BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

Poll trend latest: Coalition and Malcolm Turnbull up, One Nation down, two-party picture unchanged.

The only poll this week was a Newspoll that gave the Coalition its best result since last April, but given the pollster’s stability over that time, that isn’t saying all that much. Certainly it hasn’t made much difference to BludgerTrack, on which the Coalition improves only on the primary vote, and that at One Nation’s expense rather than Labor’s. The Coalition is up one on the seat projection in Queensland, but down one in Western Australia. The change is more noticeable on the leadership ratings, which find Malcolm Turnbull’s net approval trend picking up sharply, and confirms his recent uptick on preferred prime minister.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

617 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor”

Comments Page 11 of 13
1 … 10 11 12 13

  1. No, it’s more a) — the allegation was made by my anti-spam program, and it caused more than one of your comments not to appear, presumably because it had you pinged as a troublemaker. The allegation was, needless to say, false. Now that I’ve informed it that your comments were not spam, it will hopefully get the message now.

  4. poroti
    Wow! JTI reads PB.

    “I can understand why certain elements of the left would be ferocious in their condemnation of the Deputy PM but there was more to it than that. I was directed to a thread from a mate that showed a group from a media organisation of little note and even less distinction who were positively celebratory in the face of what was a devastating personal event to a group of people.”

    Actually we knew that already. Didn’t he threaten to sue about something on PB once?

  5. Darren Chester was’accused’ of being too fair as Minister for Infrastructure and Transport (Not only by the Nats)

    Joyce was told to ‘deep six him’ and while checking what Chester had been up to realised it was better job to ‘pork barrel’ from and took it himself.

  7. It would be an interesting debate, here and anywhere else, to question just how much anyone in public life is entitled to privacy?
    Have we got to the point that once one throws a hat in the ring and becomes a public identity – by choice I would like to caveat – it is to be assumed one can somehow still maintain another private life? Of all occupations, outside sport and show business, I would think today, politics is one area that if you are in the game, it is warts and all.

    It is interesting the author of the DT offering on BJ made the point that politicians go out of their way at election time to get a photo op of the little lady (if a male) and the kids to kind of underline their family credentials, but then shout “privacy” when there is closer examination of the person’s family.

    Tony Abbott I thought was fair game when he has happy enough to have his wife and girls in the family pic (maybe this won an election for him?) but then gets all testy when questions are asked of how one of his daughters managed to bag a very nice little scholarship.

    It would nice to believe that the private and public could be separated but when it comes to the expenditure of tax-payer dollars, maybe these days are now over. A pity I guess, but a sign of the times we are living in when it comes to blame and explain journalism.

  10. D& M

    I saw some local Taipei civil engineer on TV today saying if the earthquake had happened in Taipei it would have bought down around 12,000 buildings (residential multi story buildings in central Taipei 20 or so years older).

  12. I was directed to a thread from a mate that showed a group from a media organisation of little note and even less distinction who were positively celebratory in the face of what was a devastating personal event to a group of people.”

    Exactly how I feel about Barnaby’s situation. And if you can’t find it in you to have empathy for Barnaby and his new woman, at least spare a thought for his soon to be ex wife and daughters who must’ve been humiliated by that disgraceful front page on the Daily Telegraph.

    There was no call for that, regardless of whether you think outing the pregnant woman is/was in the public interest. I don’t btw.

  13. Nothing honorary about it Poroti, I’ve passed all the tests to be a fuckwit.

    And hi to JTI if he’s popped in. We’re always honored to have a truly great fuckwit come by.

  14. Ctari

    D& M

    I saw some local Taipei civil engineer on TV today saying if the earthquake had happened in Taipei it would have bought down around 12,000 buildings (residential multi story buildings in central Taipei 20 or so years older).

    Ouch. I suspect that is correct. It is only buildings built after 1999, when the bad quake happened in the south, that they mandated earthquake-proof buildings. The building where most of the casualties occurred looks just like the hotel all the conference people are staying in.

  18. Tricot
    “It would nice to believe that the private and public could be separated but when it comes to the expenditure of tax-payer dollars, maybe these days are now over. ”
    Tax-payer dollars are also paid to soldiers, doctors, teachers, etc etc. We have no right to know about their personal lives.

  19. Actually if we’re talking fwits come on down Carter Page!

    The FBI was monitoring Carter Page when the former Trump campaign adviser says he spoke with Trump adviser Steve Bannon about Russia in January 2017, raising the strong possibility that the FBI intercepted a conversation between the two men.

    Page told Congress in November about the call. But it has been cast into a new light by last week’s release of a Republican memo revealing that the FBI was monitoring Page’s communications at the time.

    https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/08/carter-page-steve-bannon-fbi-communications-398992

    Oopsie 1: The Nunes memo still proving to be an own goal.

    Oopsie 2: Mueller is supposedly interviewing Bannon in the near future.

  20. Confessions

    I understand your sympathy for Mrs Joyce and her daughters. They have been horribly betrayed.

    But perhaps you could tell us when you think it would have been appropriate for the media to report that Joyce was about to be a father again.

    If you follow his claim that “it’s private” maybe we would never have read about it, not even as Andrew Elder said when he is seen out and about with a pram.

  21. Tax-payer dollars are also paid to soldiers, doctors, teachers, etc etc. We have no right to know about their personal lives.

    As well as public servants, council workers, judges, lawyers, people who work in government-funded non profit organisations.

  22. I am not interested in the other woman, Mrs Joyce or the daughters.

    It is the hypocritical lying, low-down mongrel, pontificating, P.O.S., live-export-enabling, Murray-River-fucker that masquerades as an honourable Minister of the Crown for whom I have a somewhat dimmed regard.

    To put it succinctly.

  23. William Bowe @ #501 Friday, February 9th, 2018 – 9:24 pm

    No, it’s more a) — the allegation was made by my anti-spam program, and it caused more than one of your comments not to appear, presumably because it had you pinged as a troublemaker. The allegation was, needless to say, false. Now that I’ve informed it that your comments were not spam, it will hopefully get the message now.

    Ah, so that’s what happens to them. 🙂
    Some of my posts now just ‘magically’ disappear. Mr Bowe has AI and it is learning to read us like a book!

  24. But perhaps you could tell us when you think it would have been appropriate for the media to report that Joyce was about to be a father again.

    My preference would be when Barnaby and his partner announced it to the public.

    That Barnaby is about to be a father again at his age with a woman not his current wife has absolutely no bearing on my views as to how incompetent he has been as a minister and an MP.

  25. Diogenes @ #518 Friday, February 9th, 2018 – 9:48 pm

    Tricot
    “It would nice to believe that the private and public could be separated but when it comes to the expenditure of tax-payer dollars, maybe these days are now over. ”
    Tax-payer dollars are also paid to soldiers, doctors, teachers, etc etc. We have no right to know about their personal lives.

    Yeah, but they don’t put their bit on the side into a job in Matt Canavan’s office on the taxpayers’ dime.

  28. It is the hypocritical lying, low-down mongrel, pontificating, P.O.S., live-export-enabling, Murray-River-fucker that masquerades as an honourable Minister of the Crown for whom I have a somewhat dimmed regard.

    I have more regard for him than the lice that falsely advertise their leavings as journalism that covered up for him.

    “Oh we asked – he said no comment, so we ran an exclusive on how Anthony Albanese is angling for the Labor leadership (again). You didn’t expect us to get off our fat arses and maybe look for some real news do you?”

  29. I don’t have enough wit to be a fuckwit.

    I stuggle sometimes to work out if the Beetrooter has the whole lot, or only 50%. He seems to alternate between the two.

  30. #PBanthem
    (To the tune of Queen’s ‘We are the Champions.’)

    We are the f’wits, my friends,
    And we’ll keep on fighting each other ’til the end.
    WE are the f’wits.
    We ARE the f’wits.
    No time for tossers
    ‘Cause we are the F’WITS
    OF THE WORLD.

  31. Rand Paul finds his spine.

    CNNVerified account@CNN
    10h10 hours ago
    “There’s a huge hypocrisy factor here,” says Sen. Rand Paul, adding, “I think the American people are going to be surprised, upset, hurt, that the so-called conservatives got elected” and turned out to be not much different than those they criticized http://cnn.it/2nS2q6P

  34. Ratsak
    That goes without saying…but I could rustle up a few appropriate insults for those arskeholes laughingly called the Canberra Press Gallery and the Rupert plaything called the MSM if you like.

  35. C@t
    “Yeah, but they don’t put their bit on the side into a job in Matt Canavan’s office on the taxpayers’ dime.”
    MPs employ their wives, mistresses, kids, etc etc all the time.
    What about all the former politicians who get sinecures as Ambassadors?

  36. Sorry for not knowing (maybe) but who is jti?
    I have a low success rate with the google trick and so it has come to pass. Again.

  37. Diogenes @ #535 Friday, February 9th, 2018 – 10:12 pm

    C@t
    “Yeah, but they don’t put their bit on the side into a job in Matt Canavan’s office on the taxpayers’ dime.”
    MPs employ their wives, mistresses, kids, etc etc all the time.
    What about all the former politicians who get sinecures as Ambassadors?

    Doesn’t make it right. In fact, that’s the problem, isn’t it?

  42. “It is the hypocritical lying, low-down mongrel, pontificating, P.O.S., live-export-enabling, Murray-River-fucker that masquerades as an honourable Minister of the Crown for whom I have a somewhat dimmed regard.”

    Ahhhhh…i see that puffy is going all cryptic on us as to her attitude to Barnyard the Alleged DPM. 🙂

  43. C@t
    I agree. But that is the hypocrisy. Hysterics about Joyce’s partner getting a job (which we don’t know if she was qualified for or not) and applause for Lib-Lab appointing Brandis/Rann/Beazley/Downer getting plum diplomatic jobs (depending of your political affiliation).

  45. Diogenes @ #543 Friday, February 9th, 2018 – 10:22 pm

    C@t
    I agree. But that is the hypocrisy. Hysterics about Joyce’s partner getting a job (which we don’t know if she was qualified for or not) and applause for Lib-Lab appointing Brandis/Rann/Beazley/Downer getting plum diplomatic jobs (depending of your political affiliation).

    I didn’t like that either. Unless, of course, like appointing Bomber Beazley to be US Ambassador, the person exhibited qualities that would enhance the performance of the job.

    I just think that it’s going too far when you do something like create a job in another Minister’s office, simply for the purpose of providing your bit on the side with a comfy ‘job’ so she can be close to the boss.

  46. Aqualung+Diogenes

    JTI stands for ‘Jack the Insider’ . His humorous self description is ” a highly placed, dedicated servant of the nation with close ties to leading figures in politics, business and the union movement.”. A couple of links.

    Peter Hoysted aka Jack the Insider

    Audio Episode
    The story of Stan ‘The Man’ Smith, one of Australia’s most feared gangsters
    Peter Hoysted writes a true crime column under the name of ‘Jack the Insider’.

    http://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/conversations/peter-hoysted-aka-jack-the-insider/7794276
    His blog site.
    http://www.jacktheinsider.com/

  48. Doesn’t make it right. In fact, that’s the problem, isn’t it?

    I have no idea who Barnaby’s partner is, but is there any evidence she’s not qualified for a position as an MP’s staffer? It seems the only reason people are assuming she’s not qualified in her own right is that she’s pregnant to Barnaby Joyce and not his current wife.

  49. C@t
    I agree that cronyism is completely wrong and if they wasted taxpayers money to create a lucrative job for her that should be investigated as corruption by a federal ICAC or Auditor-General. Along with all the other cases in other MPs offices. But no MPs want that.

  50. Diogenes @ #543 Friday, February 9th, 2018 – 7:22 pm

    C@t
    I agree. But that is the hypocrisy. Hysterics about Joyce’s partner getting a job (which we don’t know if she was qualified for or not) and applause for Lib-Lab appointing Brandis/Rann/Beazley/Downer getting plum diplomatic jobs (depending of your political affiliation).

    Surely nobody has cornered the market on cynical and inappropriate family appointments than Donald Trump. There is no evidence of Jared Kushner’s suitability or qualifications to hold the numerous cabinet positions he has.

Comments Page 11 of 13
1 … 10 11 12 13

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *