Tasmanian pollster EMRS has published its regular quarterly poll of state voting intention, and supplemented it with federal voting intention results – which they will hopefully be making a habit of, since no regular source of published federal voting intention for Tasmania exists. The state results show the Liberals recovering three points after an 11% collapse in the previous poll, leaving them at 39%, while Labor is up one to 35% and the Greens down two to 14%. Labor’s Rebecca White has retained the lead she opened over Will Hodgman as preferred premier in the previous poll, which is now at 46-40, narrowing from 46-38.
The federal results have Labor on 40%, compared with 37.9% at the 2016 election; the Liberals on 33%, compared with 35.4%; and the Greens on 11%, compared with 10.2%. Seat breakdowns with tiny samples suggest Labor would be competitive against Andrew Wilkie in Clark (as Denison is to be renamed) while struggling to retain Bass, but this should naturally be treated with very great caution. The poll was conducted last Saturday to Monday from a sample of 1000.
Also of note from Tasmania was the release this week of a government report on reform to the state’s Electoral Act. This recommends lifting the blackout on press reporting of election news on polling day, which prevented The Mercury reporting a late-breaking story on a Liberal policy to soften gun laws at the state election in March, and giving consideration to public funding for political parties based on electoral performance and a state-based donations disclosure regime, as exist in every other state.