Labor’s two-point gain in last fortnight’s Essential Research poll has proved to be an aberration, with the latest result snapping back to 52-48. This is matched by the primary votes, on which the Coalition is up two to 38% and Labor down two to 35% (we will have to wait for the full report later today to see how the minor parties have gone). According to The Guardian’s report, the poll also finds 50% favouring Labor’s tax policy over the Coalition, with the result for the latter not stated, except of course that it’s lower; 79% supporting the first stage of the government’s tax cuts, targeting lower and middle income earners, but only 37% for stage three, whereby the tax scales will be flattened to the advantage of higher income earners; support and opposition for company tax cuts tied at 39% apiece; support for higher finding for the ABC, though we will have to wait for hard data on which areas of the broadcaster’s activities were most favoured.
Other questions relate to international matters, with 35% responding that the North Korea summit would make the world safer, 8% less safe, and 41% no difference. On foreign leaders, Justin Trudeau (up nine on last year) and Jacinda Ardern (on debut) both scored 54% approval, and if I’m reading this correctly, Theresa May scored 42% (up nine) and Donald Trump 22% (up six) – I believe other leaders will have been canvassed as well, but further results will have to wait.
UPDATE: Full results from Essential here – the Greens are up one to 11%, and One Nation down one to 7%. Further international leadership approval ratings include a 43% for Angela Merkel, unchanged on last year, 42% for Emmanuel Macron, up one, 19% for Vladimir Putin, up three, and, if you could credit it, 9% for Kim Jong-Un. Fortuitously, this comes as the Lowy Institute publishes results of a survey of 1200 respondents on Australian attitudes to the world, which similarly finds high levels of confidence for Theresa May and Emmanuel Macron, and low ones for Donald Trump and Kim Jong-Un.
Also out today is further results from the Newspoll in The Australian, finding Malcolm Turnbull favoured by 47% as best leader to handle the asylum seeker issue (down five from December) and Bill Shorten on 30% (up two). It also finds 26% expecting Labor will “improve the policy”, 37% that it will “open the floodgates”, and 24% that it will make no difference.
3,271 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”
The white doves escaped the coop tonight. Not! For the information of the faux doves, the Albanese camp as of yesterday have no expectation of a leadership change in the Labor camp. They are not as confident of the status quo within the Liberal ranks.
He got married to gusface and the finnigans was maid of honour. Thomas Paine organised the band but the music was so depressing everyone left early.
Evan @ #3194 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 6:14 pm
Didn’t he move back to Melbourne?
david, go and look back around 8 am yesterday morning.
C@tmomma @ #3196 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:14 pm
Given the baleful effect of the Balfour declaration it would be just that a British labor 101years later goes someway to addressing that injustice Rex.
Rex Douglas @ #3196 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:16 pm
Gish Galloper too.
So, let me get this straight. You are a protected species on the blog immune from commentary or criticism, free to spew your concern trolling about Bill Shorten? Because. Mr Bowe’s feelings.
Shorten according to LNP
1.One day he todies to business community.
2. Second day he moves ALP further to left.
3. Third day he is a union boss.
4. Fourth day he increases taxes.
5. Fifth day he does not look after workers
6. Sixth day he increases the cost of small business by fighting for penalty rates.
And Kirribilli Removals, mysay….?
Quasar @ #3208 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:22 pm
mysay, I can tell you with certainty is alive and kicking it on Twitter as @myknittingwool 🙂
Well, mysay left because of bemused…as did SpaceKidette.
Bill Shorten is whatever the Murdoch media and the Coalition want him to be. 🙂
Leadershit? If that is the best the Tory trolls have got then they got nothing.
zoomster @ #3210 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:24 pm
Yep. Yet the bemused Resurrection Society is in full swing. Go figure.
I didn’t email bemused specially. We were merely continuing our conversation about my computer problem but he didn’t seem devastated as boomyi had assumed. That’s all.
Media keep drawing these parallels with the Trump administration and 1930s Europe. I’d like to think we’re not anywhere near there, but the more you look the more you see similarities.
Rossmcg @ #3212 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:26 pm
Yeah, I was wondering why they didn’t splash with Brian Trumble’s tax triumph!?!
I hereby move that ESJ’s motion @7:50 PM be ignored.
SpaceKidette left because her conspiracy theories about the moon landings were ridiculed by someone.
As I recall, moon landings, the twin towers (jet fuel can’t melt steel beams!!!!) and the Kennedy assasinations all got short shrift from management here.
If you banged on about them, that is.
I mean, I just saw three conspiracy theorists walk into a bar.
You can’t tell me that is just a coincidence.
Thanks, Steve777. Yeah it’s a bit rich from someone who repeatedly slimed me with the accusation that I was an alcoholic and a whore.
All those in favour of staying @person from the poop chute In the plebiscite can indicate their support with a thumbs down.
Currently on ABC News website, Laura Tingle boldly goes where few ABC journos have gone before with this Analysis piece. The “internal revolt” to be quelled by Turnbull is on energy. Sorry I can’t cut and paste it here on my tablet.
“After tax cut success Turnbull faces a small but noisy revolt from within”
Edwina StJohn @ #3221 Saturday, June 23rd, 2018 – 8:37 pm
I’ve read that gelding racehorses makes them more amenable and easier to train.
Do you have any comment?
Here is the article referenced by the Professor, third subheading: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-06-23/coalition-outnumbers-labor-faces-small-revolt/9899184
The Liberals are torn between those determined to do nothing about emissions and those who want to pretend to.
Sorry boomy, been marking…..just as well none of my first years are as dull as you….I’d be asleep by now…what were you saying, oh that’s right, you’re a Credentials Troll…well, I can’t be bothered….yawn.
Thanks for the heads up ven. I won’t call boomy1 a no^g anymore…..
Coalition outnumbers Labor on personal tax cuts but it’s facing a small revolt on energy:
Onya, Steve! 🙂
You still haven’t answered the question.
Been over to the Darling site.
Maybe there will be ALP Leadership talk!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Not looking good for ALP in Darling Range. About 13% swing on primaries when 15% vote is counted.
I know it is a state by election etc but that is bloody awful in Darling Range.
Can the WA people please explain!
You win my prize as the first person to declare the Darling Range poll bad news for Shorten.
Darling Range is a state seat not a federal seat. For those who are unfamiliar with WA.
Have to mark you down on comprehension boomy….I said I can’t be bothered.
Credential Trolls bore me witless.
Jeez, just as well I decided against posting my pessimistic prognostications regarding the Darling Range poll…..boomy would’ve been apoplectic…..
Anyway, just wait for Braddon and Longman.
Labor are doing 7.2% better in Darling Range than they did at the election before last, if you want to be glass half full about it.
And you still can’t answer. I can. I support the ALP and the cause of progressive political movements in Australia.
You can’t. If you did say, well no, I’m a Liberal supporter and I despise unions and Get-up and the ABC and so on I might even respect you but you can’t and won’t.
What’s cracking me up though is you seem to have a term called a ‘credential troll’ which is obviously someone who asks you questions you can’t or won’t answer.
Looks like 58-42 in LNP favour as per WAEC
The Liberals have nearly 60% so far of the 2PP in WA, so Turnbull’s Tax Cuts seem to have been warmly received.
Just sussed you…haha
No boomy, I invented the term tonight especially for you.
Words are cheap.
Let’s see now, a test for the credential troll….ah yes, tell me boomy,
what was the date of the most recent email to ALP supporters requesting a donation and, supplementary question, what was the opening sentence of the first paragraph.
I’ll show you mine if you show me yours.
Don’t disappoint me.
I think Braddon and Longman will not go well.
I think Braddon and Longman will be easily retained.
There, do your worst boomer…..
Get over yourself.
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That’s the last one I got.
Good evening all,
Liberal state seat going back home in WA after huge swing against Barnett.
Interesting if any Libs try to turn this into Federal issues especially as the Libs refused to defend their income tax cuts in the boiler room of two national WA by elections.
I am sure some will try but hey, give it a go.
Well I watched the AFL game, Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne. Very close and not won until the last 20 seconds of the game. Make of that politically what you will. 🙂
WA likes to be bribed by tax cuts.
Well mine came from Bill;
You might have missed it yesterday, but Malcolm Turnbull said something unbelievable in parliament.
In Question Time, Labor asked if Malcolm Turnbull expected an aged care worker to become an investment banker so that they could get a better tax cut.
This was his response:
“The 60-year-old aged-care worker in Burnie is entitled to aspire to get a better job.”
I was shocked.
Turnbull’s advice to working and middle-class people who are doing it tough is to just “get a better job”. What an out-of-touch and arrogant comment…..etc..
Of course the ALP in Tasmania know me by my real name (Russell – first name)
Also, the donation button on the bottom of my email invites me to donate $26 which ammusies me, because I always donate $25….
The email before this one (same day was from Rebecca White ( you know who she is)
I want Tasmania to be a beacon of fairness.
I am passionate about building the best possible future for my daughter and for all Tasmanians.
This means investing in people. Which means investing in essential services. The strength of any society is measured by how well it looks after its most vulnerable. Especially in times of crisis……etc…’
Get over yourself. boomy1.
Then of course there are the regular emails from Tony Burke….but you know about those….
Just one other point before I head to bed !
As noted multiple times on PB individual seat polling is suspect and Reachtell is no exception.
A big fail for Reachtel on this WA by election. So, perhaps published Reachtels for Longman and Braddon could be viewed with some suspicion.
Interesting week ahead anyway.
Well, fair enough and I apologise for the the language but you are the biggest fucking whinger who has ever professed to support the ALP.