First up, note that there are new posts below this one the near-finalisation of the Queensland election result, and the Tasmanian state poll from EMRS.
With three new polls added this week, the latest reading of BludgerTrack suggests last week’s surge to Labor to have been an aberration. However, the seat tally has wigged out this week, with both Ipsos and Essential recording particularly bad results for the Coalition from highly sensitive Queensland, and Ipsos producing a profoundly off-trend 57-43 lead to the Coalition in Western Australia. These results respectively cause Labor to gain four seats, and lose five – maybe the Queensland result reflects the impact of the state election, but I think you can take it for granted that the Liberal gain in Western Australia will wash out over the coming weeks.
Newspoll and Ipsos both produced new data on leadership ratings, but the trend measures here haven’t changed much. A further footnote from the Ipsos poll: the respondent-allocated two-party preferred result was 52-48, compared with a headline figure of 53-47, which is the best result the Coalition has had from anyone other than YouGov for a while.
As always, full results on the sidebar.
Compare and contrast:
Michael Berkman ( the new Greens member for Maiwar)
– environmental lawyer and scientist (a dual degree Bachelor of Science (Environment)/Bachelor of Laws.)
– worked in the Environmental Defenders office, protecting groundwater, anti-Adani etc
defeated Liberal Scott Emerson:
– former Queensland bureau chief for Rupert’s Rag
– publicist and media relations – Crook Publicity – yes, that’s really the name of the firm
– Newman Minister for Roads
Somehow I think Queensland and the environment will be better off.
CNBC has been reporting that Disney has held talks with the Rupert Murdoch-controlled media company to acquire its studio and television production assets, leaving Fox with its news and sports assets. Fox is also talking with CNBC parent company Comcast, but the talks with Disney have progressed more significantly.
The deal contemplates the sale of Fox’s Nat Geo, Star, regional sports networks, movie studios and stakes in Sky and Hulu, among other properties. What would remain at Fox includes its news and business news divisions, broadcast network and Fox sports.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/05/disney-and-fox-are-closing-in-on-deal-could-be-announced-next-week–sources.html
Does Eddie Obeid still have a vote in Bennelong or does he lose it because he is currently residing in the Big House? Can’t remember what applies to cons.
Kayjay
oops left this link out,
http://www.carersact.org.au/how-can-we-help/programs/kfc/
And this is an online course for carers to help them adjust to their role, answer questions, and give information, from the Carers website.
http://www.foundationsforcarers.org.au/interactive/main.htm
Maybe ladies visiting can be encouraged to ignore the house and focus on person, and be asked not to try to ‘help’ by making suggestions etc. Just ignore the mess and talk about something else. 🙂
Bushfire. Bill @ #449 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:32 pm
This post indicates there is a lot more education needed re sexual harassment.
People do deserve second chances when they honestly express regret and actually change their behaviour.
However, in the current climate there is no room for nuance, and the process of cultural change is too important to get distracted or diverted. No one should be able to hide behind expressions of regret and (quite possibly empty) promises to be better in future.
Hopefully we get to the point where bad behaviour has proportionate consequences in a reasonable timeframe, and with honesty people can redeem themselves and everyone involved can move on. The ‘proportionate consequences’ have clearly been lacking for a very long time so there cannot currently be a sense that the various accused men have ‘done their time’ (or equivalent – much of the lower-end bad behaviour should have been dealt with in terms of being disciplined at work and/or fired, rather than necessarily involving literal jail time as such).
For now, though, there isn’t enough bandwidth to deal with the information coming out in a nuanced, fair way and everyone just has to weather the storm until we get to the point where civilized norms are established and people – victims and the accused- have faith in the various systems.
Shame about Franken, though.
BB has always had a troglodyte attitude to women.
Trog Sorrenson @ #451 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:34 pm
Sadly those that hoard their partisan devotion to Lib/Lab will show their inner fear by attacking such a fine MP
Rex Douglas @ #458 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:46 pm
No mention of the ALP candidate sunshine.
No doubt they were a fine person too and could have represented the electorate in a ‘real’ government as opposed to a Greens fantasy.
Sad.
Jackol is absolutely correct. There is movement at the station, for the word is going around, and the word is #MeToo:
Rex D.
Freaking shut up you bstard,
Hoarding is serious mental health condition that causes distress to the people around the person with the illness and distress to the hoarders who understand and hate the mess they are in but cannot deal with it.
You are a rotten piece of work by playing politics with this subject, especially when a a fellow bludger has consulted the collected PB wisdom for where to get help.
But who is surprised? Your addition to the collected wisdom is like adding negative five to twenty.
Go away before I bash your virtual keyboard over your virtual brain.
Free Eddie is in North Sydney
monica
If you haven’t already read it, this may interest you.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/07/those-who-need-it-most-dont-get-psychiatric-care-its-a-mental-health-crisis
For anyone who would like a quick read on the subject, in case it comes up in a conversation somewhere, here is a short article on hoarding. It is more about not letting go of stuff, out of control. I hang on to stuff too long because I had an impoverished childhood but that is not hoarding.
http://hoardingandsqualorsa.com.au/About-Hoarding-and-Squalor.php
bemused
Ah yes. the words said about “the young people of today” by oldsters since Forever B.C. You are in illustrious company 😆
A bit of AD
Well said, PTMD. I think you’ll agree that this describes Rex pretty well:
From this very perceptive article about Milo the Troll demigod:
https://medium.com/welcome-to-the-scream-room/im-with-the-banned-8d1b6e0b2932
PuffyTMD @ #464 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:57 pm
That’s what I said earlier, but was chastised.
It is indeed a serious condition that sufferers should seek professional help with.
PuffyTMD @ #449 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:32 pm
Thank you for that.
My nephew is trying to impose rational thinking on the situation with his mother.
I have been getting around to moving in the direction of help for himself courtesy of, firstly, his GP.
In regard to his mother I illustrate this as though she is surrounded by a force field that repels all attempts a controlling behaviour.
We are aware of respite care and I have emailed him quite a lot of information that he could easily have obtained himself courtesy of Dr. Google.
I have likened his situation to that of loved ones, friends, relatives of alcoholics and groups such as Alanon. Currently he is in a “poor me” situation, which if an alcoholic would be
Poor me, poor me, pour me a drink.
I guess I am hoping that my cousin, coming back from sporting events with her grandchildren will be able to jolly him a little into moving in some sort of positive way.
The nephew until recently had no friends or relatives to talk to about his situation which is very unfortunate.
I will continue to support him and keep trying to allow some light to shine on him. He keeps projecting himself into the future where marvelous or dire things will happen.
Would that I could help him with the on day at a time program.
We shall see. Tomorrow will be wonderful, particularly if I wake up and get out of bed.
Back to the TV.
I like a big squishy hug and the favourite grand daughter has taught me a routine where we stand close but not touching, maybe hold hands and kissy kiss left, right and left again. Lovely routing. Maybe mad but I love it and hope she does also.
I have copied and saved your information and will bring it to my nephew’s attention as and when he appears receptive.
Good night again.
Effing NBN gone dead again. The second time this week. Maybe only for a few minutes.
poroti @ #465 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:01 pm
You conveniently missed what I said about my generation.
I remain in awe of the generation that went through the Great Depression and WWII.
You are a good egg, Kayjay, have a good night.
PuffyTMD (AnonBlock)
Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 8:51 pm
Comment #460
Think peace or a favourite colour.
I think Brown Bear would like you as much as he likes me.
Goodnight all again. Watching “Endeavour” on TV again. Nothing like a nice murder to calm one.
My dear wife got to love a nice murder also and the last story she listened to was “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”. Sadly unable to listen to the two other stories.
Never mind. The sun also rises.
Troglodytes (cave/abri dwellers, often anatomically modern humans like you and me) and Neanderthals have had a bad press.
Nothing wrong in living under the shelter of a rock overhang. There are many, many such houses in France now, and worth a tidy sum what is more.
You get the back wall and most of the roof for free, and the thermal mass of the cliff face at the back of the house is very welcome in both summer and winter.
don
I’m fascinated by cave dwellings. Visiting Cappadocia is very high on my bucket list.
bemused
Ali King has surprisingly good environmental credentials as well, but she didn’t win.
Hopefully Labor will have learnt that backing crap like Adani doesn’t work.
An excellent example of Greens positive influence.
bemused
You can guarantee that “oldies”back in the day lamented about the decadent ‘yoof’ that went on to “went through the Great Depression and WWII.”. It has happened forever.
Kayjay @ 9.10pm
My mother, now in her 90s, has always been a bit of a hoarder, though not on the scale of your sister-in-law. She didn’t like to throw things out for which “good money had been paid”, or which “might come in handy”. Eventually we hired off site storage, and managed to shift a lot of stuff out there, saying that it wasn’t being thrown away, just moved. (And in the course of the move, we threw out a lot of junk.) Incidentally, when decluttering it’s worth checking things like empty envelopes one by one, in case they have cash stashed in them.
BB
I can see where you are coming from. We will just have to agree to differ.
‘Trog Sorrenson says:
Friday, December 8, 2017 at 8:34 pm
Compare and contrast:
Michael Berkman ( the new Greens member for Maiwar)
– environmental lawyer and scientist (a dual degree Bachelor of Science (Environment)/Bachelor of Laws.)
– worked in the Environmental Defenders office, protecting groundwater, anti-Adani etc
defeated Liberal Scott Emerson:
– former Queensland bureau chief for Rupert’s Rag
– publicist and media relations – Crook Publicity – yes, that’s really the name of the firm
– Newman Minister for Roads
Somehow I think Queensland and the environment will be better off.’
Totally irrelevant and totally wasted on the Greens Party.
A pity.
If only he had been the candidate for Labor and if only he had been working internally on Labor environment policies….
zoomster @ #474 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 5:18 pm
Do it in spring, the wildflowers add a stunning element to something already very special. 🙂
poroti:
My baby boomer mother was a poster child of the 60s and 70s, turning up at every protest going around. My uncle wasn’t much better. Both, according to them caused my grandparents to tear their hair out lamenting the ‘youth of today!’ and some such.
Each successive generation has always whinged about the next generation. This is highly unlikely to change.
BW
Labor environment policies? You mean like supporting Adani “provided the economics stack up”.
Please.
Trog Sorrenson @ #475 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:19 pm
What?
We can do without Greens.
BW
The Qld election alone has destroyed your thesis.
poroti @ #476 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:20 pm
Rubbish!
Context free rubbish!
poroti:
The problems with the yoof of today are actually the same problems older generations had with the yoof of yesteryear!! LOL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wOZUyR2rQ68
😆
bemused
“We can do without the Greens”.
You and right wing Labor ideologues might be able to do without them, but the environment and an economy in transition can’t.
Confessions @ #486 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:33 pm
Que one totally ignorant comment based on one side of a conversation.
bemused
FFS . What do you reckon people like you thought of the Flappers and the “Roaring Twenties” or of the burlesque in Germany and France ? Yoof gone to hell in a hand basket of decadence is what they thought.
Trog Sorrenson @ #487 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:34 pm
You are redundant.
Sorry to be the one to bring you bad news as I find you quite a likeable chap.
When you decide to become relevant, rock along to your local ALP branch.
The biggest gripe I have about the fuvking yoof is their cultural appropriation of rap.
Oh hang on. I forgot about old fogies line dancing.
poroti @ #489 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:38 pm
Maybe. So what?
None of that detracts from the objective truth about the privations and triumphs of the generation that went through the Great Depression and WWII.
Trog Sorrenson @ #491 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:40 pm
Line dancing is and always will be an abomination.
I will stick with the great classics.
Pedant @ #478 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:20 pm
My nephew and my cousin have been able to get rid of considerable tons of “stuff”. Enough to make navigation possible and kitchen and bathroom usable. My cousin described the house as a “pigsty”.
👍👍
bemused
“When you decide to become relevant, rock along to your local ALP branch.”
Good idea. I’ll take a sign.
Trog Sorrenson @ #495 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:43 pm
ALP branches are not afraid of ideas and debate.
Your contributions on policy would be welcomed.
bemused
Sure they went through shit but it does not make them better than the next or previous generations . Their previous and next and our current generation would handle and survive what they went through. People are still as tough and adaptable as necessary and always have been. All it means is their generation of “high and mighty” were fuckwits whose actions caused the disasters they had to endure.
poroti @ #497 Friday, December 8th, 2017 – 9:47 pm
They were put to the tests no subsequent generation has had to face. They coped.
I am less confident of my generation and subsequent.
Material progress really has made us soft. I admit it. You don’t.
I remain in awe of the generation that went through the Great Depression and WWII
Me too. My parents’ generation.
Well said.