Ipsos and Essential Research closed their accounts for 2018 this week, and their combined effect has been to reduce Labor’s lead to 54.3-45.7 after a blowout to 54.9-45.1 last week. This is good for one Coalition gain on the seat projection, that being in Queensland. Full results through the link below.
We’re unlikely to see any more poll results until mid-January, although Newspoll should be unloading its quarterly state breakdowns in a week or so, and hopefully a few state voting intention results as well. Nonetheless, things should be pretty active around here over the silly season, as there’s a backlog preselection analysis to attend to, and I should finally get time to attend to my long-promised Morrison-era overhaul of BludgerTrack.
The Shovel @TheShovel 1h1 hour ago
Love the new National Party advent calendar – every day in December has a new sex scandal
Rossmcg
I think that sums up the Greens problem.
One is an environmental problem, the other is social/political. Greens need to concentrate more.
billie @ #351 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 11:44 am
I don’t think I’d have the courage to open the windows.
Scary stuff!!! 🙁
Some interesting information about Mattis, particularly 9 & 10:
https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2017-01-13/10-things-you-didnt-know-about-james-mattis
Greensborough Growler notes that in turbulent times the Greens lost seats and influence at the last Victorian election.
The Greens were done over by the preference whispering of Glenn Drury.
Once the VEC announced the ballot order and the registered preference for voting “1” above the line in the Upper House it was obvious what dirty deals had been done.
In Southern Metro despite the Greens getting 13.7% first preferences when a quota was 16.1% they lost their seat to Sustainable Australia with 0.7% of the vote.
Lydia Thorpe had won Northcote in a by-election and lost narrowly
R
I am curious about the response.
Why doesn’t Boerwar acknowledge the Clean Energy Package legislation delivered by Milne and Gillard ?
Why doesn’t Boerwar acknowledge that the historical legislation was destructed by Labor treachery ?
billie @ #355 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 3:49 pm
As they say, “Losers can please themselves”. The Greens were definite losers for ht eVictorian Election.
However, they do know to rationalise their disastrous losses though.
Greens don’t know how to do deals, can’t compromise and have no clue as to how to be a vote gatherer. Why do they even bother?
It’s very clear to non-Labor people that without Greens influence the ALP just can’t be trusted on the environment.
Rex Douglas @ #357 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 11:53 am
Is that the one after rejecting the attempt under Rudd. 🙂
Was this what the cartoon was about earlier today ?
George Christensen refuses to show encrypted messages
The report suggests police could not find any evidence of criminality but that they were hampered by not being able to access certain encrypted messages sent and received by the MP.
With government officials said to be “deeply uneasy” about the MP’s travel, he was given an official warning about the specific areas he had been travelling to. While Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton was also reportedly notified that the MP remains vulnerable to possible blackmail.
The Australian Government considers compromised situations that have been engineered by Chinese Government-backed agents as a very real threat to the nation’s politicians.
Despite not being named by the mainstream media as being the politician in question, the term ‘George Christensen’ is on December 21 one of the leading ‘trends’ on Twitter.
Further, three separate sources have confirmed to True Crime News Weekly that Christensen is the alleged MP who was under investigation.
https://truecrimenewsweekly.com/by-george-not-another-sleazy-hypocrite-in-govt-george-christensen-refuses-to-show-encrypted-messages-as-afp-investigates-nationals-mp-over-seedy-sex-tourism-in-poverty-stricken-philippines/
The greens are the “dark element ” in the Australian environment movement
One of the beauties of the ghastly divisions and infighting is that the reality of the Reds in the Greens is now in full sight.
They used to hide behind the environmentalists. Sprung.
They used to hide behind the outrage. Sprung.
They used to hide behind the fact that no-one actually analysed their policies. Sprung.
There is one thing the Reds in the Greens fear and loathe: exposure.
Boerwar
I put it to him that by opposing adani and not sticking to the fine line Labor walks on asylum seekers Shorten would be handing the Tories a stick to beat Labor with in an election.
So be it was pretty much his response.
I was a bit saddened by his naivety. I thought he was smarter than that.
As Gough said, only the impotent are pure.
Sandy Dawson SC not trying hard enough to avoid photographer
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6518573/Judge-slams-salacious-BuzzFeed-slut-shaming-MP-Emma-Husar.html
Instead of an historical Gillard-Milne-Indy progressive Govt, Labor operatives preferred to tear that down for an Abbott Govt.
Historical fact that Labor partisans cant bring themselves to think about. Understandably, it’s a sickening thought.
Mavis Smith says: Friday, December 21, 2018 at 3:48 pm
Some interesting information about Mattis, particularly 9 & 10:
https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2017-01-13/10-things-you-didnt-know-about-james-mattis
******************************************************
Mattis, particularly 9 & 10:
mmmmmm ……..join the Army – travel to foreign countries – meet new people – and kill them ….
Barney in Go Dau @ #360 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 3:56 pm
Have you the courage to acknowledge the Labor operative destruction of the Gillard-Milne-Indy progressive Govt ?
shellbell @ #365 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 11:59 am
They must have cropped the last one. 🙂
Non-Labor people watched and laughed with distain watching Kevin Rudd receive life membership of Labor. They remember him as a sick joke.
Rex Douglas @ #368 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 12:02 pm
Irrelevant, we’re talking about the environment and the impact that the Greens as a political Party have had on policy.
So in this example their actions helped to delay policy.
Sceptic:
[‘The one great legacy may be the destruction of the POTUS myth forever, I’m not sure where Obama fits but all before him have been without doubt either crooks, idiots, war criminals ,sex maniacs.. I’m some case they have been more than one of the above.’]
With the exception of Carter and Obama, yes, I’d agree with you. Even FDR had is peccadilloes.* Trump, though (absent war criminal), surely takes the cake.
As for myth of the office, Hollywood, the 24 hours news cycle have a lot to answer for. Trump has shown that a fool, a braggart, a pathological liar, a sociopath, a sexual predator can almost do the job.
* https://www.biography.com/news/fdr-and-his-women-21068973
Rex Douglas @ #368 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:02 pm
“Gillard-Milne-Indy” government ???
You can’t even get your history correct.
Barney in Go Dau @ #371 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:07 pm
The Gillard-Milne-Indy CEP laws were effective… until Labor operatives destructively tore down the Govt and facilitated the Abbott Govt. The single most relevant historical fact of vandalism against the environment.
Labor partisans can’t stomach that fact and live in a state of delusion and shame about it.
Player One @ #373 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:14 pm
The shame of it all…
phoenixRED:
[‘…join the Army – travel to foreign countries – meet new people – and kill them ….’]
Yes, it’s a bit of a worry. Little wonder they call him “Mad Dog” – shades of Brig. General Jack D. Ripper, in Dr. Strangelove.
https://www.magicalquote.com/character/brigadier-general-jack-d-ripper/
Rex Douglas @ #375 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:16 pm
Well, at least you have the decency to feel ashamed!
Another way of looking at it is that if bullshit can baffle the brains of voters so easily, it makes you wonder about democracy*.
*US voter suppression, widespread gerrymander etc also need to be taken into account though.
Mind you Australians voted abbott in – in the absence of voter suppression/ gerrymander.
Boerwar @ #363 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 3:58 pm
C’mon Boerwar, admit to the shame and gut wrenching sickness you felt watching as the CEP was slowly destructed by Rudd/Abbott.
Another reason why it’s good to see the Greens defeated in the Victorian Election. When they had the opportunity to support Labor, they played games. Now they are gone, we have Independents pledging not to disrupt the Government’s agenda.
This can only be good for victoria.
https://outline.com/m9Zfzf
GG
I feel sorry for the genuine people who have been bastardized by the Reds in the Greens. These are the people who DO care about the Great Barrier Reef. These are the people who DO care about our extinction crisis. These are the people who DO care about our forests, rivers and coasts.
The integrity of these good people – truly good people – is being used and abused by the Reds in the Greens.
Rex,
What was at the start of this instability?
The failure of the Rudd legislation to pass the Senate.
It doesn’t mater how you spin it, it comes back to the initial decision not to support Rudd’s carbon legislation.
Rex Douglas:
[‘Non-Labor people watched and laughed with distain watching Kevin Rudd receive life membership of Labor. They remember him as a sick joke.’]
Labor’s now moved on. I do trust the NSW Greens will too.
This is why the LNP statistics are so misleading.
All Ords jumped 30 points or so on the close out auction – still down 39 points on the day and 2.6% down for the week – but still better then it was.
Things still very oversold, here and the US etc.
Hopefully the temper tantrum of US traders etc might wane – for a while anyway.
Greensborough Growler @ #380 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:20 pm
AJP, Greens and Reason share many policy values. They will form an important voting block that could be great news for animals, the environment and socially progressive policy in general.
Barney in Go Dau @ #382 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:24 pm
Rudd was never serious about ‘the great moral challenge of our generation’. That was very clear to everyone in 2009/10.
dave:
[‘Mind you Australians voted abbott in – in the absence of voter suppression/ gerrymander.’]
Yep. And compulsory, preferential voting, with proportional representation. I guess at least he only lasted for two years, whereas Trump could be there for another 2 years, maybe 6.
One wonders how the Reds in the Greens commissars are going to enforce the ‘equitable sharing of paid work’.
lol
Rex in over protective mode.
Boerwar @ #381 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:23 pm
The Australian public have been bastardized by the environmentally destructive Rudd/Abbott years from 2010 onwards.
It’s a burning shame for Labor partisans. It eats away at them. They struggle to even say the name ‘Rudd’.
The truly interesting thing about Mattis that his appointment AND his resignation were both met with widespread dismay.
That would be the Trump factor.
Mavis Smith says: Friday, December 21, 2018 at 4:18 pm
phoenixRED:
[‘…join the Army – travel to foreign countries – meet new people – and kill them ….’]
Yes, it’s a bit of a worry. Little wonder they call him “Mad Dog” – shades of Brig. General Jack D. Ripper, in Dr. Strangelove.
****************************************************
There are some in recent history who lived for war ( if not doing the actual killing ) eg General George S Patton
– “Battle is the most magnificent competition in which a human being can indulge. It brings out all that is best; it removes all that is base. All men are afraid in battle. The coward is the one who lets his fear overcome his sense of duty. Duty is the essence of manhood.”
“The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his.
and others who fought war but tried everything to avoid/limit casualties – eg Bernard Montgomery who had vivid recollections of abject killing in WW1 and did every little thing to inspire his men on a personal level and tried to plan meticulously ( eg D-Day ) so as to reduce casualties
“Every soldier must know, before he goes into battle, how the little battle he is to fight fits into the larger picture, and how the success of his fighting will influence the battle as a whole”.
For a while the Reds in the Greens tried to use fracking to fool farmers into thinking that the Greens were on the side of the farmers.
Then the farmers noted how the Red’s community collectives were going to make decisions for them, how the Reds in the Greens were going to shut down 100% of the 500,000 hectares of cotton growing, etc, etc, etc…
Farmers are just not THAT stupid!
The Great Greens push into the Regions hit a brick wall.
Boerwar
Say the word ‘Rudd’.
Go on… it might be difficult for you, but it won’t kill you.
Barney in Go Dau @ #382 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:24 pm
Yep. But like Rex Douglas is now expecting us to believe his crocodile tears for Emma Husar, after his first, most honest reaction, was to advise that she be ‘managed out’ of the Labor Party; now he would prefer it if we forget this important timeline and the accurate historical perspective, and just focus like the Green goldfish that are gulled by the likes of him, into believing the ephemeral interpretation.
No way, no how, nope, nope, nope.
Montgomery did provide one of the clearest displays of what happens to a Light Mobile Force when it meets the Real Thing.
Readers will recall that the Greens are going to shaft the ADF and to set up a Light Mobile Force.
Monty’s paras were dropped on top of a couple of panzer divisions.
Mince meet meat.
Rex Douglas @ #387 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 12:31 pm
That’s why Labor developed legislation that was addressing the issue and was markedly better than the status quo and which the Greens refused to support to the detriment of the environment.
Rex and nath are same same: best ignored.
Boerwar @ #397 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:47 pm
$100,000,000,000 to be spent by Labor on some dud submarines. What you say about that ?