Ipsos provided the one new poll for the week in its monthly outing for the Fairfax papers, and it raised a few eyebrows with its weak primary vote for Labor and extraordinarily strong result for the Greens, the latter exacerbating a long established peculiarity of this pollster. The poll’s addition to the BludgerTrack aggregate takes a certain amount of edge off the recent blowout to Labor, while still finding them on course for a victory of historic dimensions. The BludgerTrack seat projection has Labor down three on last week’s result, with Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia each moving one seat in the Coalition’s favour. The methodological caveats about BludgerTrack from last week’s post continue to apply, as does the fact that I won’t be updating the leadership ratings until the model has a solid enough base of Morrison-era data to work from. Other than that, full results from the link below.
Are security costs at protests a genuine and real issue? I’ve never heard it mentioned before today.
Confessions
Its as real an issue as union thugs in the CFMEU
@Confessions
I have read that the Liberal Party are really struggling to get funding for the election campaign, what you have described has made the decision even more dire.
Right now I am predicting Labor will win around 90 seats and 54% of the two party preferred vote. The Coalition’s primary vote could dive to 30% or even lower.
Rex Douglas @ #2092 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 6:12 am
No, Labor reestablished offshore internments.
The Liberals made them inhuman!
Edit: – interments changed to internments
C@tmomma @ #2050 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 6:12 am
I prefer this faith as it’s an apt description of the Liberal Party at the moment:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32bdevGClD4
Nikki praising Scott for ‘nimbleness’.
Lenore Taylor punching holes in the narrative that looking good is all the government needs to do 😆
poroti @ #4434 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 7:30 am
Excellent find Poroti. Ozturk has a good nose and few of the ties that bind our nominal “Journalists”, particularly when reporting on the Spivs and Arseholes of the current gang in power.
‘Confessions says:
Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 9:21 am
Are security costs at protests a genuine and real issue? I’ve never heard it mentioned before today.’
There have been a conga line of o/s ultra right outrage fomenters who have attracted protest crowds. Someone decided to charge the organizers of one of these rage seekers and it came to many tens of thousands.
De-identified data!
Where do they get these blokes? (Occasionally a blokette). Yeah, that’s right its the Scurrilous Morrison/Turnbull/Abbott LNP government.
Dan Tehan on Insiders has, as a result of his interview, set the Morrison government back another two polling points.
Tehan has an un-identified brain process and no idea of fairness in education funding.
An Education minister without the ability to educate.
Insiders intellectual horse power stuck on strawberries .
Strawberries applied to everything…
Fess and BW
The security fees thing won’t go anywhere. Tehan conceded defeat when in reply to Cassidy’s question the first word out of his mouth was True.
Conceding thats not free speech.
So Julia Banks was offered the UN junket trip but turned it down to have her say about bullying in the party.
Thanks Boerwar. So a non-issue.
Good point from Lenore – name leaking is a huge deterrent to getting involved in whatever Coalition complaint process might exist.
Boy, I can’t remember any articles from “Murph” about asylum seekers when Turnbull was PM. But now she’s lashing out at the usurper.
Good discussion on Insiders re bullying.
Antonbruckner11 @ #2114 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:36 am
So your approach is to spotlight the journo ? Wow ..
A11
Way to give Rex fuel. Murphy has been consistent over time with articles about AS. Her paper has been one of the outlets publishing the inhumane treatment when it gets a rare as hen teeth’s whistleblower.
I am critical of the media for not reporting on the police state style secrecy angle more but the secrecy is not the fault of the media.
Antonbruckner11 @ #2120 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 6:36 am
Just shows how little attention you’ve been paying and of course she has other journos working for her who are capable of writing such articles.
guytaur @ #2117 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:41 am
Correct.
“So your approach is to spotlight the journo ?”
Katharine Murphy is not so much as journalist, but rather a person who has dedicated her life to Malcolm Turnbull.
Guytaur – Her newspaper has been great. I can’t remember her criticising Turnbull over it, but could be wrong.
Guytaur – I blocked Rex long ago, so I am indifferent. You can all deal with him!
Bullshit.
Rex Douglas succeeding in his Asylum Seeker Gish Gallop I see. I really don’t know why people can’t see right through it.
The discussion on education highlights the inadequacies of the CPG so called analysis on major issues.
Only Lenore Taylor gets anywhere near the real issues.
Sohar @ #2120 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:44 am
Yes lets talk about the journo rather than the disgusting attitude to kids on Nauru. Great idea Sohar.
C@tmomma @ #2124 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:46 am
Yes make it about me rather than the torture of kids. Good work C@tmomma.
@hilojo tweets
#Insiders Niki Savva’s description is wrong of norms of ‘manly’ behaviour in Parliament &political discourse as *robust*. It’s hostile aggressive &ugly- dereliction of obligation to citizens to model decency&civility in social life-result is violence &disregard of others rights
Rex Douglas is simply throwing out the burley and reeling you all in. He is best ignored because no one will ever be able to change his position. Thus he will keep on throwing out his lines and derailing discussion.
Like. I. Care. Rex. What. You. Think. About. What. I. Say.
Cat
Or Rex is passionate about the subject. Maybe obsessive even. However no more than a lot of people who work in the area supporting refugees.
I see him working on Labor as the only major party to listen to a conscience. He seems to have given up on the LNP having one.
At least Savva is honest. Can you imagine Gerard Henderson saying what she said about Rupert and the News ltd papers?
Ausdavo:
[‘Could it be 51/49 and if so, a snap election called?’]
I can’t see the 2PP returning to the Newspoll of a month ago.
But even if it does, I think Morrison won’t go until May, despite the charm offensive being waged on his behalf by Newscorp.
Boy those turd polishers are getting a workout over at Mordor Media.
https://outline.com/n2Fs4U
Phil Coorey shoots down Savva final talking point.
[Another Marginal Seat]
Interesting that, when it turns to Murdoch’s influence on the media, suddenly a room full of journalists basically say they have no idea how the media works…
So the Libs preselected a woman for Eden-Monaro. Gee who saw that one coming? /sarc
“We need more women in Parliament to better reflect society.”
“When women get into Parliament, they shouldn’t expect the place to change.”
guytaur @ #2133 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:53 am
If Rex was passionate about it he would be willing and able to argue his case logically and coherently. But he can’t – all he does is regurgitate the same boring green “Lib-Lab same-same” groupthink at every opportunity.
Engage with him if you want. But all you will ever succeed in doing is boring the pants off everyone else, and make it more likely that people will block you both.
lizzie @ #2103 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:25 am
and “agility” as well. 😇☮☕
poroti @ #2136 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 9:59 am
Who says the The Australian can’t do satire! 🙂
P1
If you think my arguments seem boring in defending Labor as not being the villain of the piece yeah go ahead and block me. Its not like I am talking about sports weather or any other non political subject.
I also don’t think it helps to ignore the very same arguments I see refugee advocates putting into the public sphere.
People like Julian Burnside have not gone away with their arguments even if the media is ignoring them
I didn’t call her Ticky Tory for nothing when she was hosting ‘The Business’ on that hotbed of ‘Lefty journalism’, the ABC.
guytaur @ #2145 Sunday, September 23rd, 2018 – 10:06 am
Done.
p1 spits the dummy and throws the toys out of the cot. 😆
guytaur,
There are more important issues to discuss than the asylum seekers on Manus and Nauru one. Yeah it’s a shame but it’s not THE issue that should be discussed here ad nauseum. Maybe if something had changed but nothing has and won’t until after the election. So until such time Rex Douglas is just using it as a wedge on PB.
We know the issues already. We know about the people like Julian Burnside. Do we need to be informed of it constantly?
Especially when the issue is just being used to make us argue amongst ourselves.
“Who says the The Australian can’t do satire! ”
Bit like how SkyNooz is over the top . “Conservative” RWNJobbies take it seriously because they have missed the joke being played on them and that they are being trolled. 🙂