minister’s whiteboard.
Lismore would have to fall if ALP is going to get minority/majority
WWP:
Please take a breath and calm down.
Jeez when I said earlier mentioning Burnside’s name is a serious trigger for some people I wasn’t wrong! 😆
The London Savages have had various kings and princes in their membership and produced a Masonic sapling too.
Monarchist, elitist, club for good chaps… membership by invitation…affiliated to similar clubs spread all around the remnants of the British Empire…a living/breathing connection with the 19th century…to Lib-Nursery Land….
What on earth is Morrison planning to do to Berejiklian’s ear?
Enough about Burnside! @ #2404 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 4:03 pm
Well said!
I have been following Fraser Anning’s new party, Fraser Annings National Conservative Party . So I am predicting, if they run candidates in the Senate in every state, this party will win at least 2% of the vote nationally, maybe more.
Also I am on Gab (some would call Nazi Twitter) following all these, what you call alt-right types, Fraser Anning has really electrified this whole scene. While they a small minority, there are plenty of people who want to return to the White Australia Policy, initiate a second stolen generation, removal Aboriginals from remote communities and resettle them in bigger towns.
IMO those two seat polls are worth 100% of zip.
Enjoyed some night tennis at Badgingarra ( a dot on map in WA’s Midwest) last night. If only the friendly people there had known what fate McCormack was tipping for their social activities.
Joke is this region is home to some big wind farms, with plans announced a week or so ago for WA’s biggest collection of turbines just down the road at Dandaragan.
The Tories have no idea how silly their scares are. $100 lamb roast anyone?
Ah conflating historic men only clubs with sexual assault, classy and insightful. Well it tells us a lot about you. Have a great day.
Ipsos, ALP 53/47, thanks
Rossmcg…if there’s one thing in abundance on the Midwest coast it’s wind. It never ceases.
Billy Hughes was a member of the Savage Club while ALP Prime Minister.
briefly:
Not all the Savage Club’s reciprocal clubs exclude women members.
Of course the female only Lyceum Club in Melbourne has just a long a history as the Savage Club.
Tristo….Anning would have to run candidates and staff booths all over the electorate to register even 2%. It would be very surprising if they get to 1%. They will evaporate like a puddle in the breeze.
Briefly
Indeed … tho it was pleasantly balmy last night.
And as a guest of some locals thoroughly enjoyable.
Tennis, barbecue, beer on ice …
Nobody mentioned politics.
As I’ve opined many a time, the Liberal Party membership is even more loony than it’s elected reps. They are simply fringe dwellers. Today’s Curtin preselection shows you that the Libs aren’t going to get a clue after they get a hammering. The loons are going to double down and get even crazier. Moderate voices are either going to flee or be pushed out. The idea that these nutjobs are even capable of doing a Labor in terms of recognising why they were rejected and reforming themselves is almost as delusional as they are.
I don’t know if a socially mature independent of sufficient profile will stand in Curtin, but if there’s one around now is the time to have a crack.
Confessions …that’s right. But membership of an associated club doesn’t create reciprocal membership of as such. It creates income from travellers that belong to associated bodies.
briefly
says:
I wonder how many members with First Nations heritage belong to the Savages. How many Indian, African and Chinese-heritage members do they have?
The Savages are a colonial relic – elitist, anti-worker, sexist and most likely presumptively racist.
_______________________________________________
The Shanghai Savage Club, clearly part of a white supremacist network according to Briefly
Put me down for 57/43 anything else would be judgement of my fellow citizens as a joke.
Ive been doorknocking in Warringah this weekend. About a 60% response rate in terms of people opening their doors and talking to us. Less than 5% of those said they would vote Abbott. Many Liberal voters said they couldnt bring themselves to vote for Abbott this time.
WeWantPaul @ #2559 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 6:04 pm
Sorry, the problem is just the opposite. People like Burnside do not represent “us”. They are elites, who completely fail to understand just how far removed from “us” they really are … until they get their noses rubbed in it, as Burnside has.
Then, boy do they howl!
nath says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 7:01 pm
Billy Hughes was a member of the Savage Club while ALP Prime Minister.
That well-known Republican, pacifist and feminist.
alfred venison @ #2609 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 6:47 pm
And you howl along with them 🙁
Just walked down to my local park and discovered the aforementioned Greens have taken over one end of it including the barbecues and toilets as the base for their door knocking! Even brought their own marquee!
Seem to be currently engaging in Adair bit of drinking and righteous indignation.
Badgingarra. Wildflower central during spring in the coastal heathlands around there. Close to Mt Lesure National park which is MAJOR world bio-diveristy hotspot. Grand spot if you are into orchids.
First windfarm up there (emu flats??) was the one that went in to offset the power used by the first desal plant in Perth.
Place well worth a visit in spring….or for windsurfing.
Ides:
What has been the response from Liberal voters to Zali Steggall?
Adair = a fair
Five years of killing Bill by the Greens was AOK.
It was remorseless. Any pretext was fine. Any old drivel was dredged up again and again and again. The Greens spent more time killing Bill than having a go at any Government person. Much, much more time.
Day, after day, after day some Greens would have a go at Kill Bill.
The very first major interview Burnside does with the ABC, the day after he was made candidate, he names just ONE politician for a personal spray.
Was it Dutton the scourge of refugees? No.
Was it Morrison, the scourge of the poor? No.
Was it Taylor the bane of Global Warming action? No.
No. No. No. Burnside goes straight for Shorten’s jugular. Shorten had never had a bad word to say for Burnside.
Well, guys, what goes round comes round. How are you enjoying the sort of Burnside pizzling you have dished out to Shorten for five full years now? Not so nice?
Ten minutes of having a bit of fun at Burnside’s klutzarama and the Greens’s patience and sense of humour evaporates totally. Their poor old scroll fingers!
The Greens suddenly don’t want to do ‘character assassination’ any more.
Now, they are ‘bored’ with going the man.
They want to talk about policy!
As long as that policy talk is not about killing the cotton industry, killing Olympic Dam or killing the ADF.
As long as that policy discussion is Labor Bad.
I don’t have much more to say about Burnside but I am grateful for the light relief he has provided. It is the best thing the Greens have done for ages.
So Hammond has gotten Curtin then. Lifetime sinecure for here then.
nath, it’s sweet of you to defend the patriarchals. Are you a member? Or inspired by their suffering?
Julia Banks has just pissed all over the Liberal party on Ch10 The Project,virtually naming Abbott,Dutton and Morrison as the bullies in the party during Libspill.
Iom…are you canvassing for Steggall?…GetUp??? How are they being received??
imacca @ #2648 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 4:13 pm
Mumble thinks the time is ripe for an independent in Curtin as a result.
Might as well throw my HOR ballot in the bin. At least I can vote Labor in the senate without joe Bullock on the ticket.
briefly says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 7:11 pm
nath says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 7:01 pm
Billy Hughes was a member of the Savage Club while ALP Prime Minister.
That well-known Republican, pacifist and feminist.
———————————————————————————-
Let’s not forget his strong support for brown skin people coming to Australia.
steve davis @ #3659 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 7:16 pm
Virtually or actually?
briefly
says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 7:15 pm
nath, it’s sweet of you to defend the patriarchals. Are you a member? Or inspired by their suffering?
_______________________________
The club may be a ‘colonial relic’. Well so are lots of places. It may be ‘elitist’ so are a lot of organizations. I doubt it is anti-worker, any more so than any bohemian club made up of literary and legal types. No doubt you hanker to send them to a re-education camp.
I have attended one dinner there. A friend is a member. There are increasing numbers of Chinese people attending as guests and as members. To call them ‘presumptively racist’ is a disgrace.