The Australian has published Newspoll’s final quarterly aggregate for the year, with state breakdowns showing Labor leading 54-46 in New South Wales (unchanged on the previous quarter), 56-44 in Victoria (down from 57-43), 54-46 in Queensland (unchanged), 53-47 in Western Australia (down from 54-46) and 58-42 in South Australia (unchanged). As The Australian’s report notes, it also records a nine point increase in Scott Morrison’s disapproval rating outside the five mainland capitals, from 38% to 47%, while his approval is down from 42% to 39%. In the capitals, Morrison is down two on approval to 42% and up five on disapproval to 44%. However, this doesn’t feed through to voting intention, on which Labor’s lead is steady at 56-44 in the capitals, but down from 54-46 to 53-47 elsewhere.
There are no gender or age breakdowns included, so expect those to be published separately over the coming days. We should also get aggregated quarterly state breakdowns from Ipsos in what used to be the Fairfax papers at some point.
UPDATE: Newspoll’s gender and age breakdowns have indeed been published in The Australian today. As with the state breakdowns, these yield little change on voting intention, with the arguable exception of Labor’s primary vote being down two among the 18-34s to 44%, and up two among the 35-49s to 43%. However, the decline noted yesterday in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings among regional voters is matched in the 50-plus cohort, among whom he is down six on approval to 42% and up nine on disapproval to 45%.
Watched an ABC Xmas thing last night that had interviews with pollies and people about what xmas means to them. Anne Aly popped up few times. This is a seriously electable politician. 🙂
One of her comments on xmas was along the lines of as a child, finding xmas presents on the day and running in to tell her mum and dad that Santa had even come for THEM, and they are Muslim!!! 🙂
Unlike the Coalition morons and whatever idiots they have running their advertising and social media…Aly is a person who just “gets it” about inclusion.
“church service in the Netherlands, aimed at stopping an Armenian family from being deported, has been going around the clock since October 26. Under Dutch law, police officers are not permitted to enter a church while a religious service is taking place.”
World class fillibuster!! 🙂
lizzie
Now that is a filibuster!
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/dutch-church-holds-six-weeklong-marathon-service-to-shield-family-from-deportation/
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/ktla.com/2018/12/24/dutch-church-service-goes-non-stop-for-over-1400-hours-to-prevent-family-from-being-deported/amp/
“Julie jumped…are they picking her up?”
Jump on a Shark?? 🙂 Cruelty to Sharks i reckon……..
As a profile building exercise wont hurt her any. Good on her.
However, its a sad thing for politics when you realize that Julie Bishop is obviously smarter and more canny than the rest of the Libs put together. 🙁
The Opal building news has gone around the world – this is a major issue for the Sydney apartment market – and by extension all the other apartment markets as most overseas buyers are not aware (like most Australian) of the differences in jurisdiction and the role of states v commonwealth.
Most buildings are over engineered and therefore if one thing has gone wrong there should not have been an issue. This however looks there has been multiple failures. The rest of building has been given the all clear but for how long? If there is an architectural design fault then the rest of building must be in question. Equally if the wrong materials have been used, it is equally as bad.
Then the question becomes how many of the other hundreds of apartment built and being built have also got issues. I for one would not be buying one with such doubts. So expect prices to take a major hit.
PS. Icon Construction very quickly deleted the Opal Buildings page from their website on Xmas eve (it was giving a 404 error from a link on the main page).
With respect to Marsh, he was selected by the selectors, and the haters here can hate all they want, particularly with Langer, and man of great integrity and ability, I trust them a lot more than a couple of crazy 1 eyed east coast clowns. Hopefully Langer can continue the cleanout, hopefully Warner never plays for Australia at any level ever again.
TL
Yes I have seen similar trends in the industry here in SA and when I work interstate. Apart from the deregulation of building and planning (pure folly) I blame two other factors for problems with lack of skills.
The first is the reduction in skill training. The days of the Keating training rules are long gone. These days what “training” does occur is usually compliance training in the latest legal obligation or accounting system. But actual engineering skills? Not much. It was once supposed to be 2% of payroll. Even the SA public service does not get close to that.
The second is the roller coaster ride ngineering project funding has gone through. The GFC saw a record high, attracting people into the industry, some skilled, some not. Then the huge drop at the end of the mining boom saw many people leave, including a lot of skilled people taking early retirement. We need a more consistent base in project funding, not necessarily higher, to support a more stable, skilled workforce.
“Julie jumped…are they picking her up?”
Jump on a Shark??”
Professional ethics would have kept her safe from peers.
Where does real estate sit under Australian Consumer law :
“If a product or service you buy fails to meet a consumer guarantee, you have the right to ask for a repair, replacement or refund under the Australian Consumer Law. The remedy you’re entitled to will depend on whether the issue is major or minor. ”
This would be bankruptcy material if applicable I would expect.
I said yesterday they selected Marsh on the fear that the MCG would be a dead wicket and they needed an extra bowler.
India 1/100 and this wicket is looking as dead as a Norwegian Blue Parrot!
WeWantPaul @ #202 Wednesday, December 26th, 2018 – 10:12 am
You are pathetic!
Everything said has been about selection and how his record doesn’t support his position in the side.
Where is the hate in that?
You’re yet to post anything that contradicts this assertion.
Finally, I have found a job for Joe Hockey that uses all his many talents and allows him to unleash Hockeynomics in its purist form. Join the US’s Defense Finance and Accounting Services Joe.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-audit-army/u-s-army-fudged-its-accounts-by-trillions-of-dollars-auditor-finds-idUSKCN10U1IG
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2018/12/26/trunmp-says-shutdown-ends-when-his-wall-is-funded/
In which case Trump has openly admitted that he has taken government workers hostage. The Democrats can now surrender to his demands to save the lives of those workers and their families and in doing so put themselves firmly on their side. The Trump Wall would be tainted from the start.
Rocket Rocket@2:28pm
The Australian expression is “dead as a dodo” isn’t it?
RR
In a few days there may well be some bowlers who were selected for this test and wished they hadn’t been and a couple who are glad they missed out.
Though I am not even sure there is anybody in the squad as a fifth bowler option other than M Marsh.
At various tomes last week the Perth stadium curator was copping some stick.
What are they saying about the MCG man responsible for a wicket described as this in the Guardian
“But this pitch… it looks hideous, I’ll tell you that. The one last year where Alistair Cook made his double hundred was just a brown featureless slab of rolled mud. This time they’ve tried to leave grass on it, so there’s rolled mud with weird patches of green mange. It looks like a twenty-yard slab of solidified cat sick. It looks lumpy and blotchy and confused”
LR@2:31pm
It is American policy not to deal with terrorists and/or hostage takers.
Ven @ #214 Wednesday, December 26th, 2018 – 1:36 pm
Of course, and that is another line the Democrats could take.
One way to keep out the riff-raff (who nevertheless subsidise these establishments via their taxes):
TLurker
Just gut feel on my part. I wonder about the foundations of the Opal Tower.
The whole area sits on mush.
Usually the people who do foundations are very conservative, but if the fault is under the building that has real consequences…
I second Barney’s comment on M Marsh.
I am an east coast tragic – nothing one-eyed about it – I don’t care what state a player comes from … all I care about is form.
I do agree with WWP on Warner though — his attitude/sportsmanship has always appeared wanting
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-26/boat-catches-fire-in-water-off-rottnest-island-perth/10668746
The images look pretty shocking.
Marsh was apparently booed by a section of the crowd. I don’t think he should be in he Test squad, but it isn’t his fault he was selected. What is he supposed to do, decline the call up?
Cummins gets the next breakthrough. Quick! Get M Marsh back into the attack. Stat.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/all-i-want-for-xmas-is-a-reliable-connection-telco-customers-irate-20181226-p50o9g.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter
“One way to keep out the riff-raff (who nevertheless subsidise these establishments via their taxes)”
Private schools should be what they are in comparable countries, a niche product for the wealthy and the very religious, with about 5% reach, not 35%.
The australian cricket selection process is right up there with the AFL tribunal in being nearly incomprehensible.
There have been good, bad, indifferent, inspired, brave, foolish and downright stupid selections for as long as I have watched the game.
Is it really worth the angst?
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/the-lodge-we-had-to-have-canberra-s-famous-empty-home-20181130-p50jbs.html
ScoMo – no respect for tradition. Malcolm – too rich to care.
But Howard started it.
She always manages to score gigs to all the rich people play pursuits: horse racing and now sailing.
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/sailing/hopefully-i-avoid-the-sharks-julie-bishop-nervous-about-dip-far-off-bondi-beach-20181226-p50o8o.html
Confessions
Alarming images. At least the people on board appear unharmed, even though the boat is totally destroyed. And then the report ends with this sentence.
In fact, Howard wasn’t the first to abandon Canberra for part of the year, but AFAIK he was the most extravagant in moving bureaucrats around.
I get the feeling PvO is going to be like this all the way up to the election, and in the aftermaths.
LR:
Yes the outcome could’ve been much worse than it is.
Re the Opal building. Why was a block of units deemed a state significant development?
I realise Auburn council was…dysfunctional but an administrator could have been appointed.
I had a feeling this would happen when I read they were considering it a few days ago.
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/japan-to-start-commercial-whaling-in-july-20181226-p50oa8.html
Statement from Marise Payne to come apparently.
Apparently whale meat has become less popular in Japan and excess stocks from their “scientific” whaling have gone into school lunch programs.
https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/Whale-meat-menus-back-for-school-lunches-in-Japan/article15904169.ece
What tortured logic do Japan use to claim the Southern Ocean as a special economic zone?
According to Wikipedia, Japan has a huge Exclusive Economic Zone surrounding it and “Japan has disputes over its EEZ boundaries with all its Asian neighbors (Russia, Republic of Korea, China and Taiwan)”.
Perhaps doing whaling there is intended to demonstrate some sort of power over the region, much like China is doing in the South China Sea.
This Wikipedia map is not very clear but shows the vast area of ocean claimed by Japan.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exclusive_economic_zone_of_Japan
Aqualung @ #236 Wednesday, December 26th, 2018 – 12:59 pm
It’s pretty depressing isn’t it? I cannot believe commercial whaling is still a thing these days.
Just heard JulieB jumped off a boat in Sydney/Hobart race to draw attention to the amount of plastic in the oceans.
How very apt (remainder of comment held back out of politeness!).
Is it true that the NSW Treasurer has hit our at Labor for pointing out that the LNP government has paved the way for dodgy building inspections?
Agreed Confessions. Apparently their fleet sailed for the Southern Ocean in November.
I know, I know but didn’t Abbott ‘promise’ to monitor the Japanese?
Non core promise I suppose. Whatever their methods and motivation at least Sea Shephard were a thorn in their side until technology won.
Lizzie, it’s about plastics not leather
Putting great musicians together doesnt always reach the sum of the parts. In this it does that and so much more.
For all y’all…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dc9jp2pAT4w
“What tortured logic do Japan use to claim the Southern Ocean as a special economic zone?”
They don’t.
She wasn’t picked up by a Chinese submarine like Harold Holt? {smily emoji}
Aussies toiling away on a very true wicket. Wicket has certainly sped up during the day. Aussie quicks are bowling with some heat. It’s a game of attrition until the wicket starts to deteriorate.
The Indian tail is pretty long. So, a couple of breakthroughs will get the Aussies back in the game.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #242 Wednesday, December 26th, 2018 – 12:46 pm
From what they’re saying on the ABC they will stop their scientific programme which included the Southern Ocean part.
Japan’s EEZ pails in comparison to Australia: