The return of Essential Research provided the BludgerTrack mill with its first grist for the new year, but the model is at its least robust when it only has one data point to play with after a long gap. This means BludgerTrack strongly follows the lead of a poll that was less bad for the Coalition than their usual form, resulting in a substantial reduction in Labor’s still commanding lead on two-party preferred. Labor is also down six on the seat projection – one in each mainland state and two in Queensland. The Essential poll also included a new set of numbers for the leadership ratings, and these produced a weak result for Bill Shorten that has blunted his recent improving trend. Full results through the link below.
BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor
BludgerTrack returns from hibernation, albeit with only one new poll result to play with.
3,129 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor”
I am absolutely mortified K thinks I am so intellectually inferior to him! But he’s not alone here in sharing that opinion.
You really are so sweet in singling me out for your attention but, sadly, I have no intention to feed your obviously healthy ego.
Yes, we know you are awake!
PB’s a quick read with the trolling Greens out in force…….
1h1 hour ago
“The Coalition has done more to progress the causes of women in the last five years than, I think, any government in the last 40,” says Liberal Senator..
In one word this is bullshit.
The single most effective measure for women was compulsory superannuation introduced by Keating in 1992 & oppos#d by the coalition.
Please sell that ABC ASAP or at least employ a new generation of journalists with integrity.
Bill Shorten when he becomes PM and like has to do something for the first time in his life:
The Turnbull and Morrison Governments have done a very good job of running this great country of ours and Scott Morrison will retain government in November this years as the Australian public will not be able to trust bill Shorten as he will run this great country of ours into the ground and we will be back in debt in no time and also the people smugglers will be back in business conning people into getting into boats and even I don’t trust the ALP……
Actually, Bill was the instigator & promoter of the NDIS – he sincerely helped more people than KO’D, TA, MT and SM combined
…that from nath, whose only response on issues he cares about is not to vote…
Gee this place loses its shine some days!
lizzie @ #1967 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 2:21 pm
My very dear Uncle Geoff (since gone to heaven) was the last of 16 siblings and told me once that he (Geoff) was the fool of the family). As the now eldest of family I have inherited the title.
Since the picture appearing/disappearing I had thought that the above news had percolated into the corridors of power and that the mysterious but omnipotent William was determined to conduct experiments on his flock.
Then comes the news that Mr. Chris Kenny had secured a position with Sky News which will surely be a delight to me should he no longer commit his atrocities at The Australian.
I now, with complete assurance from Abby that while I may be confused, possibly demented, my short term memory functions quite well
I should stick with the Creaming Soda rather than Pee No More even though in my decrepit state a 2 A.M. sojourn may be necessary.
I still have no idea who the girl with red hair is. Rearrange for syntax please.
poroti @ #1999 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 2:11 pm
All credit to the billionaires. They grew the world’s pie by a whole 1%. And then ate the extra 1%.
“I am absolutely mortified K thinks I am so intellectually inferior to him! But he’s not alone here in sharing that opinion.”
That’s fact, not opinion.
Monday, January 21, 2019 at 3:23 pm
Gee this place loses its shine some days!
Monday, January 21, 2019 at 3:14 pm
PB’s a quick read with the trolling Greens out in force…….
I know! How much money do you have to donate to PB before you can set the political discourse?!?!
Some incredible statistics in that report, including:
Increasingly, ordinary citizens are questioning the political and economic status quo that has enabled the rise and rise of the super rich.
Your arrogance is showing.
Though, perhaps you are not as intellectually superior as you think. You don’t seem to be able to discern the difference between an opinion and a fact.
Yep, put a bit of beef on their bones before the peasants decide to ‘eat the rich’.
BK @ #2008 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 3:23 pm
You should wear your favourite bowler hat for the following:-
Laurel & Hardy – Shine On Harvest Moon
Strewth – they were so talented.
Time for my 2nd afternoon nanny nap.
As referred to before, the single most economically “progressive” medical action the ALP can take is to remove the public subsidy to the parastic private health insurance industry. It is a subsidy to the rich and is a subsidy to the major enemies of social health.
The $11 billion annual subsidy should be put into the health system not into the profits of this trojan horse against equal access to quality health.
Labor should do this early in its term. By the time the next election is due Howards PHI parasite will be a much smaller beast and less of a political threat.
don @ #22586 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 12:45 pm
Great photo Don.
I’ve never been up to Mueller’s hut, but I have stood on the high peak of Aoraki and on Hicks (which is the big face to the left of Aoraki in your photo).
The South face of Hicks was the site where they shot a short film about climbing in Cook in the 70s (called Fool on a Hill). One of the scenes involved simulating a 300m fall into the bergschrund at the base of the face – using a dummy dressed as the lead climber. A decade later some climbers reported a body in the ‘schrund – which, on recovery, turned out to be the dummy. Wasn’t a particularly good film either. If you really want to know what climbing was like in the wild days, I recommend the film of Touching the Void (or any of Joe Simpsons other books, like This Game of Ghosts) or Jen Peedon’s film Sherpa.
Another version of events:
Earlier today I posted the full video taken by the Black Hebrews who were heckling the students (and everyone else), 1.45 hours long. Watch the start to see them ‘debating’ the odds with the native Americans and then go to the 1 hr 12 min mark to see what happened. It looks very different to what has been shown and claimed.
Why is it that Scotty is so un-photogenic? Here he looks like he is a try hard who has to get the most out of an 8 minute ‘pull aside’ with Dotard…
Conservative commentator wonders Trump wants a meeting with Kim Jong Un as a distraction
Conservative Washington Post commentator Max Boot wondered if the White House forgot about the goal of denuclearization with North Korea.
In a panel discussion with CNN, Max Boot noted that Trump lost his leverage with Kim by allowing another summit without any pre-conditions.
“The president gave Kim all the leverage because he was getting the advantage of standing side by side with the most powerful man in the world,” Boot explained Sunday. “And the American side didn’t really get much out of Kim, apart from an undertaking to move toward denuclearization. And the time has passed since that summit, we’ve seen very little movement toward permanent denuclearization.”
In fact, Boot explained that the opposite is the case. U.S. intelligence agencies have found that missiles and the nuclear program continues in North Korea. So, clearly, whatever the president and Secretary Mike Pompeo have done isn’t working.
I’m just joshing Pegasus.
Has continuous brain malfunctions, so feel sorry for her!.
“Gee this place loses its shine some days!”
The delusion gripping Nath, Rex Douglas, Pegasus et al which convinces them they are taking the fight to Labor is almost as strong as the delusion among their gullible targets that their trolling is paid for by Menzies House, or (even more bizarre a delusion) that Labor apparatchiks come here to pick up strategy ideas.
Kate @ #2002 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 3:14 pm
And nath the nitwit doing his very tired clown act.
Barney in Go Dau @ #1997 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 3:10 pm
Bushfire Bill @ #2021 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 4:12 pm
Why is anything critical of Shorten/Labor described as ‘trolling’ ?
Boy am I glad I went and did the vacuuming, while watching a very one-sided tennis match.
Rex Douglas @ #2028 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 4:19 pm
It isn’t. I am quite critical of various Labor policies and politicians, and don’t (often) get accused of trolling.
Perhaps you should instead be asking why certain posters here get accused of trolling so often.
Monday, January 21, 2019 at 3:07 pm
Steve Davis showing his naiveté in imagining that Bill Shorten cares for anything except Bill Shorten.
Nath and another well-known poster remind me so much of the no-nothing anti-Whitlam haters before Whitlam led Labor to government in 1972.
“Don’t trust Whitlam; you don’t know Whitlam,” was a refrain I heard from some in the left of the Victorian ALP, sad to say, who, I think, did not really want Labor to win. There was no Greens party in those days so I guess there was nowhere else for them to go.
But they preferred the luxury of opposition, where they and like-minds could dream about the glorious revolution to come, without actually doing anything.
Like Nath ignoring Shorten’s achievements on the NDIS, they ignored Whitlam’s policies on education and health and even tried to say that he had no intention of disengaging Australia from the disastrous Vietnam war.
There’s nothing wrong with preferring to vote Greens or Socialist Workers come to that. But to say there’s no difference between Labor and Liberal is just the same silliness I heard back then and which does nothing to advance the cause of a progressive society one jot.
I was going to take issue with this because I thought you should have used “continual” rather than “continuous”. Your use of “continuous” is right though if you are suggesting that Nath has a number of brain malfunctions and that they are continuous.
And comparing Shorten to Whitlam, well it’s comparing am Oompa Loompa to a giant…..actually that’s not comparing that’s just describing.
I am not gripped by any delusion as you state.
AFAIAC the ‘real fight’ is out in the real world holding one on one face-to-face conversations.
I come on here for some light relief and distraction.
I am sure you have some delusions of your own but I am not so presumptuous as to speculate about them here.
You can post funny pics of Morrison and Trump all day and it’s all good fun, but do it against Shorten and they become unhinged!
Now we know what all those quiet one-on-one discusions between Trump & Putin were all about.
Trump asking ‘can I please build a hotel in Moscow’ and Putin replying ‘just a few more favours before i agree’
Sir Henry Parkes @ #2028 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 4:30 pm
Liberal and Labor share so many policy positions.
Newstart/New immigrant welfare
and on and on…
When I was a teenager, Whitlam inspired me to have an interest in politics.
Watch out for the clown car! You may be assimilated! 😯
[‘…or (even more bizarre a delusion) that Labor apparatchiks come here to pick up strategy ideas.’]
Not so bizarre. I would think that both sides’ staffers have a bo peep from time to time – arguably the premier psephological/political blog in Oz.
Kennett inspired me to become a community activist.
Tampa inspired me to support the Greens and then join the party as a member.
nath @ #2036 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 4:35 pm
It’s a matter of pertinence, nath.
The ones about Morrison and Trump are pertinent.
Yours about Bill Shorten are impertinent.
They’re not even funny.
What they are is mean and nasty.
Biting tongue over Cat’s last post.
That does far less harm than denial of global warming.
nath @ #2035 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 12:35 pm
You trawl through the past, which has been endlessly trawled through at the time and at a subsequent RC, whilst the comments on Morrison and the Government is focused on now and the current events.
lizzie @ #2042 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 4:49 pm
Well, yes, but surely you get the point… ?
I have certainly learned more about the way that Ozpolitics works since reading Pollbludger, and met some very interesting people along the way.